Search Results - subject_exact:"Entscheidungstheorie"

The hidden objectivism of revealed-preference welfare economics

Kolmar, Martin - 2026

Revealed preference theory (RPT) and its behavioral extension (BRPT) underpin an important strand of welfare economics. Their normative appeal rests on the claim that welfare can be inferred from observed behavior without substantive assumptions about what agents should value - a property I call...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015609837

A multi-criteria decision-making approach for air rescue units allocation during disaster response

Rebouças, Sergio; Pamplona, Daniel A.; Scarpel, … - 2026

Background: Despite advances in monitoring and forecasting systems, natural disasters continue to cause significant human losses. During the response phase, fast decisions are required to allocate limited resources, particularly rescue helicopters, which play a key role in reaching inaccessible...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015611807

Compressed beliefs

Zihlmann, Christian - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015613884

Consistency in collective decision-making under uncertainty : an axiomatic approach

Gonzalez, Stéphane; Huynh, Le-Nhat-Linh - 2026 - Version of February 3, 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015614301

Decision rules in choice under risk

Seror, Avner - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015614357

Mathematical foundations of health economics : Arrow, Garber, and the economics of medical uncertainty

Ryłow, Jakub - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015616232

History-dependent preferences : an axiomatic perspective

Dolgopolov, Arthur; Karos, Dominik; Lehrer, Ehud - 2026

This paper develops an axiomatic framework for decision making when preferences depend not only on the current alternative but also on the past frequency with which alternatives have been chosen. We identify key independence axioms that characterize frequency-dependent preferences. In addition,...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015594797

Fat-tailed distribution under the smooth ambiguity model

Osei, Prince - 2026

We study the ambiguity-adjusted return distribution induced by an investor with smooth ambiguity preferences 'a la Klibano! et al. (2005), who faces uncertainty about the variance of asset returns. The variance uncertainty is modeled using a gamma distribution, a second-order prior over the...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015594918

Multi-step delegation and the frequency of immoral decisions : theory and experiment

Bieberstein, Frauke von; Feess, Eberhard; Packham, Natalie - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015583619

Reconsidering mistakes: reproduction and replication of Nielsen and Rehbeck (2022)

Bayle, Gabriel; Dubois, Dimitri; Varaine, Simon - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015604130

Decision models for on-premises parcel lockers service revenue management

Mohri, Seyed Sina; Hadi Ghaderi; Farahani, Reza Zanjirani; … - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015606044

Do people have economic expectations?

Andre, Peter; Chopra, Felix; Michels, Luca; Wohlfart, … - 2026

Expectations are central to models of economic and financial decision-making. Yet in practice, individuals are often inattentive and, when asked, report fragile, context-dependent expectations that are only weakly linked to decisions. This raises the question to what extent they hold such...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015624815

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Do people have economic expectations?

Andre, Peter; Chopra, Felix; Michels, Luca; Wohlfart, … - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Do people have economic expectations?

Andre, Peter; Chopra, Felix; Michels, Luca; Wohlfart, … - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Do people have economic expectations?

Andre, Peter; Chopra, Felix; Michels, Luca; Wohlfart, … - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Expert-elicited weights in multi-criteria decision analysis : theory and practice

Chang, Shu-ya - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015625092

Do people have economic expectations?

Andre, Peter; Chopra, Felix; Michels, Luca; Wohlfart, … - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015632261

Show 3 more versions 3

Do people have economic expectations?

Andre, Peter; Chopra, Felix; Michels, Luca; Wohlfart, … - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Do people have economic expectations?

Andre, Peter; Chopra, Felix; Michels, Luca; Wohlfart, … - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Do people have economic expectations?

