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Year of publication
Subject
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Presidential election 1,132 Präsidentschaftswahl 1,123 Wahlverhalten 710 Voting behaviour 708 USA 522 United States 502 Wahl 242 Election 234 Staatsoberhaupt 135 Head of state 133 Börsenkurs 108 Share price 107 Wahlkampf 106 Electoral campaign 94 Electoral system 84 Wahlsystem 84 Forecasting model 76 Prognoseverfahren 76 Theorie 74 Theory 74 Political business cycle 70 Politischer Konjunkturzyklus 70 Präsidentenwahl 66 Vereinigte Staaten 65 Political party 62 Politische Partei 62 Political finance 59 Politikfinanzierung 59 Impact assessment 57 Wirkungsanalyse 57 Schätzung 55 Estimation 54 Frankreich 50 France 49 Staatsoberhauptwahl 48 Aktienmarkt 47 Stock market 47 Neue politische Ökonomie 43 Public choice 43 Capital income 41
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Online availability
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Free 490 Undetermined 261 CC license 23 Digitizable 1
Type of publication
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Book / Working Paper 647 Article 546 Journal 2
Subcategories
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Article in journal 473 Working paper 187 Book section 19 Proceedings 8 Case study 2 Government document 2 Statistics 2 Biography 1 Textbook 1
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Language
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English 1,112 German 36 Undetermined 21 Spanish 13 French 9 Portuguese 4 Finnish 3 Russian 2 Swedish 2
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Author
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Graefe, Andreas 19 Armstrong, J. Scott 16 Ziegler, Alexandre 14 Wagner, Alexander F. 13 Zeckhauser, Richard 13 Bown, Chad P. 9 Chor, Davin 9 Gordon, Brett R. 9 Geruso, Michael 8 Potrafke, Niklas 8 Spears, Dean 8 Weymouth, Stephen 8 Blanchard, Emily J. 7 Hartmann, Wesley R. 7 Hasan, Iftekhar 7 Henry, Emeric 7 Zhuravskaya, Ekaterina 7 Cuzan, Alfred G. 6 Eichengreen, Barry 6 Giuliano, Paola 6 Guriev, Sergej 6 Kirchler, Michael 6 Lewis-Beck, Michael S. 6 Lin, Chih-Yung 6 Moretti, Enrico 6 Newman, Bruce I. 6 Pesaran, M. Hashem 6 Polborn, Mattias 6 Antoniades, Alexis 5 Baccini, Leonardo 5 Baker, Scott 5 Baksy, Aniket 5 Bloom, Nicholas 5 Brodeur, Abel 5 Calomiris, Charles W. 5 Cebula, Richard J. 5 Chen, Daniel L. 5 Chen, M. Keith 5 Dahl, Gordon B. 5 Davis, Steven J. 5
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Institution
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National Bureau of Economic Research 28 Atlantik-Brücke e.V. 3 Roland Berger Strategy Consultants / Executive Communications 3 Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik 3 Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik / Centrum für angewandte Türkeistudien 3 Brookings Institution 2 European Union Institute for Security Studies 2 Finnland 2 Finnland / Tilastollinen Päätoimisto 2 United States / Congress / House / Committee on Government Operations / Special Studies Subcommittee 2 Bundesinstitut für Ostwissenschaftliche und Internationale Studien 1 Center for Economic and Social Development <Baku> 1 Centre for Economic Performance, LSE 1 Centre for Economic Policy Research 1 Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice <London> 1 Congressional Quarterly Service 1 Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University 1 Domestic Council 1 Duke University / School of Law 1 EOM 1 EU EOM 1 EU Election Observation Mission 1 EU Election Observer Mission 1 European Election Observation Mission 1 European Union Election Observation Mission 1 Executive Office 1 Governmental Affairs Institute 1 Institut für Finanzwissenschaft, Fakultät für Volkswirtschaft und Statistik 1 Institut für Höhere Studien 1 Institute of Developing Economies, Japan External Trade Organization (JETRO) 1 Institute of Economic Research, Korea University 1 Institutet för Internationell Ekonomi <Stockholm> 1 League of Women Voters of the United States / Education Fund 1 London School of Economics (LSE) 1 Palgrave Connect (Online service) 1 Peter Lang GmbH 1 Plassen Verlag 1 Suomen Pankki 1 Twentieth Century Fund 1 USA / Congress / House of Representatives / Committee on Post Office and Civil Service / Subcommittee on Human Resources 1
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Published in...
