Search Results - subject_exact:"Krieg"

Der Irankrieg und die wirtschaftlichen Konsequenzen für Deutschland

Pavlova, Lora; Herforth, Anna-Lena; Hack, Lukas - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015624360

War and subjective well-being : evidence from Yemen

Arampatzi, Efstratia; Burger, Martijn J. - 2026

This article examines the impact of the Yemeni civil war on subjective well-being (SWB). Analyzing the relationship between regional war intensity and SWB for the period 2015-2023, while accounting for personal characteristics and regional fixed effects, we find a significant negative...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015618358

A wartime labor market : the case of Ukraine

Anastasia, Giacomo M.; Boeri, Tito; Zholud, Oleksandr - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015568148

Energy markets at war : the effect of the Russian invasion of Ukraine on refinery margins

Gregor, Leonard; Haucap, Justus - 2026

This paper evaluates the effect of the Russian invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 on refinery margins, i.e. the difference between wholesale prices for road fuels (gasoline and diesel) and oil prices in Europe and Germany in particular. Following the Russian invasion of Ukraine, wholesale road...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015614478

Show one more version 1

Energy markets at war : the effect of the Russian invasion of Ukraine on refinery margins

Gregor, Leonard; Haucap, Justus - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Explaining the ammunition shortage : the show vs. have military power game

Besancenot, Damien; Vranceanu, Radu P. - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015593345

Show one more version 1

Explaining the ammunition shortage : the show vs. have military power game

Besancenot, Damien; Vranceanu, Radu P. - 2024

Book / Working Paper

The long-term impacts of bombing Vietnam on occupations over cohorts

Thy Ha Van Le - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015593639

Guns and butter : the fiscal consequences of rearmament and war

Marzian, Johannes; Trebesch, Christoph - 2026 - First draft: January 2024, this draft: February 2026

We study the fiscal consequences of large military buildups. To do so, we assemble the Global Budget Database, a comprehensive dataset of disaggregated central government finances for 20 countries from 1870 to 2022. We identify 114 episodes of military spending booms, in peace and war, and...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015596724

Show 2 more versions 2

Guns and butter : the fiscal consequences of rearmament and war

Marzian, Johannes; Trebesch, Christoph - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Guns and butter : the fiscal consequences of rearmament and war

Marzian, Johannes; Trebesch, Christoph - 2025

Book / Working Paper

Between wars and words : how international conflict shapes discourse of nonbelligerent political leaders

Pellegrino, Ana Paula; Burnley, Benjamin R.; Balcells, Laia - 2026

Does the outbreak of a major international war change political discourse? Drawing on theories of political communication and elite cueing, identity salience, and threat perception, we hypothesize that the outbreak of a war of aggression by a major power increases the use of nationalist rhetoric...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015591500

Europe steps up : Ukraine support after four years of war

Trebesch, Christoph; Nishikawa, Taro - 2026

· This brief provides a big-picture overview of support for Ukraine after four years of war. The key finding from 2025 is that Europe has almost offset the collapse in US support. · US aid fell by 99 percent. At the same time, Europe sharply increased its aid allocations, by 59 percent for...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015603875

A wartime labor market

Anastasia, Giacomo; Boeri, Tito; Zholud, Oleksandr - 2026

Wars disrupt labor markets, yet systematic evidence on how markets for labor services operate during conflicts is almost entirely absent. Ukraine is a rare exception: despite the full-scale Russian invasion, timely data on workers and vacancies, in both stocks and flows, remain available. We use...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015605529

Narratives as separating equilibria on the origins of the Ukraine war

Corneo, Giacomo - 2026

NATO enlargement and Russian annexation of Crimea marked crucial turning points. According to one narrative, the Russian occupation was part of a plan to re-establish dominion over Eastern Europe. According to a rival view, it was an attempt to counter a U.S. plan to subjugate Russia. I...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015605630

Show one more version 1

Narratives as separating equilibria : on the origins of the Ukraine war

Corneo, Giacomo - 2026

Book / Working Paper

War and peace for natural resources as economic goods

Zoboli, Roberto - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015625588

Risk preferences and the willingness to relocate to danger : evidence from wartime Ukraine

Gorodnichenko, Yuriy; Kudlyak, Marianna; Lobozynska, Sophia - 2026

We elicit reservation wage premia for relocating to two Ukrainian cities, using a household survey conducted in mid-April to mid-July 2024 during the Russian invasion of Ukraine: high-risk Kharkiv (near the frontline) and moderate-risk Kyiv. Risk tolerance is a strong predictor of willingness to...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015637654

Show one more version 1

Risk preferences and the willingness to relocate to danger : evidence from wartime Ukraine

Gorodnichenko, Yuriy; Kudlyak, Marianna; Lobozynska, Sophia - 2026

Book / Working Paper

The stock market effects of the 2022 Russia sanctions : evidence from the US and the EU

