Search Results - subject_exact:"Long cycles"

Why the great surges of developments are different : a coupling analysis of the socio-political paradigm and the techno-economic paradigm

Yang, Hutao; Yang, Mingxuan - 2024

Purpose - The "problem-ridden present" is indubitably related to the prevalence of neoliberalism, but it is also when the fifth technological revolution took place. In this special time, what should be done to achieve the coupling of Socio-political Paradigmand Technoeconomic Paradigm through...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015121114

A wavelet investigation of periodic long swings in the economy : the original data of Kondratieff and some important series of GDP per capita

Focacci, Antonio - 2023

The existence of fluctuations is part of the narrative, especially when there is a slowdown (or worse, a contraction) in economic activity. The presence of long waves with a period of about 50 years as proposed by Kondratieff is one of the most controversial and fascinating theories about...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014432013

The periodization and analytical framework of economic long waves : a new study from the perspective of historical materialism

Hu, Leming; Liu, Gang; Gao, Guiai - 2023

Proceeding from the perspective of historical materialism, this article examines technological revolution and industrial revolution as intermediate-level concepts for analyzing economic long waves, and reconstructs the political economy analysis framework of long-wave theory. Based on this...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014434293

Financialization historically contemplated : putting old wine in new barrels

Tsalikē, Persephonē; Tsoulfidis, Lefteris - 2023

This article examines the extent to which financialization is a new phase of capital accumulation characterized by its own economic laws in which the real (production) economy adjusts accordingly. In order to examine this hypothesis, the authors invoke the share of the financial sector in the...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014434303

Long waves, paradigm shifts, and income distribution, 1929-2010 and afterwards

Espinosa-Gracia, Adrian; Sánchez Chóliz, Julio - 2023

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014495782

Can we reform capitalism for its own good? : a roadmap to sustainability

Guttmann, Robert - 2023

An intensifying combination of instability, inequality, and environmental degradation obliges us to consider how best to reform capitalism. The question of the system's reformability has deep historic roots in capitalism's long-wave dynamic where periods of crises have recurrently set in motion...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014318321

Economic growth, poverty traps and cycles : productive capacities versus inefficiencies

Giombini, Germana; Grassetti, Francesca; Carrera, Edgar … - 2023

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014428604

Are long waves 50 years? : reexamining economic and financial long wave periodicities in Kondratieff and Schumpeter

Hecht, Jason - 2025

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015546535

Bubble necessity theorem

Hirano, Tomohiro; Akira Toda, Alexis - 2025

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015329741

Long Waves of Growth, Hegemonic Power, and Climate Change in the World Economy : Dutch, British, US and Chinese Capitalism and Structural Polycrises

O'Hara, Phillip Anthony - 2025

Chapter 1. Long Waves of Growth, Hegemony, and Climate Change -- Chapter 2. Capitalism’s Long Waves: Kondratiev, Schumpeter et al -- Chapter 3. Long Wave Schools of Thought: Rostovian, Mandelian,Neo-Schumpeterian, Eastern, SSA, WSA, etal -- Chapter 4. Long Waves of Climate Change on Planet...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015451462

War and the World Economy : Trade, Tech and Military Conflicts in a De-globalising World

Jefferies, William - 2025

Chapter One Polycrisis and the Thucydides Trap -- Chapter Two China’s Challenge to the West -- Chapter Three The Collapse of the Centrally Planned Economies and the Expansion of Capitalism -- Chapter Four The Long Wave of Globalisation -- Chapter Five Hyper-Globalisation and the Laws of...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015340072

#GreenGrowth : die grüne Welle des Wachstums : Analysen & Trends

Naumer, Hans-Jörg - 2022 - Stand: 5. Januar 2022

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015063677

The end of the present mode of production - a new Kondratieff wave? : new directions for research?

Philipson, Sarah - 2022

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10013264656

Integrable Systems of the Intermediate Long Wave Type in 2 + 1 Dimensions

Ferapontov, Evgeny; Gormley, B.; Novikov, V.S; Pavlov, M.V - 2022

We classify 2 + 1 dimensional integrable systems with nonlocality of the intermediate long wave type. Links to the 2 + 1 dimensional waterbag system are established. Dimensional reductions of integrable systems constructed in this paper provide dispersive regularisations of hydrodynamic...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10013298526

Tools and concepts for understanding disruptive technological change after Schumpeter

Knell, Mark; Vannuccini, Simone - 2022

This chapter is about radical innovation and disruptive technological change. Discovering the nature and mechanisms of disruptive technological change can help to understand the long-run dynamics of innovation and map profound transformation in socio-economic systems. The chapter considers four...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10013172430

A model of economic growth and long cycles

Nikolaos, Chatzarakis; Persefoni, Tsaliki; Tsoulfidis, … - 2022

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10013396240

Social innovations mediate technology and economy in the Kondratieff waves

Hu, Mei-chih; Phillips, Fred; Wu, Ching-Yan - 2024

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015584390

Long waves of economic growth in Asia and Western Europe, 1950-2020 : are there any circular-cumulative causation and contradiction aspects?

