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Consumer price stickiness in the Euro area during an inflation surge

Gautier, Erwan; Conflitti, Cristina; Enderle, Daniel; … - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015655796

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Consumer price stickiness in the euro area during an inflation surge

Gautier, Erwan; Conflitti, Cristina; Enderle, Daniel; … - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Consumer price stickiness in the euro area during an inflation surge

Gautier, Erwan; Conflitti, Cristina; Enderle, Daniel; … - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Consumer price stickiness in the euro area during an inflation surge

Gautier, Erwan; Conflitti, Cristina; Enderle, Daniel; … - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Consumer price stickiness in the euro area during an inflation surge

Gautier, Erwan; Conflitti, Cristina; Enderle, Daniel; … - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Consumer price stickiness in the Euro Area during an inflation surge

Gautier, Erwan; Conflitti, Cristina; Enderle, Daniel; … - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Consumer price stickiness in the euro area during an inflation surge

Gautier, Erwan; Conflitti, Cristina; Enderle, Daniel; … - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Consumer price stickiness in the euro area during an inflation surge

Gautier, Erwan; Conflitti, Cristina; Enderle, Daniel; … - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Consumer price stickiness in the euro area during an inflation surge

Gautier, Erwan; Conflitti, Cristina; Enderle, Daniel; … - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Structural drivers of growth at risk : insights from a VAR-quantile regression approach

Carboni, Giacomo; Fonseca, Luís; Fornari, Fabio; … - 2026

We investigate the impact of structural shocks on the joint distribution of future real GDP growth and inflation in the euro area. We model the conditional mean of these variables, along with selected financial indicators, using a VAR and perform quantile regressions on the VAR residuals to...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015592539

What drives business expectations? : a tale of demand and supply

Battistini, Niccolò; Neves, Pedro - 2026

This paper develops a novel empirical framework to analyse the drivers of business expectations in the euro area. Using harmonised data from the European Commission's business surveys for manufacturing, services, and construction, we build composite business expectations indices (BEI) for...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015592767

Non-linear effects of monetary policy shocks on housing: evidence from a CESEE country

Aguilar, Alicia; Lojschová, Adriana; Martinez, Carlos … - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015594919

Non-linear effects of monetary policy shocks on housing : evidence from a CESEE country

Cañizares Martínez, Carlos; Lojschová, Adriana; … - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015604796

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Non-linear effects of monetary policy shocks on housing : evidence from a CESEE country

Cañizares Martínez, Carlos; Lojschová, Adriana; … - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Every signal counts : effects of ECB presidents' textual and voice sentiments on financial markets

Jurkšas, Linas; Kaminskas, Rokas; Akstinaitė, Vita - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015605059

Central bank communication on financial stability : a shadowed sibling? : the tale of Central Europe

Martin, Reiner; Mohácsi, Piroska Nagy; Evdokimova, Tatiana - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015627248

Monetary policy, mortgage structure, and household sentiment: evidence from the euro area

Reigl, Nicolas - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015637511

Geopolitical risk in the euro area : measurement and transmission

Bondarenko, Yevheniia; Kang, Nayeon; Lewis, Vivien; … - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015668271

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Geopolitical risk in the euro area : measurement and transmission

Bondarenko, Yevheniia; Kang, Nayeon; Lewis, Vivien; … - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Geopolitical risk in the euro area : measurement and transmission

Bondarenko, Yevheniia; Kang, Nayeon; Lewis, Vivien; … - 2026

Book / Working Paper

The link between monetary policy and the labor share : new empirical evidence and theoretical considerations

Badinger, Harald; Glocker, Christian; Schiman-Vukan, Stefan - 2026

Using a structural VAR with a relatively agnostic identification based on narrative sign restrictions, this paper, in line with recent empirical evidence, documents an increase in the labor share following restrictive monetary policy in the euro area. We then complement the empirical analysis...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015656149

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The link between monetary policy and the labor share : new empirical evidence and theoretical considerations

Badinger, Harald; Glocker, Christian; Schiman-Vukan, Stefan - 2026

Book / Working Paper

The transmission of monetary policy through credit standards : evidence on loan application discouragement in the euro area