Andre, Peter; Chopra, Felix; Michels, Luca; Wohlfart, … - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Effects of price path shapes and decision frames on emotions and investment decisions : experimental evidence

Cordes, Henning; Decke, Philipp; Nolte, Sven; … - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015626639

Identification in stochastic choice

Caradonna, Peter; Turansick, Christopher - 2026 - This version: February 23, 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015638847

AI sycophancy and decisions

Conlon, John; Schwardmann, Peter - 2026

We examine whether sycophantic AI advice distorts decisions. Our experiment involves 1,500 participants in 30 decision environments spanning core domains in economics and the social sciences. Contrary to the vast majority of predictions in an expert survey we conduct, we find that AI advice...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015650340

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AI sycophancy and decisions

Conlon, John; Schwardmann, Peter - 2026

Book / Working Paper

AI sycophancy and decisions

Conlon, John; Schwardmann, Peter - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015642056

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AI sycophancy and decisions

Conlon, John; Schwardmann, Peter - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Replication report: on the robustness and provenance of the gambler's fallacy by Xiang, Dorst, and Gershman (2025)

Berg, Anthony van den; Doroc, Karlo; Fu, Changfa; … - 2026

Xiang et al. (2025) investigate whether the gambler's fallacy-the false belief that a random event is less likely to occur if it has occurred recently-is robust to using probabilistic (versus point) predictions and independently and identically distributed (versus non-IID) sequences. In five...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015650666

An analysis of machine learning approaches for enhancing decision-making in complex discrete choice tasks

Cao, Sheng Lun (Christine); Nock, Destenie; Davis, Alex - 2026

Discrete choice modeling is a common tool used for preference elicitation during policy-making, but this is typically done through parametric models. Machine learning can push the boundaries of discrete choice modeling for policy-based preference elicitation by adopting a data-driven approach...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015652297

Decision-making when computational complexity drives uncertainty

Bossaerts, Peter L. - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015652504

Identifying behavioral types

Kops, Christopher; Manzini, Paola; Mariotti, Marco; … - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015633012

Exploring choice errors in children

Caliari, Daniele; Dardanoni, Valentino; Guerriero, Carla; … - 2026 - This version: February 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015633016

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Exploring choice errors in children

Caliari, Daniele; Dardanoni, Valentino; Guerriero, Carla; … - 2024

Book / Working Paper

SOEP-IS 2024 - IRISK : decision from description vs. decision from experience

2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015633164

A fuzzy decision model for evaluating centralized purchasing process performance

Mansouri, Nidal; Soulhi, Aziz - 2026

Background: Evaluating centralized purchasing performance is a complex multi-criteria decision-making problem involving uncertainty, linguistic assessments, and subjective judgments from internal clients. Existing approaches provide limited support for handling these characteristics...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015666881

Can LLMs aid analogical reasoning for strategic decisions? : a comparative study$PProthit Sen, Maciej Workiewicz, Phanish Puranam

Sen, Prothit; Workiewicz, Maciej; Puranam, Phanish - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015666290

A hybrid SPC-MPSI-LOPCOW-based RAWEC decision model for assessing the performance of logistics companies in Fortune 500

Özekenci, Emre Kadir; Avşar, İlker İbrahim - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015670510

Talk isn’t always cheap : a theory of social influence and deliberation in group decision-making

Klapper, Helge; Maciejovsky, Boris; Puranam, Phanish; … - 2026 - Revised version of 2025/06/STR

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015665915

The investment portfolio selection with a hesitant fuzzy decision-making method based on aggregation operators

Kirişci, Murat; Kuzu, Serdar; Kablan, Ali - 2026

A vital tool for addressing the difficulties in defining an element's membership in a set when there is uncertainty about multiple discrete values in decision-making is the Hesitant Fuzzy Set, an extension of fuzzy sets. A Fermatean hesitant fuzzy set is offered to guarantee that the parameters...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015668174

Sleeping beauty loses her magic psychic powers

Cremin, John - 2026 - Latest version: June 25, 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015671038

The knowledge of ethical AI decision-making : a behavioral economics perspective

Bužinskienė, Rita; Miceikienė, Astrida; … - 2026

Focusing on artificial intelligence (AI) ethics and behavioral economics, this paper demonstrates how integrating behavioral insights can inform ethical guidelines for AI-based systems. Recent developments conceptualize AI as a key to critical sectors such as finance, marketing, and healthcare,...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015676027

