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  • Search: subject_exact:"Phillips curve"
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Year of publication
Subject
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Phillips curve 6,560 Phillips-Kurve 5,745 Theorie 2,524 Theory 2,491 Inflation 2,490 Monetary policy 1,375 Geldpolitik 1,350 Schätzung 1,292 Estimation 1,256 Unemployment 818 USA 809 Arbeitslosigkeit 794 United States 789 Neoklassische Synthese 556 Neoclassical synthesis 555 Inflation expectations 513 Inflationserwartung 506 Price stickiness 473 Preisrigidität 471 Natural rate of unemployment 458 Natürliche Arbeitslosenquote 458 EU-Staaten 426 EU countries 415 inflation 355 Euro area 352 Eurozone 352 Inflation targeting 336 Phillips Curve 335 Inflationssteuerung 325 Bruttoinlandsprodukt 322 Gross domestic product 321 Inflationsrate 295 Inflation rate 289 Konjunktur 281 Business cycle 280 Lohnrigidität 274 Wage rigidity 269 Prognoseverfahren 251 Forecasting model 245 VAR-Modell 239
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Online availability
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Free 3,477 Undetermined 982 CC license 59 Digitizable 1
Type of publication
All
Book / Working Paper 4,212 Article 2,613 Other 12
Subcategories
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Working paper 2,754 Article in journal 2,212 Book section 230 Proceedings 49 Government document 23 Literature review 17 Review 12 Biography 1 Case study 1
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Language
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English 6,013 Undetermined 518 German 126 Spanish 71 French 39 Portuguese 26 Italian 16 Russian 7 Danish 5 Polish 5 Czech 3 Croatian 3 Slovak 3 Romanian 2 Swedish 2 Bulgarian 1 Finnish 1 Hungarian 1 Korean 1 Dutch 1 Slovenian 1 Serbian 1 Turkish 1
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Author
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Snower, Dennis J. 117 Galí, Jordi 83 Karanassou, Marika 78 Paloviita, Maritta 69 Sala, Hector 60 Whelan, Karl 49 Blanchard, Olivier 44 Leeson, Robert 44 Mazumder, Sandeep 44 Gertler, Mark 42 Ascari, Guido 41 Ball, Laurence M. 41 López-Salido, José David 41 Sbordone, Argia M. 38 Nymoen, Ragnar 36 Forder, James 34 Graham, Liam 34 Flaschel, Peter 31 Wieland, Volker 31 Watson, Mark W. 30 Gerlach, Stefan 29 Farmer, Roger E. A. 28 Gordon, Robert J. 28 Vaona, Andrea 27 Benigno, Pierpaolo 26 Koop, Gary 26 Reis, Ricardo 26 Smith, Ron 26 Christiano, Lawrence J. 25 Semmler, Willi 25 Nelson, Edward 24 Stock, James H. 24 Russell, Bill 23 Sargent, Thomas J. 23 Mankiw, Nicholas Gregory 22 Razin, Asaf 22 Yuen, Chi-Wa 22 Fuhrer, Jeffrey C. 21 Khan, Hashmat 21 Kurozumi, Takushi 21
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Institution
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National Bureau of Economic Research 122 C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers 39 Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München 38 Federal Reserve Board (Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System) 20 Institut für Weltwirtschaft (IfW) 18 Society for Computational Economics - SCE 18 European Central Bank 15 Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) 15 Suomen Pankki 13 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 11 School of Economics, University College Dublin 10 Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago 9 Schweizerische Nationalbank (SNB) 9 Department of Economics, Oxford University 7 EconWPA 7 Reserve Bank of Australia 7 Sveriges Riksbank 7 Banque de France 6 CESifo 6 Econometric Society 6 Federal Reserve Bank of Boston 6 Federal Reserve Bank of New York 6 School of Economics and Finance, Queen Mary 6 Bank for International Settlements (BIS) 5 Bank of Japan 5 Department of Economics Studies, University of Dundee 5 Department of Economics, Rutgers University-New Brunswick 5 Economics Department, Organisation de Coopération et de Développement Économiques (OCDE) 5 Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE) 5 Center for Financial Studies 4 Centre de recherche en Économie (OFCE), Sciences économiques 4 DIW Berlin (Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung) 4 Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche, Facoltà di Economia 4 Economics Department, Queen's University 4 European Parliament / Directorate-General for Internal Policies of the Union 4 Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland 4 Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City 4 Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond 4 Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco 4 Internationaler Währungsfonds / Research Department 4
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Published in...
