The world economy continues on its upward growth path, with global production expected to grow by 3.7 percent this year and slightly more than that in 2018. The economies in both the developed and the emerging countries are gaining momentum. Solid output growth is expected for the U.S. and euro...

Der deutsche Exportüberschuss wird stark von den USA kritisiert. Zwar ist die deutsche Wirtschaft Vorreiter unter den EU-Mitgliedstaaten gemessen am absoluten Handelsbilanzüberschuss. Doch das Bild ändert sich, wird auch die wirtschaftliche Größe der einzelnen Länder berücksichtigt. Auch...

Das Vereinigte Königreich (UK) will zwar aus dem Binnenmarkt austreten, mit einem umfassenden Freihandelsabkommen aber einen weitgehenden Zugang zu den EU-Absatzmärkten behalten. Es ist jedoch fraglich, ob sich die Europäische Union darauf einlässt. Die Brexiteers behaupten, dass vor allem...

The United Kingdom intends to leave the single market, yet still wants to retain broad access to it by means of a comprehensive free trade agreement. But the question remains as to whether the European Union is prepared to play ball. Brexiteers claim that German companies in particular, worried...

This year and next, global GDP will grow more strongly than expected. The growth rate should be just under four percent. In developed economies, the continuing improvement in the job market situation will drive consumption. Corporate investment activity will also gain momentum. Over the forecast...

Im Frühsommer 2017 ist die konjunkturelle Dynamik in der Welt recht kräftig. Wichtige Rahmenbedingungen für die Weltwirtschaft dürften günstig bleiben: Die Zinsen werden weiterhin fast überall niedrig sein, und das im Allgemeinen ruhige Preisklima deutet darauf hin, dass von der...

In their famous paper on the "Big Push", Murphy, Shleifer, and Vishny (1989) show how the combination of increasing returns to scale at the firm level and pecuniary externalities can give rise to a poverty trap, thereby formalising an old idea due to Rosenstein-Rodan (1943). We develop in this...

Staatliche Zahlungsausfälle haben nicht selten politische Ursachen. Während ökonomische Rahmenbedingungen wie etwa Wirtschaftswachstum, Finanzstabilität oder globale Investorenstimmungen die Zahlungsfähigkeit eines Staates beeinflussen, wird die tatsächliche Rückzahlung von Staatsschulden...

In their famous paper on the "Big Push", Murphy, Shleifer, and Vishny (1989) show how the combination of increasing returns to scale at the firm level and pecuniary externalities can give rise to a poverty trap, thereby formalising an old idea due to Rosenstein-Rodan (1943). We develop in this...

This study replicates estimation results from Jennifer Abel-Koch, Who Uses Intermediaries in International trade? Evidence from Firm-level Survey Data, published in The World Economy (2013). In this paper she uses firm-level data from Turkey. The pure replication performed here that is based on...

Staatliche Zahlungsausfälle haben nicht selten politische Ursachen. Während ökonomische Rahmenbedingungen wie etwa Wirtschaftswachstum, Finanzstabilität oder globale Investorenstimmungen die Zahlungsfähigkeit eines Staates beeinflussen, wird die tatsächliche Rückzahlung von Staatsschulden...

This paper presents an empirical investigation of the determinants of current account imbalance for the large sample of developed, emerging and developing countries during 1980-2011. Using dynamic panel GMM techniques, this study characterizes that current account balance is positively...

This paper scrutinizes the effects of investor-state dispute settlements (ISDS) and national treatment provisions in a two-period model where foreign investment is subject to domestic regulation and a holdup problem. It shows that ISDS can mitigate the holdup problem and increases aggregate...

When Vietnam started the Doi Moi (renovation) in the mid-1980s it was a backward agricultural country. Liberalising markets, allowing the establishment of private firms, integrating in the world economy and high FDI inflows stimulated growth and productivity development. However, this first face...

We examine sources of biased terror perceptions. In particular, we investigate how international experts of the IFO World Economic Survey assess the effect of terror on the world economy and the economy of their own country. The results show that respondents from terror stricken countries have...

The starting point for this research is the authors’ hypothesis that global innovational networks play an important role in the development of the modern global economy because they stimulate international cooperation in the innovational sphere, the translation of knowledge in the global...

The purposes of this article are to determine the peculiarities of state regulation of the innovational activity of enterprises in the global economy, to determine the level of connection between a country’s competitiveness in the global economy and the effectiveness of state regulation of...

The purpose of the article is to determine barriers and preconditions for reducing the differences in the level of development in the global economy’s countries and to develop recommendations for solving the problem of the global economy’s economic systems unification. In order to determine...

Afrika ist ein Kontinent mit immensen Zukunftschancen, steht aber großen Herausforderungen gegenüber. Das Wirtschaftswachstum der vergangenen Jahre war vielerorts hoch, die Bevölkerung wird sich bis 2050 verdoppeln, aber die Pro-Kopf-Einkommen sind immer noch sehr niedrig. Das wirtschaftliche...

We review recent research linking international trade to the environment, with a focus on new results and methods. The review is given structure by a novel decomposition linking changes in emissions to changes in productive activity at the plant, firm, industry, and national levels. While some...