Search Results - subject_exact:"Geopolitics"

Horizontal and vertical connector countries in a geoeconomically fragmenting world

Aiyar, Shekhar; Ohnsorge, Franziska; Yilmazkuday, Hakan - 2026

Geoeconomic fragmentation - the phenomenon of international transactions being increasingly restricted to politically aligned partners - creates risks for individual countries but also opportunities that some hope to seize by becoming "connector" countries. We modify a standard trade model by...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015614324

Can sanctions backfire?

Lenzen, Manfred; Debiel, Tobias - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015593347

Europe's Trump Cards : why the continent has more leverage than it thinks

Sigl-Glöckner, Philippa; Inan, Mediha; Li, Aurora; … - 2026

Conventional wisdom holds that American material superiority leaves Europe with little room for manoeuvre. We dispute this. Raw power is not leverage. Leverage arises from asymmetric dependencies—the capacity to impose costs without incurring proportionate harm. Examining macroeconomic ties,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015595760

Competitiveness in the age of geopolitics : what agenda does the EU really need?

Raza, Werner; Maukner, Julian - 2026

Competitiveness has returned to the fore of European economic policymaking with a vengeance. In this paper, we scrutinize the recent debate on the need for promoting European competitiveness, as prominently diagnosed by the Draghi Report. By disaggregating the overall academic and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015596347

The war of ideas : institutions and global media bias

Liu, Sibo; Makarin, Alexey; Wu, Jinfeng; Zhang, Dong - 2026

We present the first systematic analysis of how countries cover each other in the news, using a newly constructed dataset of 55,240 media sources from 176 countries between 2015 and 2022, drawing upon a corpus of 1.4 billion online news articles. We document a pattern of global media bias:...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015596622

Geopolitics and development in Central Asia: Exploring opportunities for middle powers

Woo, Hyeyoung - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015608889

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Geopolitics and development in Central Asia : exploring opportunities for middle powers

Woo, Hyeyoung - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Energy potential of central Asian states : prospects for nuclear power development

Osmanovna, Chalova Gul’nar; Arslanovich, Arslanov Magomed - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015620225

Geopolitics, supply chains, and firms’ demand for economic security policies evidence from japanese manufacturing firms

Naoi, Megumi; Itō, Banri; Jinji, Naoto - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015655744

East versus west : impact of geopolitical shocks on European sovereign yields

Panciriovaitė, Rytė; Jurkšas, Linas - 2026

How do geopolitical factors ripple through the European sovereign bond yields? And does this effect differ between Eastern and Western European markets? These two crucial, but not yet fully answered questions motivated us to investigate the link between geopolitical factors and sovereign bond...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015636837

Who controls the global petrochemical industry, and how might that change?

Al-Hassan, Abdullah; LeRuth, Luc; Mazarei, Adnan; … - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015637023

The (geo)politics of UN80 : missed opportunities

Haug, Sebastian; Novoselova, Anna; Patz, Ronny - 2026

United Nations (UN) Secretary-General António Guterres launched the UN80 Initiative in March 2025. Faced with the US government's increasingly hostile approach to the UN, UN80 was presented as a reform geared towards making the UN system "fit for purpose". However, this policy brief argues that...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015650895

Beyond security : the trade implications of joining NATO

Jackson, Karen; Luck, Phillip; Shepotylo, Oleksandr - 2026

Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 raised a critical question: do military alliances strengthen or fracture trade ties when war breaks out? This paper shows they strengthen them. Using monthly bilateral trade data through August 2025, we find that NATO members traded...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015666498

The geopolitics of the energy transition in Greater Asia : background, dynamics, and trend mapping from within the region

Ansari, Dawud; Gehrung, Rosa Melissa; Pepe, Jacopo Maria - 2025

Greater Asia is emerging as a major factor in the global energy transition. This shift is associated with growing independence from external actors such as the European Union and the United States, with unfolding developments increasingly concentrated within the region itself. Key trends include...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015330852

Geoeconomics

Mohr, Cathrin; Trebesch, Christoph - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015607014

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Geoeconomics

Mohr, Cathrin; Trebesch, Christoph - 2025

Book / Working Paper

Geoeconomics

Mohr, Cathrin; Trebesch, Christoph - 2025

Book / Working Paper

Geoeconomics

Mohr, Cathrin; Trebesch, Christoph - 2024 - Second draft, December 2024

Edition: Second draft, December 2024

Book / Working Paper

Space funding and geopolitical competition : how information shapes public support

Fehrler, Sebastian; Hornuf, Lars; Vrankar, Daniel - 2025 - This version December 31, 2024

The space sector has remained central to geopolitics since the end of the Cold War, leading to an increase in national space spending worldwide. This study investigates how public support for space funding is influenced by information about (i) national space spending, (ii) the spending of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015179221

