Using an industry-specific partial-equilibrium (PE) Armington model, we simulate several industry-specific shocks that have been previously simulated using an Armington-style computable general equilibrium (CGE) models. We draw on two Armington-style CGE studies that simulate an...

We develop a pair of industry-specific partial equilibrium models of trade policy thatestimate how changes in tariff rates affect FDI. The models focus on two differenttypes of FDI. Tariff-jumping FDI is likely to expand with a large increase in the tariff ratein export markets, while export...

In this working paper, we present a non-technical guide for users of the Partial Equilibrium (PE) Modeling Portal (https://www.usitc.gov/data/pe_modeling/index.htm). We describe thefundamental assumptions used in each model on the portal and present a series of steps thatusers can follow to...

This document presents a set of estimates on the effects of reducing the rate of income tax on enterprises in the Colombian case. The estimate made under a partial equilibrium scheme generates different and less reliable results than those based on a general equilibrium model

Job loss comes with large present value earnings losses which elude workhorse models of unemployment and labor market policy. I propose a parsimonious model of a frictional labor market in which jobs differ in terms of unemployment risk and workers search off- and on-the-job. This gives rise to...

In 2016, the People’s Republic of China removed its support prices for maize and started destocking its large public reserves of maize. This paper investigates what would happen if China were to also eliminate its support prices for rice and wheat and reduce its public stocks of these two...

We develop a partial equilibrium model in which firms can locate in two separate regions. A firm's decision where to locate in a given period depends on the regions' relative profitability. If firms react strongly to the regions' relative profitability, their market switching behavior generates...

We analyze the firm-level and aggregate consequences of equity market imperfections in the form of noisy information aggregation for corporate risk-taking and investment. Market imperfections cause controlling shareholders to invest too much in upside risks and too little in downside risks in an...

We analyze the firm-level and aggregate consequences of equity market imperfections in the form of noisy information aggregation for corporate risk-taking and investment. Market imperfections cause controlling shareholders to invest too much in upside risks and too little in downside risks in an...

Motivated by the rapid rise and volatility of oil prices, many countries are promoting biofuels as alternative energy sources. The claimed advantage that biofuels reduce GHG emissions is also an additional driver behind the widespread adoption of biofuel in Ethiopia and other countries. However,...

Consider a society with a finite number of sectors (social issues or commodities). In a partial equilibrium (PE) mechanism a sector authority (SA) aims to elicit agents' preference rankings for outcomes at hand, presuming separability of preferences, while such presumption is false in general...

Natural gas plays an important role in the future development of electricity markets, as it is the least emission-intensive fossil generation option and additionally provides the needed plant operating flexibility to deal with intermittent renewable generation. As both the electricity and the...

Electricity markets depend on upstream energy markets to supply the fuels needed for generation. Since these markets rely on networks, congestion in one can quickly produce changes in another. In this paper we develop a combined partial equilibrium market model which includes the interactions of...

The need to transfer climate mitigation technologies towards the developing world has been acknowledged since the beginning of climate negotiations. Little progress has however been made as shown by Article 10 of the Paris Agreement. One reason is that these technologies could become vital...

Then, we integrate the latest developments in the empirical gravity literature and we offer six recommendations to obtain reliable partial equilibrium estimates of the effects of bilateral and non-discriminatory trade policies within the same comprehensive, and theoretically-consistent...

The objective of this manuscript is to serve as a practical guide for estimations with the structural gravity model. After a brief review of the theoretical foundations, we summarize the main challenges with gravity estimations and we review the solutions to address those challenges. Then, we...

The upheaval in global crude oil markets and the boom in oil production from shale plays in North America have brought scrutiny on the export ban for crude oil in the United States. This paper examines the global flows and strategic refinery adjustments in a spatial, game-theoretic...