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Year of publication
Subject
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Exponential smoothing 83 exponential smoothing 80 Zeitreihenanalyse 76 Time series analysis 74 Forecasting model 69 Prognoseverfahren 69 Theorie 59 Theory 58 Glättungsverfahren 55 Smoothing technique 55 Forecasting 35 ARIMA 23 Exponential Smoothing 21 ARMA model 19 ARMA-Modell 18 forecasting 18 Forecast 17 Estimation theory 15 Prognose 15 Schätztheorie 15 state space models 14 Demand 12 Nachfrage 12 Neural networks 12 Risikomanagement 12 State space model 12 Time series 12 time series 12 Neuronale Netze 11 Zustandsraummodell 11 Risk management 10 Supply chain 10 Einkommenshypothese 9 Financial inclusion 9 Finanzielle Inklusion 9 Income hypothesis 9 Lieferkette 9 Regression analysis 9 Welt 9 World 9
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Online availability
All
Free 116 Undetermined 82 CC license 8
Type of publication
All
Article 128 Book / Working Paper 107 Other 4
Type of publication (narrower categories)
All
Article in journal 74 Aufsatz in Zeitschrift 74 Graue Literatur 26 Non-commercial literature 26 Working Paper 23 Arbeitspapier 22 Hochschulschrift 6 Article 5 Thesis 3 Dissertation u.a. Prüfungsschriften 2 Lehrbuch 2 Textbook 2 research-article 2 Aufsatz im Buch 1 Bibliografie enthalten 1 Bibliography included 1 Book section 1 Conference paper 1 Handbook 1 Handbuch 1 Konferenzbeitrag 1
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Language
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English 169 Undetermined 60 German 10
Author
All
Snyder, Ralph D. 16 Hyndman, Rob J. 15 Ord, J. Keith 10 Sbrana, Giacomo 10 Islamaj, Ergys 9 Kose, M. Ayhan 9 Silvestrini, Andrea 9 Beaumont, Adrian 8 Koehler, Anne B. 8 Petropoulos, Fotios 8 Hyndman, Rob J 7 Akram, Muhammad 5 Alfaro, Rodrigo 5 Drehmann, Mathias 5 Gardner, Everette S. 5 Athanasopoulos, George 4 Bermúdez, José D. 4 Caggiano, Giovanni 4 Castelnuovo, Efrem 4 Colombo, Valentina 4 Kourentzes, Nikolaos 4 Marshak, Anastasia 4 McAleer, Michael 4 Nodari, Gabriela 4 Sabarwal, Shwetlena 4 Taylor, James W. 4 Acar, Yavuz 3 Armstrong, J. Scott 3 Caiado, Jorge 3 Chen, Ying 3 De Silva, A 3 Evans, David K. 3 Hyndman, R.J. 3 Pick, Andreas 3 Pranovich, Mikhail 3 Shi, Yanlin 3 Snyder, Ralph D 3 Spokoiny, Vladimir 3 Allen, David E. 2 Archibald, Blyth 2
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Institution
All
Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics, Monash Business School 34 International Monetary Fund (IMF) 4 Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München 4 Department of Economics, George Washington University 2 Schweiz / Staatssekretariat für Wirtschaft 2 Banca d'Italia 1 Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE), École des Sciences Économiques de Louvain 1 Centro de Matemática Aplicada à Previsão e Decisão Económica (CEMAPRE), Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão (ISEG) 1 Centro di Studi Internazionali Sull'Economia e la Sviluppo (CEIS), Facoltà di Economia 1 Department of Economics, University of Peloponnese 1 Deutschland / Bundeswehr / Universität Hamburg 1 Dipartimento di Economia, Università Ca' Foscari Venezia 1 National Bureau of Economic Research 1 Sonderforschungsbereich 649: Ökonomisches Risiko, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät 1 Sonderforschungsbereich Ökonomisches Risiko <Berlin> 1 Springer Fachmedien Wiesbaden 1 Steinbeis-Stiftung für Wirtschaftsförderung 1 Steinbeis-Transfer-Institut Angewandte Statistik und Volkswirtschaftslehre 1 Swiss National Centre of Competence in Research North South <Bern> 1 ToKnowPress 1 Universität <Hannover> / Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät 1 de Nederlandsche Bank 1
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Published in...