People prefer novices for advice generated from direct experience and experts for advice generated from data synthesis and extrapolation

Mehr, Katie S.; Meister, Matt - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016059380

Experimenting with GenAI : methodology and application to decision biases of humans with AI

Chen, Yang; Kirshner, Samuel N.; Ovchinnikov, Anton; … - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016060859

Eliciting and distinguishing between weak and incomplete preferences : theory, experiment and computation

Gerasimou, Georgios - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016061602

On extrapolation of treatment effects in multiple-cutoff regression discontinuity designs

Okamoto, Yuta; Ozaki, Yuuki - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016074187

Grabbing the forbidden fruit : restriction-sensitive choice

Boissonnet, Niels; Ghersengorin, Alexis - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016073996

Decision imprecision and the measurement of preferences in multiple price lists

Holden, Stein Terje - 2026

This paper examines how decision imprecision affects the measurement of risk and time preferences in Multiple Price List (MPL) tasks. Using experimental data with alternative elicitation procedures and repeated binary choices, we document systematic relationships between inconsistency in choices...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016072872

Large effects of small cues : priming selfish economic decisions

Snir, Avichai; Levy, Dudi; Wang, Dian; Chen, Haipeng; … - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016072938

The economics of decision-making in dementia care and related life-limiting illness : a narrative review

Maksimovic, Ana; Grassi, Simona; Ellis-Smith, Clare; … - 2026

Background Dementia represents a profound healthcare and economic challenge for the 21st century. A significant proportion of associated costs originate in decision-making between people with dementia, family carers, and health and social care practitioners. Economics is a decision science that...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016070719

Robustness? : range tests for equality and equivalence across specifications

Jaeger, David A. - 2026

Applied economists routinely compare estimates across specifications, observe that they are "similar," and conclude that their results are "robust." This common procedure makes an implicit inferential claim about the range of estimates, but usually does not account for their joint sampling...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016069307

Decision models and online betting behavior : comparing mean-variance, expected utility, and prospect theory

Reichenbach, Felix; Walther, Martin J. - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016073353

Jérôme Lang's contributions at the interface of economic theory with artificial intelligence

Endriss, Ulle; Maudet, Nicolas - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016082907

An optimization-based approach to central counterparty collateral determination

Takino, Kazuhiro - 2026

In financial markets, central counterparties (CCP) play a crucial role by managing counterparty risk through collateral requirements. This study proposes a framework for modeling a CCP's optimization problem to describe observed collateral requirements. Two models are developed: the...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016082733

Addressing the missing psychological priorities in green consumption through an original fuzzy multi-criteria decision model

Zeybek Pınarbaşı, Fatma; Eti, Serkan; Yüksel, Serhat; … - 2026

Although increasing green consumption plays a critical role in solving today's environmental problems, a significant problem remains the insufficient clarification of the relative importance of the psychological factors shaping this behavior. While numerous psychological factors influencing...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016083239

Tickles, iteration, and habits

Easwaran, Kenny; Levinstein, Benjamin A.; Shear, Ted - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016082933

Analyzing individual bracketing behavior in risk aggregation tasks

De Giorgi, Enrico; Omar, Askhat; Post, Thierry - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016082958

The normative force of Savage's axiom and the Allais paradoxes : more evidence

Humphrey, Steven J.; Kruse, Nadia-Yasmine - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016082960

Organizational ethics in action : the use of contemplation questions as decision aids in large companies

Renerte, Baiba; Baader, Malte; Tanner, Carmen; Wagner, … - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016083152

Deliberate stochastic choice : a mouse-tracking experiment

Adamo, Mattia; Coricelli, Giorgio - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016074403

Preferences as heuristics

Mohlin, Erik; Rigos, Alexandros - 2026 - This version: September 4, 2026

We present a model of how an individual's preference for a specific behaviour can evolve as an adaptation to her social environment. Our key assumptions are that the decision maker (DM) (i) is boundedly rational in her ability to process information and evaluate which actions yield the highest...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016086716