This paper examines online search activity's ability to capture consumers' intentions and enhance short-term forecasting of key economic outcomes. Economic decisions such as consumption and investment are typically preceded by intentions, which, while difficult to observe directly, often...

The purpose of this study was to investigate the impact of domestic and external debt on macroeconomic variables in Nigeria from 1981 to 2020. Annual secondary data on domestic and external debt, inflation, output, investment and consumption sourced from World Development Indicators (WDI, 2021),...

I study how the cognitive demands of financial planning shape household decisionmaking with respect to consumption out of windfall income shocks. I build a quantitative model of bounded rationality in which reoptimization is costly. Households respond to windfall income shocks by choosing a...

The process of transition and growth in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) provides interesting insights, considering the countries' historical relationship with the Soviet Union. The 20 years after the Eastern enlargement of the European Union show an integrative power within the Single Market....

This paper examines online search activity's ability to capture consumers' intentions and enhance short-term forecasting of key economic outcomes. Economic decisions such as consumption and investment are typically preceded by intentions, which, while difficult to observe directly, often...

This study investigates the dynamic impact of population aging on consumption preferences in China, a critical area given consumption's role in global economic growth and the country's accelerating demographic shifts. Utilizing pooled panel data from the 2015, 2017, and 2019 China Household...

Using household survey data on expenditures and incomes, we construct an objective measure of corruption in the public sector for a broad spectrum of countries. Specifically, we focus on the consumption-income gap for public sector workers relative to private sector workers to gauge the extent...

This paper examines the gender-specific effects of exogenous public spending shocks across a global sample using a novel identification strategy and local projections. We distinguish between investment and consumption shocks and further decompose spending by function: education, health, and...

Understanding how household decisions react to economic shocks is important for effective policy design. Using detailed individual consumption data, we investigate how household consumption responds to unexpected inheritance realizations within an inter-temporal collective framework....

Monetary policy impacts consumer spending via the effect of interest rate changes on credit card borrowing. Using supervisory account-level spending and balance data, we estimate that a 1 percentage point increase in the interest rate reduces credit card spending by nearly 9 percent and...

Unequal consumption sharing within households is well-documented. However, there is limited evidence on the stability of within-household inequality over time. We combine a collective household model with consumption survey data spanning 24 years to study the evolution of within-household...