Political risk is a significant determinant of sovereign debt dynamics. We estimate the sensitivity of bond yields and economic growth to a country-level broad proxy of political risk and develop a stochastic debt sustainability analysis optimization model with both yields and growth channels to...

Political risk is a significant determinant of sovereign debt dynamics. We estimate the sensitivity of bond yields and economic growth to a country-level broad proxy of political risk and develop a stochastic debt sustainability analysis optimization model with both yields and growth channels to...

We analyze the effect of bilateral investment treaties (BITs) on bilateral foreign portfolio investment in equity and debt securities. We find that expropriation risk and the level of a BIT's investor protection are complementary. Applying a Poisson Pseudo-Maximum-Likelihood model to a panel of...

This research examines the impact of policy-related risk (geopolitical risk, economic uncertainty, and political risk) on export performance. The data we used came from 16 leading economies between 1998 and 2022. We used fixed effect, two-stage least squares (2SLS), and generalized method of...

This study aims to capture the co-movement between political risk and economic growth in Cyprus employing quarterly data over the time period between 1995Q1 and 2018Q4, adopting a wavelet coherence technique allowing to investigate both the short and long run causal link between economic growth...

We analyze the effect of bilateral investment treaties (BITs) on bilateral foreign portfolio investment in equity and debt securities. We find that expropriation risk and the level of a BIT’s investor protection are complementary. Applying a Poisson Pseudo-Maximum-Likelihood model to a panel...

Foreign direct investment (FDI) has powered prosperity in developing countries for decades. Yet FDI, once a reliable contributor to economic growth, a conduit for the transfer of technology and innovation, and a link to domestic and international markets, has slowed in recent years as shocks...

Since its green shoots first emerged around 50 years ago, acceptance of environmental, social, and governance (ESG) considerations in institutional investing—especially in pension funds—has evolved with distinct shifts in investor preferences. This Pension Research Council volume traces...

This volume explores the understanding, analysis and applications of mitigating social and political risks and the devastating consequences of mishandling of incidences. Contributors use evidence based practices, theories and real-life scenarios to explore how social and political risk...

This study examines the impact of political risk and corporate governance mechanisms (CGM) on bank stability. The research problem was addressed using a sample of 954 bank-year observations from 14 Middle East and North Africa (MENA) countries during the period 2010-2018 to take into account the...

Chengtou bond is the only asset with market prices that can capture the funding cost of Chinese local government debt. In contrast to the U.S. municipal bonds, Chengtou bonds are issued by private corporations but implicitly guaranteed by local and the central governments, which are reflected by...

This study aims to fill the gap in the literature by specifically investigating the impact of country risk on the credit risk of the banking sectors operating in Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa (BRICS), emerging countries. More specifically, we explore whether the country-specific...

This study examines the impact of political risk and corporate governance mechanisms (CGM) on bank stability. The research problem was addressed using a sample of 954 bank-year observations from 14 Middle East and North Africa (MENA) countries during the period 2010-2018 to take into account the...

What effect does political instability in the form of a potential secession from a political union have on business formation? Using new measures of business creation and political instability in Ireland during the late nineteenth-century, we test whether increased political instability arising...

The housing market is one of the key drivers of economic growth and social welfare in South Africa. However, the performance of the market depends on housing prices which are also subjected to changes in various socio-economic and political factors. The main purpose of this study is to determine...

This study examines the impact of political risk on Chinese outward foreign direct investment (OFDI) and what motivates their preferred location. The study also analyzes the OFDI of other countries to enhance the comparison of China and other countries' OFDI sensitivity to political risk. The...

The political climate of any country has become one of the pillars of decision-making for investment and any other financial business. Zimbabwe is one of the countries that have experienced political instability for the longest time. Many studies have looked at the impact of political risk on...

This working paper brings together a diverse group of scholars to discuss the historiography of capitalism, business history and global governance and lay the foundations for further research in this area. Grace Ballor and Sabine Pitteloud open the discussion with a historiographical survey of...