Search Results - subject_exact:"Mineralöl"

Lessons from downstream diversification of oil and gas exporting countries

Luciani, Giacomo - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015620234

Lifting constraints : Venezuelan oil and global market adjustment

Adel, Niloofar; Bastianin, Andrea; Pedini, Luca; … - 2026

We quantify the contribution of Venezuela’s oil sector collapse to changes in global oil market responsiveness after 2007. We extend the multi-country structural model of Baumeister and Hamilton (2024) by modeling Venezuela explicitly and constructing a counterfactual production path that...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015627979

Why oil windfalls do not equal welfare : regime-dependent long-run elasticities in MENA and Azerbaijan

Güläliyev, Mayis; Aliyev, Shafa; Alesgerova, Aygun; … - 2026

Background: This study revisits whether oil revenue windfalls translate into higher socio-economic welfare in oil-exporting economies and explains why oil price booms often fail to generate sustained gains in real GDP per capita. Methods: Using annual data for ten oil-exporting countries over...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015628614

Petroleum funds as instruments of energy policy and economic diversification : a cross-country integrative review

Mota, Teodoro Marcos; Adityawarman, Adityawarman; … - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015617045

Oil dependence, economic diversification, and economic growth in GCC countries : a new composite index and PMG-ARDL evidence

Ishker, Nermeen; Taher, Hanadi; Houshaimi, Maggie - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015618828

Can satellites predict oil demand?

Bricongne, Jean-Charles; Macalos, Joao; Meunier, Baptiste; … - 2026

We investigate whether satellite observations of nitrogen dioxide (NO₂) - a short-lived pollutant primarily emitted by fossil fuel combustion - can improve the forecasting of oil demand. After retrieving, cleaning, and aggregating daily satellite data, we integrate NO₂ into a range of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015610289

Global agrifood implications of the 2026 conflict in the Middle East : impacts on energy and fertilizer trade, and food security : information note

2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015637581

Multiscale dynamic interdependency between China's crude oil futures and petrochemical-related commodity futures : an integrated perspective from the industry chain system

Yang, Jie; Feng, Yun; Yang, Hao - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015359789

Alternative fuels and processes for saudi construction materials companies

Matar, Walid; Hamdani, Sid Ahmed; Aljamed, Faris - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015197305

Öljyn matka Venäjältä Intiaan ja sieltä Euroopan markkinoille

Herrala, Risto; Solanko, Laura - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015331881

Spillover effects between China's new energy and carbon markets and international crude oil market : a look at the impact of extreme events

Zhang, Yong; Tang, Guangyuan; Li, Rong - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015331886

The economics of waste oil recycling in the EU

Klenert, David; García-Gutiérrez, P.; Tonini, D.; … - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015332231

Interplay of alternative energy sub-sectors, oil prices, and oil volatility : exploring simultaneous relationships

Minh Thi Hong Dinh - 2025

This study examines the simultaneous relationships among oil prices, oil volatility, and two sub-sectors within alternative energy stocks: renewable energy equipment (REE) and alternative fuels (AF). The results confirm the existence of a bidirectional relationship. While most alternative energy...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015338337

The dynamics of evasion : the price cap on Russian oil exports and the amassing of the shadow fleet

Cardoso, Diego S.; Salant, Stephen W.; Daubanes, Julien - 2025

To reduce funds for Russia’s Ukraine invasion, Western governments imposed a price ceiling on Russian seaborne oil exports using Western services. To sell above that ceiling, Russia developed a “shadow fleet” which uses no such services. We use a calibrated model driven by this fleet’s...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015182866

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The dynamics of evasion : the price cap on Russian oil exports and the amassing of the shadow fleet

Cardoso, Diego S.; Salant, Stephen W.; Daubanes, Julien - 2025

Book / Working Paper

OIES paper

2025

Geopolitics is an overarching characteristic of much of this outlook for the key themes in the global energy economy in 2025. The start of Donald Trump’s second term in the White House will herald new pressures to multiple layers of the global economy, from trade to labour, monetary policy to...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015193834

Effects of oil shocks on the trade balance of Azerbaijan : evidence from the TVP-VAR model

Catik, A. Nazif; Balli, Esra; Arıca, Emre Umut; … - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015481263

How major geopolitical events affect tail risk contagion in global crude oil markets : evidence from the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Gong, Xiao-Li; Jia, Kai-Wen; Xiong, Xiong - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015484385

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How major geopolitical events affect tail risk contagion in global crude oil markets : evidence from the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Gong, Xiao-Li; Jia, Kai-Wen; Xiong, Xiong - 2025

Article

The impact of oil supply surprises on maritime transport : a temporal and sectoral analysis

Tarkun, Savaş - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015485806

Is Bitcoin a safe-haven asset during U.S. presidential transitions? : a time-varying analysis of asset correlations

