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  • Search: subject_exact:"Sunspots"
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Year of publication
Subject
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Sunspots 767 Theorie 547 Theory 542 USA 207 United States 207 sunspots 106 Konjunkturtheorie 95 Business cycle theory 94 Equilibrium theory 89 Gleichgewichtstheorie 89 Rational expectations 88 Rationale Erwartung 88 Monetary policy 74 Geldpolitik 73 Business cycle 72 Konjunktur 72 Erwartungsbildung 69 Expectation formation 69 Real business cycle model 62 Real-Business-Cycle-Theorie 62 Indeterminacy 57 Overlapping generations 56 Overlapping Generations 53 Equilibrium model 46 General equilibrium 46 Gleichgewichtsmodell 46 Allgemeines Gleichgewicht 45 Dynamic equilibrium 45 Dynamisches Gleichgewicht 45 Neoclassical synthesis 45 Neoklassische Synthese 45 indeterminacy 41 Lernprozess 36 Schock 36 Shock 36 Learning process 35 Externalities 31 Returns to scale 31 Skalenertrag 31 Mehrsektoren-Modell 30
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Online availability
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Free 312 Undetermined 164
Type of publication
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Book / Working Paper 498 Article 371
Type of publication (narrower categories)
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Article in journal 309 Aufsatz in Zeitschrift 309 Working Paper 270 Arbeitspapier 251 Graue Literatur 247 Non-commercial literature 247 Aufsatz im Buch 30 Book section 30 Hochschulschrift 18 Thesis 16 Collection of articles written by one author 13 Sammlung 13 Conference paper 6 Konferenzbeitrag 6 Collection of articles of several authors 2 Commentary 2 Dissertation u.a. Prüfungsschriften 2 Festschrift 2 Kommentar 2 Konferenzschrift 2 Nachschlagewerk 2 Reference book 2 Reprint 2 Sammelwerk 2 Systematic review 2 Übersichtsarbeit 2 Adressbuch 1 Amtsdruckschrift 1 Article 1 Aufsatzsammlung 1 Bibliografie enthalten 1 Bibliography included 1 Case study 1 Conference Paper 1 Conference proceedings 1 Directory 1 Fallstudie 1 Government document 1 Preprint 1
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Language
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English 739 Undetermined 114 German 11 French 2 Portuguese 2 Polish 1
Author
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Weder, Mark 51 Harrison, Sharon G. 30 Farmer, Roger E. A. 29 Benhabib, Jess 27 Venditti, Alain 25 Evans, George W. 24 Nishimura, Kazuo 22 Wen, Yi 22 Guo, Jang-ting 19 McGough, Bruce 19 Wang, Pengfei 16 De Grauwe, Paul 15 Dufourt, Frédéric 14 Bacchetta, Philippe 13 Keister, Todd 12 Carlstrom, Charles T. 11 Dávila, Julio 11 Fuerst, Timothy S. 11 Heinemann, Frank 11 Honkapohja, Seppo 11 Kajii, Atsushi 11 Pintus, Patrick A. 11 Tille, Cédric 11 Grandmont, Jean-Michel 10 Karnizova, Lilia 10 Shell, Karl 10 Van Wincoop, Eric 10 Kaas, Leo 9 Lloyd-Braga, Teresa 9 Farmer, Roger E.A. 8 Lansing, Kevin J. 8 Ray, Indrajit 8 Busato, Francesco 7 Dos Santos Ferreira, Rodolphe 7 Ennis, Huberto M. 7 Hintermaier, Thomas 7 Marchetti, Enrico 7 Meng, Qinglai 7 Modesto, Leonor 7 Nourry, Carine 7
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Institution
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C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers 14 National Bureau of Economic Research 13 HAL 7 Society for Computational Economics - SCE 6 Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland 5 Sonderforschungsbereich Quantifikation und Simulation Ökonomischer Prozesse 5 Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München 5 Barnard College / Economics Department 4 Department of Economics, University of Oregon 4 Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania 4 Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE), École des Sciences Économiques de Louvain 3 Department of Economics, University of Birmingham 3 EconWPA 3 School of Economics, University of Adelaide 3 Sonderforschungsbereich 373, Quantifikation und Simulation ökonomischer Prozesse, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät 3 C.V. Starr Center for Applied Economics, Department of Economics 2 Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education and Economics Institute (CERGE-EI) 2 Center for Financial Studies 2 Fachbereich Wirtschaftswissenschaften, Universität Konstanz 2 Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond 2 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2 Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) 2 Núcleo de Investigação em Políticas Económicas (NIPE), Universidade do Minho 2 Society for Economic Dynamics - SED 2 Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät, Universität Regensburg 2 Aarhus Universitet / Afdeling for Nationaløkonomi 1 Bank for International Settlements (BIS) 1 Brown University / Department of Economics 1 Business School, University of Exeter 1 CESifo 1 Centre d'Économie de la Sorbonne, Université Paris 1 (Panthéon-Sorbonne) 1 Centre d'Études des Politiques Économiques (EPEE), Université d'Évry Val d'Essonne 1 Centre for Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis, University of St. Andrews 1 Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University 1 Department of Accounting, Economics and Finance, Bristol Business School 1 Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra 1 Department of Economics and Finance Research and Teaching, Institut für Höhere Studien (IHS) 1 Department of Economics and Related Studies, University of York 1 Department of Economics, Adam Smith Business School 1 Department of Economics, Lerner College of Business and Economics 1
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Published in...
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Journal of economic theory 39 Journal of economic dynamics & control 29 Macroeconomic dynamics 29 Discussion paper / Centre for Economic Policy Research 22 Working paper / National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. 21 Economic theory : official journal of the Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory 16 CEPR Discussion Papers 14 Economics letters 13 Journal of macroeconomics 13 NBER Working Paper 13 NBER working paper series 13 CESifo working papers 11 Working paper 11 Journal of monetary economics 10 CARESS working paper 9 Economic Theory 8 Economic modelling 7 International journal of economic theory 7 Journal of mathematical economics 7 Review of economic dynamics 7 CORE discussion paper : DP 6 Economics working paper 6 Finance and economics discussion series 6 Journal of money, credit and banking : JMCB 6 School of Economics working papers / The University of Adelaide, School of Economics 6 Working paper series / Barnard College, Economics Department 6 Discussion papers of interdisciplinary research project 373 5 Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland working paper series 5 MPRA Paper 5 Research in economics : an international review of economics 5 The American economic review 5 Working Papers / HAL 5 AMSE Working Papers 4 Contributions to macroeconomics 4 Discussion paper series / Research Institute for Economics and Business Administration, Kobe University 4 Econometrica : journal of the Econometric Society, an internat. society for the advancement of economic theory in its relation to statistics and mathematics 4 Economic research reports 4 Essays in dynamic general equilibrium theory ; Festschrift for David Cass ; with 3 tables 4 European economic review : EER 4 IZA Discussion Papers 4
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Source
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ECONIS (ZBW) 701 RePEc 139 EconStor 22 USB Cologne (EcoSocSci) 6 USB Cologne (business full texts) 1
Showing 1 - 50 of 869
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Monetary policy and sentiment-driven fluctuations
Chan, Jenny - 2020
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10012501082
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Heterogeneous expectations, indeterminacy, and postwar US business cycles
Ilabaca, Francisco; Milani, Fabio - 2020
This paper estimates a New Keynesian model extended to include heterogeneous expectations, to revisit the evidence that postwar US macroeconomic data can be explained as the outcome of passive monetary policy, indeterminacy, and sunspot-driven fluctuations in the pre-1979 sample, with a switch...
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10012200338
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Statistical sunspots
Branch, William A.; McGough, Bruce; Zhu, Mei - In: Theoretical economics : TE ; an open access journal in … 17 (2022) 1, pp. 291-329
This paper shows that belief‐driven economic fluctuations are a general feature of many determinate macroeconomic models. In environments with hidden state variables, forecast‐model misspecification can break the link between indeterminacy and sunspots by establishing the existence of...
