Search Results - subject_exact:"Tariffs"

From trade war to green transition : optimal electric vehicle tariffs with revenue-funded subsidies

Barwick, Panle Jia; Collison, Jack; Goldberg, Pinelopi K.; … - 2026

We study the optimal design of trade and industrial policy when governments pursue environmental objectives alongside traditional welfare goals. Motivated by the global transition to electric vehicles (EVs) and growing concerns about competitiveness, energy security, and climate change, we...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015654689

The causal effects of tariff uncertainty on consumers' macroeconomic expectations and spending plans

Candia, Bernardo; Mitchell, James; Pfajfar, Damjan - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015619007

Tariffs and firm expectations

Abberger, Klaus; Bibaj, Arbërim; Gersbach, Hans; … - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015616693

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Tariffs and firm expectations

Abberger, Klaus; Bibaj, Arbërim; Gersbach, Hans; … - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Tariffs and firm expectations

Abberger, Klaus; Bibaj, Arbërim; Gersbach, Hans; … - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Impact of the 2025 United States tariffs on firm export behavior : evidence from Asian customs data

Iseki, Ritsuko; Miyakawa, Daisuke; Shinozaki, Shigehiro - 2026

This paper dissects the impact of United States (US) tariffs introduced in 2025 on firm exports, concentrating on heterogeneity. Using comprehensive export customs data to the US from six selected Asian countries from January 2024 to August 2025, we confirm that for the first few months after...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015611504

The employment consequences of anti-dumping tariffs : lessons from Brazil

Souza, Gustavo de; Li, Haishi - 2026 - Original version: January 2025, this version: Januar 2026

How do import tariffs affect employment? We develop an empirical strategy to identify the effects of tariffs using difference-in-differences, comparing anti-dumping (AD) investigations resulting in dumping tariffs to those not resulting in dumping tariffs. We find that an AD tariff decreases...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015605203

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The employment consequences of anti-dumping tariffs : lessons from Brazil

Souza, Gustavo de; Li, Haishi - 2025

Book / Working Paper

The employment consequences of anti-dumping tariffs : lessons from Brazil

Souza, Gustavo de; Li, Haishi - 2022

Book / Working Paper

Did foreigners pay America's tariffs? : quantity discounts, scale economies and incomplete pass-through

Ganapati, Sharat; Hottman, Colin - 2026

Transaction-level quantity discounts are a pervasive feature of US trade, shaping both price variation and tariff incidence. Using administrative microdata, we show that these discounts reflect transaction-level scale economies rather than market power. Accounting for these micro-level economies...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015606354

A tariff model with bilateral deterrence

Scandizzo, Pasquale Lucio - 2026

This paper develops a dynamic real-options model of tariff deterrence in which the exporting country, though subject to the importing country's market power, assumes the role of leader in a Stackelberg framework under uncertainty by acting preventively to dissuade the importer from imposing a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015625875

Estimating tax-dependent compliance : theory and evidence from trade wars

Bibler, Andrew; Gao, Yuting; Grigolon, Laura; Tremblay, Mark - 2026

Statutory tariff rates may overstate the tariffs actually paid due to evasion and avoidance. We develop a novel method to estimate tariff compliance and apply it to the 2018 trade war, when several countries imposed retaliatory tariffs on U.S. exports. Estimated compliance falls by 25 percentage...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015638999

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Estimating tax-dependent compliance : theory and evidence from trade wars

Bibler, Andrew; Gao, Yuting; Grigolon, Laura; Tremblay, Mark - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Paying more and buying less : 2025 tariffs and U.S. household spending

Hacıoǧlu Hoke, Sinem; Feler, Leo - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015640609

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Paying more and buying less : 2025 tariffs and U.S. household spending

Hacıoǧlu Hoke, Sinem; Feler, Leo - 2026

Book / Working Paper

One year of America First 2.0 : assessing the effects of Trump's trade policies

Oberhofer, Harald - 2026

This Policy Brief evaluates the trade policy of Donald Trump during the first year of his second presidential term. The administration pursued a strongly protectionist agenda, implementing new tariffs on a wide range of products and trading partners, including long‑standing allies such as the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015636842

The economics of tariffs

Redding, Stephen; Ossa, Ralph - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015666277

Intertemporal pass-through

Ghassibe, Mishel; Wanengkirtyo, Boromeus; Yotzov, Ivan - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015639240

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Intertemporal pass-through

Ghassibe, Mishel; Wanengkirtyo, Boromeus; Yotzov, Ivan - 2025

Book / Working Paper

Tariffs and technological hegemony

Fornaro, Luca; Wolf, Martin - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015548930

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Tariffs and technological hegemony

Fornaro, Luca; Wolf, Martin - 2025

Book / Working Paper

Cambodia and the United States tariff : modeling the economic impacts with GTAP-FIN