Pathairat Pastpipatkul; Htwe Ko - 2025

Amid the growing debate over how cryptocurrencies are reshaping global finance, this study explores the nexus between Bitcoin, Brent Crude Oil, Gold and the U.S. Dollar Index. We used a time-varying vector autoregressive (tvVAR) model to examine the connection among these four assets during the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015457569

Disentangling timing uncertainty of event-driven connectedness among oil-based energy commodities

Kočenda, Evžen; Bartušek, Daniel - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015457987

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Disentangling timing uncertainty of event-driven connectedness among oil-based energy commodities

Kočenda, Evžen; Bartušek, Daniel - 2024

Book / Working Paper

Geopolitical risk and extreme spillovers among oil-based energy commodities

Kočenda, Evžen; Albrecht, Peter; Pastorek, Daniel - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015616577

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Geopolitical risk and extreme spillovers among oil-based energy commodities

Kočenda, Evžen; Albrecht, Peter; Pastorek, Daniel - 2025

Book / Working Paper

How do economic policy uncertainty and geopolitical risk affect oil imports? : Evidence from China and India

Huang, Fei-Wen; Su, Chi-Wei; Yang, Shengyao; Qin, Meng; … - 2025

To ensure energy security for emerging economies, it is imperative to explore the impacts of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) and geopolitical risk (GPR) on oil imports in China (COI) and India (IOI). An innovative wavelet quantile correlation framework is devised to dissect EPU-COI, GPR-COI,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015448900

Assessing the influence of geopolitical risks and Indian uncertainty index on energy sector with VECM

Meher, Bharat Kumar; Anand, Abhishek; Frank, Daniel; … - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015466596

Forecasting the value at risk of the crude oil futures market : do high-frequency data help?

Lyu, Yongjian; Yi, Heling; Qin, Fanshu; Liu, Jiatao; Ke, Rui - 2025

This paper presents the first formal comparison of Value at risk (VaR) forecasting performance across various high-frequency volatility models and conventional benchmarks using daily data in the crude oil futures market. Our analysis reveals the following key findings:(1) High-frequency data...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015467313

Tightening the oil-price cap to increase the pressure on Russia : why the current sanctions regime is failing, and how to fix it

Dubrovskiy, Volodymyr; Nixey, James - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015470302

Bridging the methane gap : what the EU import standard means for UK oil and gas exports?

Olczak, Maria - 2025

The European Union’s Methane Emissions Regulation (EU MER), effective from August 2024, introduces a methane intensity standard for fossil fuel imports into the EU. It places new compliance requirements on EU importers and, indirectly, on non-EU producers and exporters, including those...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015449465

Assessing the security of crude oil supply chain : the case of China

Liu, Jingye; Guo, Fengqi; Shi, Ying; Ding, Rijia; Chen, Zhen - 2025

The recurrence of international geopolitical events has intensified tensions in global energy supply chains. As a major crude oil consumer, China urgently needs to identify vulnerabilities within its crude oil supply chain (COSC) and implement targeted measures to safeguard national energy...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015451563

Islamic Republic of Mauritania : Improving Administration of Hydrocarbon Tax Revenues

Sakr, Fadia - 2025

The Islamic Republic of Mauritania will soon commence gas production through the Grand Tortue Ahmeyim, a major natural gas development situated offshore between Mauritania and Senegal. This mission assessed the current situation of the management of the hydrocarbon tax revenues and provided...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015451975

The Macroeconomics of strategic petroleum reserve

Chan, Ying Tung; Ji, Qiang; Zhang, Dayong - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015454425

Do oil price forecast disagreement of survey of professional forecasters predict crude oil return volatility?

Hasselgren, Anton; Hou, Ai Jun; Suardi, Sandy; Xu, Caihong - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015440286

Analysis of the asymmetric causal relationship between oil prices, oil consumption and environmental degradation in Kazakhstan

Kudabayeva, Lyazzat; Imanova, Mehriban; Zurbayeva, Aliya; … - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015476900

A Global Assessment of Domestic Petroleum Fuel Prices

Akcura, Elcin - 2025

Oil prices have been increasingly volatile since 2004. However, the impact of this volatility on domestic end-user prices differs significantly by fuel and country. Some countries fully pass through global price movements to domestic end-user prices, and some countries freeze domestic fuel...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015424920

The energy-food nexus : exploring the effects of biofuel policy on crude oil and corn market connectivity

Guo, Jin; Tanaka, Tetsuji; Wang, Xiufang - 2025

The rapid growth of US ethanol production, driven by the Energy Policy Act of 2005 and the Energy Independence and Security Act of 2007, has raised questions about intensifying price linkages between energy and food markets. This is based on the premise that higher crude oil prices incentivize...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015425444

Financial dynamics of energy, coal, and crude oil prices: pathways to sustainability

Goh, Thomas Sumarsan; Erika, Erika; Henry, Henry; … - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015425699

Volatility spillovers and conditional correlations between oil, renewables and stock markets : a multivariate GARCH-in-mean analysis

