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From imposition to lifting: Estimating the effects of sanctions over their lifecycle

Kwon, Ohyun; Nagengast, Arne J.; Yoon, Jangsu; Yotov, Yoto - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015608814

Horizontal and vertical connector countries in a geoeconomically fragmenting world

Aiyar, Shekhar; Ohnsorge, Franziska; Yilmazkuday, Hakan - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015619354

Inclusive growth in South Africa? Inequality dynamics and the role of trade openness vs tax policies

Bargain, Olivier; Benhura, Miracle; Jara, H. Xavier; … - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015619478

Mapping sectoral trade balances in time: A look at the numbers

Auboin, Marc; Smith, Donal; Mbise, Théo; … - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015633788

Redefining global trade patterns: BRICS, G7, and technological trade in Latin America

Silva Neira, Ignacio; Pédussel Wu, Jennifer - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015641627

From trash to treasure : trade insights on raw material substitution

Gourevich, Isabella - 2026

Recycling and waste trade are increasingly important for mitigating supply risks and en-vironmental concerns associated with raw material imports, yet little is known about the economic and technical potential for substitution between recycled and virgin materials. This paper estimates...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015643221

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From trash to treasure: Trade insights on raw material substitution

Gourevich, Isabella - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Interlinking payment systems and trade flows

Ferrari, Massimo Minesso; Lebastard, Laura; Triay … - 2026

This paper provides the first causal estimate of the economic impact of interlinking payment systems across countries. We exploit a new dataset of payment systems interlinking initiatives, which identifies over 2,000 connections, and employ standard gravity methods to estimate their impact on...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015618092

Sustainable future of international trade and environmental governance in ASEAN : Indonesia's economic growth and green commitments

Reviane, Indraswati Tri Abdi; Paddu, Abdul Hamid; … - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015618940

From imposition to lifting : estimating the effects of sanctions over their lifecycle

Kwon, Ohyun; Nagengast, Arne J.; Yoon, Jangsu; Yotov, Yoto - 2026

We combine the latest difference-in-differences estimators for treatments with exit and structural gravity literature to evaluate the effects of sanctions on trade, when they are in place and when they are lifted. Our analysis shows that sanctions reduce trade between senders and targets by 58%,...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015609661

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From imposition to lifting : estimating the effects of sanctions over their lifecycle

Kwon, Ohyun; Nagengast, Arne J.; Yoon, Jangsu; Yotov, Yoto - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Reassessing the benefits of European integration and the European Union's ability to achieve strategic autonomy

Fontagné, Lionel; Yotov, Yoto - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015611460

Open dumps and the global trade in garbage

Gordon, Matthew; Papp, Anna - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015614028

Horizontal and vertical connector countries in a geoeconomically fragmenting world

Aiyar, Shekhar; Ohnsorge, Franziska; Yilmazkuday, Hakan - 2026

Geoeconomic fragmentation - the phenomenon of international transactions being increasingly restricted to politically aligned partners - creates risks for individual countries but also opportunities that some hope to seize by becoming "connector" countries. We modify a standard trade model by...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015614324

Beyond retaliation : South Africa can effectively counter Trump's trade shocks

Rossouw, Riaan; Cameron, Martin; Naudé, Wim - 2026

How should a developing country such as South Africa respond to the USA's "Liberation Day" Tariffs of April 2025 and subsequent shocks? Combining the GTAP-Dynamic (GDyn) Computable General Equilibrium model with an expanded Decision Support Model (DSM), we simulate five policy response scenarios...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015615491

Inclusive growth in South Africa? : inequality dynamics and the role of trade openness vs tax policies

Bargain, Olivier; Benhura, Miracle; Jara, H. Xavier; … - 2026

Market forces, and notably the role of trade openness, contribute to shaping inequality in South Africa and may limit the inclusiveness of its growth path. Recently, policy reforms may have helped to mitigate these effects. To better understand these developments, we analyse trends in post-tax...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015615843

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Inclusive growth in South Africa? : inequality dynamics and the role of trade openness vs tax policies

Bargain, Olivier; Jara, H. Xavier; Kwenda-Magejo, Prudence - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Avoiding the China shock : how Chinese state-backed internationalization drives changes in European economic governance

Gräf, Helena; Schmalz, Stefan - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015603772

Balassa-Samuelson in the Long Run : Qualitative Success, Quantitative Limits

Kikuchi, Shinnosuke - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015603899

Quantifying macroeconomic spillovers : the role of trade linkages in propagating conflict shocks

Eydam, Ulrich; Leupold, Florian - 2026

Geopolitical conflicts generate macroeconomic spillovers that extend beyond directly affected countries through trade and commodity linkages. This paper quantifies these effects for Germany, France, Italy, and Spain using a monthly Trade-Related Conflict Exposure (TRCE) index for 2009–2023...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015620636

Trade and investment convergences in global north and global south : implications for WTO MC14

Mohanty, S.K.; Saha, Sabyasachi; Gaur, Pankhuri - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015624717

Trade, commuting and city structure

Cosentino, Pol - 2026

Cities are places where people commute to work and where goods are traded across space. While a large literature examines how lower commuting costs reshape cities, much less is known about within-city trade costs as a distinct force. This paper studies both channels using the construction of the...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015626653

The economic impact of the agri-food sector in Indonesia

2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015627638

Redefining global trade patterns : BRICS, G7, and technological trade in Latin America