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NBER working paper series 122 NBER Working Paper 100 Working paper / National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. 94 Economics letters 74 Journal of money, credit and banking : JMCB 70 Journal of macroeconomics 69 Discussion paper / Centre for Economic Policy Research 65 Journal of monetary economics 64 Working paper series / European Central Bank 62 ECB Working Paper 58 Working paper 58 Economic modelling 57 Discussion papers / CEPR 56 Journal of economic dynamics & control 52 Kiel working paper 50 IMF working papers 48 Discussion paper series 47 Finance and economics discussion series 44 CEPR Discussion Papers 39 MPRA Paper 38 CESifo working papers 36 Empirical economics : a journal of the Institute for Advanced Studies, Vienna, Austria 36 Discussion paper 31 European economic review : EER 30 Working Paper 30 IZA Discussion Papers 29 Macroeconomic dynamics 29 Applied economics 28 IMF working paper 28 Discussion paper series / Centre for Economic Policy Research / International macroeconomics 27 Applied economics letters 26 Bank of Finland research discussion papers 25 Working papers 25 Review of Keynesian economics 23 CESifo Working Paper 22 Economica 21 CAMA working paper series 20 Oxford bulletin of economics and statistics 19 The American economic review 19 Working papers / Bank for International Settlements 19
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Source
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ECONIS (ZBW) 5,692 RePEc 784 EconStor 297 Other ZBW resources 33 BASE 18 USB Cologne (EcoSocSci) 11 ArchiDok 2
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Showing 1 - 50 of 4,886
 
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Do AI expectations reduce unemployment in the United States? : evidence from an AI attention index
Akyildirim, Erdinc; Bekci, Suzan; Gozgor, Giray - 2026 - This version: May 2, 2026
This paper constructs an AI Attention Index from LexisNexis news coverage and embeds it within an augmented Phillips curve framework. It then examines the relationship between AI attention and unemployment in the United States using monthly data from January 2000 to December 2025. We find that...
Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015639130
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Labour market flows, unemployment and the Phillips curve
Kharroubi, Enisse; Koechlin, Marius - 2026
Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015668208
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Demographic shifts and inflation dynamics in African economies
Mwakalila, Enock - 2026
This paper examines how demographic structure shapes inflation dynamics in African economies beyond the traditional Phillips Curve framework. Using panel data for African countries over 1995-2024 (with an estimation sample of 47), and System GMM estimation, we analyze how the shares of the youth...
Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016072764
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The micro-aggregated Phillips Curve
Aglio, Daniele; Bartelsman, Eric J. - 2026
This paper provides theory and evidence on micro-level pricing behavior needed to model an aggregate New Keynesian Phillips Curve. We start with individual firms that are heterogeneous in their production technology and in the demand curves they face. We estimate the parameters of supply and...
Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016069278
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Pro-cyclical emissions, real externalities, and optimal monetary policy
Giovanardi, Francesco; Kaldorf, Matthias - 2025
Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015583437
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Pro-cyclical emissions, real externalities, and optimal monetary policy
Giovanardi, Francesco; Kaldorf, Matthias - 2025
Book / Working Paper
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Formation, heterogeneity and theory consistency of inflation expectations in the euro area
Angelis, Athanasios; Tagkalakis, Athanasios - 2025
Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015422740
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An estimation of the Phillips curve in Mexico using city-level data
Aldeco Leo, Lorenzo; Reyes Rocha, Horacio - 2025
We estimate the slope of the Phillips curve in Mexico between 2005 and 2020 using city level data. We overcome the endogeneity of unemployment and core inflation through a panel instrumental variable strategy. Time-period fixed effects account for aggregate supply, demand, and expectation...
Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015457796
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An organizational structure approach to price setting and monetary policy
Guillén, Diogo Abry; Monteiro, Victor - 2025
Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015604400
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An organizational structure approach to price setting and monetary policy
Guillén, Diogo Abry; Monteiro, Victor - 2022
Book / Working Paper
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Credit conditions, inflation, and unemployment
Gu, Chao; Jiang, Janet Hua; Wang, Liang - 2025
Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015578334
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Credit conditions, inflation, and unemployment
Gu, Chao; Jiang, Janet Hua; Wang, Liang - 2025
Book / Working Paper
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Understanding the international rise & fall of inflation since 2020
Dao, Mai; Gourinchas, Pierre-Olivier; Haytin, Daniel L.; … - 2024
Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015051370
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Was globalization the root cause of low inflation?
Hukkinen, Juhana; Virén, Matti E. E. - 2024
Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015431803
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A hundred years of business cycles and the Phillips Curve
Bini, Lapo; Reichlin, Lucrezia; Ricco, Giovanni - 2024
Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015655713
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A hundred years of business cycles and the phillips curve
Bini, Lapo; Reichlin, Lucrezia; Ricco, Giovanni - 2024
Book / Working Paper
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Forecasting inflation : the sum of the cycles outperforms the whole
Verona, Fabio - 2026
Inflation dynamics reflect forces operating at different cycles, from short-lived shocks to longterm structural trends. We introduce the sum-of-the-cycles (SOC) method, which exploits this multifrequency structure of inflation for forecasting. SOC decomposes inflation into cyclical components,...
Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015560827
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Forecasting inflation: The sum of the cycles outperforms the whole
Verona, Fabio - 2026
Book / Working Paper
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Understanding post-pandemic inflation fluctuations : the commodity cost channel
Peersman, Gert - 2026
This paper employs a joint SVAR-IV model for the United States and the euro area to estimate the pass-through of energy and food commodity cost shocks to inflation. Exogenous commodity cost shocks - such as those triggered by the Russian invasion of Ukraine - had only a modest impact on...
Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015592023
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Understanding Post-Pandemic Inflation Fluctuations: The Commodity Cost Channel
Peersman, Gert - 2026
Book / Working Paper
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A simple method for estimating multiple natural rates simultaneously : estimation of Japan's potential output and natural foreign exchange rate
Kamada, Koichiro - 2026
Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015616967
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Wage dynamics, unemployment, and inflation: enhancing 4gm semi-structural model
Ramos-Veloza, Mario A.; Naranjo-Saldarriaga, Sara; … - 2026
Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015617555
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Why did inflation rise and fall in 2021-24? : channels and evidence from expectations
Reis, Ricardo - 2026
Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015616623
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Why did inflation rise and fall in 2021-24? : channels and evidence from expectations
Reis, Ricardo - 2026
Book / Working Paper
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A tractable menu cost model with an aggregate markup drift
Munakata, Ko - 2026
Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015613744
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Understanding the inflation-output relationship across business cycle phases
Cardamone, Dario; De Santis, Roberto A. - 2026
We examine the state dependence of monetary policy transmission and the parameters of the Phillips curve, dynamic IS equation, and Taylor rule across four regimes defined by joint deviations of inflation from the Federal Reserve's target and output from potential. The analysis uncovers important...
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Inflation persistence, the stability of money demand, and the natural rate of interest
Benati, Luca - 2026
Evidence since the XIX century shows that whereas the demand for M1 is uniformly stable (Benati, Lucas, Nicolini, and Weber, 2021), the demand for broader aggregates is stable under monetary regimes making inflation strongly mean-reverting-such as the Gold Standard and inflation-targeting-but it...
