Search Results - subject_exact:"Trade effect"

The evolving role of linguistic factors in international trade : regional and temporal evidence from a two-step gravity approach

Moura, Ticiana Grecco Zanon - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015654447

Chinese export gains, EU export losses, and Russian import reorientation after the 2022 sanctions

Sjöholm, Fredrik - 2026

This paper examines how Russian imports were reoriented after the 2022 sanctions. Using annual bilateral trade data at the product level, it asks whether direct Chinese export gains to Russia were concentrated in the same product lines in which EU exports to Russia declined. It also studies...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015654793

Immigration and trade creation : evidence from the extensive and intensive margins

Abeliansky, Ana Lucia; Martínez-Zarzoso, Inmaculada; … - 2026

This paper reexamines the trade creation effects of migration using a large sample of 180 countries from 1995 to 2023. We estimate a structural gravity model of bilateral trade augmented with migration stocks, investigating whether immigration to OECD countries relates to the extensive and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015615805

Welfare improving prohibitive tariffs

Marjit, Sugata; Misra, Suryaprakash; Kabiraj, Tarun; … - 2026 - First draft

We consider welfare impacts of prohibitive tariffs on trading partners. Initially, there is prohibitive tariff by one country and a zero tariff by its trading partner. Thereafter, the trading partner also resorts to prohibitive tariff. We demonstrate how prohibitive tariffs by the trading...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015587531

The SMU trade dashboard : tracking and quantifying the Trump II tariffs

Chang, Pao-Li; Chen, Ruoqing; Ma, Lin - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015624521

The third-country effects of trade wars

Darracq Pariès, Matthieu; Eyquem, Aurélien; … - 2026

We study how trade wars propagate to countries that are not directly targeted. We develop a three-country New Keynesian model with trade in final and intermediate goods, incomplete asset markets, and asymmetric monetary regimes, and quantify the spillovers of the 2025 U.S.-China tariff...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015626937

EU’s export embargoes on russia : have they been effective?

Ito, Tadashi - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015641474

Economic Impact of RCEP

Itakura, Ken; Kimata, Yutaro; Urata, Shūjirō - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015632747

The economics of tariffs

Redding, Stephen; Ossa, Ralph - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015666277

The economic consequences of tariffs and trade policy uncertainty

Gréus, Christian; Heil, Philipp; Potrafke, Niklas; … - 2025

This Policy Brief examines economic expertsʼ expectations about the macroeconomic effects of import tariffs and trade policy uncertainty, based on the 2025Q2 and 2025Q3 waves of the Economic Expert Survey (EES). The survey collected responses from over 600 economists across EU member states and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015547447

The effects of non-trade non-rent barriers on intra-Africa trade

Asteriou, Dimitrios; Kadzutu, Reginald - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015371863

Firm-specific trade effects of economic integration agreements : estimating extensive and intensive margins of trade

Sunil Dash - 2025

By utilizing panel statistics of 1520 country pairs and economic integration agreements (EIAs) from 2007 to 2017, this paper presents evidence of the effect of EIAs on export margins, i.e., both extensive (firms) and intensive margins (average exports per firm). In doing so, this work adds...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015373978

Cross-border patenting and the margins of international trade

Martínez-Zarzoso, Inmaculada; Santacreu, Ana Maria - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015375886

Economic sanctions and export margins

Bista, Rishav; Sheridan, Brandon J. - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015375893

Complementarities between import and export activities : firm-level evidence for goods and services

Fauth, Matthias; Jung, Benjamin; Kohler, Wilhelm - 2025

We investigate the systematic complementarities between import and export activities of firms using a novel firm-level data set for Germany. Specifically, we examine whether firms that import more are also inclined to export more, decomposing this relationship into extensive country and product...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015197328

Everything you always wanted to know about EU membership trade effects but were afraid to ask

Oberhofer, Harald; Wang, Zhenyi - 2025

This paper studies the role of dataset choices for trade policy estimates in structural gravity models. Using twelve publicly available data sources and applying alternative and commonly used dataset restrictions, we obtain 586 estimates for the EU membership trade effects from a standard...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015393868

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Everything you always wanted to know about EU membership trade effects but were afraid to ask

Oberhofer, Harald; Wang, Zhenyi - 2025

Book / Working Paper

Protection or protectionism : the effect of technical regulations on input sourcing

Iodice, Irene; Reverdy, Camille - 2025

This paper examines how EU Technical Barriers to Trade (TBTs) reshape firms’ global supply chains, extending Grossman et al. (2024) to incorporate adaptation costs between sourcing partners. To test the model’s predictions, we construct a novel dataset linking EU TBTs to French firm-level...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015394143

