Search Results - subject_exact:"Landtagswahl"

Bangladesh's political realignment after the parliamentary elections : hope for stability, concerns about democratic pluralism

Scholz, Tobias; Wigger, Leo - 2026

The parliamentary elections held in Bangladesh on 12 February 2026 marked a turning point in the country’s recent history. In August 2024, Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina, who had served for a total of 20 years, with one interruption, was removed from office. An interim government led by Nobel...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015618375

Elections and political polarisation : challenges for environmental agreements

Spycher, Sarah - 2026 - This version: May 2026

This paper examines how domestic elections and political polarisation shape international environmental agreements. Using a four-stage game to model a bilateral treaty, I analyse how incumbents strategically balance policy preferences with re-election prospects. Results reveal asymmetric...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015654870

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Elections and political polarisation : challenges for environmental agreements

Spycher, Sarah - 2024 - This version: November 2024

Edition: This version: November 2024

Book / Working Paper

Electing the pope : elections by repeated ballots

Ponsatí, Clara; Zápal, Jan - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015655634

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Electing the pope : elections by repeated ballots

Ponsatí, Clara; Zápal, Jan - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Populism in the Italian municipal elections : the M5S experience

Bordignon, Massimo; Colussii, Tommaso - 2026

This paper reviews a growing body of theoretical and empirical research on Italian populism through a detailed examination of the Five Star Movement (Movimento 5 Stelle, M5S), focusing on its experience in municipal elections. Using a wide range of administrative and survey data, as well as...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015614864

Political stressors and birth outcomes : evidence from the 2016 U.S. presidential election

Golberstein, Ezra; Guth, Daniel; Slusky, David - 2026

We study political shocks as potential birth outcomes stressors, specifically the unexpected result of the 2016 U.S. presidential election. We investigate this two-sided shock using an innovative data linkage: Colorado voter registrations and birth certificates, matched by sex, birth year, and...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015615413

Exploring political budget cycles in the EU-27

Afonso, António; Alves, José; Leal, Frederico Silva - 2026

Using quarterly data for the period Q1:2000–Q4:2024, the study examines whether elections in EU‑27 member states shape the composition and timing of fiscal policy strategies, and how political, fiscal and institutional constraints condition these dynamics. Employing a two‑way...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015593132

Reclaiming Iraqi agency : post-election dynamics and challenges

Azizi, Hamidreza; Werenfels, Isabelle - 2026

The higher turnout in Iraq’s recent parliamentary elections reflects advances over the past four years, notably in infrastructure development, security, and political stability. The election’s outcome and ensuing coalition-building dynamics underscore trends and challenges that will shape...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015585403

Social media vs. democracy : evidence from the january 6th insurrection

Mueller, Karsten; Schwarz, Carlo; Shen, Zekai - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015620797

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Social media vs. democracy : evidence from the January 6th insurrection

Mueller, Karsten; Schwarz, Carlo; Shen, Zekai - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Social media vs. democracy : evidence from the january 6th insurrection

Mueller, Karsten; Schwarz, Carlo; Shen, Zekai - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Sham elections amid the war in Myanmar : prospects for national stability and international cooperation

Heiduk, Felix - 2026

Five years after the bloody military coup and amid a civil war, elections have taken place in Myanmar. They were neither free nor fair, nor was any attempt made to keep up an appearance of even minimum democratic standards. From the outset, the main purpose of the elections was not political...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015607351

Votes for work? : job patronage and electoral mobilization in Albania

Uberti, Luca J.; Imami, Drini; Mendola, Mariapia - 2026

We study the impact of an election campaign on the labor market outcomes of incumbent party supporters. Using unique data on voters' political preferences during a pre-election period in Albania and a DiD design that compares the evolution of outcomes among close neighbours, we show that...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015625041

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Votes for work? : job patronage and electoral mobilization in Albania

Uberti, Luca J.; Imami, Drini; Mendola, Mariapia - 2025

Book / Working Paper

Candidate exit and voter loyalty during early democratization

Dewan, Torun A.; Kam, Christopher; Meriläinen, Jaakko; … - 2026

Hirschman's Exit, Voice, and Loyalty (1970) proposed that organizations persist when loyalty tempers incentives to exit after adverse shocks. We test this argument using newly digitized individual-level voting records from 28 English constituencies (1832-1868), covering 134,000 real votes....

