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  • Search: subject_exact:"Sunspots"
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Year of publication
Subject
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Sunspots 769 Theorie 449 Theory 444 Rational expectations 113 Rationale Erwartung 113 sunspots 108 Konjunkturtheorie 85 Business cycle theory 84 Business cycle 81 Konjunktur 81 Monetary policy 81 Geldpolitik 80 Real business cycle model 71 Real-Business-Cycle-Theorie 71 Equilibrium theory 67 Erwartungsbildung 67 Expectation formation 67 Gleichgewichtstheorie 67 Overlapping generations 60 Overlapping Generations 57 Equilibrium model 55 Gleichgewichtsmodell 55 Dynamic equilibrium 54 Dynamisches Gleichgewicht 54 Indeterminacy 51 Allgemeines Gleichgewicht 49 General equilibrium 49 Schock 49 Shock 49 USA 40 United States 40 Lernprozess 38 Learning process 37 indeterminacy 37 Estimation 36 Neoclassical synthesis 36 Neoklassische Synthese 36 Schätzung 36 Financial market 35 Finanzmarkt 35
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Online availability
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Free 349 Undetermined 157
Type of publication
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Book / Working Paper 516 Article 357
Type of publication (narrower categories)
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Article in journal 299 Aufsatz in Zeitschrift 299 Working Paper 266 Graue Literatur 253 Non-commercial literature 253 Arbeitspapier 247 Aufsatz im Buch 28 Book section 28 Hochschulschrift 18 Thesis 16 Collection of articles written by one author 13 Sammlung 13 Conference paper 6 Konferenzbeitrag 6 Collection of articles of several authors 2 Dissertation u.a. Prüfungsschriften 2 Festschrift 2 Konferenzschrift 2 Nachschlagewerk 2 Reference book 2 Reprint 2 Sammelwerk 2 Systematic review 2 Übersichtsarbeit 2 Adressbuch 1 Amtsdruckschrift 1 Article 1 Aufsatzsammlung 1 Bibliografie enthalten 1 Bibliography included 1 Case study 1 Commentary 1 Conference Paper 1 Conference proceedings 1 Directory 1 Fallstudie 1 Government document 1 Kommentar 1 Preprint 1
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Language
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English 743 Undetermined 114 German 11 French 2 Portuguese 2 Polish 1
Author
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Weder, Mark 50 Benhabib, Jess 37 Farmer, Roger E. A. 28 Venditti, Alain 28 Wang, Pengfei 26 Wen, Yi 26 Evans, George W. 25 Harrison, Sharon G. 25 Nishimura, Kazuo 23 McGough, Bruce 21 Guo, Jang-ting 20 De Grauwe, Paul 17 Dufourt, Frédéric 14 Bacchetta, Philippe 13 Grandmont, Jean-Michel 12 Carlstrom, Charles T. 11 Dávila, Julio 11 Fuerst, Timothy S. 11 Honkapohja, Seppo 11 Keister, Todd 11 Pintus, Patrick A. 11 Tille, Cédric 11 Karnizova, Lilia 10 Shell, Karl 10 Van Wincoop, Eric 10 Heinemann, Frank 9 Kaas, Leo 9 Kajii, Atsushi 9 Lloyd-Braga, Teresa 9 Nourry, Carine 9 Farmer, Roger E.A. 8 Gershun, Natalia 8 Lansing, Kevin J. 8 Ray, Indrajit 8 Angeletos, Marios 7 Busato, Francesco 7 Dos Santos Ferreira, Rodolphe 7 Enders, Zeno 7 Ennis, Huberto M. 7 Hintermaier, Thomas 7
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Institution
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National Bureau of Economic Research 20 C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers 14 HAL 7 Society for Computational Economics - SCE 6 Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland 5 Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München 5 Barnard College / Economics Department 4 Department of Economics, University of Oregon 4 Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania 4 Sonderforschungsbereich Quantifikation und Simulation Ökonomischer Prozesse 4 Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE), École des Sciences Économiques de Louvain 3 Department of Economics, University of Birmingham 3 EconWPA 3 School of Economics, University of Adelaide 3 Sonderforschungsbereich 373, Quantifikation und Simulation ökonomischer Prozesse, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät 3 C.V. Starr Center for Applied Economics, Department of Economics 2 Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education and Economics Institute (CERGE-EI) 2 Center for Financial Studies 2 Fachbereich Wirtschaftswissenschaften, Universität Konstanz 2 Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond 2 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2 Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) 2 Núcleo de Investigação em Políticas Económicas (NIPE), Universidade do Minho 2 Society for Economic Dynamics - SED 2 Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät, Universität