This paper examines the impact of fintech adoption and financial inclusion on financial stability in selected countries. Using panel data from 30 countries spanning 2011-2024, the study employs an empirical strategy based on Two-Way Fixed Effects, a dynamic two-step System GMM estimator, and...

Banks use synthetic risk transfers (SRTs) to offload potential losses in their loan portfolios to non-bank investors while retaining the loans on their balance sheets. We investigate this trillion-euro market using transaction-level data from the euro area, the largest SRT market, and highlight...

The World Bank asserts that reducing extreme poverty and achieving shared prosperity are both made possible through financial inclusion. Digital finance may enhance financial stability, thereby supporting more inclusive and sustainable economic growth. Despite its potential benefits, the link...

I develop a framework analyzing how artificial intelligence (AI) reshapes monetary policy through three interrelated channels: cyclical transmission, structural transition, and financial stability. In the short run, AI can alter inflation dynamics by changing how supply and demand disturbances...

Climate change has emerged as one of the defining risks in recent years. These risks are associated with economic losses and, ultimately, the stability of the financial system. This study examines the impact of climate change on financial stability in Namibia using quarterly data spanning from...

We propose a quantitative framework to track systemic risk arising from cyber vulnerabilities of the U.S. financial system. Synthesizing financial, economic, cyber, and network data that covers thousands of financial institutions and technological firms, we develop an index that tracks...

In essence, the currently large stablecoins are electronic money issued by narrow balance sheet vehicles into a distributed ledger (or a "programmable platform"). Many believe that they will have significant success as a new form of money. Members of the current US administration expect that US...

In essence, the currently large stablecoins are electronic money issued by narrow balance sheet vehicles into a distributed ledger (or a "programmable platform"). Many believe that they will have significant success as a new form of money. Members of the current US administration expect that US...

This study applies the Log-Periodic Power-Law (LPPL) framework to three major equity markets-Mexico (IPC), Brazil (IBOVESPA), and the United States (NYSE Composite)-using daily closes from 8 November 1991-30 January 2025 for IPC and NYSE, and 3 May 1993-30 January 2025 for IBOVESPA. Multi-window...

This study examines the systemic operational risk in Morocco's banking sector using a Panel VAR model based on data from three banks over ten years. The model includes real GDP, interbank rate (TMP), and bank credit, alongside indicators of operational, credit, and liquidity risks. The Impulse...

This paper examines the relevance of banks' exposure to climate transition risk in the interbank lending market. Using transaction-level data on repo agreements, we first establish that banks with higher exposure to transition risk face significantly higher borrowing costs. This premium is a...

This paper studies the international macro-financial implications of U.S. dollar-backed payment stablecoins. These digital assets create a new global safe asset channel that links private money creation and global payment needs directly to U.S. public debt. By reshaping the demand for safe...

Indonesia's financial system is bank-centric, with banks managing approximately 78% of the nation's financial assets; therefore, the effectiveness of monetary policy transmission depends on banks' responsiveness to the central bank's interest rate policy (the BI Rate). However, a policy-relevant...

This paper investigates the presence and timing of explosive price dynamics in major listed real estate markets over the period 04 January 2011 - 11 February 2026. The analysis focuses on four benchmark indices: the FTSE EPRA Nareit Developed Europe Index, the FTSE Nareit All Equity REITs Index...

We study how physical climate risk shapes bank lending activity and credit quality by combining high-resolution Copernicus flood geospatial maps with loan-level AnaCredit data. We exploit four major European floods (2021-2024) in a spatial regression discontinuity design comparing firms located...

Does artificial intelligence (AI) pose a threat to financial stability? We study AI investor behavior, specifically Q-learning and large language model (LLM) investors, in a mutual fund redemption problem with economic and strategic uncertainty. Different AI architectures generate systematically...

We examine whether banks incorporate firm-level biodiversity risk into their lending decisions. Using a large sample of syndicated loans matched to firm-level biodiversity risk measures, we document that borrowers with higher biodiversity risk face significantly higher loan spreads. Evidence on...

The Objective of this study is to explore a suitable framework of Central Bank Digital Currency for Pakistan according to its unique socio-economic needs through Delphi and Analytical Network Processing Method. This study has used a mixed-method approach combining two distinct techniques to...

Digitalization of the global economy, catalysed by advancements in blockchain technology and the rise of cryptocurrencies, has led to a paradigm shift in the monetary landscape. Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) have emerged as a transformative force with the potential to revolutionize...

This study evaluates the credit risk of sustainable loans in a preferential capital requirement programme. We utilise loanlevel data from a uniquely implemented programme from Hungary, applying logistic regressions and survival analysis techniques. We observe a significantly reduced credit risk...

In times of stress, if the potential demand from asset managers for market liquidity approaches or exceeds dealers' ability to intermediate, it could lead to a precautionary but disruptive dash for cash and may lead central banks to intervene. If the likelihood of such a dash for cash increases...

Conventional measures of bank solvency fail to account for the unique liquidity risks posed by deposits. Using public regulatory data, we develop a novel measure, economic capital, that jointly quantifies the impact of credit, liquidity, and market risk on bank solvency. We validate that...

This study quantifies the impact of write-down equity (WDE) on bank stability and risk-taking incentives under ambiguity aversion. We decompose payoffs to bank stakeholders into sets of barrier options and present closed-form solutions for their prices. Our paper shows that: first, write-down...

As TLTRO programs provide a direct incentive to increase lending, investigating the level of prudence applied by banks in making lending decisions is of high relevance. Relying on loan-level data, I evaluate the riskiness of lending by applying estimations in a difference-in-differences setting...

This study employs the dynamic panel threshold estimation technique to examine whether the influence of financial inclusion on stability varies across countries with different levels of institutional development. This study analyzes 11,209 observations of bank-level data from 78 developed and...

Modern economies are progressively acknowledging the need to assess environmental, social, and corporate governance (ESG) elements to identify possible risks and possibilities. The financial sector, exerting significant influence over the economy, is essential for sustaining economic stability...

Institutional investors, such as investment funds, are playing an increasingly important role in residential real estate markets. This raises the possibility that their actions might drive aggregate market outcomes and may change how and which macrofinancial shocks transmit to house prices. In a...

Over the past decade, the six largest Canadian banks held an increasingly greater share of their assets and liabilities abroad, linking the Canadian banking system more closely to economic and financial developments elsewhere in the world. In 2023, the share of Canadian banks' foreign assets and...

This study investigates the influence of macroprudential policies (MaPs) on corporate investment, employing firm-bank level microdata from the European Investment Bank Investment Survey (EIBIS) for the period 2015-2022. We initially document that MaP tightening, particularly through supply-based...

Monetary policy in the euro area faces significant challenges due to the evolving economic landscape marked by the return of inflation, financial instability risks, and the consequences of unconventional monetary policy (UMP) to the operational framework of monetary policy. This article...