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015625472

Do elections moderate or polarize political rhetoric?

Boeri, Tito; Nikiforova, Nina; Tabellini, Guido Enrico - 2026

We study the communication strategies on Twitter/X of 367 political leaders in 21 countries, focusing on electoral competition between populists and non-populists. We measure polarization by the ease with which the leader can be classified as populist or not, conditional on his tweet. We find...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015626654

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Do elections moderate or polarize political rhetoric?

Boeri, Tito; Nikiforova, Nina; Tabellini, Guido Enrico - 2026 - This Version: March 17, 2026

Edition: This Version: March 17, 2026

Book / Working Paper

Do elections moderate or polarize political rhetoric?

Boeri, Tito; Nikiforova, Nina; Tabellini, Guido Enrico - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Do elections moderate or polarize political rhetoric?

Boeri, Tito; Nikiforova, Nina; Tabellini, Guido Enrico - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Voter Switching and Policy Preferences: Evidence from Japan's 2025-2026 elections

Yamamura, Eiji; Todō, Yasuyuki - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015644890

The strategic use of microtargeting : the case of the German Federal Elections of 2025

Repp, Stefan - 2026

Political microtargeting (PMT) is often associated with data-intensive voter profiling and the Cambridge Analytica scandal. This paper argues that such a framing is increasingly outdated, particularly in tightly regulated contexts. Drawing on expert interviews, social media content analysis and...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015652099

Ökonomische Folgen autoritären Regierens am Beispiel Ungarn : zur Parlamentswahl 2026 : ungarische Standortentwicklung im regionalen Vergleich

Radunz, Alexander - 2026 - Stand: April 2026

Viktor Orbáns FIDESZ hat nach 16 Regierungsjahren zum ersten Mal eine Wahlniederlage eingefahren. Vor allem wirtschaftliche Probleme als Folge eines autoritären und interventionistischen Regierungsstils haben den Ausschlag zum rasanten Aufstieg und Erdrutschsieg einer oppositionellen...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015632042

Mobility-based gerrymandering : theory and evidence

Mongrain, Steeve; Revelli, Federico; Van Ypersele, Tanguy; … - 2026

This paper models theoretically and tests empirically the hypothesis that the decision about the location of a public bad within a multi-tiered structure of government (a facility providing benefits throughout the federation but inflicting damage to the region hosting it) can be driven by...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015635462

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Mobility-based gerrymandering : theory and evidence

Mongrain, Steeve; Revelli, Federico; Van Ypersele, Tanguy; … - 2026

Book / Working Paper

"Zusammen gegen Rechts" : Demonstrationen und die politische Geografie ostdeutscher Bundesländer

Gavrichkova, Margarita; Hosenfeld, Lotta; Lehmann, Klara - 2026

"Die vom Bündnis "Zusammen gegen Rechts" zu Beginn des Jahres 2024 organisierten Demonstrationen wurden vielfach als Ausdruck einer breiten gesellschaftlichen Mobilisierung gegen Rechtsextremismus verstanden. Eine bislang jedoch kaum untersuchte Frage ist, in welchem Zusammenhang diese Proteste...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015635658

Candidate vote prediction in open-list systems : forecasting the results of the 2023 Finnish parliamentary election

Vepsäläinen, Tapio - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015668681

Do elections reduce partisan misperceptions? : evidence from a democratic transition in Bangladesh

Takashi, Ryo; Higashida, Keisaku; Higuchi, Yuki; … - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015668517

The global incumbency advantage

Descamps, Raphael; Marx, Benjamin M.; Pons, Vincent; … - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015616602

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The global incumbency advantage

Descamps, Raphaël; Marx, Benjamin M.; Pons, Vincent; … - 2026

Book / Working Paper

The political legacy of displacement : evidence from the Spanish republican exile

Aranzana, Cristina; Paluskiewicz, Luc - 2026 - Version April 8th, 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015665428

Citizen forecasting in a mixed electoral system : the 2021 German federal election as a test case