The US-China trade war creates jobs (elsewhere)

Cavalcanti, Tiago; Ogeda, Pedro Molina; Ornelas, Emanuel - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015410211

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The US-China trade war creates jobs (elsewhere)

Cavalcanti, Tiago; Ogeda, Pedro Molina; Ornelas, Emanuel - 2025

Book / Working Paper

The US-China trade war creates jobs (elsewhere)

Cavalcanti, Tiago; Ogeda, Pedro Molina; Ornelas, Emanuel - 2025

Book / Working Paper

Trade diversion in the US market during the US-China trade war : firm-level evidence from Thailand

Hayakawa, Kazunobu; Keola, Souknilanh - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015417986

The heterogeneous effects of trade facilitation on trade in intermediate goods : the case of Korea, China, and Japan

Yan, Tong; Jang, Yong Joon - 2025

This paper empirically examines the impact of trade facilitation on the trade of intermediate goods in Korea, China, and Japan, along with their trading partner countries, during the period from 2008 to 2017. We particularly focus on the distinct roles of hard and soft environments in trade...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015418146

Trade effects of the Russia-Ukraine conflict in Thailand : the impacts of sanctions on trade from a neutral country

Hayakawa, Kazunobu; Keola, Souknilanh - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015420124

Trade diversion and labor market outcomes

Chen, Natalie; Novy, Dennis; Solórzano, Diego - 2025

In 2018 and 2019, the US administration increased tariffs on imports from China. Did these tariffs lead to more US imports from other countries such as Mexico? Using highly disaggregated data on the universe of Mexican firm-level exports, we find evidence of trade diversion from China to Mexico....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015414139

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Trade diversion and labor market outcomes

Chen, Natalie; Novy, Dennis; Solórzano, Diego - 2025

Book / Working Paper

Trade diversion and labor market outcomes

Chen, Natalie; Novy, Dennis; Solórzano, Diego - 2025

Book / Working Paper

Trade diversion and labor market outcomes

Chen, Natalie; Novy, Dennis; Solórzano, Diego - 2025

Book / Working Paper

Macroeconomic model simulations suggest only minor impacts on the euro area from current US import tariffs

Ikonen, Pasi; Kurronen, Sanna; Rönkkö, Risto; Vilmi, Lauri - 2025

This brief presents impact assessments of increased tariffs based on simulations using the Global Integrated Monetary and Fiscal (GIMF) macroeconomic model. The current increases in US import tariffs are shown to reduce aggregate output across all major economic regions. The most pronounced...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015464079

Asymmetric free trade agreements and misalignment of incentives : lessons from the European Union-Turkey customs union

El-Sahli, Zouheir - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015472727

Port power and trade flows : evaluating China's infrastructure leverage in EU markets through a gravity model

Gkatsikos, Alexandros - 2025

This study investigates how Chinese ownership in European ports affects trade flows between China and Eurozone countries, set against the backdrop of recent global economic disruptions that have emphasized the crucial role of maritime trade and port efficiency. An augmented gravity model was...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015447983

The impact of HPAI trade restrictions on U.S. poultry exports in 2022-23

Padilla, Samantha L.; Baker, Quinton J.; MacLachlan, … - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015454650

General, high-tech, and mid-tech regional trade introversion indexes as measures of trade integration within RTAs

Czarny, Elżbieta; Folfas, Paweł; Szarek-Piaskowska, … - 2025

In this paper, we analyze the regional trade introversion indexes (RTIIs) for regional trading arrangements (RTAs)with various numbers of differently developed participants and different depths of economic integration. The analyszed RTAs stem from all inhabited continents. We compare three types...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015432297

Trading around geopolitics

Corsetti, Giancarlo; Demir, Banu; Javorcik, Beata K. … - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015547499

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Trading around geopolitics

Corsetti, Giancarlo; Demir, Banu; Javorcik, Beata K. … - 2025

Book / Working Paper

Trading around geopolitics

Corsetti, Giancarlo; Demir, Banu; Javorcik, Beata K. … - 2024

Book / Working Paper

EU-Canada trade agreement : effectiveness and impact

2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015440184

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EU-Canada trade agreement : effectiveness and impact

2025

Book / Working Paper

Do economic integration agreements increase members' migration? : accounting for migration in trade agreements

Baier, Scott L.; Reesman, Ward M. - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015460559

Trade effects of US tariffs under Trump 2.0

Hayakawa, Kazunobu - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015460629

How did Chinese exporters manage the trade war?

