Search Results - subject_exact:"Politischer Konflikt"

World economy in spring 2026 : Middle East conflict hampers aconomic activity

Gern, Klaus-Jürgen; Kooths, Stefan; Krohn, Johanna; … - 2026

The world economy remained robust in 2025 despite the strains caused by the trade conflicts and the resulting increased uncertainty and entered the new year with decent momentum. However, the war with Iran now threatens to severely disrupt energy supplies, with potentially serious consequences...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015617955

The impact of Russia-Ukraine conflict on the crude oil prices

Imeri, Amir; Gil-Alaña, Luis A.; Monge González, Manuel - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015618907

Conflict intensity and entrepreneurial intentions : evidence from Iraqi regions

Fereidouni, Hassan Gholipour; Harb, George; Farzanegan, … - 2026

This study examines the relationship between conflict events, conflict-related fatalities, and entrepreneurial intentions in Iraq, one of the most war-affected countries over the past four decades and a context largely overlooked in the entrepreneurship literature. By combining regional-level...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015609673

Drought, kinship, and conflict in West Africa

Livorno, Chiara; Tiberti, Luca - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015611839

Climatic shocks and conflicts across agricultural livelihoods and agrarian contexts : evidence from West Africa

Sabella, Giordana; Gattone, Tulia; Romano, Donato; … - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015611896

State capacity and identity : assimilation vs resistance of tribal rimlands

Skaperdas, Stergios; Testa, Patrick A. - 2026

While the populations of wealthy modern states primarily identify with their nation, middle- and low-income countries often contain large populations that adhere to distinct subnational identities. We model a central government elite that has a conflictual relationship with its “tribal...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015593094

The impact of armed conflicts and forced migration on labour markets : systematic literature review and future research agenda

Ospanov, Murat; Kalyuzhnova, Yelena; Khlystova, Olena; … - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015593361

The role of droughts and religious cleavages in pastoralist conflict in Nigeria

Koopmans, Ruud; Meierrieks, Daniel; Tuki, Daniel - 2026

This article studies the role of environmental and religious factors in the occurrence of pastoralist conflict in Nigeria using panel data at the 0.5 x 0.5° grid cell level between 1997 and 2020. The empirical analysis provides robust evidence that the occurrence of droughts does not raise the...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015595147

Dams and rural conflict : evidence from Brazil's hydropower expansion

Corbi, Raphael Bottura; Falco, Chiara; Uberti, Luca J. - 2026

We estimate the impact of infrastructure investment on conflict using 163 hydroelectric dams in Brazil (2002–2022). Leveraging the staggered rollout of construction in a difference-in-differences framework, we find that dams trigger sharp, temporary surges in land invasions, water disputes,...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015587975

Between wars and words : how international conflict shapes discourse of nonbelligerent political leaders

Pellegrino, Ana Paula; Burnley, Benjamin R.; Balcells, Laia - 2026

Does the outbreak of a major international war change political discourse? Drawing on theories of political communication and elite cueing, identity salience, and threat perception, we hypothesize that the outbreak of a war of aggression by a major power increases the use of nationalist rhetoric...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015591500

How natural disasters spread conflict

Amarasinghe, Ashani; Raschky, Paul A.; Zenou, Yves; … - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015583600

In pursuit of security: armed conflict and support for democracy in Mali

Calvo, Thomas; Lavallée, Emmanuelle; Roubaud, François; … - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015605178

Peace talk and conflict traps

Gyarmathy, Andrei; Lukyanov, Georgy - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015605620

Quantifying macroeconomic spillovers : the role of trade linkages in propagating conflict shocks

Eydam, Ulrich; Leupold, Florian - 2026

Geopolitical conflicts generate macroeconomic spillovers that extend beyond directly affected countries through trade and commodity linkages. This paper quantifies these effects for Germany, France, Italy, and Spain using a monthly Trade-Related Conflict Exposure (TRCE) index for 2009–2023...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015620636

War and peace for natural resources as economic goods

Zoboli, Roberto - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015625588

The effects of higher energy prices

2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015627571

Road investment and violence in DRC : perishable peace dividends

Lebrand, Mathilde; Mueller, Hannes; Schouten, Peer; … - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015656560

The role of taxation of artisanal mining in conflict-affected contexts : from armed predation to "informal formalization"?