Mermelas, Georgios; Tagkalakis, Athanasios - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015651101

Fiscal shocks and public debt dynamics in the European Union : new evidence using forecast-error identification

Staehr, Karsten; Tkǎcevs, Ol̦egs; Toiger, Ann Merit - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015651111

The role of inflation perceptions in consumer inflation expectations : evidence from the euro area

Bussière, Matthieu; Gilbert, Johanna; Grishchenko, Olesya - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015653252

Inflation and public support for the Euro

Roth, Felix - 2026 - This version: 08 01 2026

The paper finds that the post-pandemic inflation surge and subsequent decline from 2021 to 2024 had no significant impact on public support for the Euro for the EA-19 and for most individual member states of the EA-19. From 2021 to 2024, net public support for the euro remained remarkably stable...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015560383

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Inflation and Public Support for the Euro

Roth, Felix - 2026

Book / Working Paper

The anatomy of transmission : pass-through of market rates to bank deposit rates in the euro area

Kakes, Jan; Samarina, Anna - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015668636

Housing markets and the heterogeneous effects of monetary policy across the euro area

Pica, Stefano - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015668218

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Housing Markets and the Heterogeneous Effects of Monetary Policy Across the Euro Area

Pica, Stefano - 2022

Book / Working Paper

Macroeconomic effects of the green transition in the euro area and critical mineral bottleneckss

Bartocci, Anna; Cantelmo, Alessandro; Cova, Pietro; … - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015669413

Aggregate tax and spending multipliers in a monetary union

Ider, Gökhan; Rieth, Malte - 2026

We examine the aggregate effects of government spending and tax changes in a monetary union. We show theoretically that government consumption and government investment shocks have multipliers above 1, and consumption tax and income tax shocks have multipliers below 1. We test the predictions on...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015670599

Trade dynamics under geopolitical risk

Khalil, Makram; Osten, David; Strobel, Felix - 2025

In recent years, major exporting economies experienced rising geopolitical risk. From the perspective of the US and the euro area, we employ detailed product data panels to study the consequences of trading-partner geopolitical risk shocks on bilateral imports. We find that these shocks lower...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015205272

Why do firms extend trade credit? : the role of inventories

Fernandes, Filipa Da Silva; Guariglia, Alessandra; … - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015375516

Compliance with fiscal sustainability and the Euro

Afonso, António; Miranda, Catarina Farinha - 2025

Through fiscal reaction functions, we investigate fiscal sustainability for five European country-group panels and check for a change in fiscal behaviour after countries adopted the euro as their currency. Using annual data for the period between 1990 and 2021, we identify evidence of average...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015333286

Fuel price surges and rising inflation expectations in the Euro Area

Morão, Hugo - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015329633

The role of exchange rate in the monetary transmission : the case of the Euro Area

Fisera, Boris - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015464248

The effects of macroeconomic and budget balance shocks on public debt trajectories in the euro area

Tkačevs, Oļegs; Stæhr, Karsten - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015654374

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The effects of macroeconomic and budget balance shocks on public debt trajectories in the Euro Area

Tkačevs, Oļegs; Stæhr, Karsten - 2025

Book / Working Paper

The effects of macroeconomic and budget balance shocks on public debt trajectories in the Euro Area

Tkačevs, Oļegs; Stæhr, Karsten - 2025

Book / Working Paper

Heterogeneous responses to monetary policy : the role of floating rate loans

Kerola, Eeva; Laine, Olli-Matti; Paavola, Aleksi - 2025 - This version: August 2025

This study examines the floating rate channel-a mechanism through which monetary policy affects firms' investment and credit demand based on their exposure to variable rate loans. Using a granular loan-level dataset from the euro area, we find that firms with variable rate loans significantly...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015448571

Persistent global growth differences and euro area adjustment : real activity, trade and the real exchange rate

Ifrim, Adrian; Kollmann, Robert; Pfeiffer, Philipp; … - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015455267

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Persistent global growth differences and euro area adjustment : real activity, trade and the real exchange rate