Sheng, Liugang; Song, Huasheng; Zheng, Xueqian - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015564687

Decoding India's quality control orders

Prabhakar, Prerna - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015553770

The economic impact of geoeconomic fragmentation of commodity markets

Quimba, Francis Mark A.; Barral, Mark Anthony A. - 2025

This study develops a multidimensional Geoeconomic Fragmentation (GEF) Index and applies structural gravity modeling to quantify how rising geopolitical tensions, sanctions, and supplychain disruptions reshape ASEAN and Philippine commodity trade. Using dyad-product-year data (2000-2024), the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015585294

Evaluation of the economic welfare gains from reducing trade administration costs in Mercosur

Nazif, Mehmet; Jenkins, Glenn P. - 2025

This paper evaluates potential welfare gains in the Mercosur region from improvements to trade administration. Streamlined border procedures and related processes could save billions, open markets for exporters, and promote trade diversification. Using a microeconomic model with country-specific...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015620464

Agri-food export strategies in free trade agreements : the case study of Serbia in the Serbia-China FTA

Popović, Vesna; Radosavljević, Katica; Mihailović, Branko - 2025

The objective of the research is the evaluation of the competitiveness of Serbia's exports in the agro-food trade with China, with the aim of deciding on the appropriate export strategy within the 2024 Serbia-China Free Trade Agreement (FTA). Export competitiveness diagnostics comprises...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015415117

Heterogeneous impacts of the U.S.-China trade war on Korea : what drives industry differences?

Lim, Heehyun - 2025

This paper analyzes how the U.S.-China trade war affected Korean industries and identifies the industry characteristics that determined which industries gained or lost. I show that heterogeneity in responses is closely linked to capital intensity and export intensity, highlighting the role of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015574493

Impact of exchange rate movements on India's exports

2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015396107

Exports in disguise? : trade rerouting during the US-China trade war

Iyoha, Ebehi; Malesky, Edmund; Wen, Jaya; Wu, Sung-Ju - 2025

This paper introduces a new measure of tariff evasion through rerouting and applies it to the 2018 U.S.–China trade war, focusing on Vietnam as a transit country. We use transaction-level trade data and define rerouting as the flow of a granular eight-digit HS product from China, through...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015511193

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Exports in disguise? : trade rerouting during the US–China trade war

Iyoha, Ebehi; Malesky, Edmund; Wen, Jaya; Wu, Sung-Ju - 2025

Book / Working Paper

Impact assessment of the Colombia-Korea FTA: an empirical approach

Caraballo Candela, David Santiago - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015185177

Estimating the evolving trade effect of foreign aid in the context of aid competition : evidence from European countries

Xu, Hongyi; Sun, Zesheng; Chen, Hao - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015371728

Trade finance and exports : firm-level evidence from China

Liu, Jiancong; Auboin, Marc; Haile, Beliyou; Wang, Yu - 2024 - Manuscript date: 31 July 2024

We use panel data for listed firms from China for 2013-2021 to examine the association between their export earnings and trade finance, particularly those receiving trade loans. Results show that a percent increase in trade finance loan is associated with 0.067-0.083 percent increase in export...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014634742

Future prospects of the gravity model of trade : a bibliometric review (1993-2021)

Jadhav, Suhas; Ghosh, Ishita - 2024

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014635992

How can tariff elimination and trade facilitation affect East African economies?

Bakouan, Pousseni; Diarra, Mahamadou; Ouedraogo, … - 2024

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014636015

Impact of SADC Free Trade Area on Southern Africa's intra-trade performance : implications for the African Continental Free Trade Area

Moyo, Busani - 2024

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014636018

Vietnam's bilateral trade intensity : the role of China

Son Thanh Nguyen; Wu, Yanrui - 2024

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014566470

Evaluating the effects of nontariff measures on poultry trade

Farris, Jarrad; Morgan, Stephen N.; Beckman, Jayson - 2024

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014567093

Trade effects of trade facilitation revisited

Masood, Amjad; Martínez-Zarzoso, Inmaculada - 2024

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015066390

Cross-border oatenting and the margins of international trade

Martínez-Zarzoso, Inmaculada; Santacreu, Ana Maria - 2024

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015070179

Shooting down trade : firm-level effects of embargoes

Aytun, Uğur; Hinz, Julian; Özgüzel, Cem - 2024

In November 2015, Turkey’s unexpected downing of a Russian military jet in Syria prompted Russia to impose a swift and comprehensive embargo on specific Turkish exports. This study leverages this quasi-natural experiment to estimate both the immediate and longer-term effects of the imposition...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015117622

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Shooting down trade : firm-level effects of embargoes

Aytun, Ugur; Hinz, Julian; Özgüzel, Cem - 2024

Book / Working Paper