Giesecke, James A. D.; Waschik, Robert G.; Thomas, Milan - 2025

We examine the potential economic impacts of the new United States (US) tariff on Cambodia using a dynamic global general equilibrium model (GTAP-FIN). We simulate the impact of US tariff increases announced in August 2025 while also examining two additional hypothetical cases for Cambodia....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015485812

Global demand and supply elasticities and the impact of tariff shocks

Naqvi, Syed Ali Asjad - 2025 - This version: 14 April 2025

This study applies the Quadratic Almost Ideal Demand System (QUAIDS) to the Asian Development Bank's Multi-Region Input-Output (MRIO) dataset to estimate global demand and supply elasticities across intermediate vs. final, and domestic vs. foreign sectors. Using pooled data from 2021-2023,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015373766

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Global demand and supply elasticities and the impact of tariff shocks

Naqvi, Syed Ali Asjad - 2025

Book / Working Paper

Partial cross-Ownership and merger control in international trade

Ghosh, Arghya; Mukunoki, Hiroshi - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015191910

Tariffs tax the poor more : evidence from household consumption during the US-China trade war

Ma, Hong; Macedoni, Luca; Ning, Jingxin; Xu, Mingzhi - 2025

Using disaggregated US household expenditure data, we study the distributional consequences of the US-China trade war. We estimate a highly flexible demand system to compute household-specific price indexes. The increases in US tariﬀs on Chinese products between 2018 and 2019 led to an average...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015179224

High tariffs, high stakes : the policy drivers behind firm-level adoption of green technologies

Rosenow, Samuel; Espitia, Alvaro; Fernandes, Ana Margarida - 2025

Addressing climate change requires green technology deployment. This paper uses firm-level import data in 35 emerging markets to examine how trade policies affect firms’ imports of products associated with solar, wind power, and electric vehicle value chains. Panel estimates show a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015326263

The global economic effects of Trump's 2025 tariffs

McKibbin, Warwick J.; Noland, Marcus; Shuetrim, Geoffrey - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015419477

Macroeconomic model simulations suggest only minor impacts on the euro area from current US import tariffs

Ikonen, Pasi; Kurronen, Sanna; Rönkkö, Risto; Vilmi, Lauri - 2025

This brief presents impact assessments of increased tariffs based on simulations using the Global Integrated Monetary and Fiscal (GIMF) macroeconomic model. The current increases in US import tariffs are shown to reduce aggregate output across all major economic regions. The most pronounced...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015464079

U.S. foreign trade policy : effects of tariff increases on prices and output in the global economy

Kryachko, Irina V.; Penikas, Henry - 2025

In April 2025, the United States abruptly announced exceptionally high tariffs on imports from more than 180 countries (levels not seen in nearly 150 years) shocking the global economy. Within a week, most measures were postponed for 90 days (until July 9, 2025), but tariffs on Chinese goods...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015473106

Trade wars : implications of US tariffs for trade and structural change in the African continent

Andreoni, Antonio; Persenda, Arnaud; Kozul-Wright, Richard - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015448620

Tariffs, stablecoins, and the demand for dollars

Divakaruni, Anantha; Zimmerman, Peter - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015451300

US employment exposure to domestic and foreign tariff changes under NAFTA

Charlton, Diane E.; Countryman, Amanda M.; Manning, Dale; … - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015454662

Trade war and peace : three scenarios and policy options available to the EU and the German government in negotiations with president Trump

Daniels, Laura von - 2025

The United States (US) and European Union (EU) are at risk of entering a full-blown trade war. Three months ago, on "Liberation Day", US President Donald Trump imposed high import tariffs on almost all countries, including the EU. He then suspended them at short notice to negotiate with over 90...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015433573

The macroeconomic effects of import tariffs on the euro area : a model-based assessment

Bartocci, Anna; Cantelmo, Alessandro; Cova, Pietro; … - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015462754

An examination of the domestic macroeconomic consequences of the United States’ trade policies

Carpinelli, Luisa; Santoro, Sergio - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015462833

Trade wars, relative economic power, and household welfare

Oikonomidēs, Geōrgios; Moutos, Thomas - 2025

We develop a modified version of the Flam and Helpman (1987) framework of North–South trade in vertically differentiated products, by endogenizing the labour market participation decisions of heterogeneous households and allowing for tariffs to substitute for income taxes. The model reveals a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015562919

The future of foreign trade

Helpman, Elhanan - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015608675

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The future of foreign trade

Helpman, Elhanan - 2025

Book / Working Paper

US tariffs and Italian firms : mapping network exposure and early impact from survey data

Benecchi, Andrea; Borin, Alessandro; Conteduca, … - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015586811

