We use survival analysis to analyse the impact of export credit guarantees on firms' export duration using granular Swedish panel data at the firm-country and firm-country-product levels. The estimation results show that firms' export survival substantially increases with guarantees, at both...

The aim of this essay is to point out the challenges and opportunities of government export credits and insurance in Europe. The Covid-19 pandemic confronted the entire world with new challenges. This also applied to the export financing and insurance market. Furthermore, there are also...

This paper examines and evaluates the challenges and opportunities of export credit agencies (ECA) in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region. Political risks, unrest and instability made exports in the MENA region arduous. Further challenges are demonetization, the lack of reliable...

This study evaluates four machine learning (ML) techniques (Decision Trees (DT), Random Forests (RF), Neural Networks (NN) and Probabilistic Neural Networks (PNN)) on their ability to accurately predict export credit insurance claims. Additionally, we compare the performance of the ML techniques...

Chapter 1. Motivation -- Chapter 2. Export Credit Industry -- Chapter 3. Insurance Background -- Chapter 4. Finance Fundamentals -- Chapter 5. Preliminaries -- Chapter 6. New Premium Framework -- Chapter 7. Historic Default Rates -- Chapter 8. Market Version of the Framework -- Chapter 9....

This study assesses the contribution of the Dutch public export credit insurance facility (ECIF) to Dutch GDP and employment. Unlike previous studies, which generally adopt the gravity model of trade, we adopt an input-output approach. The results show that the contribution of economic activity...

This paper endeavours to find out in how far public export insurance schemes foster international trade. Thereto, a gravity equation is derived, which accounts for the risk of financial losses in case firms contract defaulting foreign buyers. Empirical results suggest that OECD countries issuing...

Trade finance serves as the lifeblood of the day-to-day international trade in goods and services. Due to the significant impact of the Coronavirus pandemic (COVID-19) on the world economy, concerns are growing with respect to the cost and availability of trade finance. In response to these...

Political risk represents an important hidden transaction cost that reduces international trade. This paper investigates the claim that German public export credit guarantees (Hermes guarantees) mitigate this friction to trade flows and hence promote exports. We employ an empirical trade gravity...

Private trade credit insurance - covering the risk of non-payment - plays an important role in facilitating domestic and international trade, especially within Europe. Due to lack of data, however, very little is known about the influence of shocks on the market for private trade credit...

Using panel data regressions, this paper analyzes the effect of imperfections in the formal export credit and insurance market on trade growth in the regions of Africa and Asia. An exclusive comparison of trade performance of the two regions with respect to export credit and insurance is novel...

This paper endeavours to find out how far public and private export credit insurance schemes available in UK to foster international trade, and specially the impact of export credit insurance to UK's SME's. How Export Credit Insurance create and add value to profitable growth of companies in...

Using panel data regressions, this paper analyzes the effect of imperfections in the formal export credit and insurance market on trade growth in the regions of Africa and Asia. An exclusive comparison of trade performance of the two regions with respect to export credit and insurance is novel...

Many countries offer state credit guarantee programs to improve access to finance for exporting firms. In the case of Germany, accumulated returns to the scheme deriving from risk-compensating premia have outweighed accumulated losses over the past 60 years. Why do private financial agents not...

Die deutsche Exportwirtschaft ist seit Jahrzehnten eine wichtige Säule für die gesamtwirtschaftliche Entwicklung der Bundesrepublik. Entscheidend für den Erfolg deutscher Unternehmen bei der Erschließung internationaler Märkte ist neben der Innovationskraft der Firmen ebenso die...