This paper examines the relationship between unemployment rate, inflation rate and economic output in Britain over 34 years. It utilizes a range of different time series techniques, including the ADF and PP unit root test, the autoregressive distributed lag model to cointegration (ARDL model)....

This paper examines the determinants of inflation differentials across member states of the African Economic Community (AEC). The results suggest that exchange rate depreciation, GDP per capita growth, price divergence, fiscal deficit, and periods of economic instability all contribute to higher...

Inflation rate is considered undesirable in the modern globalized world due to its adverse and long-lasting impacts. The Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA, hereafter) has also experienced inflationary pressure during the last few years, specifically post-COVID-19. However, the empirical literature on...

In the early 2020s sharp surge of inflation, unprecedentedly high levels of government debt and deficits fueled attention for the Fiscal Theory of the Price Level (FTPL). This theoretical framework for fiscally induced inflation is well-known and controversially discussed. However, empirical...

The Quantity Theory of Money claims to provide one of the few long-run guides to economic policy by providing specific numbers to characterise the correlation between money growth and inflation. Acceptance of the Quantity Theory has been greatly helped by the claim, propounded most effectively...

Seit 2022 sind Inflation und Zinsniveau in Deutschland merklich erhöht. Wir arbeiten mittels einer Szenarienrechnung die Auswirkung der höheren Preise und Zinsen auf die Finanzierungssalden der Kommunen in Nordrhein-Westfalen heraus und berücksichtigen dabei systematische Unterschiede...

Mit 2,5 % hat sich die deutsche Inflationsrate im Februar 2024 trotz der kräftigen Erhöhung des CO2-Preises, der Beendigung der Energiepreisbremsen und der Mehrwertsteuererhöhung im Gastgewerbe zu Jahresbeginn weiter dem Inflationsziel der EZB in Höhe von 2 % angenähert. Ähnliches gilt...

After ten consecutive increases in the prime rate by the European Central Bank's (ECB), the question arises: What significance do these measures have, both indirectly for the interest rates increased at all value-added levels on the corporate side, and for households? While the prices for rents,...

In der Märzausgabe 2024 veröffentlichte der Wirtschaftsdienst einen Aufsatz mit dem Titel "Inflationsberechnung: Zinspolitik der EZB wird als Inflationstreiber statistisch nicht erfasst" von Johannes Schwanitz. Manuel Rupprecht vertritt in einer Replik eine andere Auffassung. Im Anschluss...

What drives the recent inflation surge? To answer this question, one must decompose inflation fluctuations into the contribution of structural shocks. We document how whimsical such a historical shock decomposition can be in standard vector autoregressive (VAR) models. We show that the...

Aim: The study evaluated the impact of devaluation and goods price variation on trade flows in a sample of 47 countries consisting of developing and developed nations from 1990 to 2023. Design/Research methods: The estimation techniques adopted in this work are the Panel Structural VAR (PSVAR),...

Many central banks worldwide announce numerical inflation targets, typically ranging from zero to two percent in advanced economies and higher in developing countries. Historically, a significant gap existed between the inflation targets pursued by central banks and those recommended by academic...

This study utilised longitudinal data from Black History Month events in London from 2021 to 2023. Novel findings revealed that increased inflation and Bank Rates, related to the cost-of-living crisis, were associated with greater discrimination and deteriorations in both general and mental...

Several explanations have been put forward for the observation that massive inflation has not appeared as a result of the explosive monetary growth generated by quantitative easing that was in 2008. Several plausible explanations have been put forward for this observation, but none of them can...

Seit 2022 sind Inflation und Zinsniveau in Deutschland merklich erhöht. Wir arbeiten mittels einer Szenarienrechnung die Auswirkung der höheren Preise und Zinsen auf die Finanzierungssalden der Kommunen in Nordrhein-Westfalen heraus und berücksichtigen dabei systematische Unterschiede...

In this paper we model monthly UK inflation and find that there is some small but significant autocorrelation, particularly at 12 months. We find that this autocorrelation in monthly inflation leads to significant persistence in the headline annual inflation figure. A one-off shock to monthly...

Mit 2,5 % hat sich die deutsche Inflationsrate im Februar 2024 trotz der kräftigen Erhöhung des CO2-Preises, der Beendigung der Energiepreisbremsen und der Mehrwertsteuererhöhung im Gastgewerbe zu Jahresbeginn weiter dem Inflationsziel der EZB in Höhe von 2 % angenähert. Ähnliches gilt...

After 2010, the consumer price index fell to a low level in the EU. In the euro area, it remained low between 2010 and 2020. The European Central Bank has even had to take action against the emergence of deflation. The situation changed significantly in 2021. Inflation jumped to levels not seen...

After ten consecutive increases in the prime rate by the European Central Bank’s (ECB), the question arises: What significance do these measures have, both indirectly for the interest rates increased at all value-added levels on the corporate side, and for households? While the prices for...

We study how millions of granular and weekly household scanner data combined with machine learning can help to improve the real-time nowcast of German inflation. Our nowcasting exercise targets three hierarchy levels of inflation: individual products, product groups, and headline inflation. At...

This paper investigates the underlying dynamic relationships between monetary policy, bank lending, and inflation during the post-pandemic recovery era in the East African Community. To achieve this, I analysed monthly macroeconomic data on central bank rates, consumer price index, lending...

In der Märzausgabe 2024 veröffentlichte der Wirtschaftsdienst einen Aufsatz mit dem Titel "Inflationsberechnung: Zinspolitik der EZB wird als Inflationstreiber statistisch nicht erfasst" von Johannes Schwanitz. Manuel Rupprecht vertritt in einer Replik eine andere Auffassung. Im Anschluss...

In der Märzausgabe 2024 veröffentlichte der Wirtschaftsdienst einen Aufsatz mit dem Titel "Inflationsberechnung: Zinspolitik der EZB wird als Inflationstreiber statistisch nicht erfasst" von Johannes Schwanitz. Manuel Rupprecht vertritt in einer Replik eine andere Auffassung. Im Anschluss...

In the recent decade, the topic of environmental sustainability and its determinants has gained the attention of environmental policy analysts and academicians. However, some crucial factors that can affect environmental sustainability have not yet been explored in the literature. In this...

The goal of this paper is twofold. First, we wish to better explain the relationship between Sargent and Wallace's (1981) unpleasant monetarist arithmetic, the closely connected fiscal theory of the price level (FTPL), and the monetarist view of inflation. Second, we discuss how the recent...

This study utilised longitudinal data from Black History Month events in London from 2021 to 2023. Novel findings revealed that increased inflation and Bank Rates, related to the cost-of-living crisis, were associated with greater discrimination and deteriorations in both general and mental...