We study the fiscal consequences of large military buildups. To do so, we assemble the Global Budget Database, a comprehensive dataset of disaggregated central government finances for 20 countries from 1870 to 2022. We identify 114 episodes of military spending booms, in peace and war, and...

South Africa has a relatively well-developed social protection system for a middle-income country. Despite its roots in the country's racially discriminatory past, the system has been repurposed post-apartheid to address deep poverty and severe inequality. This paper explores key characteristics...

Using quarterly data for the period Q1:2000–Q4:2024, the study examines whether elections in EU‑27 member states shape the composition and timing of fiscal policy strategies, and how political, fiscal and institutional constraints condition these dynamics. Employing a two‑way...

This paper critically reviews the empirical and structural literature on the effects of income taxation on informal economic activity. Although labor taxation has been widely studied in relation to labor market outcomes, evidence linking income taxes to informality remains fragmented and uneven...

We analyze the sources of the pandemic-era inflation surge in the euro area using a Bayesian vector autoregression (BVAR) model. By applying narrative, sign, zero, and inequality restrictions, this study is the first that jointly analyzes the inflationary effects of energy and non-energy supply...

Using high-frequency data, the paper analyzes the link between public infrastructure investment and private corporate investment in India for the decade ending 2023-24. We adopt the ARDL model to investigate the existence of cointegration and find strong evidence of the crowding-in of private...

The importance of policy coordination between fiscal and monetary policy authorities has become more apparent, in the face of unexpected economic shocks and persistent macroeconomic challenges. In this paper, we employ the Set-Theoretic Approach (STA) to explicitly measure the presence of...

This study examines how economic inequality influences the effectiveness of fiscal policy using a three-agent New Keynesian DSGE model with incomplete financial markets. The findings suggest that economies with a high share of liquidity-constrained households exhibit larger fiscal multipliers...

This article examines how the volatile oil price affected Saudi Arabia's and the other GCC countries' fiscal policy dynamics from 2000 and 2024. The region's fiscal systems are vulnerable to external shocks due to their substantial reliance on petroleum profits, even with ongoing efforts to...

Purpose: This study investigates how South Africa's sectoral stock market performance responds to monetary and fiscal policy shifts across two macroeconomic regimes: the pre-inflation targeting (Pre-IT) and the inflation targeting (IT) periods. Design/methodology/approach: Employing a Markov...

This work verifies the interactions between fiscal and monetary policies in Brazil, involving real GDP, the Interest index, Inflation index, real Exchange rate, and actual public debt, using empirical data from January 1998 to December 2018 to calibrate the model. In the analyses, we employ...

Capitalism's defining feature - profit maximization without limits - drives instability, inequality, and environmental degradation. Traditional policies such as taxation and regulation have failed to curb this dynamic because they do not alter firms' core incentives. This paper proposes a simple...

Pro-cyclical fiscal policy is considered harmful. Nonetheless, pro-cyclicality is widespread and the cyclicality of fiscal policy isstrongly heterogenous in advanced economies. This paper investigates how differences in the cyclicality of fiscal policy can be understood through the lens of...

Understanding the nature of monetary and fiscal policy interactions has gained more importance over the years, especially within the context of the global financial crisis and the recent COVID-19 pandemic. This study uses a Time-Varying Parameter Vector Autoregressive (TVP-VAR) model and a...

Natural resources are a strong factor in economic advancement. However, the excessive mining and consumption of natural resources lead to various environmental issues in both emerging and developed economies. Carbon emission due to the exploitation of natural resources is inevitable....

Motivated by the increasing frequency with which business leaders publicly express their views on policy issues and by recent findings on the role of narratives in shaping preferences and behaviors, we investigate ow narratives affect the tax preferences of firm decision-makers. Specifically,...

A Bayesian factor-augmented interacted vector autoregression framework purified of expectations is employed to analyze how government spending shocks have impacted CO2 emissions in the United States from the 1980s to the pre-pandemic period. Consumption-generated emissions are found to have...

This survey examines the economic performance of economies of the Caribbean in 2022 and the first few months of 2023 and comprises five chapters. The first chapter gives an overview of global, regional and subregional economic performance in the Caribbean. The second provides an analysis of the...