Search Results - subject_exact:"Politische Stabilität"

Adaptation of renewable energy in SSA : testing debt overhang hypothesis with the presences of political stability and ICT development

Qamruzzaman, Md; Manickavasagam, Theivanayaki; … - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015616915

Gender gap in physical activity : the role of conflicts and political instability

Di Domizio, Marco - 2026

This article takes as its starting point the warnings issued by the World Health Organization (WHO) on the perverse effects of a sedentary lifestyle on people's health, resulting in additional health expenditure that diverts significant resources away from other areas of public spending. The...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015618360

Investigating the mediating role of political stability in the relationship between poverty and growth

Alamoudi, Abdulrhman Mohmmad - 2026

This study aims to examine the mediating role of political stability in the relationship between economic growth and poverty reduction in the MENA region. While several countries in the region have experienced economic expansion, persistent poverty remains a challenge, often attributed to...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015655390

A probabilistic measure of state fragility

Margalef, Joan - 2026

This paper develops a novel measure of state fragility: the probability of state failure. We define state failure as the inability to perform core functions and operationalize it through observable breakdowns- conflict, territorial control, institutional deficiency, and public service...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015612459

The role of institutional quality in renewable energy transition : a panel CS-ARDL analysis of MIKTA countries

Shanyazov, Nuriddin; Madrakhimov, Kakhramon; … - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015619901

Political stability and money laundering risk

Mahmood, Hamza; Ashraf, Badar Nadeem; Tran, Vy - 2026

The influence of political stability on financial crime remains a subject of ongoing debate. While stability is often associated with policy continuity, regulatory credibility, and more effective enforcement, an alternative view suggests that unstable democracies may outperform stable...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015628470

The impact of geopolitical crises on fiscal and budgetary stability

Papainog, Maria-Teodora - 2026

This study explores the relationship between geopolitical risk and fiscal-budgetary stability of countries, focusing on how external instability impacts the dynamics of the budget deficit. Using a dynamic System GMM (Arellano-Bover/Blundell-Bond) model on a panel dataset of 25 OECD member...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015639915

Selection of bureaucrats under weak state capacity : evidence from the Democratic Republic of Congo

Lee, Dongil; Mvukiyehe, Eric; Tchoupé, Christelle; … - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015640064

Transformations in conditions of turbulence : selection of adaptation models and mechanisms : International Scientific and Practical Conference

2026 - Electronic edition

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015641356

Fiscal consolidation and political instability

Heimberger, Philipp; Matzner, Anna - 2026

This paper analyses how fiscal consolidation shocks affect political instability in advanced economies. Using data on fiscal tightening in 17 OECD countries from 1980 to 2020, we estimate dynamic effects in a local projection framework employing a narrative-based instrumental variable approach...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015643114

Economic policy uncertainty in Central America and the Dominican Republic

Diakonova, Marina; Ghirelli, Corinna; Wu, Juan Quiñónez - 2026

The advent of Big Data and computational tools has transformed macroeconomic analysis, introducing real-time, high-frequency text-based indicators such as the economic policy uncertainty (EPU) index pioneered by Baker et al. (2016). However, constructing the EPU index for developing economies...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015643982

Does military spending stabilize or destabilize governments? : international analysis

Goel, Rajeev K.; Nelson, Michael A. - 2026

Military spending by nations has the potential to either stabilize governments or destabilize them (via threats of coups, for instance). We study this relationship formally by using a rich dataset on more than 150 countries, spanning nearly two recent decades from 2006 to 2023. Among other...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015651712

The Russian grain trap food security & political development in sub-Saharan Africa

Martyshev, Pavlo; Grigoriadis, Theocharis; Nivievskyi, Oleg - 2026

The weaponization of agricultural trade has once again emerged as critical in the study of modern geopolitics due to Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine. Although Russia has used its wheat exports as a means of enhancing its geopolitical influence over countries in the Global South, evidence...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015632175

Policy uncertainty and foreign direct investment : the moderating role of institutional quality

Akbakay, Zeki - 2026

This study investigates the impact of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) on foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows and examines how this relationship is moderated by institutional quality. The analysis is based on data from 37 developing countries over the period of 2002-2021. The World...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015636811

Fiscal response in the presence of aid heterogeneity under political regime change : new evidence from Pakistan

Farooq, Imran; Mavrotas, George; Cassimon, Danny - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015561095

Is insider trading politically informative?