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NBER working paper series 28 Public choice 22 International journal of forecasting 21 Working paper / National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. 21 NBER Working Paper 19 CESifo working papers 17 APSA 2009 Toronto Meeting Paper 13 APSA 2010 Annual Meeting Paper 10 Applied economics 10 European journal of political economy 10 Discussion paper series 8 Discussion papers / CEPR 8 CESifo Working Paper 7 Discussion paper / Centre for Economic Policy Research 7 Finance research letters 7 Intereconomics : review of European economic policy 7 Journal of public economics 7 The journal of prediction markets 7 The review of economics and statistics 7 Western Political Science Association 2010 Annual Meeting Paper 7 econPol Forum : a bi-monthly journal on European economic issues 7 Applied economics letters 6 Economics letters 6 Faculty research working paper series / John F. Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University 6 Revista mexicana de sociología : RMS 6 The American economic review 6 Wirtschaftsdienst : Zeitschrift für Wirtschaftspolitik 6 Journal of economics and finance 5 Labor studies journal 5 Leadership 5 Working papers / TSE : WP 5 APSA 2013 Annual Meeting Paper 4 Atlantic economic journal : AEJ 4 Contributions in political science 4 IDE discussion papers 4 International review of economics & finance : IREF 4 Journal of business research : JBR 4 Revue française d'économie : RFE 4 The Economists' voice 4 The Western political quarterly : official journal of Western Political Science Association 4
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Source
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ECONIS (ZBW) 1,146 USB Cologne (EcoSocSci) 24 RePEc 12 EconStor 8 ArchiDok 3 Other ZBW resources 2
Showing 1 - 50 of 1,016
 
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Political stressors and birth outcomes : evidence from the 2016 U.S. presidential election
Golberstein, Ezra; Guth, Daniel; Slusky, David - 2026
We study political shocks as potential birth outcomes stressors, specifically the unexpected result of the 2016 U.S. presidential election. We investigate this two-sided shock using an innovative data linkage: Colorado voter registrations and birth certificates, matched by sex, birth year, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015615413
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When foreign investment counters the populist backlash : county-level evidence from US presidential elections
Kim, ByungKoo; Kim, Seungjun; Park, Jong Hee - 2026
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Stock market reactions to Donald Trump-involved U.S. presidential elections : evidence from the S&P 500 in 2016, 2020, and 2024
Wielechowski, Michał; Czech, Katarzyna; Weremczuk, … - 2026
This study assesses the impact of U.S. presidential elections on stock market behaviour, focusing on the 2016, 2020, and 2024 elections, in which Donald Trump was a candidate. Using an event-study framework, we analyse changes in S&P 500 volatility and returns by comparing a 10-day election...
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Partisan bias in economic forecasts : experimental evidence from the presidential elections in Argentina
Mariño Fages, Diego - 2026
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Trump digs votes : the role of Trump's coal campaign in the 2016 presidential election
Steinbrunner, Philipp; Di Giacomo, Marina; Nagl, Wolfgang - 2026
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The impact of disinformation generated by AI on democracy case studies : the US presidential elections in 2016 & 2024
Ibrahim, Nourhan Tosson; Attia, Nada Adel - 2026
The paper studies the impact of disinformation generated by AI on democracy and it takes the US presidential elections in 2016 and 2024 as case studies.The paper depended on analyzing three concepts in order to formulate a theoretical framework, which are "Democracy", "Artificial Intelligence"...