Leusen, Matthijs; Garretsen, Harry; Giumelli, Francesco; … - 2026

We examine how Western sanctions imposed in response to Russia's 2022 invasion of Ukraine shaped firm-level stock market performance in the EU and the US. To measure sanction exposure, we link firms to the specific products targeted by US and EU sanctions at the HS6 level, producing a detailed,...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015639124

Edgeworth on trade and war

O'Rourke, Kevin Hjortshøj - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015640079

Show one more version 1

Edgeworth on trade and war

O'Rourke, Kevin Hjortshøj - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Transformations in conditions of turbulence : selection of adaptation models and mechanisms : International Scientific and Practical Conference

2026 - Electronic edition

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015641356

Perceptions of the Russia-Ukraine war in Serbia and Bosnia and Herzegovina

Balcells, Laia; Pellegrino, Ana Paula; Simonson, Matthew - 2026

How do non-belligerent societies view the return of large-scale conflict to Europe? Among European countries, with their different historical ties to Russia and lived experiences of conflict, this article examines how the public in Bosnia and Herzegovina and Serbia-two former Yugoslav republics...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015651899

War and democratic backsliding

Benmelech, Efraim; Monteiro, Joao - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015632233

Show one more version 1

War and Democratic Backsliding

Benmelech, Efraim; Monteiro, Joao - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Fit for war by 2030? : European rearmament efforts vis-à-vis Russia

Burilkov, Alexandr; Bushnell, Katelyn; Mejino-López, Juan - 2026

This research article presents new data on military procurement in Germany, the United Kingdom (UK), Poland, and France, and uses these data to analyse procurement patterns, delivery timelines, and force-generation constraints against the background of a deteriorating security situation and...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015665895

Global economic implications of the 2026 Middle East war

McKibbin, Warwick J.; Noland, Marcus; Shuetrim, Geoffrey - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015670467

The effects of the invasion of Ukraine on Russian sentiments

Elinder, Mikael; Erixson, Oscar; Hammar, Olle - 2026

The Russian invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 reshaped geopolitics and intensified debates on how wars influence domestic political support. Media reports and scholarly work based on aggregate time-series data suggest rally effects, reflected in an immediate surge in Putin's approval ratings....

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015653497

Beyond the radar : economic coercion, narrative warfare, and the China-South Korea THAAD dispute

Walberg, Jonathan - 2026

In 2016, South Korea's decision to deploy the U.S. Terminal High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) system prompted a coordinated campaign of informal economic coercion by China. Although Beijing denied any official retaliation, regulators shuttered Lotte retail stores, state-backed media amplified...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015665917

States as financiers : international lending in war and peace

Horn, Sebastian; Reinhart, Carmen M.; Trebesch, Christoph - 2026

States are major international financiers, but their role is poorly understood. We study state-driven cross-border lending over two centuries using a new database covering 1.2 million official loans and grants by 134 governments and 70 multilateral institutions since 1790. We document a dual,...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015664864

Show one more version 1

States as financiers : international lending in war and peace

Horn, Sebastian; Reinhart, Carmen M.; Trebesch, Christoph - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Der Irankrieg und die wirtschaftlichen Konsequenzen für Deutschland

Pavlova, Lora; Herforth, Anna-Lena; Hack, Lukas - 2026

Seit Anfang März 2026 hat der Krieg zwischen den USA und Israel einerseits und dem Iran andererseits die geopolitischen Spannungen im Nahen Osten massiv verschärft und für steigende Ölpreise gesorgt. Diese Eskalation erhöht die Risiken für die wirtschaftliche Entwicklung in Deutschland und...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015618390

Military service and immigrants' integration : evidence from the Vietnam draft lotteries

Zhang, Nan; Lee, Melissa M. - 2026

Seminal theories in political science argue that military service is a critical driver of minority integration. However, a major obstacle bedeviling the study of military service is self-selection: individuals who are better integrated may be more likely to join the military in the first place....

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015669609

Wars, threats, and the sovereign bond market

Federle, Jonathan-Julian; Greenwood, Robin; Meyer, Josefin - 2026

We study how wars and military threats affect financial markets. Leveraging more than 300,000 monthly price observations since 1822, we create an external currency bond index for more than 90 countries - the EXBI. Using the EXBI, we document large effects of wars on returns and borrowing costs....

