In the cointegrated vector autoregression (CVAR) literature, deterministic terms have until now been analyzed on a case-by-case, or as-needed basis. We give a comprehensive unified treatment of deterministic terms in the additive model X_{t}= gamma Z_{t}+Y_{t}, where Z_{t} belongs to a large...

In dieser Arbeit wird eine algorithmische Anlagestrategie untersucht, die auf paarweise kointegrierten Assets basiert. Das Kernstück solcher Strategien bildet das Auffinden von handelbaren Linearkombinationen aus mindestens zwei Assets. Ein intuitiver Ansatz, um solche Linearkombinationen...

This paper proposes new, simple, and more accurate statistical tests in a cointegrated system that allows for endogenous regressors and serially dependent errors. The approach involves first transforming the time series using some orthonormal basis functions in L2[0,1], which has energy...

Recent housing policies include measures for home purchase control and shanty town redevelopment. This study proposes sustainable pricing, in that the long-run equilibrium price is determined by the fundamentals of house prices. We argue that changes in CPI might have led to rapidly growing...

Since the 1960s hydrocarbons like crude oil and natural gas have been the most important energy source to fuel the world economy. Despite high recent growth rates for renewable energies, hydro- carbons are expected to be a dominant source of energy for several decades to come. In the last 20...

This paper demonstrates that unit root tests can suffer from inflated Type I error rates when data are cointegrated. Results from Monte Carlo simulations show that three commonly used unit root tests - the ADF, Phillips-Perron, and DF-GLS tests - frequently overreject the true null of a unit...