ESG as a nonmarket strategy to cope with geopolitical tension : empirical evidence from multinationals' ESG performance

Kim, Jin Hyung; Kwak, Jooyoung; Park, Hyung-Kun - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015386902

How Western states keep the lead in the World Bank : multipolarity, geopolitics and the World Bank's conflicted attempts at shareholding reform

Vestergaard, Jakob; Wade, Robert - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015466673

Thinking through the materiality of big data : an outward-looking approach to data infrastructure

Zhang, Mengzhu; Xu, Jiang; Zhao, Pengjun; Chung, Calvin … - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015471502

International cooperation policy for sustainability transformations in disruptive times

Berger, Axel; Dash, Priyadarshi; Haaren, Paula von; … - 2025

The world is falling behind on the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), a situation exacerbated by recent geopolitical disruptions and challenges to international cooperation. This policy brief, based on a virtual roundtable in the context of the Hamburg Sustainability Conference (HSC) with...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015472360

New economic geographies of war : risks and disruptions in Eurasian transport routes and supply chains through the military conflict in Ukraine

Sielker, Franziska; Dannenberg, Peter - 2025

The pandemic and the last years' geopolitical disruptions have laid bare the vulnerability of Europe's supply chains, as well as the challenges posed by insecure oil and gas supplies. In this contribution, we aim to add to this debate by raising awareness of the vulnerability of trade and supply...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015431991

(Customs) unity as strenght: how the EU and its partners can respond to tariff threats

Holzner, Mario - 2025

This Policy Brief explores the potential impact of forming a customs union between the European Union (EU) and key global partners (e.g. Canada, the UK, Mexico and Japan) as a strategic response to U.S. President Donald Trump's threatened tariffs. Using the GSIM partial equilibrium model, the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015438493

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(Customs) unity as strenght: How the EU and its partners can respond to tariff threats

Holzner, Mario - 2025

Book / Working Paper

Wind of change : shifting narratives on China's Belt and Road Initiative in Duisburg and Germany

Fellbrich, Johanna; Sielker, Franziska; Phelps, Nicholas A. - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015456268

The changing nature of international trade and its implications for development

Goldberg, Pinelopi K.; Ruta, Michele - 2025

This paper revisits the relationship between international trade, trade policy, and development in light of the structural, policy, and geopolitical shifts that have transformed globalization over the past decade. While trade has historically supported development through both static and dynamic...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015458409

The impact of geopolitical risk on consumer expectations and spending

Gorodnichenko, Yuriy; Georgarakos, Dimitris; Kenny, Geoff; … - 2025

Using novel scenario-based survey questions that randomize the expected duration of the Russian invasion of Ukraine and Middle East conflict, we examine the causal impact of geopolitical risk on consumers’ beliefs about aggregate economic conditions and their own financial outlook. Expecting a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015446210

European companies operating in China : from digging in to rethinking their presence

García Herrero, Alicia; Storella, Théo; Xu, Jianwei - 2025

We use nearly a decade's worth of panel data from European Union Chamber of Commerce in China business confidence surveys to analyse the deteriorating outlooks of EU firms in China from 2017 to 2025. All firms in China currently face challenges including slow profit growth and deflation. These...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015426684

Wall Street in China : the malleability of global finance in the age of geopolitics

Petry, Johannes - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015550590

The empty signifier of "connectivity" : how infrastructure reorders the world

Forough, Mohammadbagher; Fünfgeld, Anna - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015550631

China's dominance in rare earth markets : a geopolitical trap for Europe?

Wrobel, Ralph - 2025

Rare earth elements (REEs) are critical for Europe's economic competitiveness, green transition, and national security. Yet the EU remains heavily dependent on China for their supply, particularly in refining and processing. This paper examines Europe's vulnerability to supply disruptions and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015553976

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China's dominance in rare earth markets: A geopolitical trap for Europe?

Wrobel, Ralph - 2025

Book / Working Paper

Critical minerals in EU trade discourse : navigating a trilemma in times of geopolitical competition

Laurens, Noémie - 2025

Critical minerals (CMs) have become a strategic priority for the European Union (EU) amid the green and digital transitions. These resources – including lithium, cobalt, rare earths and nickel – are essential for clean energy technologies, defence systems and electronics. Yet, their...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015558135

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Critical minerals in EU trade discourse: Navigating a trilemma in times of geopolitical competition

Laurens, Noémie - 2025

Book / Working Paper

Politics will tear us apart, again : geopolitical risk, fragmentation, and capital flows

