Why do some nations prosper while others do not? While economists often turn to measures like GDP or per-capita income to answer this question, interdisciplinary theorist Cesar Hidalgo argues that there is a better way to understand economic success. Instead of measuring the money a country...

The volatility specification of the Markov-switching Multifractal (MSM) model is proposed as an alternative mechanism for realized volatility (RV). We estimate the RV-MSM model via Generalized Method of Moments and perform forecasting by means of best linear forecasts derived via the...

Seit ihrer Erkenntnis und Formulierung im Rahmen der Ausarbeitung derThermodynamik zeigte sich, dass der Geltungsbereich der sog. Hauptsätzeweit über die Grenzen der Thermodynamik im engeren Sinne herausreicht –sie sind offenbar das Fundament aller materiellen Prozesse. Unverständlichbleibt...

Many business, academic, and scientific groups have recommended that the Congress substantially increase R&D spending in the near future. President Bush’s American Competitiveness Initiative calls for a doubling of spending over the next decade in selected agencies that deal with the physical...

Multifractal processes have recently been proposed as a new formalism for modelling the time series of returns in insurance. The major attraction of these processes is their ability to generate various degrees of long memory in different powers of returns - a feature that has been found in...

Multifractal processes have recently been proposed as a new formalism for modelling the time series of returns in finance. The major attraction of these processes is their ability to generate various degrees of long memory in different powers of returns - a feature that has been found in...