Search Results - subject_exact:"Incomplete information"

When long-run trends are unknown : bond pricing implications

Ahonon, Borel; Roussellet, Guillaume - 2026

We propose a macro-finance model in which inflation, growth, and the policy rate are driven by unobservable long-run trends and transitory cycles that investors must infer from aggregate data. Their subjective estimates of these trends, and the uncertainty surrounding them, are priced into the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015618078

Make or buy decisions and data sharing

Dubus, Antoine; Legros, Patrick - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015614424

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Make or buy decisions and data sharing

Dubus, Antoine; Legros, Patrick - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Causal effects of interest rate beliefs on firm decisions and their aggregate implications

Bartscher, Alina Kristin; Duernecker, Georg; Goensch, … - 2026

We study firms' financial and real decisions after an exogenous change in their interest rate beliefs induced by a survey experiment with an information treatment. Firms revise their expectations downward after learning about the European Central Bank's policy rate. Moreover, we find a reduction...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015593212

Narratives as separating equilibria on the origins of the Ukraine war

Corneo, Giacomo - 2026

NATO enlargement and Russian annexation of Crimea marked crucial turning points. According to one narrative, the Russian occupation was part of a plan to re-establish dominion over Eastern Europe. According to a rival view, it was an attempt to counter a U.S. plan to subjugate Russia. I...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015605630

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Narratives as separating equilibria on the origins of the Ukraine war

Corneo, Giacomo - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Narratives as separating equilibria : on the origins of the Ukraine war

Corneo, Giacomo - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Supply chain uncertainty, energy prices, and inflation

Merendino, Alfonso; Monacelli, Tommaso - 2026

Using U.S. and Euro area data, we document that (i) the pass-through of energy prices to inflation is state-dependent - stronger when supply chain uncertainty is elevated - and (ii) in such states, energy prices become more informative about logistical conditions. We develop a model in which...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015641450

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Supply chain uncertainty, energy prices and inflation

Merendino, Alfonso; Monacelli, Tommaso - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Endogenous collapse of resource-rational bubbles

Kobayashi, Keiichirō - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015652744

Learning optimal strategies in a duel game

Gkekas, Angelos; Apostolidou, Athina; Vernadou, Artemis; … - 2025

We study a duel game in which each player has incomplete knowledge of the game parameters. We present a simple, heuristically motivated and easily implemented algorithm by which, in the course of repeated plays, each player estimates the missing parameters and consequently learns his optimal...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015271702

Distributive politics and asymmetric participation

Araújo, Victor; Kerler, Philipp - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015326355

Informational differences, adaptive learning, and inflation forecast bias

Chen, Qiang; Yin, Zechen - 2025

This work highlights a previously overlooked factor that contributes to bias in private inflation forecasts-ignorance of confidential monetary rules. Additionally, it examines how this ignorance indirectly affects policy rate settings. The model proposed reconciles biases in two key forecast...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015472808

Incomplete information and irreversible investment

Adams, Jonathan; Chen, Cheng; Fang, Min; Hattori, Takahiro - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015451412

Max-max group contests with incomplete information à la global games

Bosco, Davide; Gilli, Mario; Sorrentino, Andrea - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015410905

Voluntary contributions to a public good : when and how much?

Shi, Yunjie; Fabrizi, Simona; Lippert, Steffen - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015457834

Keeping the agents in the dark : competing mechanisms, private disclosures, and the revelation principle

Attar, Andrea; Campioni, Eloisa; Mariotti, Thomas; … - 2025

We study the design of market information in competing-mechanism games. We identify a new dimension, private disclosures, whereby the principals asymmetrically inform the agents of how their mechanisms operate. We show that private disclosures have two important effects. First, they can raise a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015427014

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Keeping the agents in the dark : competing mechanisms, private disclosures, and the revelation principle

Attar, Andrea; Campioni, Eloisa; Mariotti, Thomas; … - 2025

Book / Working Paper

Following the informational footsteps of the supply chain tracks

Monteiro, Victor; Guillén, Diogo Abry; Silva, Thiago … - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015604403

Carrots and sticks : collaboration of taxation and subsidies in contests

Minchuk, Yizhaq; Sela, Aner - 2024

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015135815

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Carrots and sticks : collaboration of taxation and subsidies in contests

Minchuk, Yizhaq; Sela, Aner - 2024

Book / Working Paper

A max-min two-group contest with binary actions and incomplete information à la global games

Bosco, Davide; Gilli, Mario; Sorrentino, Andrea - 2024

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015195628

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A max-min two-group contest with binary actions and incomplete information à la global games

Bosco, Davide; Gilli, Mario; Sorrentino, Andrea - 2024

Book / Working Paper

Optimal contests with incomplete information and convex effort costs

Zhang, Mengxi - 2024

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014536940

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Optimal contests with incomplete information and convex effort costs

