The pace of globalization has slowed since the global financial crisis, raising concerns about widespread deglobalization and market fragmentation. We examine the effects of a deglobalization shock on bank lending, firm internal capital markets, and the real economy. Leveraging a unique dataset...

The dominant role of the US dollar as a global currency allows the Federal Reserve's monetary policy to significantly influence economic and financial dynamics in other countries through mechanisms such as exchange rates, interest rates, and capital flows. This paper examines how shifts in the...

Between 2017 and 2024, the main national stock market indices rose in the US and the five largest European economies. However, the average daily performance of all six indices turns from positive to negative when weighted by daily media coverage. A case in point is the average daily performance...

The period after the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) was characterized by a considerable risk migration within global liquidity flows, away from cross-border bank lending towards international bond issuance. We show that the post-GFC shifts in the risk sensitivities of global liquidity flows are...

We use a dynamic spatial general equilibrium model of international investment and production to investigate the real implications of the last five decades of financial globalization. We introduce a wedge accounting framework to estimate country- and time-varying measures of outward and inward...

We use a dynamic spatial general equilibrium model of international investment and production to in vestigate the real implications of the last five decades of financial globalization. We introduce a wedge accounting framework to estimate country- and time-varying measures of outward and inward...

In this paper, we examine how the global financial cycle is translated into domestic financial cycle across different financial assets comprising equity prices, credit, and leverage for India. Using quarterly data from 1990 to 2021, we find that 'risk-taking channel' transfers global financial...

We study the behavior of Covered Interest Parity (CIP) deviations - aka the CIP basis - in Emerging Markets (EM). A major challenge in computing the CIP basis in EM's lies in measuring local currency interest rates which are free of local credit risk. To do so, we construct a 'purified' CIP...

Many countries are still struggling with high and rising debt levels. The economic impact of the pandemic, as well as some longer-term structural factors, explain this situation. The key problem is the high level of debt service relative to government revenues, which makes it difficult to...

The dominance of the U.S. dollar in the global financial system remains the key pillar of international trade and monetary stability but faces growing challenges in a rapidly changing world. Historically rooted in the Bretton Woods system and the establishment of the petrodollar system, the...

The paper discusses whether US dollar based financial sanctions will undermine the dollar's dominant international role. Despite long-standing attempts to reduce the role of the dollar, these have had limited success so far. I discuss why this is the case and why alternatives to the dollar are...

Purpose - This study aims to explore how financial factors affect both conventional and Islamic stock market indices of G7 countries from July 27, 2015, to February 29, 2024. Design/methodology/approach - It examines local factors like CDS, exchange rates and bond yields, along with global ones...

Purpose - This study explores the persistence of stock market spillovers and the speed of recovery from global financial market uncertainty across different economic cycles. Design/methodology/approach - We analyse daily stock data from 15 countries spanning 2002 to 2024, covering the Dot-com...

This literature review connects trade and capital flows to (de)globalization, considering the main theoretical channels and empirical references to assess the current debate. The aim is to offer an integrated reference framework to study such a multifaceted global phenomenon. First, I...

We study the implications of deviations from covered interest rate parity for international capital flows using novel data covering euro-area derivatives and securities holdings. Consistent with a dynamic model of currency risk hedging, we document that investors' holdings of USD bonds decrease...

S. Yash Kalash explores the evolving relationship between geopolitical transformations and technological innovation, and their combined impact on the future of global financial assets and systems. Through a scenario-based methodology, he examines three plausible geopolitical configurations - a...

Between 2017 and 2024, the main national stock market indices rose in the US and the five largest European economies. However, the average daily performance of all six indices turns from positive to negative when weighted by daily media coverage. A case in point is the average daily performance...

This study examined how uncertainty and global risk affect financial markets in emerging economies, focusing on foreign investment, CDS spreads, exchange rates, and stock return volatility. Using over 8.6 million ticker transaction observations and structural vector autoregression (VAR) models,...

Purpose - This paper investigates whether financial sector development promotes economic globalization (EG) using data from 45 African countries. Design/methodology/approach - Using panel data of the selected African countries, the two-step system generalized method of moments estimation...

The pace of globalization has slowed since the global financial crisis, raising concerns about widespread deglobalization and market fragmentation. We examine the effects of a deglobalization shock on bank lending, firm internal capital markets, and the real economy. Leveraging a unique dataset...

The international financial architecture is misaligned with the goals set out in the UN Sustainable Development Goals and the Paris climate agreement. External financing flows to emerging-market and developing countries (excluding China) need be increasing by at least US$1 trillion annually from...