Wang, Wenxue; Moffatt, Peter G.; Zhang, Zheng; Raza, … - 2025

We investigate linkages between three different markets: renewable energy (represented by a range of renewable energy ETFs); traditional energy (represented by crude oil ETF); and common stocks (represented by the S&P 500 Index ETF). We use daily data from 2008 to 2021. The econometric framework...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015432140

Predicting crude oil returns and trading position : evidence from news sentiment

Jung, Hail; Kim, Daejin - 2025

We study the effectiveness of textual information in predicting the returns of crude oil futures and understanding the behavior of market participants. Using a machine learning method to extract oil market sentiment from news articles, we find that the computed sentiment is significantly...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015432384

Crude oil and economic performance in Nigeria in the presence of multicollinearity using Cobb-Douglass model

Sunday, Adesina Olumide; Olaoluwa, Agboola O.; Funmi, … - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015417302

How do asymmetric oil prices and economic policy uncertainty shapes stock returns across oil importing and exporting countries? : evidence from instrumental variable quantile regression approach

Bilal, Aman; Ahmed, Shakeel; Zada, Hassan; Thalassinos, … - 2025

This study employs asymmetric quantile regression to investigate the asymmetric impact of WTI crude oil prices and economic policy uncertainty (EPU) on stock market returns from May 2014 to December 2024 in oil-importing (China, India, Germany, Italy, Japan, USA, and South Korea) and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015408943

Analysis of the relationship between oil prices and current accounts in oil importing countries

Mombekova, Gulmira; Sarsenova, Aķmaral Edílbajķyzy; … - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015418785

Navigating crude oil volatility forecasts : assessing the contribution of geopolitical risk

Delis, Panagiotis; Degiannakis, Stavros; Filis, George - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015606674

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Navigating crude oil volatility forecasts : assessing the contribution of geopolitical risk

Delis, Panagiotis; Degiannakis, Stavros; Filis, George - 2025

Book / Working Paper

Market efficiency across intra-daily sampling frequencies for Brent crude oil futures

Smith-Meyer, Erik; Haugom, Erik; Ewald, Christian - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015625063

Asymmetric reactions of the crude oil and natural gas markets on Vietnamese stock markets

Aladwani, Jassim - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015632638

Dynamic interdependence between crude oil and the automobile equities amid uncertainties

Akorsu, Patrick Kwashie; Kumordzie, Maxwell; Agyei, … - 2025

This current paper evaluates the variational dependence between West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil and stock returns in the automotive sector, encompassing those operated in New York (Tesla, Toyota, Volkswagen, and Honda) and Shanghai (Chongqing, Build Your Dream [BYD], Jianghuai Automobile...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015614021

Global oil trading networks : structural patterns and geopolitical risks

Tao, Miaomiao; Che, Shuai; Qi, Lingli; Wu, Longsheng; … - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015614287

Comparison of the interdependence relationship between crude oil futures and spot in China and international crude oil markets : evidence from time-frequency and quantile perspectives

Shi, Fengyuan; Deng, Yiwen; Guo, Yaoqi - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015374477

Contemporaneous and lagged R² decomposed connectedness : evidence for stock market indices, thematic ETFs, bitcoin, brent crude oil and geopolitical risks

Belhouichet, Fekria; Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; … - 2025

This paper applies the R² connectedness method proposed by Balli et al. (2023) to analyse contemporaneous and lagged connectedness between returns on several asset classes (sector ETFs, Bitcoin, stock market indices, Brent crude oil) over the period 1 January 2023 – 22 September 2025, in the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015547417

Green bond, stock, cryptocurrency, and commodity markets : a multiscale analysis and portfolio implications

Kamal, Elham; Bouri, Elie - 2025

This paper examines the dependence, systemic risk spillover, return and volatility spillover, and portfolio implications across various timescales between the Green Bond (GB) and U.S. S&P 500 Stock (SP), Vanguard Total World Stock Index Fund (VT), Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), Ripple, OIL, and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015557865

Multivariate GARCH models with spherical parameterizations : an oil price application

Ballestra, Luca Vincenzo; De Blasis, Riccardo; Pacelli, … - 2025

In popular Baba-Engle-Kraft-Kroner (BEKK) and dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity models, the large number of parameters and the requirement of positive definiteness of the covariance and correlation matrices pose some...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015560223

Geopolitical risk and the volatility of GCC stock markets around the war on the Gaza Strip

Al-Fayoumi, Nedal; Bouri, Elie; Abuzayed, Bana - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015593302

Optimizing the crude oil trade network : balancing cost and environmental impact

Sajedianfard, Najmeh; Shahnazi, Rouhollah - 2025

The global crude oil trade network, a cornerstone of energy supply chains, suffers from structural inefficiencies that amplify environmental damage and geopolitical risks. This study aims to (1) develop an optimization model reconciling logistical costs with CO2 emissions, (2) quantify energy...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015593463