Zhang, Mengxi - 2024

Article

Collective action and intra-group conflict with fixed budgets

Konrad, Kai A.; Morath, Florian - 2024

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014514886

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Collective action and intra-group conflict with fixed budgets

Konrad, Kai A.; Morath, Florian - 2021

Book / Working Paper

Backward induction reasoning beyond backward induction

Catonini, Emiliano; Penta, Antonio - 2024

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015115162

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Backward induction reasoning beyond backward induction

Catonini, Emiliano; Penta, Antonio - 2022

Book / Working Paper

Backward induction reasoning beyond backward induction

Cantonini, Emiliano; Penta, Antonio - 2024

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015375171

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Backward induction reasoning beyond backward induction

Cantonini, Emiliano; Penta, Antonio - 2022

Book / Working Paper

Backward induction reasoning beyond backward induction

Cantonini, Emiliano; Penta, Antonio - 2022

Book / Working Paper

Environmental regulation informel by biased stakeholders

Ambec, Stefan; Coria, Jessica - 2024

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015176671

Nonparametric estimation of sponsored search auctions and impact of Ad quality on search revenue

Kim, Dongwoo; Pal, Pallavi - 2024

This paper presents an empirical model of sponsored search auctions where advertisers are ranked by bid and ad quality. Our model is developed under the 'incomplete information' setting with a general quality scoring rule. We establish nonparametric identification of the advertiser's valuation...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015053799

Causal Effects of Interest Rate Beliefs on Firm Decisions and Their Aggregate Implications

Bartscher, Alina Kristin; Duernecker, Georg; Goensch, … - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015616085

Efficiency in games with incomplete information

Arieli, Itai; Babichenko, Yakov; Jain, Atulya; … - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015619171

Quadratic programming approach for Nash equilibrium computation in multiplayer imperfect-information games

Ganzfried, Sam - 2026

There has been significant recent progress in algorithms for approximation of Nash equilibrium in large two-player zero-sum imperfect-information games and exact computation of Nash equilibrium in multiplayer normal-form games. While counterfactual regret minimization and fictitious play are...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015615303

Information design and mechanism design : an integrated framework

Bergemann, Dirk; Heumann, Tibor; Morris, Stephen - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015616617

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Information design and mechanism design : an integrated framework

Bergemann, Dirk; Heumann, Tibor; Morris, Stephen - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Competitive price discrimination, imperfect information, and consumer search

Groh, Carl-Christian - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015578351

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Competitive Price Discrimination, Imperfect Information, and Consumer Search

Groh, Carl-Christian - 2021

Book / Working Paper

Efficiency in games with incomplete information

Arieli, Itai; Babichenko, Yakov; Jain, Atulya; … - 2026

We study games with incomplete information and characterize when a feasible outcome is Pareto efficient. Outcomes with excessive randomization are inefficient: generically, the total number of action profiles across states must be strictly less than the sum of the number of players and the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015604934

Robust trust

Dworczak, Piotr; Smolin, Alex - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015605614

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Robust trust

Dworczak, Piotr; Smolin, Alex - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Imperfect information, composition of demand shocks, and the flattening of the Phillips curve

Okuda, Tatsushi; Tsuruga, Tomohiro; Zanetti, Francesco - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015626903

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Imperfect information, composition of demand shocks, and the flattening of the phillips curve

Okuda, Tatsushi; Tsuruga, Tomohiro; Zanetti, Francesco - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Imperfect information, composition of demand shocks, and the flattening of the Phillips curve

Okuda, Tatsushi; Tsuruga, Tomohiro; Zanetti, Francesco - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Monetary policy without an anchor

Bocola, Luigi; Dovis, Alessandro; Jørgensen, Kasper; … - 2026

Policymakers often cite the risk that inflation expectations might "de-anchor" as a key reason for responding forcefully to inflationary shocks. We develop a model to analyze this trade-off and to quantify the benefits of stable long-run inflation expectations. In our framework, households and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015627083

Information design and full implementation in nonatomic games

Koessler, Frédéric; Scarsini, Marco; Tomala, Tristan - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015643394

Symmetries in network games

Taylor, Sarah - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015655715

Supply shocks in the fog : the role of endogenous uncertainty

Antonova, Anastasiia; Matvieiev, Mykhailo; Poilly, Céline - 2026 - Last updated: April 10, 2026

Recessions are often accompanied by heightened uncertainty. We build an imperfect-information New Keynesian model in which procyclical information quality generates endogenous countercyclical uncertainty, and the nonlinear structure allows for a precautionary saving motive. We show theoretically...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015651854

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Supply shocks in the fog : the role of endogenous uncertainty