Van Bockstael, Steven; Cuvelier, Jeroen; Vlassenroot, Koen - 2026

This paper focuses on the taxation of artisanally mined natural resources, in particular high-value minerals, in conflict-affected contexts, by state and non-state armed actors. The taxation of artisanal miners and mineral traders, often part of the informal economy, by armed groups has...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015651864

Perceptions of the Russia-Ukraine war in Serbia and Bosnia and Herzegovina

Balcells, Laia; Pellegrino, Ana Paula; Simonson, Matthew - 2026

How do non-belligerent societies view the return of large-scale conflict to Europe? Among European countries, with their different historical ties to Russia and lived experiences of conflict, this article examines how the public in Bosnia and Herzegovina and Serbia-two former Yugoslav republics...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015651899

Stay, split or overthrow : theory and evidence on secessionist vs centrist conflict

Esteban Marquillas, Joan María; Flamand, Sabine; … - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015652756

Climate adaptation, water governance & conflict

Bertini, Raffaele; Grigoriadis, Theocharis - 2026

This paper estimates the causal effect of renewable water conditions and water use on violent conflict in rural agrifood systems. We implement a fixed-effects instrumental variables strategy that uses plausibly exogenous temperature and precipitation shocks to instrument multiple water outcomes....

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015632127

Wildlife and conflict : the cost of protecting biodiversity

Pincus, Guy - 2026 - This version: January 3, 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015637036

The impact of international conflict on cross-border commercial dispute resolution

Shchetinin, Dmitrii; Avdeev, Stanislav - 2026

International trade depends on the expectation that courts will protect commercial interests when disputes arise. With the growing number of international conflicts, it is crucial to know whether this expectation is met in practice. We examine the effect of the 2014 annexation of Crimea on the...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015667754

The long-lasting shadow of terror and political conflict : effects of the 2015-2016 national security events on Turkey's inbound tourism

Alpaslan, Firuze; Firgo, Matthias - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015672112

The legacy of rebel taxation on post-conflict fiscal capacity

Arroyo Petro, Andrea; Bove, Vincenzo; Di Salvatore, Jessica - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016059682

A common denominator in conflict studies : introducing political non-state organisations

Konzack, Tom - 2026

This Working Paper advances the conceptualisation of non-state actors by introducing political non-state organisations (PNSOs) as a distinct analytical category. Drawing on insights from terrorism, civil war, and social movement studies, it argues that prevailing definitions suffer from...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015654661

Global bank lending during political conflicts

Danisewicz, Piotr; Park, Min; Schaeck, Klaus; Zheng, Yitao - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016060777

Disaster–Fragility, Conflict, and Violence (FCV) Nexus Diagnostic for Myanmar : Summary Report

2026

Myanmar stands as one of the world's most disaster-prone nations, facing an acute convergence of conflict, political instability, and economic collapse that has dramatically heightened its population's vulnerability to disaster risks. Since the military takeover in February 2021, conflict has...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016069826

Armed group taxation and trade : smuggler perspectives from Northeast India

Thakur, Shalaka - 2026

How does changing armed group taxation during conflict reshape smuggling and trade? This paper follows areca nut, one of northeast India's most heavily smuggled contraband commodities, through the eyes of the traders who move it across the Myanmar-Manipur borderlands. Drawing on interviews with...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016072525

Political violence in African borderlands

Russell, David - 2026

This paper examines the relationship between borderlands and political violence in Africa. Do African conflicts relocate or expand across borders? Using spatiotemporal data on conflict events from 1997 to 2024 alongside the innovative OECD/SWAC Spatial Conflict Dynamics indicator (SCDi), the...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016073099

Uneven resilience and recovery during war : municipality-level evidence from Ukraine

Michelangeli, Alessandra; Türk, Umut - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016063961

Building Peace in Tierra Grata : social capital, global governance of DDR, and community reincorporation of FARC-EP Ex-Combatants in Colombia

Rodríguez Castellón, José Miguel - 2026

This article analyzes the community reincorporation of ex‑combatants from the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia - People's Army (FARC‑EP) in the Territorial Training and Reincorporation Area (ETCR) of Tierra Grata, Cesar, Colombia, following the 2016 Peace Agreement. A holistic...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016064320

Peace in crisis : conflict management in the Horn of Africa

Kurtz, Gerrit - 2026

The system of international conflict management is in deep crisis. Relevant instruments such as UN peace operations are being withdrawn, normative and power-political preconditions (for example, US-guaranteed international order) no longer apply and all too often agreements have led to the...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015665342

From wages to conflict : does an increase in the real wage decrease internal conflict in developing countries?