Albori, Marco - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015585091

ASEAN's ascent : a global power in the making

Barral, Mark Anthony A.; Quimba, Francis Mark A. - 2025

This study investigates the potential of ASEAN to emerge as a global power by evaluating its composite capabilities, strategic positioning, and the multifaceted challenges it faces in an increasingly multipolar world. Using a framework that utilizes Principal Component Analysis (PCA) and Least...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015585198

Competing visions, shifting power : key challenges for global development in 2026

Klingebiel, Stephan; Sumner, Andrew - 2025

The global development landscape entering 2026 is shaped by deep geopolitical disruptions, significantly intensified by the return of President Trump and the acceleration of systemic rivalry, conflict and multipolar competition. Development policy now unfolds in an environment where multilateral...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015585400

How geopolitics shapes policy preferences of firms experimental evidence from Japan

Naoi, Megumi; Itō, Banri; Jinji, Naoto - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015606328

Climate change, geopolitics and the future wealth of nations

Terzi, Alessio; Ramsay, Alexander - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015651045

From strategy to doctrine : the next steps for European economic security

García Bercero, Ignacio; Poitiers, Niclas - 2025

The European Union's economic security strategy was initially developed at a time of close transatlantic cooperation and focused largely on risks linked to Chinese dominance of certain parts of global manufacturing. However, given the diminished commitment of the United States to its traditional...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015633955

BRICS: Overpowered or overrated?

Hennecke, Peter - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015403230

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BRICS : overpowered or overrated?

Hennecke, Peter - 2025

Article

What geopolitical returns does ODA bring?

Bau, Nicolas; Dietrich, Simone - 2025

We review the literature on the political economy of foreign aid, examining the geopolitical returns generated by Official Development Assistance (ODA). Our paper identifies conditions under which donors are able to influence political and economic outcomes in recipient countries, shape their...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015532335

A dynamic modelling of the regional and international political economy of US aid to Pakistan

Abbas, Syed Ali; Syed, Shabib Haider; Campbell, Neil; … - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015515754

Geopolitical surprises and macroeconomic shocks : a tale of two events

Anttonen, Jetro; Lehmus, Markku - 2025

We investigate the macroeconomic effects of two recent major geopolitical events on the euro area economy, namely, the outbreak of the Israel-Hamas war and the Russian invasion of Ukraine. To take into account the heterogeneity of geopolitical events, we do not seek to identify a homogeneous...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015401983

"Open strategic autonomy" : an assessment and positioning for German development policy

Klingebiel, Stephan - 2024

"This policy brief provides an overview and assessments of debates on development policy. In view of changing international contexts, it addresses the need to reorient German development policy in the long term and initiate reforms. Five recommendations for decision-makers are formulated: 1....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014631106

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"Open strategic autonomy": An assessment and positioning for German development policy

Klingebiel, Stephan - 2024

Book / Working Paper

Geopolitical decoupling in global production networks

Pavlínek, Petr - 2024

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014575799

Geoeconomic fragmentation and "connector" countries

Aiyar, Shekhar; Ohnsorge, Franziska - 2024

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015065419

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Geoeconomic fragmentation and "connector" countries

Aiyar, Shekhar; Ohnsorge, Franziska - 2024

Book / Working Paper

Geoeconomic fragmentation and "connector" countries

Aiyar, Shekhar; Ohnsorge, Franziska - 2024

Book / Working Paper

Corporate cosmos : how commercial American space imagines our future and shapes our present

Tjalve, Vibeke Schou - 2024

Over the past ten years, and without a lot of public or political attention, space has become a site of commercial investment and development. Already much in our daily lives depends on growing satellite systems, crowding Earth's orbit, for communication, navigation, weather information, and the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015070500

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Corporate cosmos: How commercial American space imagines our future and shapes our present

Tjalve, Vibeke Schou - 2024

Book / Working Paper

The digital euro : a materialization of (in)security

Westermeier, Carola - 2024

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015071041

The connections that bind : political connectivity in the face of geopolitical disruption

Hartwell, Christopher A.; Zadorozhna, Olha - 2024

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015071969

Korea's trade policy agenda in an uncertain US trade environment

Wolff, Alan; Yeo, Han-koo - 2024

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015072108

The political economy of conditionality and the new industrial policy

Bulfone, Fabio; Ergen, Timur; Maggor, Erez - 2024

Conditionality was a central concern in the development literature of the 1990s. With the massive expansion of targeted public support to private firms since the Great Financial Crisis, the question of conditionality is once again at the center of industrial policy debates. Despite the growing...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015081033

Geopolitics and trade in the euro area and the United States : de-risking of import supplies?

Ilkova, Ivelina; Lebastard, Laura; Serafini, Roberta - 2024

Based on granular data at the product level, this paper looks at whether and how the euro area and the United States have modified their import sourcing strategies since 2016, the role played by geopolitical tensions and the potential impact on import prices. It considers two different, but not...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015084479