All
Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 34 International journal of forecasting 12 International Journal of Forecasting 9 International journal of production economics 8 Management Science 6 IMF Working Papers 4 MPRA Paper 4 Journal of business research : JBR 3 Journal of the Operational Research Society 3 Operations research forum 3 Advances in business and management forecasting 2 Bank of Italy Temi di Discussione (Working Paper) 2 Discussion paper / Tinbergen Institute 2 Econometric Institute research papers 2 European journal of industrial engineering : EJIE 2 Grundlagen für die Wirtschaftspolitik 2 IMA journal of management mathematics 2 International Journal of Production Economics 2 Journal of business economics and management 2 Omega 2 Policy Research Working Paper 2 Policy research working paper : WPS 2 Real estate economics : journal of the American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association 2 Reihe Quantitative Ökonomie : Ökon 2 Temi di discussione / Banca d'Italia 2 The Asian Journal of Shipping and Logistics 2 Working Papers / Department of Economics, George Washington University 2 Working papers 2 World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 2 A Chapman & Hall book 1 Acta Universitatis Bohemiae Meridionales 1 Active Citizenship by Knowledge Management & Innovation: Proceedings of the Management, Knowledge and Learning International Conference 2013 1 Advances in business and management forecasting. 1 Agrar- und Ernährungswirtschaft zwischen Ressourceneffizienz und gesellschaftlichen Erwartungen : 57. Jahrestagung der Gesellschaft für Wirtschafts - und Sozialwissenschaften des Landbaues e.V. vom 13. bis 15. September 2017 1 Agricultural Economics and Rural Development 1 Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics 1 Berichte aus der Betriebswirtschaft 1 Business Inform 1 CAMA Working Paper 1 CAMA working paper series 1
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Source
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ECONIS (ZBW) 125 RePEc 92 BASE 9 EconStor 6 USB Cologne (business full texts) 3 USB Cologne (EcoSocSci) 2 Other ZBW resources 2
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Showing 1 - 50 of 239
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Forecasting high speed diesel demand in India with econometric and machine learning methods
Sharma, Aarti Mehta; Baby, Saina; Raghu, Varsha - In: International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy : IJEEP 14 (2024) 1, pp. 496-506
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Signal extraction by the extremum Monte Carlo method
Moussa, Karim - 2024
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014512213
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Staying positive : challenges and solutions in using pure multiplicative ETS models
Svetunkov, Ivan; Boylan, John Edward - In: IMA journal of management mathematics 35 (2024) 3, pp. 403-425
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Application of forecasting methods in harmonising strategic planning for sustainable development of the state
Korolchuk, Lesia - 2024
Successful implementation of the global concept of sustainable development requires harmonising the strategic planning of sustainable development of the state to ensure effective monitoring of the progress of states in achieving the Sustainable Development Goals. The purpose of the research is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015402748
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Data analysis in demand forecasting : a case study of poetry book sales in the European area
Kolková, Andrea - In: Central European business review : CEBR 13 (2024) 5, pp. 51-69
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015404093
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Application of forecasting methods in harmonising strategic planning for sustainable development of the state
Korolchuk, Lesia - In: Economic Forum 14 (2024) 1, pp. 50-61
Successful implementation of the global concept of sustainable development requires harmonising the strategic planning of sustainable development of the state to ensure effective monitoring of the progress of states in achieving the Sustainable Development Goals. The purpose of the research is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015408472
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A basic time series forecasting course with Python
Zemkoho, Alain B. - In: Operations research forum 4 (2023) 1, pp. 1-43
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Time series forecasting: a test of automated econometric methods
Ferreira, Erick Inácio; Souza, Igor Viveiros Melo - 2023
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Forecasting container throughput of major Asian ports using the Prophet and hybrid time series models
Munim, Ziaul Haque; Fiskin, Cemile Solak; Nepal, Bikram; … - In: The Asian Journal of Shipping and Logistics 39 (2023) 2, pp. 67-77
Forecasting container throughput is critical for improved port planning, operations, and investment strategies. Reliability of forecasting methods need to be ensured before utilizing their outcomes in decision making. This study compares forecasting performances of various time series methods,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014281601
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An investigation of time series models for forecasting mixed migration flows : focusing in Germany