Parsons, Brandon; Rabhi, Ayoub - 2026

This study is among the first to investigate whether the real wage affects various forms of internal conflict across 65 developing countries from 1990 to 2021. This study's methodology employs the Method of Moments quantile regressions of Machado and Silva. This approach is novel for its...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016062543

Violent conflict and cross-border lending

Haas, Ralph de; Mamonov, Mikhail; Popov, Alexander; … - 2026

How do violent conflicts shape cross-border lending? Using syndicated loan data on 14,021 creditors and 97,169 firms across 179 countries, we document a dual response. Relative to domestic creditors, foreign lenders reduce overall lending by 27% (supplydriven) but increase lending to...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015644281

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Violent conflict and cross-border lending

Haas, Ralph de; Mamonov, Mikhail; Popov, Alexander; … - 2025

Book / Working Paper

Violent conflict and cross-border lending

Haas, Ralph de; Mamonov, Mikhail; Popov, Alexander; … - 2025

Book / Working Paper

Violent conflict and cross-border lending

Haas, Ralph de; Mamonov, Mikhail; Popov, Alexander; … - 2024

Book / Working Paper

From people's war to people's rule: rebel governance and the foundations of inclusive democracy

Bhusal, Bhishma; Callen, Michael; Pande, Rohini; … - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015668911

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From People's War to People's Rule : Rebel Governance and the Foundations of Inclusive Democracy

Bhusal, Bhishma; Callen, Michael; Pande, Rohini; … - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Geoeconomics of the Israel-Palestine conflict : governance, global trade and regional dynamics

2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015549489

This sand is mine! : why sand mining has led to violent conflict in Makueni County, Kenya

Aduda, Levke; Aduda, Annette Adhiambo - 2026

Sand is the second-most exploited natural resource after water, with global demand for it steadily increasing. Yet the societal and conflict-related impacts of sand mining remain understudied. This Working Paper examines the conditions under which sand mining generates violent conflict. We argue...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016062426

Conflicts and climate change in South Sudan 2012-2023

Hu, Huanyue; Charpe, Matthieu - 2025

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015551833

The legacy of rebel taxation on postconflict fiscal capacity

Petro, Andrea Arroyo; Bove, Vincenzo; Di Salvatore, Jessica - 2025

Civil wars often erode state sovereignty, as institutions are replaced or co-opted by armed groups that establish informal governance structures. Among these, rebel taxation emerges as a key tool for financing wartime activities and administering territories. We explore whether rebel taxation...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015486039

Violent conflicts and education : the LRA insurgency in Northern Uganda revisited

Kazibwe, Douglas - 2025

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015168434

Rethinking climate conflicts : the role of climate action and inaction

Ide, Tobias - 2025

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015168437

A critical review of the state-of-the-art on social policy, conflict and peace in the Middle East and North Africa region : why social policy matters for peace and why it is also not enough

Jawad, Rana; Plagerson, Sophie; Jaskolski, Martina - 2025

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015168660

Interstate conflict and international trade

Garfinkel, Michelle Robin; Syropoulos, Constantinos - 2025

We provide a selective overview of the literature on the linkages between interstate conflict and international trade, paying special attention to how trade openness (i) affects arming incentives, (ii) the channels through which its effects travel, and (iii) its consequences for the emergence of...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015371928

Trade interdependence, arming and the choice between war and peace

Garfinkel, Michelle Robin; Syropoulos, Constantinos - 2025 - Current Version: March 29, 2025

We consider a dynamic setting where two countries with competing claims to a resource/asset first arm and then choose whether to resolve their dispute through war or peacefully through settlement. War precludes international trade and can be destructive, but also locks gains and eliminates...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015371932

Women's agency in conflict settings : evidence from peace agreements

Chisadza, Carolyn; Clance, Matthew W.; Méango, Romuald; … - 2025

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015330547

Analyzing financial market reactions to the Palestine-Israel conflict : an event study perspective

Ijaz, Muhammad Shahzad; Ali, Shoaib; Min Du, Anna; … - 2025

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015330733

War and peace: how economic prospects drive conflictuality

Jiang, Shuguang; Villeval, Marie-Claire; Zhang, Zhengping; … - 2025

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015331148

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War and peace : how economic prospects drive conflictuality

Jiang, Shuguang; Villeval, Marie-Claire; Zhang, Zhengping; … - 2025

Book / Working Paper

Who wins wars?

Federle, Jonathan-Julian; Rohner, Dominic; Schularick, … - 2025

Economic resources are often seen as decisive for the outcomes of military conflicts. This paper asks whether “deeper pockets” help win wars. We construct a fine-grained dataset covering more than 700 interstate disputes and rely on exogenous resource price shocks to estimate the causal...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015193812

Give peace a chance? : how regulatory foci influence organizational conflict events in intractable conflict environments

Weber, Libby; Slade Shantz, Angelique; Kistruck, Geoffrey M. - 2025

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015386735