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10012806933
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Chaos, Sunspots, and Automatic Stabilizers
Christiano, Lawrence J.; Harrison, Sharon G. - 2021
We study a one-sector growth model which is standard except for the presence of an externality in the production function. The set of competitive equilibria is large. It includes constant equilibria, sunspot equilibria, cyclical and chaotic equilibria, and equilibria with deterministic or...
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10013217601
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International confidence spillovers and business cycles in small open economies
Brzoza-Brzezina, Michał; Kotłowski, Jacek - In: Empirical economics : a quarterly journal of the … 61 (2021) 2, pp. 773-798
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10012616894
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Sunspots and Animal Spirits : The Origin of Keynes's Cycle Theory
Newman, Jonathan - 2021
William Stanley Jevons’s “Sunspot Theory” of business cycles related the number of spots on the sun to economic activity, primarily through the weather and agriculture, but also through psychological components like optimism and uncertainty. The theory is widely discredited, but John...
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10013237851
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Heterogeneous Expectations, Indeterminacy, and Postwar US Business Cycles
Ilabaca, Francisco; Milani, Fabio - 2020
This paper estimates a New Keynesian model extended to include heterogeneous expectations, to revisit the evidence that postwar US macroeconomic data can be explained as the outcome of passive monetary policy, indeterminacy, and sunspot-driven fluctuations in the pre-1979 sample, with a switch...
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10012207989
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Monetary policy, self-fulfilling expectations and the U.S. business cycle
Nicolò, Giovanni - 2020
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10012388613
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The role of nonlinearity in indeterminate models : an application to expectations-driven liquidity traps
Tamanyu, Yoichiro - 2020
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10012589350
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Coordination problems triggered by sunspots in the laboratory
Siebert, Jan; Yang, Guanzhong - 2020
A sunspot variable is any random variable that is not related to fundamental factors of the economy but a potential coordination device. The coordination power of sunspots has been analysed in theory and in experiments. However, some have discussed whether sunspots, e.g., public announcements...
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Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10012233925
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Equilibrium indeterminacy and extreme outcomes : a fat sunspot ta(i)l(e)
Dave, Chetan; Sorge, Marco M. - 2020
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10012248976
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International information flows, sentiments and cross-country business cycle fluctuations
Brzoza-Brzezina, Michał; Kotłowski, Jacek; … - 2020
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10012250331
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International confidence spillovers and business cycles in small open economies
Brzoza-Brzezina, Michał; Kotłowski, Jacek - 2020
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10012250736
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Hot money for a cold economy
Andolfatto, David - 2020
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10012306885
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A sunspot-based theory of unconventional monetary policy
Farmer, Roger E. A.; Zabczyk, Pawel - In: Macroeconomic dynamics 26 (2022) 1, pp. 186-217
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10013166212
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Public spending, monetary policy and macroeconomic instability
Fu, Zhiming; Le Riche, Antoine - In: Journal of public economic theory 24 (2022) 3, pp. 580-608
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10013183774
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Sovereign debt crises and cross-country assistance
Grisse, Christian; Natvik, Gisle James - In: Oxford economic papers 74 (2022) 1, pp. 178-193
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10012799209
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Macroeconomic stability under balanced-budget rules and no-income-effect preferences
Guo, Jang-ting; Zhang, Yan - In: Pacific economic review 27 (2022) 1, pp. 3-17
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10012814169
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Self-fulfilling debt crises, revisited
Aguiar, Mark; Chatterjee, Satyajit; Cole, Harold L.; … - In: Journal of political economy 130 (2022) 5, pp. 1147-1183
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10013253108
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The Indeterminacy School in Macroeconomics
Farmer, Roger E.A. - 2019
The Indeterminacy School in Macroeconomics exploits the fact that macroeconomic models often display multiple equilibria to understand real-world phenomena. There are two distinct phases in the evolution of its history. The first phase began as a research agenda at the University of Pennsylvania...
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10012479828
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Believe It or Not : Experimental Evidence on Sunspot Equilibria with Social Networks
Battiston, Pietro - 2019
Models with sunspot equilibria have long been a topic of interest among economists. It then becomes an interesting question to ask whether there is empirical support for their existence. One approach to answering this question is through lab experiments. Such equilibria have been successfully...