Mebelli, Vasiliki; Drakaki, Maria; Tzionas, Panagiotis - In: Operations research forum 4 (2023) 2, pp. 1-11
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014330498
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To aggregate or not to aggregate : forecasting of finite autocorrelated demand
Rostami-Tabar, Bahman; Babai, M. Zied; Syntetos, Aris A. - In: Journal of the Operational Research Society 74 (2023) 8, pp. 1840-1859
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014336347
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Countering cybercrime risks in financial institutions: Forecasting information trends
Kuzior, Aleksandra; Brożek, Paulina; Kuzmenko, Olha; … - In: Journal of Risk and Financial Management 15 (2022) 12, pp. 1-22
This article aims to forecast the information trends related to the most popular cyberattacks, seen as the cyber-crimes' consequences reflecting on the Internet. The study database was formed based on online users' search engine requests regarding the terms "Cyberattacks on the computer systems...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014332769
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The Holt-Winters Filter and the One-Sided Hp Filter : A Close Correspondence
Alfaro, Rodrigo; Drehmann, Mathias - 2022
We show that the trend of the one-sided HP filter can be asymptotically approximated by the Holt-Winters (HW) filter. The later is an elegant, moving average representation and facilitates the computation of trends tremendously. We confirm the accuracy of this approximation empirically by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014080316
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The Holt-Winters Filter and the One-Sided Hp Filter : A Close Correspondence
Alfaro, Rodrigo; Drehmann, Mathias - 2022
We show that the trend of the one-sided HP filter can be asymptotically approximated by the Holt-Winters (HW) filter. The later is an elegant, moving average representation and facilitates the computation of trends tremendously. We confirm the accuracy of this approximation empirically by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014080318
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The Holt-Winters filter and the one-sided HP filter : a close correspondence
Alfaro, Rodrigo; Drehmann, Mathias - 2022
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10013327235
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The Holt-Winters filter and the one-sided HP filter: a close correspondence
Alfaro, Rodrigo; Drehmann, Mathias - 2022
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10013368694
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Countering cybercrime risks in financial institutions : forecasting information trends
Kuzior, Aleksandra; Brożek, Paulina; Kuzmenko, Olha; … - In: Journal of risk and financial management : JRFM 15 (2022) 12, pp. 1-22
This article aims to forecast the information trends related to the most popular cyberattacks, seen as the cyber-crimes' consequences reflecting on the Internet. The study database was formed based on online users' search engine requests regarding the terms "Cyberattacks on the computer systems...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014284116
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New techniques to perform cross-validation for time series models
Vamsikrishna, A.; Gijo, E. V. - In: Operations research forum 5 (2024) 2, pp. 1-12
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On the update frequency of univariate forecasting models
Spiliotis, Evangelos; Petropoulos, Fotios - In: European journal of operational research : EJOR 314 (2024) 1, pp. 111-121
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Short-term forecasting ability of hybrid models for BRIC currencies
Sreeram, Latha; Sayed, Samie Ahmed - In: Global business review 25 (2024) 3, pp. 585-605
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Filtering with Limited Information
Drautzburg, Thorsten; Fernández-Villaverde, Jesús; … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2024
We propose a new tool to filter non-linear dynamic models that does not require the researcher to specify the model fully and can be implemented without solving the model. If two conditions are satisfied, we can use a flexible statistical model and a known measurement equation to back out the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014635717
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Towards a target employment rate within age and gender groups
Jaworski, Stanisław; Zielińska-Kolasińska, Zofia - In: Statistics in Transition New Series 22 (2021) 4, pp. 213-225
Quarterly employment rates in European countries are analysed in terms of the likelihood of achieving a specific employment rate within age and gender groups in a five-year horizon. The German employment rate serves as a benchmark for this research. The likelihood is estimated by a Monte-Carlo...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10013444115
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Forecasting oil tanker shipping market in crisis periods : exponential smoothing model application
Moiseev, George - In: The Asian Journal of Shipping and Logistics 37 (2021) 3, pp. 239-244
