Im Jahr 2020 publizierte das Bundesfinanzministerium den 5. Tragfähigkeitsbericht zur Staatsverschuldung in Deutschland für den Zeitraum bis 2060. Ausgangspunkt ist die zutreffende Erkenntnis, dass die von der Alterung der Gesellschaft abhängigen Kostensteigerungen auf lange Sicht über der...

This paper builds on Baqaee and Farhi (2022) and di Giovanni et al. (2022) to quantify the contribution of fiscal policy to U.S. inflation over the December 2019-June 2022 period. Model calibrations show that aggregate demand shocks explain roughly two-thirds of total model-based inflation, and...

Die Auswirkungen des IRA auf die heimische Wirtschaft der Vereinigten Staaten sind umstritten. Empirische Studien zu den Auswirkungen des IRA auf Handelspartner, insbesondere Deutschland, liegen nicht vor. Deskriptive Statistiken zeigen, dass die Vereinigten Staaten insbesondere im Bereich der...

Die Finanzpolitik hat sich in den vergangenen Monaten zunehmend zu einem Konfliktfeld innerhalb der Bundesregierung entwickelt. Während der Koalitionsvertrag neben der Einhaltung der Schuldenbremse auch Investitionen in die Energiewende und weitere sozial- bzw. familienpolitische Reformen (wie...

In this article, after a brief sketch of the fiscal strategy of the German Government and the current budgetary situation, it is first argued that the current budget dispute could have been avoided because the coalition essentially created the dispute through two fiscal (mid)decisions last year....

I estimate regime-dependent spillover effects from government spending shocks across the members of the European Monetary Union (EMU). I use panel regressions for a total of 14 EMU economies from 1997 to 2022. Government spending shocks are defined by unexpected innovations to forecast...

The combination of rising debt levels, poor electricity access, and environmental deterioration could threaten the attainment of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). Hence, this inquiry examined the implications of public borrowing and access to electricity on environmental sustainability...

This paper discusses the rationale and options for a fiscal anchor for South Africa and its potential for restoring and maintaining fiscal sustainability. It argues that a well designed fiscal anchor can be useful in the current fiscal milieu, but notes that the popularity of fiscal rules belies...

A critical requirement for efficient fiscal policy is a reliable understanding of its impact on the aggregate economy for different policy instruments and under different economic conditions. Indeed, there is strong evidence to suggest that fiscal multipliers vary with economic conditions, the...

We study the effect of monetary policy surprise shocks on real output and the price level, conditioned on different fiscal stances in the period 2001Q4-2021Q4 for a panel of the 19 countries of the Euro Area. Applying local projection methodology, we find that the effect of monetary shocks...

Christian Lindner, Bundesminister der Finanzen, stellt den Regierungsentwurf für denBundeshaushalt 2024 und den Finanzplan bis 2027 in den Kontext seiner finanzpolitischenStrategie und leitet den weiteren Handlungsbedarf ab. Um Prioritäten zur Stärkungvon Zukunftsausgaben setzen zu können,...

In recent years, many countries have sought to transform their fiscal frameworks, with the aim of rendering their public finances more sustainable and preventing the emergence of fiscal problems. This report presents the findings of comparative research into the fiscal frameworks of five...

The US Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) promotes renewable energy and contributes to climate protection, but also offers generous tax credits and subsidies to incentivize production in the United States. While the planned generosity of the program has sparked an intense debate about potential...

Über dem Haushaltsentwurf der nordrhein-westfälischen Landesregierung für das Jahr 2024 schwebt die Schuldenbremse. Im Grunde kommt das Verbot der strukturellen Neuverschuldung auf Länderebene das erste Mal zum Tragen, nachdem die regulären Grenzen im Zeitraum von 2020 bis 2023 ausgesetzt...

European governance is in a state of upheaval. Due to the impact of the coronaviruspandemic, the Russian war of aggression in Ukraine and the energy price crisis, Europeanfiscal policy has come under increasing pressure. In this complex situation, the EuropeanCommission considers a return to the...

Neben einem konjunkturellen Einbruch leidet Deutschland vor allem unter strukturellenProblemen, wie Unsicherheiten bei der Energieversorgung, einer zu hohen Steuer- undAbgabenlast, einer ausufernden Bürokratie sowie unter Arbeits- und Fachkräftemangel. Dabeiwird als Folge eine...

With an outstandingly long data set of Swiss cantonal public finances we study whether the Swiss subnational level runs sustainable fiscal policies. Going back to the year 1905, we test for stationarity of cantonal public debt, revenue and spending and for cointegration between cantonal revenues...

We explore the short-term macrodynamics of stabilization policy at the effective lower bound (ELB) of the nominal interest rate, in an environment characterized by heterogenous and endogenously time-varying private-sector output and inflation expectations driven by evolutionary dynamics. We show...

This research highlights the extent to which fiscal policies, along with government effectiveness, trade, economic growth, and education, influence the entrepreneurial environment, starting from the assumption that the effectiveness of public policies and the public administration support for...