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Wie verändert Trump II den Verbraucherschutz in den USA - und was sind die Folgen?
Kesler, Reinhold; Rasch, Alexander - 2025
Unter der neuen US-Regierung zeichnet sich ein Wandel im Verbraucherschutz ab. Der Fokus liegt auf Marktmechanismen und dem Abbau regulatorischer Vorgaben. Eine mögliche Folge sind intransparente Preismodelle. Studien zeigen, dass diese Verbraucher:innen systematisch zu höheren Ausgaben...
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Renaissance of climate policy uncertainty : the effects of U.S. presidential election on energy markets volatility
Ding, Shusheng; Wang, Anqi; Cui, Tianxiang; Min Du, Anna - 2025
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Measuring the impacts of Argentina's presidential election process in 2023 on the stock market performance using a dynamic event study methodology
Sandoval Álamos, Eduardo Enrique; Mac-Kay, Claudio … - 2025
This study measured the individual and conjoint effects of Argentina's primaries and first- and second-voting presidential election results, as well as their post-election comparative effects, on the stock market performance of its most relevant economic sectors. Within four different estimation...
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U.S. Presidential news coverage : risk, uncertainty and stocks
Chan, Kam Fong; Smales, Lee A. - 2025
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An options-pricing approach to forecasting the French presidential election
Fry, John; Hastings, Thomas; Binner, Jane M. - 2025
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Not in my postcode? : wind turbines and U.S. presidential approval
Eurich, Marina - 2025
The expansion of wind power has the potential to make a major contribution to the mitigation of climate change. While wind power generates positive externalities at the global level by reducing carbon dioxide, it also generates negative externalities at the local level, such as noise pollution...
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Working class and union voters' role in the 2024 Pennsylvania Presidential election
Clark, Paul F. - 2025
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Politics in the facebook era. Evidence from the 2016 US presidential elections
Liberini, Federica; Redoano, Michela; Russo, Antonio; … - 2025
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Politics in the Facebook era evidence from the 2016 US presidential elections
Liberini, Federica; Redoano, Michela; Russo, Antonio; … - 2020
Book / Working Paper
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Politics in the facebook era evidence from the 2016 US presidential elections
Liberini, Federica; Redoano, Michela; Russo, Antonio; … - 2018
Book / Working Paper
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Politics in the facebook era evidence from the 2016 US presidential elections
Liberini, Federica; Redoano, Michela; Russo, Antonio; … - 2018
Book / Working Paper
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Politics in the Facebook Era - Evidence from the 2016 US Presidential Elections
Liberini, Federica - 2020
Book / Working Paper
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Using market design to reform the US electoral college
Boudreau, James; Cramton, Peter C.; Katzman, Brett; … - 2025
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015423160
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A replication report on "Political polarization of news media and influencers on Twitter in the 2016 and 2020 US presidential elections" by Flamino et al. 2023
Knöpfle, Philipp; Haim, Mario; Breuer, Johannes - 2025
Flamino et al. (2023) estimate the levels of ideological polarization and echo chamber behavior for Twitter (now X) users during the 2016 and 2020 U.S. presidential elections using political bias classification and network analysis methods. Using 873 million tweets, they find a decline in the...
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The politician, the party, and the president : how do political scandals propagate across the party network?