This paper fills the gap in the literature of applying an exponential smoothing model in the oil shipping market forecasting. The author refines the adaptive combined model with B-criterion based on Brown's model with modification by Trigg and Leach. Forecasting the values of the average...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10012656298
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Towards a target employment rate within age and gender groups
Jaworski, Stanisław; Zielińska-Kolasińska, Zofia - In: Statistics in transition : an international journal of … 22 (2021) 4, pp. 213-225
Quarterly employment rates in European countries are analysed in terms of the likelihood of achieving a specific employment rate within age and gender groups in a five-year horizon. The German employment rate serves as a benchmark for this research. The likelihood is estimated by a Monte-Carlo...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10012818225
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Impact of cross-docking on the bullwhip effect
Benrqya, Yassine; Jabbouri, Imad - In: Journal of modelling in management 18 (2023) 6, pp. 1783-1808
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014432525
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iETS : state space model for intermittent demand forecasting
Svetunkov, Ivan; Boylan, John E. - In: International journal of production economics 265 (2023), pp. 1-15
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014437626
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The Holt-Winters filter and the one-sided HP filter : a close correspondence
Alfaro, Rodrigo; Drehmann, Mathias - In: Economics letters 222 (2023), pp. 1-4
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014231909
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Model combinations through revised base rates
Petropoulos, Fotios; Spiliotis, Evangelos; … - In: International journal of forecasting 39 (2023) 3, pp. 1477-1492
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014465296
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Optimization of short-term forecast of electric power demand in the city of Yaoundé-Cameroon by a hybrid model based on the combination of neural networks and econometric methods from a designed energy optimization algorithm
Dieudonné, Nzoko Tayo; Armel, Talla Konchou Franck; … - In: Technological forecasting & social change : an … 187 (2023), pp. 1-14
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014326412
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Approximate variational estimation for a model of network formation
Mele, Angelo; Zhu, Lingjiong - In: The review of economics and statistics 105 (2023) 1, pp. 113-124
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Extrapolative time-series modelling of house prices: a case study from Sydney, Australia
Herath, Shanaka; Mangioni, Vince; Shi, Song; Ge, Xin Janet - In: International Journal of Housing Markets and Analysis 17 (2023) 5, pp. 1157-1175
Purpose House price fluctuations send vital signals to many parts of the economy, and long-term predictions of house prices are of great interest to governments and property developers. Although predictive models based on economic fundamentals are widely used, the common requirement for such...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015345555
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A two-population extension of the exponential smoothing state space model with a smoothing penalisation scheme
Shi, Yanlin; Tang, Sixian; Li, Jackie - In: Risks 8 (2020) 3, pp. 1-18
The joint modelling of mortality rates for multiple populations has gained increasing popularity in areas such as government planning and insurance pricing. Sub-groups of a population often preserve similar mortality features with short-term deviations from the common trend. Recent studies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10013200600
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Univariate und multivariate Filter zur Schätzung des Potentialoutput : Theorie und Anwendungen auf die Schweiz
Stalder, Peter - Schweiz / Staatssekretariat für Wirtschaft - 2020
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10012210660
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Methoden der Potentialschätzung: Produktionsfunktion oder Filterverfahren? : eine vergleichende Beurteilung in der Anwendung auf die Schweiz
Stalder, Peter - Schweiz / Staatssekretariat für Wirtschaft - 2020
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10012210673
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Accuracy of intermittent demand forecasting systems in the enterprise
Doszyń, Mariusz - In: European research studies 23 (2020) 4, pp. 912-930
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10012511300
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A two-population extension of the exponential smoothing state space model with a smoothing penalisation scheme
Shi, Yanlin; Tang, Sixian; Li, Jackie - In: Risks : open access journal 8 (2020) 3/67, pp. 1-18
The joint modelling of mortality rates for multiple populations has gained increasing popularity in areas such as government planning and insurance pricing. Sub-groups of a population often preserve similar mortality features with short-term deviations from the common trend. Recent studies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10012293025
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Approximate Variational Estimation for a Model of Network Formation