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Estimating the New Keynesian Phillips Curve in Vietnam
Hung, Trinh Phuc; Vasilev, Aleksandar - 2026
This research aimed to identify existence of a New Keynesian Phillips Curve in Vietnam. The examined period was 2012Q2 - 2025Q2, using secondary macroeconomics data and the Generalised Moments Method at 95% level of confidence. The dependent variables were price inflation and wage inflation,...
Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015604707
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Aging and the price level : irreversible capital, demographic transitions, and the shifting phillips curve
Deng, Yongheng; Inoue, Tomoo; Nishimura, Kiyohiko; … - 2026 - This Draft: March 26, 2026
Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015620220
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Imperfect information, composition of demand shocks, and the flattening of the Phillips curve
Okuda, Tatsushi; Tsuruga, Tomohiro; Zanetti, Francesco - 2026
We study why inflation responds differently to economic activity over time. Using survey data covering the universe of Japanese firms, we show that firms are unable to perfectly distinguish aggregate from sector-specific demand changes, leading to positively correlated expectations about these...
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Imperfect information, composition of demand shocks, and the flattening of the Phillips curve
Okuda, Tatsushi; Tsuruga, Tomohiro; Zanetti, Francesco - 2026
Book / Working Paper
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Imperfect information, composition of demand shocks, and the flattening of the phillips curve
Okuda, Tatsushi; Tsuruga, Tomohiro; Zanetti, Francesco - 2026
Book / Working Paper
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Inflation inattention and the consumption gap
Di Bartolomeo, Giovanni; Ferlaino, Francesco; Serpieri, … - 2026
Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015638015
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Monetary policy in the Euro Area, when Philips curves ... are curves
Ascari, Guido; Carrier, Alexandre; Gasteiger, Emanuele; … - 2026
Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015640484
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Sticky prices and constraints to produce
Markauskas, Justinas; Ravn, Morten O.; Ríos-Rull, … - 2026
Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015653798
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Structural persistence of Brazil's inflation rate in times of fiscal bubbles
Marques, André de Mattos - 2026
Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015633256
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Revisiting Thailand's Phillips Curves : a granular panel data approach
Chantaraboontha, Arisa - 2026
This paper employs disaggregated panel data to examine the evolution of Thailand's Phillips Curve (PC) before and during the pandemic, providing empirical evidence on the nature of Thai inflation dynamics and their implications for optimal monetary policy formulation. Utilizing the real output...
Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015633359
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From micro filters to the macro slope
Kara, Engin - 2026
Sticky-price firms do not merely underreact to ambiguous competitor prices - they actively lean against them. Above an inflation threshold, signals clear and firms reverse to follow. Existing information-friction models restrict weights between zero and one, ruling out this negative...
Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015635669
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From Volcker to the pandemic era: history dependent anchoring of short-run expected inflation
Jørgensen, Peter Lihn; Lansing, Kevin J. - 2026
Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015636749
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Sticky prices for inflationary economies : a tractable linear approximation to menu cost models with trend inflation
Adams, Jonathan - 2026
Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015636939
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The emergence of wage-price spirals : implications for monetary policy response
Boymatova, Mushtariy - 2026
This paper examines the interaction between nominal wage dynamics and consumer price inflation in Uzbekistan, with the aim of assessing the risk of wage-price spirals in an emerging market context. Using quarterly data covering the period from 2007 to 2025, the analysis investigates whether wage...
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The awakening of inflation and the return of the Phillips curve in the euro area
Neri, Stefano; Conflitti, Cristina; Lin, Alessandro - 2026
Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015668288
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The strength of the inflation-output link in China
Juselius, Mikael; Li, Wenzhe - 2026
Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015668360
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Unexpecting the expected in real-time inflation forecasting : the inflation expectations channel?