Leininger, Arndt; Murr, Andreas E.; Stötzer, Lukas Frederik - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015668063

Local political uncertainty and branch banking : evidence from deposit rate setting

Cotter, John; Gam, Yong Kyu; Hu, Yi - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015665666

The impact of disinformation generated by AI on democracy case studies : the US presidential elections in 2016 & 2024

Ibrahim, Nourhan Tosson; Attia, Nada Adel - 2026

The paper studies the impact of disinformation generated by AI on democracy and it takes the US presidential elections in 2016 and 2024 as case studies.The paper depended on analyzing three concepts in order to formulate a theoretical framework, which are "Democracy", "Artificial Intelligence"...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015655434

Forecasting electoral violence

Randahl, David; Leis, Maxine Ria; Gåsste, Tim; Fjelde, … - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015668320

Political budget cycles in federal systems : the case of India

Das, Sourav; Hufschmidt, Patrick; Mankat, Fabian; … - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015671577

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Political budget cycles in federal systems : the case of India

Das, Sourav; Hufschmidt, Patrick; Mankat, Fabian; … - 2025

Book / Working Paper

Electoral democracy, corruption, and tax evasion

Merkaj, Elvina; Imami, Drini - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015671348

Electoral corruption cycles : separating perceptions and experiences across households and experts

Crombach, Lamar - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015671003

Re-election incentives and the adoption of early childhood development programmes : the case of the "Happy Child" Programme in Brazil

Tebaldi, Raquel; Gassmann, Franziska; Martorano, Bruno - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015671012

Reprint of : political budget cycles in federal systems : the case of India

Das, Sourav; Hufschmidt, Patrick; Mankat, Fabian; … - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015671017

Partisan abortions

González, Libertad; Guirola, Luis; Zapater, Blanca - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015674989

Majority lost : global evidence and field experiments on electoral miscoordination

Capozza, Francesco; Durante, Ruben; George, Siddharth Eapen - 2026

Voters in multiparty systems often fail to coordinate on majority-preferred parties. Using constituency-level election data linked to party-ideology measures across 96 countries, we show that in 20–30% of multiparty elections since 1940 the Condorcet winner does not win, and in roughly 10% the...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016060175

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Majority lost : global evidence and field experiments on electoral miscoordination

Capozza, Francesco; Durante, Ruben; George, Siddharth Eapen - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Moral characters : social media and elections in the US

Grillo, Edoardo; Morales, Juan S.; Moresi, Alessandra - 2026

We study how politicians' adoption of social media, and the use of moral language, affect electoral returns. We compile a new dataset covering over 4,000 Twitter accounts and almost five million tweets by US House candidates over 2008-2018. We document several descriptive facts: social media use...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016060961

Emotional cues, election outcomes, and intimate partner violence

Collins, Clay - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016073326

Goodbye, montesquieu : executive spillovers in judicial elections

Fontana, Nicola; Nannicini, Tommaso; Snyder, James M. - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016073675

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Goodbye, Montesquieu : executive spillovers in judicial elections

Fontana, Nicola; Nannicini, Tommaso; Snyder, James M. - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Goodbye, montesquieu : executive spillovers in judicial elections

Fontana, Nicola; Nannicini, Tommaso; Snyder, James M. - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Elections and water pollution cleanup in the Ganges River in India

Batabyal, Amitrajeet A.; Yoo, Seung-Jick - 2026

We analyze the role of regular elections in ensuring water pollution cleanup in the Ganges river in a north Indian city. Our central result is that, in the absence of elections, politicians have no incentive to undertake pollution cleanup, leading to poor environmental outcomes. In contrast,...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016062442

Anchoring inflation expectations : a teaching treatment and its persistence through the 2025 German federal election

Gockel, Christine; Strohsal, Till - 2026

We study how inflation expectations can be anchored through different forms of communication and whether such anchoring survives political change. Using a two-wave panel RCT around the 2025 German federal election, we show that providing the ECB's target and projections lowers expectations by...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015635198

A comment on "'Stop the count!' - How reporting partial election results fuels beliefs in election fraud"

Garro, Carmen; Ortega, Fernanda - 2026

This replication report examines the reproducibility of Vaz et al. (2024), who demonstrate the Cumulative Redundancy Bias (CRB)-the tendency to favor early-leading candidates and to suspect fraud when a late reversal occurs. Using the authors' openly available raw data and analysis code, we...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016082547

The political budget cycle of child and youth welfare expenditures

Nikolka, Till - 2026

In public finance, political budget cycles have been studied with respect to different policy fields and institutional contexts. The goal of this paper is to test for election cycle effects in child and youth welfare expenditures at the level of counties and municipalities in Germany. Exploiting...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016082506

Do elections shape firm dynamics?