Mele, Angelo - 2019
We develop approximate estimation methods for exponential random graph models (ERGMs), whose likelihood is proportional to an intractable normalizing constant. The usual approach approximates this constant with Monte Carlo simulations, however convergence may be exponentially slow. We propose a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10012902357
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Optimization plan for excess warehouse storage in e-commerce-based plant shops: a case study for Chinese plant industrial
Lin, Hung-Lung; Cho, Cheng-Chung; Ma, Yu-Yu; Hu, Ying-Qing - In: Journal of business economics and management 20 (2019) 5, pp. 897-919
The rapid development of e-commerce in China has played a critical role in the development of the national economy and ongoing modernization. The plant industry is unique among industries that employ e-commerce sales models because its products exhibit special characteristics such as high death...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10012175921
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Optimization plan for excess warehouse storage in e-commerce-based plant shops: A case study for Chinese plant industrial
Lin, Hung-Lung; Cho, Cheng-Chung; Ma, Yu-Yu; Hu, Ying-Qing - In: Journal of Business Economics and Management (JBEM) 20 (2019) 5, pp. 897-919
The rapid development of e-commerce in China has played a critical role in the development of the national economy and ongoing modernization. The plant industry is unique among industries that employ e-commerce sales models because its products exhibit special characteristics such as high death...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015401206
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A white-boxed ISSM approach to estimate uncertainty distributions of Walmart sales
De Rezende, Rafael B.; Egert, Katharina; Marin, Ignacio; … - In: International journal of forecasting 38 (2022) 4, pp. 1460-1467
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014381111
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COVID-19 : forecasting confirmed cases and deaths with a simple time series model
Petropoulos, Fotios; Makridakis, Spyros G.; Stylianou, … - In: International journal of forecasting 38 (2022) 2, pp. 439-452
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10013348603
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Forecasting mortality rates with the penalized exponential smoothing state space model
Shi, Yanlin - In: Journal of the Operational Research Society 73 (2022) 5, pp. 955-968
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10013372955
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Effects of macro-economic indicators on investment in equities
Srivastava, Shaila; Dixit, Shweta - In: International journal of entrepreneurship and small … 47 (2022) 2/3, pp. 193-202
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10013455508
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Improved causal inference on spatial observations : a smoothing spline approach
Kelly, Morgan - 2022
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10013270399
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Meta-prediction models for bullwhip effect prediction of a supply chain using regression analysis
Navee Chiadamrong; Nont Sarnrak - In: International journal of information systems and supply … 14 (2021) 4, pp. 36-71
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10012648137
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Augmented Winter's method for forecasting under asynchronous seasonalities
Karabağ, Oktay; Fadıloğlu, M. Murat - In: Journal of management analytics 8 (2021) 1, pp. 19-35
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10012440087
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Treating and pruning : new approaches to forecasting model selection and combination using prediction intervals
Meira, Erick; Oliveira, Fernando Luiz Cyrino; Jeon, Jooyoung - In: International journal of forecasting 37 (2021) 2, pp. 547-568
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10012792853
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Forecasting seasonal products : a case of ice-cream sales
Trakroo, Divyanshi - In: Advances in business and management forecasting 14 (2021), pp. 23-27
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How Does the Sensitivity of Consumption to Income Vary Over Time? International Evidence
Islamaj, Ergys - 2017
This paper studies how the sensitivity of consumption to income has changed over time as the degree of financial integration has risen. In standard theory, greater financial integration facilitates international borrowing and lending, helping to reduce the sensitivity of consumption growth to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10012969266
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The Permanent Input Hypothesis : The Case of Textbooks and (No) Student Learning in Sierra Leone
Sabarwal, Shwetlena - 2017
A textbook provision program in Sierra Leone demonstrates how volatility in the flow of government-provided learning inputs to schools can induce storage of these inputs by school administrators to smooth future consumption. This process in turn leads to low current utilization of inputs for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10012972786
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