The effects of US tariffs on Italian firms : an ex-ante micro-level perspective

Federico, Stefano; Hassan, Fadi; Romanini, Giacomo - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015586824

Rerouting of Chinese products in response to US trade tariffs : evidence from Italian firms' expectations

Ropele, Tiziano - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015587496

Evolution of global agrifood trade and trade policy and implications for nutrition

Abay, Kibrom A.; Rauschendorfer, Jakob; Solórzano … - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015588205

The protectionist gamble : how tariffs shape greenfield foreign direct investment

Moder, Isabella; Spital, Tajda - 2025

Motivated by current events, this paper assesses the impact of tariff increases on bilateral greenfield foreign direct investment (FDI) over the period 2016-2023. Leveraging a comprehensive dataset of announced greenfield investment projects, official FDI statistics, and bilateral product-level...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015590267

Unilateral tariffs, industrial location, and fiscal neutrality : effects on growth and welfare

Johdo, Wataru - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015606814

Tariffs versus subsidies : protection versus industrial policy

Rickard, Stephanie J. - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015624897

Semiconductor tariffs as policy whiplash

Peng, Shin-yi - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015624901

Rewriting the rules : how U.S. tariff paths could reshape global trade

Piñeiro, Valeria; Gianatiempo, Juan Pablo; Rueda, … - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015656160

Trump's global tariff war : faulty premises, costly consequences

Cline, William R. - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015636970

Effective rates of protection in an industrialising, settler economy : estimates for Victoria (Australia) in 1880

Varian, Brian D. - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015414037

New modeling approach to help address the Trump tariffs

Horioka, Yuji; Ford, Nicholas - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015558356

Impacts of the Trump 2.0 agenda on tariffs, fiscal policy, climate, deportation and financial regulation

Pitkäranta, Juho; Raukola, Antti - 2025

The turbulent first eleven months of Donald Trump's second presidency has been characterized by policy actions and statements that create large uncertainties and sideline multilateral cooperation. The Trump administration has fueled substantial trade policy uncertainty globally, as well as...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015558453

Demand for tariff change : causes and consequences of trade lobbying

Amodio, Francesco; Chingwere, Fadzayi; Hjort, Jonas; … - 2025

We study how strategic inputs-petitions, evidence, and lobbying claims-shape the making and incidence of trade policy. South Africa's International Trade Administration Commission provides a rare, docketed forum where any stakeholder can seek product-specific tariff changes and must justify them...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015561071

GlobeTERM, combining multi-country and sub-national detail

Wittwer, Glyn - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015402053

The Structure of Supply Chains and the Impacts of Trump 1.0 Tariffs : Evidence from Japanese firms’ sales to North America

Ando, Mitsuyo; Hayakawa, Kazunobu; Kimura, Fukunari; … - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015402944

Waging a global trade war alone : the cost of blanket tariffs on friend and foe

Balistreri, Edward J.; McDaniel, Christine - 2024

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015072060

US trade policy after 2024 : what is at stake for Europe?

Felbermayr, Gabriel; Hinz, Julian; Langhammer, Rolf J. - 2024

Following the upcoming U.S. elections, the EU should prioritize defending the multilateral trade system, as a collapse in global economic cooperation could impact Europe up to four times more than direct U.S. tariffs alone. Potential U.S. trade policies under either a Harris or second Trump...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015083502

The role of customs policy in maximizing the benefits of economic blocs : the case of Egypt

Barbary, Mahmoud Magdy; Tawfiq, Abdalla Ramadan - 2024

This study aims to examine the relationship between customs policy and the economic blocs of which Egypt is a member, with a focus on the theory of New Regionalism and modern trends in customs policies. Egypt joined numerous economic blocs following its accession to the world trade organization...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015073723

Supply chain adjustments to tariff shocks : evidence from firm trade linkages in the 2018-2019 US trade war

Handley, Kyle; Kamal, Fariha; Monarch, Ryan - 2024

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015448465

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Supply chain adjustments to tariff shocks : evidence from firm trade linkages in the 2018-2019 U.S. trade war

Handley, Kyle; Kamal, Fariha; Monarch, Ryan - 2024

Book / Working Paper

Supply Chain Adjustments to Tariff Shocks : Evidence from Firm Trade Linkages in the 2018-2019 U.S. Trade War

Handley, Kyle; Kamal, Fariha; Monarch, Ryan - 2023

Book / Working Paper

US inequality in the 1980s : the Tokyo round trade liberalization and the Swiss Formula

Greenland, Andrew; Lake, James; Lopresti, John - 2024

Against a backdrop of sharply rising inequality, the Tokyo Round of the GATT resulted in a 1.6 percentage point reduction in average US tariffs – larger than CUS-FTA, NAFTA, and the liberalization accompanying the granting of PNTR to China. We construct a novel IV based on the so-called...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014486811