Léon, Florian; Weill, Laurent - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016082263

The strength to share : adopting durable elite patronage

Theocharopoulos, Konstantinos - 2026

A common expectation is that weak incumbents are the ones most willing to rely on patronage, trading state resources for the support of elites, since that support can help them survive electoral competition. We show that this intuition changes once patronage is durable, developing an...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016070592

Opening the black box of works council elections : theory and evidence on the factors influencing voter turnout

Jirjahn, Uwe; Mohrenweiser, Jens; Smith, Stephen C. - 2026

Works councils have been often thought to contribute to workplace democracy. However, workplace democracy not only requires that works councils have the power to influence management decisions but also that this institution of establishment-level codetermination itself is based on democratic...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016084812

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Opening the black box of works council elections : theory and evidence on the factors influencing voter turnout

Jirjahn, Uwe; Mohrenweiser, Jens; Smith, Stephen C. - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Opening the black box of works council elections : theory and evidence on the factors influencing voter turnout

Jirjahn, Uwe; Mohrenweiser, Jens; Smith, Stephen C. - 2026

Book / Working Paper

From votes to megawatts : policy outcomes of local elections

Bierl, Konrad; Eisenack, Klaus; Dulong, Angelika von; … - 2026

Do democratic elections affect policy outcomes, and how do these effects evolve over time? Existing evidence is mixed, focusing on federal elections in twoparty systems using RDDs. We study municipal elections in Germany's multiparty system, examining how electoral support for the...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015665363

Information revelation in constant-sum games : elections and beyond

Kartik, Navin; Squintani, Francesco; Tinn, Katrin - 2026 - August 25, 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016087347

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Information revelation in constant-sum games : elections and beyond

Kartik, Navin; Squintani, Francesco; Tinn, Katrin - 2025

Book / Working Paper

From pink slips to polling stations : the electoral consequences of mass-layoff announcements

Hernandez Martinez, Victor; Krolikowski, Pawel M.; … - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016089396

When drought travels: partisan electoral responses through food networks in U.S. presidential elections

Couharde, Cécile; Generoso, Rémi; Guillossou, Michaël - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016086799

Off to the polls and then down the ballot : are union members less likely to roll-off?

Carpenter, Ryan; Mallinson, Daniel J.; Bucci, Laura - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016086836

Demografischer Wandel, ausländische Beschäftigte und der Arbeitsmarkt Sachsen-Anhalts vor der Landtagswahl am 6. September 2026

Gropp, Reint; Reifschneider, Alexander - 2026

Anfang September wählt Sachsen-Anhalt einen neuen Landtag, und die AfD hat erstmals die Chance auf eine eigene Regierungsmehrheit. Sachsen-Anhalt hat eine der ältesten Beschäftigtenstrukturen Deutschlands: Fast jeder dritte deutsche Beschäftigte ist 55 oder älter. Im vergangenen Jahrzehnt...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016085069

Rewarding allegiance? : political alignment and fiscal outcomes in local government

Brunnschweiler, Christa Noel; Obeng, Samuel Kwabena - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016083766

Social sorting and political cleavages : evidence from 2.5 million electoral candidates

Fernández-Villaverde, Jesús; Sanz, Carlos - 2026

How socially distinct are competing political parties' candidate pools? Since names encode cultural milieu, lineage, linguistic origin, and ancestry that standard socioeconomic variables miss, we measure social sorting across parties with names, predicting affiliation out of sample within...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016090048

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Social sorting and political cleavages : evidence from 2.5 million electoral candidates

Fernández-Villaverde, Jesús; Sanz, Carlos - 2026

Book / Working Paper