Regensburg 2 Aarhus Universitet / Afdeling for Nationaløkonomi 1 Bank for International Settlements (BIS) 1 Brown University / Department of Economics 1 Business School, University of Exeter 1 CESifo 1 Centre d'Économie de la Sorbonne, Université Paris 1 (Panthéon-Sorbonne) 1 Centre d'Études des Politiques Économiques (EPEE), Université d'Évry Val d'Essonne 1 Centre for Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis, University of St. Andrews 1 Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University 1 Department of Accounting, Economics and Finance, Bristol Business School 1 Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra 1 Department of Economics and Finance Research and Teaching, Institut für Höhere Studien (IHS) 1 Department of Economics and Related Studies, University of York 1 Department of Economics, Adam Smith Business School 1 Department of Economics, Lerner College of Business and Economics 1
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Published in...
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Journal of economic theory 38 Macroeconomic dynamics 31 Journal of economic dynamics & control 26 Discussion paper / Centre for Economic Policy Research 23 Working paper / National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. 21 NBER working paper series 20 NBER Working Paper 18 Economic theory : official journal of the Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory 15 CEPR Discussion Papers 14 Economics letters 12 Journal of macroeconomics 12 CESifo working papers 11 Journal of monetary economics 11 Working paper 11 Economic Theory 8 International journal of economic theory 8 Journal of mathematical economics 8 Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland working paper series 7 Review of economic dynamics 7 CORE discussion paper : DP 6 Economics working paper 6 School of Economics working papers / The University of Adelaide, School of Economics 6 Working paper series / Barnard College, Economics Department 6 CARESS working paper 5 Economic modelling 5 MPRA Paper 5 Research in economics : an international review of economics 5 The American economic review 5 Working Papers / HAL 5 AMSE Working Papers 4 CESifo Working Paper 4 CESifo Working Paper Series 4 Contributions to macroeconomics 4 Discussion paper series / Research Institute for Economics and Business Administration, Kobe University 4 Discussion papers of interdisciplinary research project 373 4 Essays in dynamic general equilibrium theory ; Festschrift for David Cass ; with 3 tables 4 European economic review : EER 4 IZA Discussion Papers 4 Journal of economic behavior & organization : JEBO 4 Journal of money, credit and banking : JMCB 4
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Source
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ECONIS (ZBW) 705 RePEc 139 EconStor 22 USB Cologne (EcoSocSci) 6 USB Cologne (business full texts) 1
Showing 1 - 50 of 873
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Limited energy supply, sunspots, and monetary policy
Gornemann, Nils; Hildebrand, Sebastian; Küster, Keith - 2022
A common assumption in macroeconomics is that energy prices are determined in a world-wide, rather frictionless market. This no longer seems an adequate description for the situation that much of Europe currently faces. Rather, one reading is that shortages exist in the quantity of energy...
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10013493001
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Monetary policy and sentiment-driven fluctuations
Chan, Jenny - 2020
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10012501082
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Heterogeneous expectations, indeterminacy, and postwar US business cycles
Ilabaca, Francisco; Milani, Fabio - 2020
This paper estimates a New Keynesian model extended to include heterogeneous expectations, to revisit the evidence that postwar US macroeconomic data can be explained as the outcome of passive monetary policy, indeterminacy, and sunspot-driven fluctuations in the pre-1979 sample, with a switch...
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10012200338
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Statistical sunspots
Branch, William A.; McGough, Bruce; Zhu, Mei - In: Theoretical economics : TE ; an open access journal in … 17 (2022) 1, pp. 291-329
This paper shows that belief‐driven economic fluctuations are a general feature of many determinate macroeconomic models. In environments with hidden state variables, forecast‐model misspecification can break the link between indeterminacy and sunspots by establishing the existence of...