Samudro, Bhimo Rizky; Pratama, Yogi P.; Soesilo, … - 2024

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014634569

Elements for a study of the profit rate : France, 1896–2019

Ding, Weinan; Long, Zhiming; Herrera, Rémy - 2024

Considering that the rate of profit constitutes a key indicator for the analysis of the evolution of capitalist economies, this chapter proposes to study the case of France from 1896 to 2019, that is, over 124 years in total. From a series of stock of productive capital reconstructed for the...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014456189

Stagflation and inflationary regimes : long cycles in historical perspective

Gallegati, Marco; Desai, Meghnad - 2024

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015448613

Economic growth and long cycles : a classical political economy approach

Chatzarakis, Nikolaos; Tsalikē, Persephonē; … - 2024

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015068640

Modeling Long Cycles

Kang, Da Natasha; Marmer, Vadim - 2021

Recurrent boom-and-bust cycles are a salient feature of economic and finan- cial history. Cycles found in the data are stochastic, often highly persistent, and span substantial fractions of the sample size. We refer to such cycles as “long”. In this paper, we develop a novel approach to...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10013238018

A Resolution of the Purchasing Power Parity Puzzle : Imperfect Knowledge and Long Swings

Frydman, Roman - 2020

Asset prices undergo long swings that revolve around benchmark levels. In currency markets, fluctuations involve real exchange rates that are highly persistent and that move in near-parallel fashion with nominal rates. The inability to explain these two regularities with one model has been...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10012705781

The long wave of the Internet

Bonaccorsi, Pietro; Moggi, Massimo - 2020

The Internet technology has radically transformed the computer and communication world, with revolutionary effects on economic and social systems at a global level. Its invention is the result of a collective research effort performed by computer scientists and telecommunications, electrical,...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10012292385

Explaining the economic crisis : Portuguese perspectives on Marxist theory

Bastien, Carlos; Nunes, Ana Bela - 2020

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10012256570

El estudio de los ciclos económicos y de los ciclos largos en México

Sotelo, Edgar; Maza, Angélica - 2023

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014566284

As Time Went by - Long Waves in the Light of Evolving Evolutionary Economics

Louçã, F. - 2019

Evoking Chris Freeman and following from the last book he co-authored, this WP asks why has the Phase B of the fourth long wave been so long, since the major turning point of the 1970s. As Chris's answer was the mismatch between the new techno-economic paradigm, available for decades, and the...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10012892992

On groundbreaking innovations in weapons technology and the long wave

Gerhard, Johannes - 2019

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10011992418

The recurrence of long cycles : theories, stylized facts and figures

Tsoulfidis, Lefteris; Papageorgiou, Aristotelis - 2019

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10012427705

Russia, India, and China : cooperation and new role in the development of international relations

Glazʹev, Sergej Jurʹevič; Arkhipova, Violetta V. - 2022

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10013387141

K-waves and the innovation-technological paradigm of Schumpeter–Mensch–Freeman–Hirooka

Akaev, Askar; Devezas, Tessaleno C.; Tick, Andrea - 2022

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10012939662

Assessment of the quality of growth of national economies in the context of digital transformation

Khusainov, Bulat; Nussupov, Asset; Kaimoldina, Sholpan; … - 2022

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10012939854

Kondratiev Long Cycles : New Information about Discussions in the USSR in the 1920s

Mustafin, Arthur - 2018

This article is devoted to a reconstruction of Soviet discussions on long cycles based on an analysis of a wide range of unknown and little-known historiographical sources and archival materials. The role of discussions in the formation of assessments and ideas about long cycles is shown. In...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014110621

Technology evolution and long waves : investigating their relation with spectral and cross-spectral analysis

Ozouni, Eirini; Katrakylidis, Constantinos; Zarotiadis, … - 2018

The present paper is an empirical exercise that contributes to the debate on whether long-lasting cyclical economic development can be viewed as a deterministic phenomenon or a stochastic process. First, we search for longer lasting, periodically reappearing cycles of GDP per capita in four...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10012157200

