Inflation rate is considered undesirable in the modern globalized world due to its adverse and long-lasting impacts. The Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA, hereafter) has also experienced inflationary pressure during the last few years, specifically post-COVID-19. However, the empirical literature on...

This study examines the relationship between sovereign spreads and banks in terms of risk transmission, using the seven largest Italian banks as a sample over the period from 2003 to 2023. Our objective is to quantify and compare volatility spillovers, and to investigate whether bank-specific...

Research on the social safety net examines its effects on recipients and their families. We show that these effects extend beyond recipients’ families. Using a regression discontinuity design and administrative data, we study a Danish policy that cut welfare benefits for refugees, increasing...

Using millions of siblings in the U.S., we detail three findings that quantify whether siblings influence one another to vote in national elections. First, and descriptively, younger siblings are 10 percentage points (50 percent) more likely to vote in their first eligible election when their...

This paper examines how China’s growing research capabilities impact global research universities across scientific fields. Using bibliometric data from 1980 to 2020, we assess the effects of the "China shock" on high-impact publications, novel concepts, and citation patterns. Our analysis...

We study equilibrium behavior in incomplete‐information games under two information constraints: seeds and spillovers. The former restricts which agents can initially receive information. The latter specifies how this information spills over to other agents. Our main result characterizes the...

The hope that multinational firms will improve local employment and productivity is a driving force behind policy efforts to attract investment. Such spillovers are often motivated by technological spillovers from foreign to domestic firms. We address this possibility by using the patenting...

The hope that multinational firms will improve local employment and productivity is a driving force behind policy efforts to attract investment. Such spillovers are often motivated by technological spillovers from foreign to domestic firms. We address this possibility by using the patenting...

This paper examines how China's growing research capabilities impact global research universities across scientific fields. Using bibliometric data from 1980 to 2020, we assess the effects of the "China shock" on high-impact publications, novel concepts, and citation patterns. Our analysis...

This paper examines the effects of climate policies and energy shocks on mean and volatility spillovers between green and brown stock price indices in five countries (Canada, India, Japan, the UK and the US). More specifically, bivariate GARCH-BEKK models including dummy variables controlling...

This paper develops a framework to analyze partial population experiments, a generalization of the cluster experimental design where clusters are assigned to different treatment intensities. The framework allows for heterogeneity in cluster sizes and outcome distributions. The paper studies the...

This study examines the significance of foreign direct investment (FDI) and market characteristics both within and across industries in determining the productivity and efficiency of firms. This study also measures the total factor productivity (TFP) growth and its components for both foreign...

This paper examines the asymmetry in global spillovers from Fed policy across tightening versus easing episodes several examples of which have been on display since the global financial crisis (GFC). We build a dynamic general equilibrium model featuring: (i) occasionally binding collateral...

Monetary policy decisions by the Federal Reserve System in the US are widely recognised to have spillover effects on the rest of the world. In this paper, we focus on the asymmetric effects of US monetary policy shocks on macro-financial outcomes in emerging market economies (EMEs). We shed...

We establish identifying assumptions and estimation procedures for the ATT in a Difference-in-Differences setting with staggered treatment adoption in the presence of spillovers. We show that the ATT can be estimated by a simple TWFE method that extends the approach of Wooldridge [2022]'s fully...

When opposing parties compete for a prize, the sunk effort players exert during the conflict can affect the value of the winner's reward. These spillovers can have substantial influence on the equilibrium behavior of participants in applications such as lobbying, warfare, labor tournaments,...

This paper examines whether former foreign MNE workers help domestic startup firms succeed. I find evidence consistent with the idea that, as founding workers, former MNE workers positively contribute to startup outcomes. However, this appears conditional on survival. Using an event study...

We develop a framework to analyze partial population experiments, a generalization of the cluster experimental design where clusters are assigned to different treatment intensities. Our framework allows for heterogeneity in cluster sizes and outcome distributions. We study the large-sample...

This paper proposes a novel approach to decompose the Economic Policy Uncertainty indices of European countries into the common and country-specific components using the time-varying total connectedness. Then, by employing a Bayesian panel VAR model, we assess how common and country-specific...

We estimate the short-run effects of severe weather shocks on local economic activity and assess cross-border spillovers operating through economic linkages between U.S. states. We measure weather shocks using a detailed county-level database on emergency declarations triggered by natural...

This paper investigates the bilateral impacts of antidumping measures, beyond directly targeted products and exporting firms. It focuses on the country whose exports are most exposed to such measures, China. Product-level analysis shows that export volumes are negatively affected for products...

We study spillover effects within co-offending networks by leveraging deaths of co-offenders for causal identification. Our results demonstrate that the death of a co-offender significantly reduces the criminal activities of other network members. We observe a decaying pattern in the magnitude...

Using daily data since 2017, we disentangle China-specific structural shocks driving Chinese financial markets and examine spillovers across global markets. The novelty of this paper consists of simultaneously identifying China shocks with shocks emanating from the United States and shocks to...

We establish identifying assumptions and estimation procedures for the ATT in a Difference-in-Differences setting with staggered treatment adoption in the presence of spillovers. We show that the ATT can be estimated by a simple TWFE method that extends the approach of Wooldridge [2022]’s...

Monetary policy increasingly relies on steering market expectations about future policy. This paper identifies a monetary policy news shock based on a VAR model. A monetary news shock is equivalent to new information about the Fed's future monetary policy becoming available today. One example of...

This study investigates the impact of green equity indices on global market dynamics using a time-varying parameter vector autoregression (TVP-VAR) model. We uncover a significant shift in the role of the global market, transitioning from a shock transmitter to a shock receiver, as the influence...