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10012859124
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Believe it or Not : Experimental Evidence on Sunspot Equilibria with Social Networks
Battiston, Pietro - 2019
Models with sunspot equilibria have long been a topic of interest among economists. It then becomes an interesting question to ask whether there is empirical support for their existence. One approach to answer this question is through lab experiments. Such equilibria have been successfully...
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10012859170
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Indeterminacy and Imperfect Information
Lubik, Thomas - 2019
We study equilibrium determination in an environment where two kinds of agents have different information sets: The fully informed agents know the structure of the model and observe histories of all exogenous and endogenous variables. The less informed agents observe only a strict subset of the...
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10012860800
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The Indeterminacy School in Macroeconomics
Farmer, Roger E. A. - 2019
The Indeterminacy School in Macroeconomics exploits the fact that macroeconomic models often display multiple equilibria to understand real-world phenomena. There are two distinct phases in the evolution of its history. The first phase began as a research agenda at the University of Pennsylvania...
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10012869650
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Monetary policy switching and indeterminacy
Barthélémy, Jean; Marx, Magali - In: Quantitative economics : QE ; journal of the … 10 (2019) 1, pp. 353-385
This paper determines conditions for the existence of a unique rational expectations equilibrium-determinacy-in a monetary policy switching economy. We depart from the existing literature by providing such conditions considering all bounded equilibria. We then apply these conditions to a new...
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10011994871
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Optimal inflation target with expectations-driven liquidity traps
Coyle, Philip; Nakata, Taisuke - 2019 - This draft: April 2019
In expectations-driven liquidity traps, a higher inflation target is associated with lower inflation and consumption. As a result, introducing the possibility of expectations-driven liquidity traps to an otherwise standard model lowers the optimal inflation target. Using a calibrated New...
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10012181161
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Expectations-driven liquidity traps : implications for monetary and fiscal policy
Nakata, Taisuke; Schmidt, Sebastian - 2019 - This draft: June 2019
We study optimal monetary and fiscal policy in a New Keynesian model where occasional declines in agents' confidence give rise to persistent liquidity trap episodes. There is no straightforward recipe for enhancing welfare in this economy. Raising the inflation target or appointing an...
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10012181947
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Indeterminacy with preferences featuring multiplicative habits in consumption
Vasilev, Aleksandar - 2019
We introduce consumption habits into an exogenous growth model augmented with a detailed government sector, and calibrate the model to Bulgarian data for the period following the introduction of the currency board arrangement (1999-2016). We show that in contrast to the case without habits,...
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10012137980
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Self-fulfilling credit cycles
Azariadēs, Kōstas; Kaas, Leo; Wen, Yi - 2015
In U.S. data 1981-2012, unsecured firm credit moves procyclically and tends to lead GDP, while secured firm credit is acyclical; similarly, shocks to unsecured firm credit explain a far larger fraction of output fluctuations than shocks to secured credit. In this paper we develop a tractable...