On the economic long wave

Gao, Feng - 2018

Purpose There exist long-term fluctuations in the process of capital accumulation. The economic long wave is an essential part of research into non-mainstream western economics. After the Second World War, the capitalist world experienced the fourth long wave of expansion and then entered into a...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10012233249

Global Population Ageing, the Sixth Kondratieff Wave, and the Global Financial System

Grinin, Leonid - 2018

The concerns about population ageing apply to both developed and many developing countries and it has turned into a global issue. In the forthcoming decades the population ageing is likely to become one of the most important processes determining the future society characteristics and the...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10012928184

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Global Population Ageing, the Sixth Kondratieff Wave, and the Global Financial System

Grinin, Leonid - 2017

Book / Working Paper

Long-run bulls and bears

Albuquerque, Rui; Eichenbaum, Martin S.; Papanikolaou, … - 2015

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10011488090

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Long-Run Bulls and Bears

Albuquerque, Rui A. - 2017

Book / Working Paper

Long-Run Bulls and Bears

Albuquerque, Rui A. - 2015

Book / Working Paper

Long-run Bulls and Bears

Albuquerque, Rui - 2015

Book / Working Paper

The Long Waves in Economy (Kondratiev Cycles) and the Emergency of a New Tecno-Economic Paradigm in Freeman & Louca

Jijena Infante, Roberto A. - 2017

The emergency of a new tecno-economic paradigm, the existence of regularities in History, is a construction of the human intellect that tries to find explanation and sense when happening of the Humanity, treating to escape to the myth of Sísifo. Consensus exists that this is a time of global...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014062887

Modifications of long economic cycles and prospects for global economic dynamics in 2021-2050

Klinov, Vilenin G.; Sidorov, A. A. - 2021

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10012583411

Die sozioökonomische Transformation : wie Wellenreiter aus der Wirtschaftskrise führen

Kossik, Anja; Hitschmann, Karl - 2021

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10012417996

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Die sozioökonomische Transformation : wie Wellenreiter aus der Wirtschaftskrise führen

Kossik, Anja; Hitschmann, Karl - 2021

Book / Working Paper

As time went by : why is the long wave so long?

Louçã, Francisco - 2021

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10012621948

Die größte Chance aller Zeiten : was wir jetzt aus der Krise lernen müssen und wie Sie vom größten Vermögenstransfer der Menschheit profitieren

Friedrich, Marc - 2021 - Originalausgabe, 1. Auflage

ekz-Annotation: Die Autoren sehen voraus, dass sich Wirtschaft, Politik, Gesellschaft und das individuelle Leben jede*r Einzelnen nach der Pandemie für immer drastisch verändern werden. Sie ermutigen dazu, nun die Gunst der Stunde zu nutzen und zu investieren, um sehr viel Geld zu verdienen....

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10012542257

Interaction between Kondratieff Waves and Juglar Cycles

Grinin, Leonid; Korotayev, Andrey - 2016

Some important correlations between medium-term economic cycles (7–11 years) known as Juglar cycles and long (40–60 years) Kondratieff cycles are presented in this paper. The research into the history of this issue shows that this aspect is insufficiently studied. Meanwhile, in our opinion,...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014125830

Long waves of capitalist development : an empirical investigation

Basu, Deepankar - 2016

In this paper, I investigate the phenomenon of long waves of capitalist development from two perspectives. First, I look for evidence of long waves of economic growth taking the dates for turning points of long waves from the historical literature (Mandel, 1995). Using historical data for 20...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10011573533

Tracking the slowdown in long-run GDP growth

Antolin-Diaz, Juan; Drechsel, Thomas; Petrella, Ivan - 2017

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10011781056

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Tracking the slowdown in long-run GDP growth

Antolin-Diaz, Juan; Drechsel, Thomas; Petrella, Ivan - 2016

Book / Working Paper

Quo vadis Digitalisierung? : von Industrie 4.0 zur Circular-Economy

Fontaine, Sebastian - 2016

Der Begriff IT, "Information Technology" steht für den 5. und jüngsten Kondratjeff-Zyklus und damit für einen zukünftigen Boom. Gleichzeitig lässt dieser Begriff vermutlich nicht wenige Computernutzer zunächst erschreckt an die PC-Fehlermeldung denken "Bitte wenden Sie sich an Ihren...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10011667797