Antonova, Anastasiia; Matvieiev, Mykhailo; Poilly, Céline - 2024

Book / Working Paper

Gender differences in judicial decisions under incomplete information : evidence from child support cases

Asmat, Roberto; Kossuth, Lajos - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015560214

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Gender differences in judicial decisions under incomplete information : evidence from child support cases

Asmat, Roberto; Kossuth, Lajos - 2023

Book / Working Paper

Gender Differences in Judicial Decisions under Incomplete Information : Evidence from Child Support Cases

Asmat, Roberto; Kossuth, Lajos - 2021

Book / Working Paper

Robustly non-harmful information for biased learners

Kornemann, Malte - 2026

I examine when robustly beneficial information can be provided to a receiver who also learns from misspecified background sources that are outside the provider's control. In contrast to information provision for rational receivers, any source can be harmful under certain misspecifications of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015654931

The allocation of talent under perfect and imperfect information

Strabo, Jacob Richard Bøggild - 2026

We develop a general sorting model that incorporates both self-selection by applicants, who assess their own skills, and evaluation by admissions agents, who rely on noisy signals of skills. Building upon the theoretical framework of the Roy model, our analysis examines how the presence of noise...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015647307

A review of partial information in additive multicriteria methods

Silva, Lucas Borges Leal da; Frej, Eduarda Asfora; … - 2023

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10013541813

Nonparametric identification and estimation of contests with uncertainty

Shakhgildyan, Ksenia - 2023 - This version: February 23, 2023

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014248314

Homo Moralis and regular altruists II

Akdeniz, Aslihan; Graser, Christopher; Veelen, Matthijs van - 2023

Alger and Weibull (2013) ask the question whether a combination of assortative matching and incomplete information leads to the evolution of moral or altruistic preferences. Their central result states that Homo Hamiltonenis - a type that has moral preferences with a morality parameter equal to...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014261141

Bayesian Nash equilibrium in all-pay auctions with interdependent types

Haimanko, Ori - 2024

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015135131

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Bayesian Nash equilibrium in all-pay auctions with interdependent types

Haimanko, Ori - 2023

Book / Working Paper

Identification in discrete choice models with imperfect information

Gualdani, Cristina; Sinha, Shruti - 2024

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015552379

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Identification in discrete choice models with imperfect information

Gualdani, Cristina; Sinha, Shruti - 2023

Book / Working Paper

Efficient sampling of pairwise comparisons in decision-making

Benítez, Julio; Carpitella, Silvia; Izquierdo, Joaquín - 2023

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014336350

Why do committees work?

Breitmoser, Yves; Valasek, Justin - 2023

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014430842

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Why do committees work?

Breitmoser, Yves; Valasek, Justin - 2023

Book / Working Paper

Opacity in bargaining over public good provision

Lamprecht, Julian; Thum, Marcel - 2023

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014368504

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Opacity in bargaining over public good provision

Lamprecht, Julian; Thum, Marcel - 2022

Book / Working Paper

Bad apples in symmetric repeated games

Sugaya, Takuo; Wolitzky, Alexander - 2023

We study large-population repeated games where players are symmetric but not anonymous, so player-specific rewards and punishments are feasible. Players may be commitment types who always take the same action. Even though players are not anonymous, we show that an anti-folk theorem holds when...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014440061

Everyone likes to be liked : experimental evidence from matching markets

Opitz, Timm; Schwaiger, Christoph - 2023

Matching markets can be unstable when individuals prefer to be matched to a partner who also wants to be matched with them. Through a pre-registered and theory-guided laboratory experiment, we provide evidence that such reciprocal preferences exist, significantly decrease stability in matching...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014476792

Reciprocal preferences in matching markets

Opitz, Timm; Schwaiger, Christoph - 2023 - This version: February 2023

Agents with reciprocal preferences prefer to be matched to a partner who also likes to collaborate with them. In this paper, we introduce and formalize reciprocal preferences, apply them to matching markets, and analyze the implications for mechanism design. Formally, the preferences of an agent...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014478421

Nonparametric estimation of sponsored search auctions and impacts of ad quality on search revenue

Kim, Dongwoo; Pal, Pallavi - 2023

This paper presents an empirical model of sponsored search auctions in which advertisers are ranked by bid and ad quality. We introduce a new nonparametric estimator for the advertiser's ad value and its distribution under the 'incomplete information' assumption. The ad value is characterized by...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014226863

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Nonparametric estimation of sponsored search auctions and impacts of AD quality on search revenue

Kim, Dongwoo; Pal, Pallavi - 2023

Book / Working Paper

I think what you think: Trade fairs and the exchange of firms' beliefs

Sebbesen, Anja; Meyer, Birgit - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015407598