Ifrim, Adrian; Kollmann, Robert; Pfeiffer, Philipp; … - 2025

Book / Working Paper

Lessons for the European Central Bank from the 2021-2023 inflationary episode

Hernández de Cos, Pablo - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015434904

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Lessons for the European Central Bank from the 2021-2023 inflationary episode

Hernández de Cos, Pablo - 2025

Book / Working Paper

The slowdown of productivity in the euro area and the role of input prices

Colonna, Fabrizio; Scoccianti, Filippo; Viviano, Eliana - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015408578

Drivers of post-pandemic price dynamics and labour market tightness in the euro area

Juvonen, Petteri; Nelimarkka, Jaakko; Obstbaum, Meri; … - 2025

We study recent inflation and labour market dynamics in the euro area within a general equilibrium framework. Rapid inflation was mainly caused by demand and supply shocks, but labor market-specific shocks also contributed to the surge in inflation. Our results underscore the significance of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015410150

The rise and fall of inflation in the Euro Area (2021-2024) : a heterodox perspective

Ferreira, Vicente; Abreu, Alexandre; Louçā, Francisco - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015433908

How stable are inflation expectations in the euro area? : evidence from the euro-area financial markets

Grishchenko, Olesya V.; Moraux, Franck; Pakulyak, Olga - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015438029

The balance sheet channel of fiscal policy : sovereign exposure and credit to firms in the European periphery

Montagnoli, Alberto; Quiroga-Trevino, Miroslava; … - 2025

This paper provides empirical evidence on the balance sheet channel of fiscal policy in peripheral European economies. Our findings using a Panel VAR, reveal that shifts in financial institutions' balance sheets following a debt-financed fiscal expansion, reduce credit provision and investment...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015457782

The macroeconomic effects of import tariffs on the euro area : a model-based assessment

Bartocci, Anna; Cantelmo, Alessandro; Cova, Pietro; … - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015462754

How do supply shocks to inflation generalize? : evidence from the pandemic era in Europe

Acharya, Viral V.; Crosignani, Matteo; Eisert, Tim; … - 2025

We document how the interaction of supply chain pressures, elevated household inflation expectations, and firm pricing power contributed to the pandemic-era surge in consumer price inflation in the euro area. Initially, supply chain disruptions raised inflation, particularly in manufacturing,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015445074

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How do supply shocks to inflation generalize? : evidence from the pandemic era in Europe

Acharya, Viral V.; Crosignani, Matteo; Eisert, Tim; … - 2023

Book / Working Paper

Monitoring and forecasting food prices in the euro area

Cuadro-Sáez, Lucía; Ghirelli, Corinna; Moreno-López, … - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015589616

Fiscal announcements and households' beliefs : evidence from the euro area

Gallegos, José-Elías; García-Miralles, Esteban; … - 2025

This paper studies the effects of fiscal policy announcements on household expectations. We document announcements of price-related expansionary fiscal measures in response to the cost-of-living crisis in the four largest euro area economies and exploit the exogenous timing of fiscal actions...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015589627

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Fiscal announcements and households' beliefs : evidence from the euro area

Gallegos, José Elías; García-Miralles, Esteban; … - 2025

Book / Working Paper

The euro at 25 : how demand, supply and policy shocks contributed to inflation in the euro area countries

Stæhr, Karsten; Tkacevs, Olegs - 2025

This paper quantifies the contributions of various shocks and policies to the dynamics of inflation in the 12 founding members of the euro area during its first 25 years. The paper estimates Bayesian VAR models with six variables using quarterly data from 1999q1 to 2023q3. Sign restrictions are...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015620390

Credit standards, bank lending and economic growth

Michaila, Nektarios A.; Savva, Christos S. - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015634100

Monetary policy surprises and fiscal sustainability : the case of the Euro Area

Ionta, Serena; Afonso, António; Alves, José - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015475135