Muço, Arieda - 2025
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Forecasting presidential elections : accuracy of ANES voter intentions
Ko, Hyein; Jackson, Natalie; Osborn, Tracy; Lewis-Beck, … - 2025
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The stock market's anticipation of the Trump 2024 election : the case of sustainable business models
Koch, Dennis; Schiereck, Dirk - 2025
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015460152
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2024 US presidential elections : an event study for US and non-US fossil fuel and renewable listed firms
Martins, António Miguel; Albuquerque, Bruno; Sardinha, … - 2025
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015615315
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Durable cultural values and ethical voting : evidence from the 2008 presidential election in New York State
Poitras, Marc - 2025
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How CEO donations drive stock prices : evidence from the Trump 2024 election
Koch, Dennis; Schiereck, Dirk - 2025
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015550995
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Natural disasters and electoral consequences : evidence for voter participation and choice in U.S. presidential elections
Choi, Chi-young; Noy, Ilan; Sedai, Ashish Kumar - 2025
This study investigates how natural disasters and federal disaster declarations influence electoral outcomes in U.S. presidential elections from 1996 to 2020. Using county-level panel data and a two-way fixed effects framework, we analyze both incumbent vote share and voter turnout to describe...
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Market volatility across asset classes during US presidential and mid-term elections
Botta, Corrado; Sakariyahu, Rilwan - 2025
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Political uncertainty and cryptocurrency futures and spot market efficiency : evidence from the 2024 U.S. presidential election
Lee, Geesun - 2025
This study investigates the impact of the 2024 U.S. presidential election on the relationship between cryptocurrency futures and spot markets. Using a range of financial econometric techniques, we analyze daily returns of Bitcoin futures and spot markets from December 2017, to January 2025. The...
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Presidential elections and secretary appointment : an event study for US biotechnology and drugs
Martins, António Miguel; Albuquerque, Bruno; Sardinha, … - 2025
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015576960
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A dynamic cost of voting index : how do state election administration rules impact voter turnout and the integrity of elections?
Ferroni, Matteo F.; Milyo, Jeffrey - 2025
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015559675
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Does presidential debate bring optimism? : a study of Indonesia’s 2024 pre-election year
Fidiana, Fidiana; Retnani, Endang Dwi; Widyawati, Dini - 2025
The political future is inherently unpredictable, particularly in the run-up to elections. This article analyses whether such uncertainty matters. In this paper, we raise an interesting issue of the impact of political debate on the stock market of a developing country. Specifically, we...
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Peaceful transition of power in Senegal: How realistic are the new hopefuls' prospects?
Kohnert, Dirk - 2024
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014636104
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A Shock, But Not a Surprise
Bourguignon, Jiffer - 2024
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A shock, but not a surprise
Bourguignon, Jiffer - 2024
Article
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Impact of regulations on firm value : evidence from the 2016 U.S. presidential election
Kundu, Santanu - 2024
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Beliefs About Political News in the Run-up to an Election
Angelucci, Charles; Gutmann, Michel; Prat, Andrea - 2024
This paper develops a model of news discernment to explore the influence of elections on the formation of partisan-driven parallel information universes. Using survey data from news quizzes administered during and outside the 2020 U.S. presidential election, the model shows that partisan...
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Was Bolsonaro's 2018 electoral victory an institutional accident?
Maciel, Marcelo Veloso - 2024
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014547137
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Das Hoffen auf Kamala Harris : US-Wahlen
Bandholz, Harm - 2024
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015070793
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Introduction to the issue on US Presidential Election 2024 : what's next for global politics and the world economy?
Nam, Chang-woon - 2024
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What to expect from US economic policy after the presidential election
Åslund, Anders - 2024
Both candidates, Kamala Harris and Donald Trump, favor protectionism, but Trump to an extreme degree The joint protectionism is mainly directed against Chinese technology Trump favors mass deportation of immigrants, while the Democrats want orderly immigration Nobody cares much about the...
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US presidential election 2024 : consequences for fiscal policy
Clausing, Kimberly A. - 2024
The Trump Administration enacted deficit-financed tax cuts, and the Trump campaign has proposed doubling down on that approach. The Biden-Harris Administration added less to national debt and shows more commitment to fiscal responsibility The Trump Administration consistently enacted tax...
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US presidential election 2024 : a comparison of fiscal policies proposed by leading candidates for US president
McBride, William D.; York, Erica - 2024
The 2024 US presidential election will determine who will work with Congress to address three major fiscal issues: the expiration of key tax reforms from the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA), the ongoing trade war with China, and the trajectory of the federal debt Vice President Kamala Harris...