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015670016

Strategic process of Ukrainian companies adaptation to war conditions

Reshetniak, Tetiana; Vostriakov, Oleksandr; Gonchar, … - 2026

The article examines the theoretical foundations and practices of adapting the strategic process in response to threats in the external environment during periods of military operations. Context-dependent and context-independent characteristics of the strategic process are identified in three...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015671761

The cost of industrial destruction : evidence from Ukrainian strikes on Russian refineries

Mikula, Stepan; Sabatini, Fabio - 2026

We study the local economic effects of Ukrainian long-range strikes on Russian oil refineries, combining a manually verified event-level record of refinery strikes with qualityscreened daily satellite radiance from NASA Black Marble. The analysis covers 29 large Russian refineries, 22 of which...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015671853

Brexit and the blitz : conflict, collective memory and populism

Melander, Eric - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016060182

Effects of the recent hostilities in and around the Islamic Republic of Iran on Latin America and the Caribbean

Salazar Xirinachs, José Manuel; Iglesias, Cecilia Vera - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016062675

Measuring rally effects under authoritarianism : evidence from Russia's war in Ukraine

Parviainen, Sinikka; Pyle, William - 2026

Measuring politically sensitive attitudes in authoritarian settings is difficult because expressions of political support may reflect repression and social pressure as much as genuine belief. We propose a complementary approach: using responses to questions that are not themselves politically...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016062138

Firm performance under military occupation : the case of Ukrainian firms

Onyshchenko, Hanna; Tsapin, Andriy; Yaremko, Vitaliia - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016073841

The business of war in the early modern Baltic Sea region, 1530 - 1765

2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016073231

Uneven resilience and recovery during war : municipality-level evidence from Ukraine

Michelangeli, Alessandra; Türk, Umut - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016063961

Financial market development during the full-scale war in Ukraine : examining the crowding out effect

Bychkova, Nataliia; Shenderova, Anastasiia - 2026

This study empirically assesses the relevance of the "crowding-out" hypothesis in Ukraine during the full-scale Russian invasion. Using a monthly dataset (January 2018 - November 2025), we investigate the dynamic interdependencies among central government securities holdings, bond yields, and...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016064383

Supply-side or demand-side? : assessing the economic impact of pandemics and wars on G7 countries since the 1800s

Donadelli, Michael; Mammi, Irene; Paradiso, Antonio - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016073537

Urban exposure: human development impacts of the Middle East conflict in Asia and the Pacific

2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016063119

Geopolitics and export miracles : firm-level evidence from US war procurement in Korea

Barteska, Philipp; Kim, Oliver; Lane, Nathan; Lee, Seung Joo - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016073444

Scenarios concerning the possible consequences of the Iran war for euro area inflation

Hegemann, Hendrik; Wieland, Volker - 2026

In this note, we provide a brief first quantitative assessment of possible consequences of the energy price shock for euro area inflation. We consider different scenarios of more or less persistent increases of gasoline, diesel, natural gas, kerosine price increases on headline and core HICP...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015615735

The effects of the war on Ukraine on global corporate investment

Caldara, Dario; McHenry, Mike; Iacoviello, Matteo; … - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015637040

Pakistan's exposure to a strait of hormuz shock : fuel pricing, inflation, and external vulnerability

Satti, Ahsan ul Haq; Nawaz, Shahzada M. Naeem - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015618900

Military escalation in the Middle East : economic and human development impacts in the Islamic Republic of Iran : preliminary impact brief

2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015667300

Military escalation in the Middle East : human development impacts across Asia and the Pacific : preliminary assessment

2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015667303

Il ritorno della fame come arma di guerra e il ruolo degli Organismi Internazionali

Romano, Donato - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015611570

Growing challenges and ways forward in light of the war in Ukraine and regional tensions in the Western Balkans

Grieveson, Richard; Jovanović, Branimir - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016085202

Cold War 2.0 and defence readiness

Kancs, D'Artis - 2026

Europe is raising defence commitments under conditions of geoeconomic fragmentation, but fiscal commitments do not automatically become usable capability. This paper asks how non-kinetic geoeconomic shocks affect the capacity of European countries to convert defence resources into...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016085863

Poursuivre des activités en zone de conflit : aspects juridiques-Éthique ou business? : l’exemple de la Russie

Beaufort, Viviane de; Colson, Aurélien - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015677516

Risk of sanctions

Egorov, Konstantin; Korovkin, Vasily; Makarin, Alexey; … - 2026

Does uncertainty created by the risk of sanctions affect trade above and beyond the sanctions actually imposed? While most restrictions on Russian imports were introduced immediately after the February 2022 invasion of Ukraine, the sanctioning countries simultaneously pledged further escalation...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016062844

Scenarios concerning the possible consequences of the Iran war for euro area inflation : update July 2026

Hegemann, Hendrik; Wieland, Volker - 2026

This note updates our March 2026 scenario analysis of the inflationary consequences of the energy-price shock associated with the Iran war. Using the same Bayesian VAR specification and posterior estimates, we incorporate observed energy prices through July 2026. Despite a different monthly...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016064279

Investment under fire : firm responses to war in Ukraine

Fungáčová, Zuzana; Heyert, Axelle; Weill, Laurent - 2026

How do firms adapt their decision-making about strategic investments during a war? We examine this question in the context of Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine, combining data on almost 500,000 Ukrainian firms from 2017 to 2023 with detailed conflict data. We argue that war reshapes firm...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016073258