Silva Neira, Ignacio; Pédussel Wu, Jennifer - 2026

In 2024, new members joined the original BRICS countries, reinforcing their aspirations as a relevant global actor. This study examines Latin American countries' export structures orientation towards BRICS versus G7 markets. Using a unique dataset and a structural gravity model, we estimate the...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015639062

Quantifying climate damages when regions trade : a structural gravity approach

Astier, Jeanne; Barrows, Geoffrey; Calel, Raphael; … - 2026 - This version: April 3, 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015641256

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Quantifying climate damages when regions trade : a structural gravity approach

Astier, Jeanne; Barrows, Geoffrey; Calel, Raphael; … - 2026 - This version: April 3, 2026

Edition: This version: April 3, 2026

Book / Working Paper

Globalization and temporary worker employment in Vietnam

Dang, Alicia H.; Jacobsen, Joyce P.; Lee, Sooyoung; … - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015641898

The instruments of profit shifting

Parra Ramirez, Kevin; Vicard, Vincent - 2026

While multinational enterprises (MNEs) shift hundreds of billions in profits to lowtax jurisdictions annually, how they do remains disputed. Using firm-level data for France in 2018, we provide the first joint quantification of the three main profitshifting channels: transfer mispricing in goods...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015644451

EU vs. China : battle for trade and investments within a small open economy

Bugarčić, Filip Ž.; Filipović, Sanja; Zakić, Katarina - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015644475

Amazonias border regions : pathways to sustainable productive development

González Saldarriaga, Sebastián; Duran-Fernandez, Roberto - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015654260

Oil Laundering : how did russian oil circumvent the European Union's embargo?

Tadashi, Ito; Tanaka, Kiyoyasu - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015632311

Non‑trade in the MENA revisited : a gravity model analysis

Lahar, Libby; Demena, Binyam Afewerk; Bergeijk, Peter … - 2026

This paper provides a historical perspective on comparatively low levels of trade in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region, focusing on studies addressing the impact of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. Our literature review identifies best practices and reviews trade potential...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015633302

Mapping sectoral trade balances in time : a look at the numbers

Auboin, Marc; Smith, Donal; Mbise, Théo; … - 2026 - Manuscript date: 20 April 2026

In this descriptive paper, we focus on the sectoral composition of trade balances and their evolution since the 1970s, through the aggregation of millions of data points for goods and services. We use a "tree" approach, from global to regional, and from regional to sectoral and finally country...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015633549

Trade policy and access to intermediate inputs : quantifying the welfare costs of a fertilizer shortage

Ghose, Devaki; Fraga, Eduardo; Fernandes, Ana Margarida - 2026

This paper leverages Sri Lanka's 2021 chemical fertilizer import ban to quantify the costs of restricted fertilizer access for agriculture, trade, and welfare. Leveraging trade and production data, satellite-based yield estimates, and event studies, we document sharp declines in fertilizer...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015635458

To find relative earnings gains after the China shock, look upstream and outside manufacturing

Pierce, Justin R.; Schott, Peter K.; Tello Trillo, … - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015637038

Trade, competition, and the gender composition of employment : evidence from Viet Nam

Jacobsen, Joyce P.; Lee, Sooyoung - 2026

As countries in Asia and the Paciﬁc continue to integrate into the global economy, what are the implications for women's labor market participation in these countries? The literature on international trade considers the eﬀects of import competition and export orientation on gender gaps in...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015637187

Export agriculture and rural poverty : evidence from Indonesian palm oil

Edwards, Ryan Barclay - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015574613

The economics of tariffs

Redding, Stephen; Ossa, Ralph - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015666277

Fiscal policy and sectoral spillovers in open-economy HANK

De Beauffort, Charles; Rannenberg, Ansgar - 2026

Government spending falls disproportionately on non-tradable services. We show empirically that government spending shocks stimulate private consumption along with sizable spillovers to the goods sector and a relative decline in goods prices. We rationalize these findings with a two-sector...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015667299

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Fiscal policy and sectoral spillovers in open-economy HANK

De Beauffort, Charles; Rannenberg, Ansgar - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Fiscal policy and sectoral spillovers in open-economy HANK

De Beauffort, Charles; Rannenberg, Ansgar - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016090924

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Fiscal policy and sectoral spillovers in open-economy HANK

De Beauffort, Charles; Rannenberg, Ansgar - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Haunted by tariffs and trade wars : a positive trade policy for US agriculture

Maruyama, Warren; Glauber, Joseph W.; Wolff, Alan; … - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015670332

The consequences of a trade collapse : economics and politics in Weimar Germany

Brey, Björn; Facchini, Giovanni - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015665753

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The consequences of a trade collapse : economics and politics in Weimar Germany

Brey, Björn; Facchini, Giovanni - 2024

Book / Working Paper

The consequences of a trade collapse : economics and politics in Weimar Germany

Brey, Björn; Facchini, Giovanni - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015665753

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The consequences of a trade collapse : economics and politics in Weimar Germany

Brey, Björn; Facchini, Giovanni - 2024

Book / Working Paper

A multi-model assessment of technological constraints on Europe's energy transition

Fragkos, Panagiotis; Zisarou, Eleftheria; Ven, Dirk Jan … - 2026

Europe's pursuit of net-zero emissions by 2050 is driven by the urgent need to contribute to global climate efforts and enhance its energy security, reducing its reliance on imported fossil fuels. The path to net zero entails a significant, economy-wide uptake of clean energy technologies....

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015672078