Over the past two decades, the Black Sea region has exhibited significantly growing wheat production and exports. In 2017/18, Russia ultimately became the world’s largest wheat exporter, a position that was held by the USA for decades. Mostly serving destination markets in the Middle East and...

In this paper, we demonstrate how a well-established machine learning-based statistical arbitrage strategy can be successfully transferred from equity to futures markets. First, we preprocess futures time series comprised of front months to render them suitable for our returns-based trading...

"This book is designed for beginners who possess no previous knowledge or familiarity with derivatives. Written in an easy to read style, it guides readers through the challenging and complex world of forwards, futures, options, and swaps. The emphasis on Asian markets and contracts enables...

During the market turmoil, and later in the year 2008, the Securities and Exchange Commission of Pakistan (SECP) decided to discontinue the trading in single stock futures (SSFs) at the Karachi Stock Exchange (KSE). On 27th July 2009, trading in SSFs were re-launched in those stocks which passed...

We study intraday market intermediation in an electronic market before and during a period of large and temporary selling pressure. On May 6, 2010, U.S. financial markets experienced a systemic intraday event - the Flash Crash - where a large automated selling program was rapidly executed in the...

The CME vulnerability : the best practice and the impact of negative oil futures trading price -- Why oil prices plunged and settled negative -- Meet the challenge with negative price and management in practice.

During the market turmoil, and later in the year 2008, the Securities and Exchange Commission of Pakistan (SECP) decided to discontinue the trading in single stock futures (SSFs) at the Karachi Stock Exchange (KSE). On 27th July 2009, trading in SSFs were re-launched in those stocks which passed...

This paper presents the results of an experimental study on how people use their private information to estimate the “fair” futures price, and how the quality of this information affects the traders' behavior and desire to trade. It finds that subjects are able to use their information...

This research studies determinants of silver futures price volatility in Thailand Futures Exchange using generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity model. The sample data consist of daily closing price, volume, and open interest of silver futures from the period June 21, 2011 to...

This paper investigates the most traded VIX exchange traded products (ETPs) with focus on their performance, price discovery, hedging ability and trading strategy. The VIX ETPs track their benchmark indices well. They are therefore exposed to the same time-decay (high negative expected returns)...

We compare trade size clustering of morning, afternoon, and after hours trades in both the E-mini S&P 500 and E-mini NASDAQ-100 futures markets. Morning and afternoon volatility is higher than after hours volatility. Morning and afternoon trades cluster more at round sizes than after hours...

We investigate which of the two main centers of gold trading — the London spot market and the New York futures market — plays a more important role in setting the price of gold. Using intraday data during a 17-year period we find that although both markets contribute to price discovery, the...

Introduction -- Key Concepts: Algorithms, Artificial Intelligence, and More -- Economic Definitions of Derivatives -- Legal and Regulatory Definitions of Derivatives and Other Financial Instruments -- FinTech : From Science Fiction to Non-Fiction -- The Regulatory Framework for the U.S....

The trillion-dollar markets for futures, swaps, commodity options, and related derivatives are extremely important to the global economy because, among other things, they influence the prices that people pay for everything from heating oil and bread to the interest rates connected to mortgages...

Seit einiger Zeit gibt es eine sehr intensive Diskussion über die Wirkungen von Spekulationen mit Rohstoffen, insbesondere Agrarrohstoffen. Der vorliegende Aufsatz untersucht dies auf der Basis des aktuellen Forschungsstands. Zahlreiche Studien zeigen, dass sich mit Hilfe der Ökonometrie weder...

In der Juniausgabe 2015 veröffentlichte der Wirtschaftsdienst einen Aufsatz von Christian A. Conrad über "Die Auswirkungen der Spekulation mit Nahrungsmitteln und Rohstoffen". Nach einer Replik von Ingo Pies hierzu eine Erwiderung von Christian A. Conrad.

Introduction -- First impressions -- Trading robots and social cues -- Animating the market -- Models and reflexivity -- Managers -- Performative spirals -- Norms -- Resonance -- The global financial crisis -- Scandal -- When all is said and done -- Conclusion.

"Understanding risk is important. Prior to 2008, as the yields on safe assets hit rock bottom, investors began to focus on an alphabet soup of more complex instruments. These complex securities were rated AAA and appeared as safe as U.S. Treasuries, but with much higher yields. The 2008...

Intro -- Titel -- Impressum -- Inhalt -- Vorwort zur zweiten Auflage -- Danksagungen -- Zur Motivation, mit Optionen zu handeln -- Einleitung -- Teil I: Optionsgrundlagen -- Kapitel 1: Was sind Optionen? -- Warum Optionen handeln? -- Bestandteile einer Option -- Rollen beim Optionshandel --...

One of the fastest growing areas in empirical finance, and also one of the least rigorously analyzed, especially from a financial econometrics perspective, is the econometric analysis of financial derivatives, which are typically complicated and difficult to analyze. The purpose of this special...

We examine the effects of margin changes on futures trading activity, the composition of traders and market liquidity, using an account level data set from the Taiwan Futures Exchange. We find that margin increases reduce trading activity for all trader types, which is consistent with the...

A specific day-trading policy in Taiwan futures market allows an investigation of the performance of day traders. Since October 2007, investors who characterize themselves as “day traders” by closing their day-trade positions on the same day enjoy a 50% reduction in the initial margin....

We examine the effects of unconventional monetary policy (UMP) events in the United States on asset price risk using risk-neutral density functions estimated from options prices. Based on an event study including a key exchange rate, an equity index, and five commodities, we find that “tail...

A detailed assessment report on the observance of the Committee on Payment and Settlement Systems-International Organization of Securities Commissions recommendations for China’s Securities Settlement Systems and Central Counterparties is presented. The bond market comprises the interbank...

This paper employs an asymmetric component generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (AC-GARCH) model to test the relation between securities transaction tax (STT) and market volatility. Proponents of an STT argue that such a tax will reduce market volatility by discouraging the...

This is the first study to examine the intraday price discovery and volatility transmission processes between the Singapore Exchange and the China Financial Futures Exchange. Using one- and five-minute high-frequency data from May to November 2011, we found that China's CSI 300 index futures...