We explore the application of integrated nested Laplace approximations for the Bayesian estimation of stochastic volatility models characterized by long memory. The logarithmic variance persistence in these models is represented by a Fractional Gaussian Noise process, which we approximate as a...

Small area poverty estimates are important for social and economic policy, however the required data are often unavailable. This paper presents a Small Area Estimation (SAE) technique called Conditional Monte Carlo (CMC). CMC provides robust estimates of small area poverty rates, subject to...

This publication's aim is to celebrate the 100th issue of Statistics in Transition new series and the 30th anniversary of the launch of the journal. The book features several 'special issues' of Statistics in Transition new series focusing on specific topics of current research interest released...

We introduce a new methodology to detect and measure economic activity using geospatial data and apply it to steel production, a major industrial pollution source worldwide. Combining plant output data with geospatial data, such as ambient air pollutants, nighttime lights, and temperature, we...

A common problem in historical research involves harmonizing geographic units across time or different levels of aggregation. One approach is to use " crosswalks" that associate factors located within one geographic unit to different " reference" units based on relative areas . We develop an...

In applied historical research, geographic units often differ in level of aggregation across datasets. One solution is to use crosswalks that associate factors located within one geographic unit to another, based on their relative areas. We develop an alternative approach based on relative...

1. The classical linear regression model -- 2. Some important spatial definitions -- 3. Spatial linear regression models -- 4. Further topics in spatial econometrics -- 5. Alternative spatial model specifications in the era of Big Data -- 6. Conclusions: What’s next?.

We develop a framework to estimate the economic value of a recent zoning reform in the city of Sao Paulo, which altered maximum permitted construction at the city-block level. Using a spatial regression discontinuity design, we find that developers file for more multi-family construction permits...

Many questions in urban and regional economics can be characterized as including both a spatial and a time dimension. However, often one of these dimensions is neglected in empirical work. This paper highlights the danger of methodological inertia, investigating the effect of neglecting the...

Empirical researchers often have to map data provided for a "reporting" spatial unit, say counties in 1900, to a "reference" one, say, counties in 2010. We discuss a general method to create such crosswalks: computing the share of the area of each reporting unit nested in a given reference unit....

Empirical researchers often have to map data provided for a "reporting" spatial unit, say counties in 1900, to a "reference" one, say, counties in 2010. We discuss a general method to create such crosswalks: computing the share of the area of each reporting unit nested in a given reference unit....

A large literature on persistence finds that many modern outcomes strongly reflect characteristics of the same places in the distant past. These studies typically combine unusually high t statistics with severe spatial autocorrelation in residuals, suggesting that some findings may be artefacts...

Regressions using data with known locations are increasingly used in empirical economics, and several standard error corrections are available to deal with the fact that their residuals tend to be spatially correlated. Unfortunately, different corrections commonly return significance levels that...

The paper provides initial evidence that excess mortality rates by locality can be used as a statistically reliable predictor of looming mortality crises. Using recently published daily deaths figures for 7,357 Italian municipalities, we estimate the growth in daily mortality rates between the...

The present book is concerned with spatial interaction modelling. In particular, it aims to illustrate, through a collection of methodological and empirical studies, how estimation approaches in this field recently developed, by including the tools typical of spatial statistics and spatial...

Africa is estimated to have great potential for agricultural production, but there are a number of constraints inhibiting the development of that potential. Spatial data are increasingly important in the realization of potential as well as the associated constraints. With crop production data...

Agricultural information is transferred through social interactions; therefore, ties to agricultural informants and network structures within farmers’ local neighborhoods determine their information-gathering abilities. This paper uses a spatial autoregressive model that takes account of...

This paper revisits the issue of cross-country spillovers from fiscal consolidations using an innovative empirical methodology. We find evidence in support of fiscal spillovers in 10 euro area countries. Fiscal consolidation in one country not only reduces domestic output (direct effect), but...