Li, Zhenjun; Su, Zulong; Wei, Lijun - 2026

This study examines whether insider trading is politically informative and presents some evidence to hedge against firm-level political risk. Using quarterly data on U.S. listed firms from 2002 to 2021, we find that managers increase opportunistic insider sales prior to rises in firm-level...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015666480

Local political uncertainty and branch banking : evidence from deposit rate setting

Cotter, John; Gam, Yong Kyu; Hu, Yi - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015665666

Transmission losses, import dependence, and political instability : a co-integration perspective on Pakistan's energy crisis

Khan, Yasir; Yousafzai, Humaira; Hassan, Taimoor - 2026

Transnational oil and gas pipelines serve as vital strategic corridors within China's framework for energy import dependency, with their external risks directly impacting energy security and economic development. However, existing research still exhibits shortcomings in the systematic...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015671336

Political uncertainty and commodity markets

Hou, Kewei; Tang, Ke; Tao, Yubo (Robert); Zhang, Bohui - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016071158

Political instability, economic restructuring, and the informal sector : evidence from Palestine

Hallaq, Sameh; Morrar, Rabeh; Daas, Yousuf - 2026

This study investigates how prolonged political instability and economic restructuring have shaped the informal sector in Palestine. Using data from the Palestinian Labor Force Survey and applying econometric analysis with selection correction, we examine structural and institutional...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016081349

Political polarization and the asymmetric fragility of political regimes

Chong, Alberto; Grâdšṭayn, Marq - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016093096

The effect of economic freedom on quality of life : exploring the role of political risk factors in Africa

Akinlo, Anthony Enisan; Okunlola, Charles O. - 2025

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015324494

Measuring political leader's geopolitical risk perceptions

Itō, Asei; Lim, Jaehwan; Zhang, Hongyong - 2025

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015374103

U.S. Presidential news coverage : risk, uncertainty and stocks

Chan, Kam Fong; Smales, Lee A. - 2025

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015331650

Caudillo banking : political instability and banking fragility in Mexico, 1925-1929

Dávalos, Jorge; Flores Zendejas, Juan; Nodari, Gianandrea - 2025

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015337355

The impact of firm-level political risk on eco-innovation : the moderating effect of CEO power

Owolabi, Ayotola; Mousavi, Mohammad Mahdi; Gozgor, Giray; … - 2025

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015358034

Decoding the impact of political uncertainty on IPO underpricing in China

Xie, Yamin; Li, Zhichao; Ouyang, Wenjing; Wang, Hongxia - 2025

Purpose - Political factors play a crucial role in China's initial public offering (IPO) market due to its distinctive institutional context (i.e. "economic decentralization" and "political centralization"). Given the significant level of IPO underpricing in China, we examine the impact of local...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015198276

Unpacking tax relations in contexts of fragility : a case study of Somalia

Sahgal, Gayatri - 2025

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015198456

Tax dealings : state and private sector relations in Somalia

Sahgal, Gayatri - 2025

Taxation is often described as the material expression of the social contract. However, this conceptualization largely reflects the Anglo-European experience and provides limited explanatory power for analysing taxation in African states, which did not experience the type of state-society...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015463553

Fragile and Conflict-Affected Situations : Intertwined Crises, Multiple Vulnerabilities

Hill, Samuel; Khadan, Jeetendra; Selcuk, Peter - 2025

Home to more than 1 billion people, the 39 emerging market and developing economies (EMDEs) classified as being in fragile and conflict-affected situations (FCS) are plagued by instability and weak institutions. This hinders their ability to attain the robust, sustained economic growth needed...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015467083

Shockwaves of political leadership : the impact of Trump's second presidency on global oil prices

Sharaf, Mesbah Fathy; Shahen, Abdelhalem Mahmoud; … - 2025

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015472034

The impact of political stability on environmental situation : comparative nardl analysis on developed and developing countries

Sharkas, Randa; Ismael, Mohanad - 2025

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015472037

Climate and political effects on agriculture : empirical evidence from SSA

Feye, Defaru Adugna; Beyene, Amsalu Bedemo; Krishna … - 2025

The most of Sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries have been affected by climate change and food insecurity problems due to the reduction of production and productivity of cereal crops in the continent. The purpose of this research was to examine the short-run and long-run effects of climate change...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015472864

Green hydrogen production in Tunisia : the interplay of old and new lines of conflict

Weipert-Fenner, Irene - 2025

With the Green Deal and the energy crisis caused by Russia's war in Ukraine, the EU has accelerated the transition towards importing renew able energy, including green hydrogen, from North Africa. EU decision-makers portray the energy transition as a win-win situation, while civil society actors...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015447084