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10012806933
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Balanced-budget rules : local indeterminacy and bifurcations
Stockman, David R. - In: International journal of economic theory 18 (2022) 2, pp. 109-136
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10013274226
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Inflation gap persistence, indeterminacy, and monetary policy
Hirose, Yasuo; Kurozumi, Takushi; Van Zandweghe, Willem - 2021
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10012489840
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International confidence spillovers and business cycles in small open economies
Brzoza-Brzezina, Michał; Kotłowski, Jacek - In: Empirical economics : a quarterly journal of the … 61 (2021) 2, pp. 773-798
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10012616894
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Indeterminacy and Imperfect information
Lubik, Thomas; Matthes, Christian; Mertens, Elmar - 2021
We study equilibrium determination in an environment where two kinds of agents have different information sets: The fully informed agents know the structure of the model and observe histories of all exogenous and endogenous variables. The less informed agents observe only a strict subset of the...
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10013315326
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Growth Expectations, Undue Optimism, and Short-Run Fluctuations
Enders, Zeno; Kleemann, Michael; Müller, Gernot J. - 2021
We assess whether "undue optimism" (Pigou) contributes to business cycle fluctuations. In our analysis, optimism (or pessimism) pertains to total factor productivity which determines economic activity in the long run. Optimism shocks are perceived changes in productivity which do not actually...
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10013315454
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Smells like animal spirits : the effect of corporate sentiment on investment
La Cava, Gianni - 2021
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10013263236
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Incomplete Information in Macroeconomics : Accommodating Frictions in Coordination
Angeletos, George-Marios; Lian, Chen - 2021
This chapter studies how incomplete information helps accommodate frictions in coordination, leading to novel insights on the joint determination of expectations and macroeconomic outcomes. We review and synthesize recent work on global games, beauty contests, and their applications. We...
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10013224988
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Monetary Policy and Debt Fragility
Camous, Antoine; Cooper, Russell - 2021
The valuation of government debt is subject to strategic uncertainty, stemming from investors' sentiments. Pessimistic lenders, fearing default, bid down the price of debt. This leaves a government with a higher debt burden, increasing the likelihood of default and thus confirming the pessimism...
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10013224996
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Sunspots and Animal Spirits : The Origin of Keynes's Cycle Theory
Newman, Jonathan - 2021
William Stanley Jevons’s “Sunspot Theory” of business cycles related the number of spots on the sun to economic activity, primarily through the weather and agriculture, but also through psychological components like optimism and uncertainty. The theory is widely discredited, but John...
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10013237851
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Inflation Gap Persistence, Indeterminacy, and Monetary Policy
Hirose, Yasuo; Kurozumi, Takushi; Van Zandweghe, Willem - 2021
Empirical studies have documented that the persistence of the gap between inflation and its trend declined after the Volcker disinflation. Previous research into the source of the decline has offered competing views while sidestepping the possibility of equilibrium indeterminacy. This paper...
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10013238359
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Self-Fulfilling Risk Panics : An Expected Utility Framework
Benhabib, Jess; Liu, Xuewen; Wang, Pengfei - 2021
Even if an asset has no fundamental uncertainty with a constant dividend process, a stochastic sentiment-driven equilibrium for the asset price exists besides the well-known unique fundamental equilibrium. Our paper constructs such sentiment-driven equilibria under general utility functions...
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10013245203
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Indeterminacy and Search Theory
Giammarioli, Nicola - 2021
This paper investigates a dynamic general equilibrium model with search. In particular, search externalities are reflected by an increasing returns to scale matching function, which may imply an indeterminate equilibrium. Hence, the model is capable to generate business fluctuations, driven by...
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10013319710
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Monetary Policy and Fears of Financial Instability
Brousseau, Vincent; Detken, Carsten - 2021
Exploiting a specific sunspot equilibrium in a standard forward-looking New Keynsian model, we present an example of a possible conflict between short-term price stability and financial stability. We find a conflict because the sunspot process consists of a self-fulfilling belief linking the...