Beware of large shocks! : a non-parametric structural inflation model

Bobeica, Elena; Holton, Sarah; Huber, Florian; … - 2025

We propose a novel empirical structural inflation model that captures non-linear shock transmission using a Bayesian machine learning framework that combines VARs with non-linear structural factor models. Unlike traditional linear models, our approach allows for non-linear effects at all impulse...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015415617

Liquidity dependencies in the euro area

Soares, Carla - 2025

This study investigates to what extent the significant liquidity injections by the ECB over the past 15 years may have created a dependency by banks on central bank liquidity itself. Following Acharya et al. (2024), I examine whether the ECB's liquidity provision changed banks' incentives to...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015415764

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Liquidity dependencies in the euro area

Soares, Carla - 2025

Book / Working Paper

Monetary policy surprise shocks under different fiscal regimes : a panelanalysis of the Euro Area

Afonso, António; Alves, José; Ionta, Serena - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015573250

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Monetary policy surprise shocks under different fiscal regimes : a panel analysis of the Euro Area

Afonso, António; Alves, José; Ionta, Serena - 2023

Book / Working Paper

Green transition in the euro area : domestic and global factors

García, Pablo; Jacquinot, Pascal; Lenarčič, Črt; … - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015583658

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Green transition in the euro area : domestic and global factors

García, Pablo; Jacquinot, Pascal; Lenarčič, Črt; … - 2025

Book / Working Paper

Green transition in the euro area: domestic and global factors

García, Pablo; Jacquinot, Pascal; Lenarčič, Črt; … - 2024

Book / Working Paper

Green transition in the Euro Area : domestic and global factors

García, Pablo; Jacquinot, Pascal; Lenarčič, Črt; … - 2024

Book / Working Paper

Who takes the cake? : the heterogeneous effect of European Central Bank accommodative monetary policy across income classes

Bárcena Martín, Elena; Martín-Fuentes, Natalia; … - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015399471

Peering beyond the veil : a dissection of aggregate bank lending rate movements into pricing and composition effects using credit-level data

Reimers, Paul; Michaelis, Henrike - 2025

Compared to 2021, the aggregate bank lending rate to firms in the euro area in- creased strongly during the monetary tightening and easing cycle of 2022-25. However, it rose up to 1.5 percentage points less than the rise in policy and money market rates. We approach this gap using granular...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015559694

How Phillips curve dynamics enhance business cycle synchronization analysis in Central and Eastern Europe

Petz, Nico; Zörner, Thomas - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015580062

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How Phillips curve dynamics enhance business cycle synchronization analysis in Central and Eastern Europe

Petz, Nico; Zörner, Thomas - 2025

Book / Working Paper

Sailing through rough waters : economic analysis and outlook for Central, East and Southeast Europe : forecast report

Pindyuk, Olga; Grieveson, Richard; Astrov, Vasily; … - 2023

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014283361

The effects of the ECB's unconventional monetary policies from 2011 to 2018 on banking assets

Dwyer, Gerald P. <jun.>; Gilevska, Biljana; Nieto, María J. - 2023

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014482835

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The effects of the ECB’S unconventional monetary policies from 2011 to 2018 on banking assets

Dwyer, Gerald P. <jun.>; Gilevska, Biljana; Nieto, María J. - 2024

Book / Working Paper

The Effects of the ECB’s Unconventional Monetary Policies from 2011 to 2018 on Banking Assets

Dwyer, Gerald P. <jun.>; Gilevska, Biljana; Nieto, María J. - 2023

Book / Working Paper

An assessment of the euro area fiscal stance since the pandemic

Cepparulo, Alessandra; McDonnell, Clíona; Reitano, … - 2024

This Economic Brief analyses the euro area fiscal stance since 2020, i.e. the impulse that national budgets and the EU budget have been providing to the euro area economy since the pandemic. Overall, the euro area fiscal stance was highly supportive in 2020-2023, during the COVID-19 and the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014631445

Loan supply shocks, prudential regulation, and the business cycle

Rudel, Paul - 2024

How do the business cycle effects of loan supply shocks depend on the state of prudential regulation in the euro area? To address this question, we first identify regulatory cycles from a cumulative prudential policy index that tracks the evolution of the regulatory stance in the euro area....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014636947