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10010503469
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Growth expectations, undue optimism, and short-run fluctuations
Enders, Zeno; Kleemann, Michael; Müller, Gernot J. - In: The review of economics and statistics 103 (2021) 5, pp. 905-921
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10013163364
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Coordination problems triggered by sunspots in the laboratory
Siebert, Jan; Yang, Guanzhong - In: Journal of behavioral and experimental economics 94 (2021), pp. 1-7
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10013176808
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Equilibrium indeterminacy and sunspot tales
Dave, Chetan; Sorge, Marco M. - In: European economic review : EER 140 (2021), pp. 1-17
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10012816176
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Disagreement on sunspots and soybeans futures price
Wang, Hanjie; Feil, Jan-Henning; Yu, Xiaohua - In: Economic modelling 95 (2021), pp. 385-393
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10012696011
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Heterogeneous expectations, indeterminacy, and postwar US business cycles
Ilabaca, Francisco; Milani, Fabio - In: Journal of macroeconomics 68 (2021), pp. 1-16
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10012630988
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Sunspot equilibrium in positive recursive general quitting games
Solan, Eilon; Solan, Omri N. - In: International journal of game theory 50 (2021) 4, pp. 891-909
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10012665447
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Macroeconomic fluctuations with HANK & SAM : an analytical approach
Ravn, Morten O.; Sterk, Vincent - In: Journal of the European Economic Association : JEEA 19 (2021) 2, pp. 1162-1202
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10012594396
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What to expect when everyone is expecting : self-fulfilling expectations and asset-pricing puzzles
Garleanu, Nicolae; Panageas, Stauros - In: Journal of financial economics 140 (2021) 1, pp. 54-73
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10013188569
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Endogenous business cycles with financial frictions
Dai, Wei; Zhang, Bo - In: Applied economics 53 (2021) 19, pp. 2159-2169
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10012500986
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Monetary paradoxes of Baby-sitting Cooperatives
Zaman, Asad - In: The Pakistan development review : PDR 60 (2021) 1, pp. 1-16
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10013171857
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Sunspots in global games: Theory and experiment
Heinemann, Frank; Moradi, Homayoon - 2018
We solve and test experimentally a global-games model of speculative attacks where agents can choose whether to read, at a cost, a payoff irrelevant (sunspot) announcement. Assuming that subjects exogenously believe some others to follow sunspots, we provide conditions for a unique equilibrium...
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10011985279
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War of the Waves: Radio and Resistance During World War II
Gagliarducci, Stefano; Onorato, Massimiliano Gaetano; … - 2018
What is the role of the media in coordinating and mobilizing insurgency against a foreign military occupation? We analyze this question in the context of the Nazi-fascist occupation of Italy during WWII. We study the effect of BBC radio counter-propaganda (Radio Londra) on the intensity of...
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10011815816
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War of the waves: Radio and resistance during World War II
Gagliarducci, Stefano; Onorator, Massimiliano G.; … - 2018
What is the role of the media in coordinating and mobilizing insurgency against a foreign military occupation? We analyze this question in the context of the Nazi-fascist occupation of Italy during WWII. We study the effect of BBC radio counter-propaganda (Radio Londra) on the intensity of...
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10012059358
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Real business cycles, animal spirits, and stock market valuation
Lansing, Kevin J. - 2018
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10011898964
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War of the waves : radio and resistance during World War II
Gagliarducci, Stefano; Onorato, Massimiliano Gaetano; … - 2018 - This version: February, 2018
What is the role of the media in coordinating and mobilizing insurgency against a foreign military occupation? We analyze this question in the context of the Nazi-fascist occupation of Italy during WWII. We study the effect of BBC radio counter-propaganda (Radio Londra) on the intensity of...
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10011804141
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Growth Expectations, Undue Optimism, and Short-Run Fluctuations
Enders, Zeno - 2018
We assess whether “undue optimism” (Pigou) contributes to business cycle fluctuations. In our analysis, optimism (or pessimism) pertains to total factor productivity, which determines economic activity in the long run. Optimism shocks are perceived changes in productivity that do not...
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10012938129
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International confidence spillovers and business cycles in small open economies
Brzoza-Brzezina, Michał; Kotłowski, Jacek - 2018
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10011866593
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Animal spirits and fiscal policy
De Grauwe, Paul; Foresti, Pasquale - 2018
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10012110057
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Sunspots in global games : theory and experiment
Heinemann, Frank; Moradi, Homayoon - 2018
We solve and test experimentally a global-games model of speculative attacks where agents can choose whether to read, at a cost, a payoff irrelevant (sunspot) announcement. Assuming that subjects exogenously believe some others to follow sunspots, we provide conditions for a unique equilibrium...
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10011976078
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Money growth targeting and indeterminacy in small open economies
Huang, Kevin X. D.; Meng, Qinglai; Xue, Jianpo - 2018
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10011925756
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Indeterminacy with preferences featuring multiplicative habits in consumption : lessons from Bulgaria (1999-2016)
Vasilev, Aleksandar - 2018
We introduce consumption habits into an exogenous growth model augmented with a detailed government sector, and calibrate the model to Bulgarian data for the period following the introduction of the currency board arrangement (1999-2016). We show that in contrast to the case without habits,...
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10011925910
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