Neben dem ifo Geschäftsklimaindex Deutschland veröffentlicht das ifo Institut noch viele weitere Konjunkturindikatoren, wie etwa die Exporterwartungen im Verarbeitenden Gewerbe oder das Beschäftigungsbarometer, und bietet Zeitreihen für zahlreiche Wirtschaftsbereiche an, die aus den...

This paper provides details on the sampling design, field results and nonresponse, as well as population adjustments for the 2018 Sample O of the Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP). Sample O refreshes the SOEPCore sample by adding the residents of households in neighborhoods that receive government...

This paper provides details on the sampling design, field results and nonresponse, as well as population adjustments for the 2018 Sample O of the Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP). Sample O refreshes the SOEPCore sample by adding the residents of households in neighborhoods that receive government...

How costly will rising temperature due to climate change be for the U.S. economy? Recent research has used the well-identified response of output to weather to estimate this cost. But agents may adapt to the new climate. We propose a methodology to infer adaptation technology from the...

The Wald development of statistical decision theory addresses decision making with sample data. Wald's concept of a statistical decision function (SDF) embraces all mappings of the form [data → decision]. An SDF need not perform statistical inference; that is, it need not use data to draw...

The taxation of property based on market values requires frequent appraisals for a large number of properties. In light of the recent property tax reform discussion in Germany, it has been argued that a valuebased tax therefore cannot be implemented at a reasonable cost. In several other...

Given that China accounts for about half of global copper consumption, it is reasonable to expect that any significant change in Chinese copper consumption will have an impact on the global market. This paper examines the likely impact of the rebalancing of the Chinese economy on its copper...

Modeling and estimating persistent discrete data can be challenging. In this paper, we use an autoregressive panel probit model where the autocorrelation in the discrete variable is driven by the autocorrelation in the latent variable. In such a non-linear model, the autocorrelation in an...

This paper shows that real effective exchange rate (REER) regressions, the standard approach for estimating the response of aggregate exports to exchange rate changes, imply biased estimates of the underlying elasticities. We provide a new aggregate regression specification that is consistent...

Why should we be interested in macroeconomic survey expectations? This important book offers an in-depth treatment of this question from a point of view not covered in existing works on time-series econometrics and forecasting. Clements presents the nature of survey data, addresses some of the...

This PhD thesis, entitled "Essays in Empirical Studies Based on Administrative Labour Market Data", is composed of three independent chapters, a general introduction for all three chapters at the beginning, and a brief conclusion in the end. While all three chapters are independent research...