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10013320710
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Stable Sunspot Equilibria in a Cash-in-Advance Economy
Evans, George W.; Honkapohja, Seppo; Marimon, Ramon - 2021
We develop a monetary model with flexible supply of labor, cash in advance constraints and government spending financed by seignorage. This model has two regimes. One regime is conventional with two steady states. The other regime has a unique steady state which can be determinate or...
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10013320716
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Heterogeneous Expectations, Indeterminacy, and Postwar US Business Cycles
Ilabaca, Francisco; Milani, Fabio - 2020
This paper estimates a New Keynesian model extended to include heterogeneous expectations, to revisit the evidence that postwar US macroeconomic data can be explained as the outcome of passive monetary policy, indeterminacy, and sunspot-driven fluctuations in the pre-1979 sample, with a switch...
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10012207989
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Heterogeneous Expectations, Indeterminacy, and Postwar US Business Cycles
Ilabaca, Francisco - 2020
This paper estimates a New Keynesian model extended to include heterogeneous expectations, to revisit the evidence that postwar US macroeconomic data can be explained as the outcome of passive monetary policy, indeterminacy, and sunspot-driven fluctuations in the pre-1979 sample, with a switch...
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10012836715
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Self-Fulfilling Risk Panics : An Expected Utility Framework
Benhabib, Jess - 2020
Even if an asset has no fundamental uncertainty with a constant dividend process, a stochastic sentiment-driven equilibrium for the asset price exists besides the well-known fundamental equilibrium. Our paper constructs such sentiment-driven equilibria under general utility functions within an...
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10012482502
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Coordination problems triggered by sunspots in the laboratory
Siebert, Jan; Yang, Guanzhong - 2020
A sunspot variable is any random variable that is not related to fundamental factors of the economy but a potential coordination device. The coordination power of sunspots has been analysed in theory and in experiments. However, some have discussed whether sunspots, e.g., public announcements...
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Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10012233925
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Hot money for a cold economy
Andolfatto, David - 2020
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10012306885
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Equilibrium indeterminacy and extreme outcomes : a fat sunspot ta(i)l(e)
Dave, Chetan; Sorge, Marco M. - 2020
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10012248976
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International information flows, sentiments and cross-country business cycle fluctuations
Brzoza-Brzezina, Michał; Kotłowski, Jacek; … - 2020
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10012250331
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International confidence spillovers and business cycles in small open economies
Brzoza-Brzezina, Michał; Kotłowski, Jacek - 2020
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10012250736
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The role of nonlinearity in indeterminate models : an application to expectations-driven liquidity traps
Tamanyu, Yoichiro - 2020
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10012589350
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Agency business cycles
Golosov, Michail Ju.; Menzio, Guido - In: Theoretical economics : TE ; an open access journal in … 15 (2020) 1, pp. 123-158
We develop a theory of endogenous and stochastic fluctuations in economic activity. Individual firms choose to randomize over firing or keeping workers who performed poorly in the past to give them an ex-ante incentive to exert effort. Different firms choose to correlate the outcome of their...
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10012159036
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Sovereign debt crises and cross-country assistance
Grisse, Christian; Natvik, Gisle James - In: Oxford economic papers 74 (2022) 1, pp. 178-193
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10012799209
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Macroeconomic stability under balanced-budget rules and no-income-effect preferences
Guo, Jang-ting; Zhang, Yan - In: Pacific economic review 27 (2022) 1, pp. 3-17
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10012814169
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Self-fulfilling debt crises, revisited
Aguiar, Mark; Chatterjee, Satyajit; Cole, Harold L.; … - In: Journal of political economy 130 (2022) 5, pp. 1147-1183
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10013253108
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A sunspot-based theory of unconventional monetary policy
Farmer, Roger E. A.; Zabczyk, Pawel - In: Macroeconomic dynamics 26 (2022) 1, pp. 186-217
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10013166212
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Balanced-budget rules and macroeconomic stability with overlapping generations
Guo, Jang-ting; Zhang, Yan - In: Journal of macroeconomics 74 (2022), pp. 1-17
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10013472107
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Inflation in the 1970s in the U.S : Misspecification, Learning and Sunspots
von zur Muehlen, Peter; Tetlow, Robert J. - 2022
In the late 1960s and into the 1970s, the United States experienced a burst of inflation the origins of which seemed hard to uncover. This paper advances the idea that the Fed simply got the model wrong. We assume that the true model of the economy is a variant of the standard New Keynesian...
