When agrarian societies urbanize their governments face a policy dilemma: farmers seek fair prices, while urban workers and employers desire cheap food. Drawing on a new dataset of historical food prices in 146 markets, we explore the political economy of maize markets in East Africa...

Key aggregate figures on Austria's agriculture and forestry sectors show little change for 2024 compared to the previous year, although there were significant fluctuations in individual commodity markets, such as sugar beet. In foreign trade in agricultural goods and foodstuffs, imports expanded...

In this paper, we provide evidence on the impact of global seasonal temperature shocks on global food commodity prices. Utilizing monthly data from 1961 to 2023, we find an economically and statistically highly significant, longer-lasting positive impact of summer temperature shocks on global...

Mutton prices in China carry significant economic and social implications, yet their macro-financial drivers remain insufficiently understood. Based on monthly data from 2003 to 2025, this paper employs Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition, Vector Autoregression, and wavelet coherence analysis...

Food price volatility is a persistent challenge in Indonesia, where agriculture is central to food security and rural livelihoods. While price transmission has been studied, little is known about how volatility spreads sub-nationally in archipelagic economies with fragmented infrastructure. This...

The paper estimates the ICMS (a kind of value-added tax at the state level) incidence on a basket of 79 food products from 1994 to 2021 in the Brazilian states of Bahia, Rio de Janeiro, Minas Gerais and São Paulo.We use panel data estimators to evaluate the pass-through of the ICMS to consumer...

We estimate distributional implications of global food and oil price shocks by utilizing monthly panel data on consumption and income from India, and an IV strategy that removes variation coming from global demand shocks. While both shocks lead to stagflationary aggregate dynamics, they differ...

When agrarian societies urbanize their governments face a policy dilemma: farmers seek fair prices, while urban workers and employers desire cheap food. Drawing on a new dataset of historical food prices in 146 markets, we explore the political economy of maize markets in East Africa...

The COVID-19 pandemic intensified existing structural challenges in Africa, including poverty, weak healthcare systems, and fragile agricultural supply chains. Consequently, examining its effects remains a critical area of study. This research investigates the effect of food prices on the...

We quantify the role of individual factors in shaping the domestic prices of selected grains and oilseeds in Poland and test the hypothesis of whether a favorable supply situation can isolate the domestic market from external shocks. We carried out estimations using error correction and local...

This study is the first to establish a chronology of food crises in Germany from the sixteenth century to their disappearance in the late 1860s based on a standard methodology to detect cycles in commodity prices. To this end, we develop an aggregate rye price series, deflate it by a consumer...

We empirically investigate the economic impact of natural disasters on food prices and production. We address the key issues of data aggregation and counterfactual biases. Our data set consists of regional information on prices and production for fourteen food products in Peru. This granularity...

Establishing a clear link between prices of conventional and niche product versions can help address challenges associated with anticipating these prices and attenuate concerns related to thin market conditions. In that regard, we analyze the price dynamics, differentiating between agri-product...

This study examines the effectiveness of using webscraped data to predict price developments in the Austrian food retail sector. We calculate monthly nowcasts of price changes based on daily price data collected by the OeNB since mid-2020, using Eurostat methodology for price index calculation,...

This paper studies the effects of country-specific energy prices on food consumer price inflation (CPI) within a cross-country Phillips curve framework. It considers a panel of 36 OECD member and candidate economies using quarterly data from the start of 1994 to the end of 2021. We find that...

This study investigates the disconnect between falling agricultural commodity prices and persistent food inflation by applying a Heterogeneous Vector Autoregression (VAR) model to a panel of 203 countries using data from 1961 to 2022. It analyzes the impact of global crops, fertilizer, and oil...

Food price inflation in Laos has surged into double digits since mid-2022, surpassing global and regional trends. High food prices impact the welfare of both consumers and agricultural producers. Holding all other factors constant, increasing food prices diminishes households' purchasing power....

This research examines spatial integration in Mexican regional-food markets, with an emphasis on the degree of processing. The analysis employs a pairwise approach to evaluate the convergence of price differentials for each item across city pairs. Additionally, it examines the influence of...