Hedges of the Second Republic : firms, equity investors and political uncertainty in a nascent democracy : 1930-1936

Battilossi, Stefano; Houpt, Stefan O. - 2025

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015449998

Exploring the impacts of economic policies, policy uncertainty, and politics on carbon emissions

Chiou, Wan-jiun Paul; Fu, Shan-Heng; Lin, Jeng-bau; … - 2025

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015451065

A marginal effect approach to analyzing the contingent effects of perceived political instability and informal competition on the relationship between foreign technologies and product innovation

Odei, Samuel Amponsah; Ur Rehman, Fazal; Appiah, … - 2025

This paper empirically examines how foreign technologies impact firms' product innovation; specifically, we consider the moderating effects of perceived political instability and informal competition. This study uses the strategy tripod view theory to develop a novel theoretical model to explain...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015409033

Election cycles and systemic risk

Kladakis, George; Skouralis, Alexandros - 2025

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015436788

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Election cycles and systemic risk

Kladakis, G,; Skouralis, A. - 2024

Book / Working Paper

Political uncertainty and sovereign bond markets

Handler, Lukas; Jankowitsch, Rainer - 2025

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015437395

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Political Uncertainty and Sovereign Bond Markets

Handler, Lukas - 2018

Book / Working Paper

Government-sourced categorical economic policy uncertainty

Hoang, Khanh; Pham, Linh; Vu Quang Trinh; Ngo, Thanh; … - 2025

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015437407

Success in cross-border M&A deals : can ESG performance be a countervailing force against political risk?

Xu, Boying; Mulatu, Abay - 2025

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015438038

Political uncertainty cycles and the impact of oil shocks on supply chain pressures

Williams, Corey - 2025

This study explores how energy price inflation affects supply chain pressures under different levels of political uncertainty. Using local projection impulse-response functions, we examine the effects of oil price shocks under two regimes: one with above-average levels of political uncertainty...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015439228

Fiscal austerity regimes as factor of political instability in the European Union

Samsonov, Volodymyr - 2025

This research examines impacts of austerity on the political instability in the European Union, defined as elevated levels of electoral volatility and ideological polarization. By analyzing macroeconomic theories that elucidate the effects of austerity on citizens' wealth and the national...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015425587

Measuring political instability at a high frequency

Benner, Niklas; Blagov, Boris; Dirks, Maximilian - 2025

This study introduces the World Index of Political Instability (WIPI), a novel high-frequency measure that covers four dimensions of political instability in 182 countries, available from 1960 until 2024. Our measure is extracted from the curated texts of the Economist Intelligence Unit’s...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015610254

Does political risk exacerbate climate risk? : firm-level evidence

Basha, Shabeen Afsar; Benkraiem, Ramzi; Ben-Nasr, Hamdi; … - 2025

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015610332

Elections Matter : Capital Flows and Political Cycles

Arakelyan, Maria - 2025

This paper contributes to the relatively limited literature on the impact of political uncertainty on international capital flows to emerging market economies. We incorporate elections as a proxy for political uncertainty into a standard push-pull framework for analyzing capital flows. Using...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015612878

Starving and deceiving : are politicians with childhood famine exposure more honest?

Chen, Shuo; Fan, Xinyu; Wang, Xuanyi - 2025

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015592604

Political stability and economic determinants of FDI flow in Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) economies

Alhamran, Mahmood; Loganathan, Nanthakumar; Mursitama, … - 2025

The impact of political stability and economic growth on foreign direct investment (FDI) is analysed using a quantitative regression approach in countries of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC).The study used panel data covering the period 1995-2020, involving six GCC countries, and applied...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015549340

Unveiling the nexus of financial inclusion and political stability for capital market participation in South Asian regions

Aich, Bithe Rani; Tareque, Mohammad; Ahmed, Tasfia Tasneem - 2025

Frequent political uncertainty, governance challenges, financial inaccessibility, and inconsistent policy environments in South Asian countries undermine investor confidence and obstruct the development of capital markets. Thus, this study is motivated to investigate the long-term and short-term...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015551259

The impact of TV-based policy uncertainty on dynamic connectedness among different asset classes

Azimli, Asil - 2025

This study examines the role of cable-based economic policy uncertainty (TV-EPU) in predicting the dynamic interconnectedness among various asset classes. Initially, a quantile-based vector autoregressive (QVAR) connectedness approach is employed to calculate the systemic risk spillovers during...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015551426