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10013403849
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Belief-driven growth slowdowns and zero-bounded risk-free rate
Zhang, Xiaoge - In: The North American journal of economics and finance : a … 59 (2022), pp. 1-29
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10013413532
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Public spending, monetary policy and macroeconomic instability
Fu, Zhiming; Le Riche, Antoine - In: Journal of public economic theory 24 (2022) 3, pp. 580-608
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10013183774
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International information flows, sentiments, and cross-country business cycle fluctuations
Brzoza-Brzezina, Michał; Kotłowski, Jacek; … - In: Review of international economics 30 (2022) 4, pp. 1110-1147
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10013463349
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Indeterminacy and Imperfect Information
Lubik, Thomas - 2019
We study equilibrium determination in an environment where two kinds of agents have different information sets: The fully informed agents know the structure of the model and observe histories of all exogenous and endogenous variables. The less informed agents observe only a strict subset of the...
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10012860800
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Indeterminacy with preferences featuring multiplicative habits in consumption
Vasilev, Aleksandar - 2019
We introduce consumption habits into an exogenous growth model augmented with a detailed government sector, and calibrate the model to Bulgarian data for the period following the introduction of the currency board arrangement (1999-2016). We show that in contrast to the case without habits,...
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10012137980
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A finite set of equilibria for the indeterminacy of linear rational expectations models
Chatelain, Jean-Bernard; Ralf, Kirsten - 2014
This paper demonstrates the existence of a finite set of equilibria in the case of the indeterminacy of linear rational expectations models. The number of equilibria corresponds to the number of ways to select n eigenvectors among a larger set of eigenvectors related to stable eigenvalues. A...
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10011525764
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Endogenous business cycles with financial frictions
Dai, Wei; Zhang, Bo - In: Applied economics 53 (2021) 19, pp. 2159-2169
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10012500986
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Heterogeneous expectations, indeterminacy, and postwar US business cycles
Ilabaca, Francisco; Milani, Fabio - In: Journal of macroeconomics 68 (2021), pp. 1-16
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10012630988
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Sunspot equilibrium in positive recursive general quitting games
Solan, Eilon; Solan, Omri N. - In: International journal of game theory 50 (2021) 4, pp. 891-909
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10012665447
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Macroeconomic fluctuations with HANK & SAM : an analytical approach
Ravn, Morten O.; Sterk, Vincent - In: Journal of the European Economic Association : JEEA 19 (2021) 2, pp. 1162-1202
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10012594396
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Equilibrium indeterminacy and sunspot tales
Dave, Chetan; Sorge, Marco M. - In: European economic review : EER 140 (2021), pp. 1-17
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10012816176
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Disagreement on sunspots and soybeans futures price
Wang, Hanjie; Feil, Jan-Henning; Yu, Xiaohua - In: Economic modelling 95 (2021), pp. 385-393
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10012696011
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Monetary paradoxes of Baby-sitting Cooperatives
Zaman, Asad - In: The Pakistan development review : PDR 60 (2021) 1, pp. 1-16
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10013171857
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Coordination problems triggered by sunspots in the laboratory
Siebert, Jan; Yang, Guanzhong - In: Journal of behavioral and experimental economics 94 (2021), pp. 1-7
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10013176808
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Growth expectations, undue optimism, and short-run fluctuations
Enders, Zeno; Kleemann, Michael; Müller, Gernot J. - In: The review of economics and statistics 103 (2021) 5, pp. 905-921
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10013163364
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Aggregation in economies with search frictions
Kokonas, Nikolaos; Monteiro, Paulo Santos - In: Journal of mathematical economics 96 (2021), pp. 1-11
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10013273531
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