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Foreign economic and macro policies after the US presidential election
Jaeger, Markus - 2024
Foreign trade and macroeconomic policies under a Harris administration would largely provide for continuity with the Biden administration, while policies under another Trump administration would have the potential to be highly disruptive Regardless of who becomes the next president, US...
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The 2024 presidential election in the US : potential impacts on global politics and economics
Carmody, Pádraig; Ciccantell, Paul S. - 2024
The world is in a period of profound political and economic disruption The outcome of the US presidential election has the potential to accelerate this or contribute to the construction of a reformed and more legitimate international order How competition between the US and China is managed will...
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Priming ideology I : why do presidential elections affect U.S. judges
Chen, Daniel L. - 2024
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015076538
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Forecasting 2024 US presidential election by states using county level data : too close to call
Pesaran, M. Hashem; Song, Hayun - 2024
This document is a follow up to the paper by Ahmed and Pesaran (2020, AP) and reports state-level forecasts for the 2024 US presidential election. It updates the 3,107 county level data used by AP and uses the same machine learning techniques as before to select the variables used in forecasting...
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Forecasting 2024 US presidential election by states using county level data : too close to call
Pesaran, M. Hashem; Song, Hayun - 2024
Book / Working Paper
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Was droht den transatlantischen Handelsbeziehungen unter Trump 2.0? : von Zollerhöhungen und Vergeltungsmaßnahmen
Obst, Thomas; Sultan, Samina; Matthes, Jürgen - 2024 - Stand: Oktober 2024
Die anstehenden US-Präsidentschaftswahlen sind wegweisend. Sollte Donald Trump wiedergewählt werden, hat er im Bereich der Handelspolitik umfangreiche Zollerhöhungen - auch gegenüber der Europäischen Union (EU) - angedroht. Die EU hat angekündigt, im Zweifel mit eigenen Vergeltungszöllen...
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What if Trump is re-elected? : trade policy implications
Obst, Thomas; Matthes, Jürgen; Sultan, Samina - 2024 - Stand: März 2024
A possible re-election of Donald Trump as US president in November 2024 could entail a significant upheaval for the world trading order, if he fulfills his announcements to raise tariffs, mainly in order to reduce the US trade deficit. Such steps would not only have a negative effect on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014485451
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Trump-Präsidentschaft : ein Stabilitätsrisiko? : Konjunkturschlaglicht
Gern, Klaus-Jürgen - 2024
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014536272
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The Trump effect is forcing Europeans out of their comfort zone : editorial
Bourguignon, Jiffer; Sprenger, Ekaterina - 2024
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014520717
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Motivated forecasts : experimental evidence from the presidential elections in Argentina
Mariño Fages, Diego - 2024
The growing political polarization may influence a critical input for policymaking: people's economic expectations. This study examines whether political preferences shape individuals' forecasts for key economic indicators (using a preregistered online experiment in the context of Argentina's...
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Impact of the US presidential race on the German economy : insights from professional forecasters
Glas, Alexander; Pavlova, Lora; Schölkopf, Julius - 2024
This policy brief analyses German professional forecasters' views on the upcoming US presidential election in November 2024 and its impact on the German economy. Depending on its outcome, the election can have a differential effect on Germany's foreign trade policy due to intensive trade ties...
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Populist narratives and affective polarisation : analysing the motivations of incumbeCan Büyükbaynt voters in Türkiye's 2023 presidential elections
Büyükbay, Can - 2024
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Drought-reliefs and partisanship
Boffa, Federico; Cavalcanti, Francisco; Fons-Rosen, … - 2024
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014543444
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Drought-reliefs and Partisanship
Boffa, Federico; Fons-Rosen, Christian; Piolatto, Amedeo; … - 2022
Book / Working Paper
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