Bonino-Gayoso, Nicolás; Correa-López, Mónica - 2026
Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015669993
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The role of global inflation in estimation of US output components in the post Bretton Woods era : evidence from multivariate unobserved components models
Basistha, Arabinda - 2026
Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015673661
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The micro-aggregate Phillips curve
Aglio, Daniele; Bartelsman, Eric J. - 2026
This paper provides theory and evidence on micro-level pricing behavior needed to model an aggregate New Keynesian Phillips Curve. We start with individual firms that are heterogeneous in their production technology and in the demand curves they face. We estimate the parameters of supply and...
Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015675397
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Unobservable no more : estimating the natural rate of interest under flat is and phillips curves
Fiorentini, Gabriele; Galesi, Alessandro; Peña, Rodrigo; … - 2026
Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015616749
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Unobservable no more : estimating the natural rate of interest under flat IS and Phillips curves
Fiorentini, Gabriele; Galesi, Alessandro; Peña, Rodrigo; … - 2026
Book / Working Paper
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Micro and macro cost-price dynamics in normal times and during inflation surges
Gagliardone, Luca; Gertler, Mark; Lenzu, Simone; … - 2026
We develop a unified approach to studying cost-price dynamics in the cross-section of firms in order to jointly explain the time series of aggregate inflation and the frequency of price changes, both during normal times and inflation surges. A key novelty is the use of microdata on firms' prices...
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The propagation of shocks across the production network and implications for monetary policy
Gebauer, Stefan; Nakov, Anton; Nuño, Galo; Osbat, Chiara; … - 2026
The repeated occurrence of supply-chain disruptions since the COVID-19 pandemic reveals the need to complement traditional macroeconomic frameworks with approaches that better capture the complexity of modern economic productionstructures. This paper synthesises the findings of the ChaMP...
Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016061029
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Domestic and cyclical inflation in the euro area
Bodnár, Katalin; Fagandini, Bruno; Healy, Peter; … - 2026
The ECB's inflation target is formulated in terms of headline inflation. However, domestically determined inflation features prominently in the monetary policy transmission mechanism and in gauging underlying inflation, making it important to assess it regularly. The ECB monitors various proxies...
Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016072459
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Fixing the Phillips curve: implications of firms' monopsonistic wage-setting for inflation dynamics
Kurozumi, Takushi; Van Zandweghe, Willem - 2026
Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016072996
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How curvy is the Phillips curve?
Bunn, Philip; Anayi, Lena; Barnes, Emily; Bloom, Nicholas; … - 2026
Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016062676
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How Curvy is the Phillips Curve?
Bunn, Philip; Anayi, Lena; Bloom, Nicholas; Mizen, Paul; … - 2024
Book / Working Paper
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What drives exchange rate pass-throughs? : evidence from a non-parametric method
Kohlscheen, Emanuel; Mehrotra, Aaron N. - 2026
Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016083756
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Menu costs and asymmetric price adjustment
Ellingsen, Tore; Friberg, Richard; Hassler, John - 2026
Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016083355
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Productivity and inflation dynamics
Ambrosino, Ludovica; Chan, Jenny; Tenreyro, Silvana - 2026
Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016081616
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Productivity and inflation dynamics
Ambrosino, Maria Ludovica; Chan, Jenny; Tenreyro, Silvana - 2026
Book / Working Paper
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The micro-aggregated Phillips Curve
Aglio, Daniele; Bartelsman, Eric J. - 2026
Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016081255
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Monetary policy with endogenous aggregate productivity and misallocation
Hannikainen, Lauri - 2026
Standard New Keynesian models treat aggregate total factor productivity as exogenous to monetary policy. This paper studies optimal monetary policy in the four-equation New Keynesian model of Baqaee, Farhi, and Sangani (2024), in which monetary expansions reallocate resources toward high-markup...
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Monetary policy with endogenous aggregate productivity and misallocation
Hannikainen, Lauri - 2026
Book / Working Paper
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Lucas Islands game in intermediate macroeconomics
Hashimzade, Nigar; Kirsanov, Oleg; Kirsanova, Tatiana - 2026
Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016079816
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Credit condition, inflation and unemployment
Gu, Chao; Jiang, Janet Hua; Wang, Liang - 2023
Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014464300
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