The evolving geopolitical landscape has placed South Africa at a crossroads, torn between its historical ties to the West and its growing relationships with BRICS+ nations, particularly China and Russia. The country's recent political shift, marked by the African National Congress (ANC) losing...

Nach der Erholung vom Pandemie-Schock, der das Wirtschaftsleben in den Jahren 2020 und 2021 stark beeinträchtigte, kommen die wirtschaftlichen Aktivitäten in Deutschland nunmehr seit drei Jahren nicht mehr über das Niveau des Jahres 2019 hinaus. In dem vorliegenden Beitrag wird eine...

Die Weltwirtschaft steht im Frühjahr 2025 im Zeichen sich tiefgreifend ändernder geopolitischer und wirtschafts- politischer Rahmenbedingungen. Vor dem Hintergrund des Politikwechsels in den USA sind insbesondere in Europa, aber nicht nur dort, neue sicherheitspolitische Herausforderungen...

The security situation in Europe and Germany has fundamentally changed, particularly due to Russia's war of aggression and the declining reliability of transatlantic security guarantees. At the same time, the global race for technological supremacy is intensifying. Germany must now initiate a...

In just a few short months, the new government administration in the United States has thrown the world order into disarray. A potential global trade war, new global value chain configurations and shifting security alliances are reshaping geopolitics. Given the current uncertainty, access to...

The document brings together contributions from 40 experts, researchers, and specialists from Austria, Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belgium, Bulgaria, France, Georgia, Greece, Iran, India, Kazakhstan, Republic of Korea, Republic of Moldova, Poland, Romania, Pakistan, Türkiye, Ukraine, Hungary, and...

Vor dem Hintergrund einer sich verändernden globalen Wettbewerbssituation dominieren Fragen von Sicherheit und Autonomie neben Wettbewerbsfähigkeit die politischen Debatten und Handlungsstrategien und haben scheinbar die grüne Agenda der EU in den Hintergrund gedrängt. Doch weder...

Die Türkei ist nicht nur ein wichtiger Absatzmarkt für deutsche Kraftfahrzeuge, sie exportiert zugleich in bedeutendem Umfang Automobile und diverse Komponenten nach Deutschland. Durch ihre Einbindung in die deutschen Lieferketten tragen türkische Zulieferer maßgeblich zur internationalen...

Die österreichische Außenwirtschaft ist ein zentraler Motor des wirtschaftlichen Wachstums. Dieser Motor ist jedoch zunehmend ins Stottern geraten. Gründe dafür sind - neben innerstaatlichen Faktoren - wachsende geopolitische Unsicherheiten und Krisen, die schwächelnde deutsche...

The discussion around globalization often overlooks historical context and real-world dynamics, especially in the context of global development. This study examines the relationship between information and communication technology (ICT), geopolitical risks (GPR), and globalization in Pakistan...

Economic sanctions have emerged as critical instruments of geopolitical strategy, with significant ramifications for global energy markets, innovation trajectories, and the transition to sustainable energy systems. This study offers a qualitative synthesis of literature and case studies spanning...

Stability in the global equity market relies on the existence of a favorable macroeconomic environment. This study examines the dynamic responses of these markets to geopolitical risks and oil price shocks from 1979Q2 to 2023Q3 using the global vector autoregressive (GVAR) approach. We introduce...

This study examines how oil supply, demand, and risk shocks, along with geopolitical risks, impact the performance of clean and fossil fuel stocks. Using daily data from March 2014 to January 2022, advanced methods like wavelet quantile correlation (WQC), cross-quantilogram (QC), and...

The 28th Geneva Report examines how rising geopolitical tensions are reshaping global finance. As the cooperative order that supported decades of economic integration gives way to fragmentation, trade, investment, and financial linkages are being redrawn along strategic lines.The authors explore...

This study investigates the safe-haven properties of different asset classes during periods of geopolitical risk in Türkiye and examines their comovement with the Geopolitical Risk Index. The research covers the period from January 2010 to January 2023 and employs wavelet coherence analysis and...

The world is falling behind on the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), a situation exacerbated by recent geopolitical disruptions and challenges to international cooperation. This policy brief, based on a virtual roundtable in the context of the Hamburg Sustainability Conference (HSC) with...

Launched in 2013, China's Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) was originally devised to link East Asia and Europe through a network of physical and digital infrastructure. This article analyses the BRI's development in the European context by offering a comparative analysis of 727 BRI and BRI-like...

This benchmarking study situates Jordan's trade indicators relative to comparators (Egypt, Lebanon, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates) with descriptive analysis. Using indicators for port competitiveness, geopolitical stability, logistics infrastructure, and trade facilitation within a...

Die österreichische Außenwirtschaft ist ein zentraler Motor des wirtschaftlichen Wachstums. Dieser Motor ist jedoch zunehmend ins Stottern geraten. Gründe dafür sind - neben innerstaatlichen Faktoren - wachsende geopolitische Unsicherheiten und Krisen, die schwächelnde deutsche...

Die Türkei ist nicht nur ein wichtiger Absatzmarkt für deutsche Kraftfahrzeuge, sie exportiert zugleich in bedeutendem Umfang Automobile und diverse Komponenten nach Deutschland. Durch ihre Einbindung in die deutschen Lieferketten tragen türkische Zulieferer maßgeblich zur internationalen...

This study quantifies the impact of geopolitical risk on euro area banks using the 2025 EU-wide stress test, the first to include an explicit geopolitical scenario. Comparing outcomes with earlier stress tests, we find that geopolitical shocks measurably erode capital ratios, with smaller and...

This study quantifies the impact of geopolitical risk on euro area banks using the 2025 EU-wide stress test, the first to include an explicit geopolitical scenario. Comparing outcomes with earlier stress tests, we find that geopolitical shocks measurably erode capital ratios, with smaller and...