This paper investigates how external shocks propagate through fiscal transmission mechanisms in a commodity-dependent economy within a dynamic macroeconomic framework. The study contributes to the literature on macroeconomic fluctuations by examining the interaction between external revenue...

We show that losses on banks' securities portfolios matter for the transmission mechanism of monetary policy even in the absence of financial stability concerns. When banks experience losses in their pledgeable securities, their ability to tap liquidity through the interbank market is impaired,...

We revisit the credit channel of monetary policy when firms face multiple financing constraints, a common feature of corporate financing we document empirically. Our theory shows that the multiplicity of constraints dampens the transmission of expansionary policy to firm borrowing and investment...

This study examines how firms' financial heterogeneity shapes the transmission of monetary policy to investment in Latin American economies. It develops an extended theoretical model with heterogeneous firms, calibrated for Latin American economies, and validates it empirically through local...

I develop a framework analyzing how artificial intelligence (AI) reshapes monetary policy through three interrelated channels: cyclical transmission, structural transition, and financial stability. In the short run, AI can alter inflation dynamics by changing how supply and demand disturbances...

This paper examines how monetary tightening transmits to bank credit supply through deposit funding conditions during the 2022-23 cycle. Using a quarterly panel of more than 3,800 US commercial banks, it constructs predetermined exposure indices measuring depositor sophistication, branch...

This paper estimates the causal effects of monetary policy shocks on household consumption, with additional analysis of labor market and income responses, disaggregated by gender and race. I find that contractionary monetary policy reduces consumption more for black than white households, with...

Monetary policy asymmetrically affects the response of firms' employment to an output shock and plays a role in cushioning employment adjustment over the business cycle. Combining annual firmlevel data until 2020 with quarterly firm-level data until 2023 and highfrequency monetary policy...

We assess asymmetries, nonlinearities and state dependencies in dynamic responses of the euro area to monetary policy shocks. The dataset includes macroeconomic, financial, and survey-based variables measuring credit conditions and bank lending transmission channels. These data are observed at...

The following study analyzes the transmission of monetary policy to bank lending in the euro area. It focuses particularly on the heterogeneity in the speed and strength of propagation of monetary policy shocks across euro area countries. We employ instrumental variables, based on common euro...

This paper quantifies the role of housing wealth in the transmission of monetary policy to consumption in 20 advanced economies. Using Bayesian VAR models we identify structural shocks with a novel combination of sign and maximum forecast error variance restrictions, isolating the housing wealth...

This paper maps the euro-area digital-banking segment and assesses how digital banks transmit monetary policy relative to brick-and-mortar peers. I compile a hand-checked universe of over 170 digital banks (2016-2025) from supervisory data, classifying institutions by business model (e-retail,...

We document a novel transmission channel of monetary policy through the homeowners insurance market. On average, contractionary monetary policy shocks result in higher homeowners insurance prices. Using granular data on insurers' balance sheets, we show that this effect is driven by the...

Using granular security-level data from bond funds domiciled in the US and the euro area, we identify a market-based risk-taking channel of monetary policy transmission via the credit-risk and the maturity structure of bond funds' portfolios. We measure credit risk at the fund level as the...

This paper studies the effects of stablecoin adoption-crypto-assets designed to maintain a stable value relative to a reference asset-on bank intermediation and the transmission of monetary policy. Using evidence from the rapid expansion of stablecoins combined with confidential granular data on...

This paper assesses the transmission of monetary policy using a new state-of-the-art intra-day dataset of monetary policy shocks for 16 advanced economies and emerging markets, the most comprehensive cross-country coverage to date. Using 30-minute windows around policy announcements, we...

We investigate the role of government credit in monetary policy transmission, using detailed credit registry data from Brazil. We find that government direct credit can effectively support small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) in a tight monetary policy environment, aligning with...

We study the spillovers of large-scale asset purchases (LSAPs) in the U.S. on financial intermediation in the euro area using bank-level supervisory data and high-frequency identified policy surprises. Our detailed panel data permit us to trace the impact of LSAPs through bank balance sheets. We...

This paper examines how fiscal policy in the euro area reacts to monetary policy, by estimating fiscal policy reaction functions for the period 1999-2019. Inclusion of the monetary policy stance in the fiscal reaction function, approximated by a shadow interest rate, is a relatively novel aspect...

This paper studies the international macro-financial implications of U.S. dollar-backed payment stablecoins. These digital assets create a new global safe asset channel that links private money creation and global payment needs directly to U.S. public debt. By reshaping the demand for safe...

We examine the state dependence of monetary policy transmission and the parameters of the Phillips curve, dynamic IS equation, and Taylor rule across four regimes defined by joint deviations of inflation from the Federal Reserve's target and output from potential. The analysis uncovers important...

We use Canadian data to examine how monetary policy affects house prices and the consumer price index for rent (CPI-rent) through exogenous changes in the mortgage interest rates. Nationwide, tighter monetary policy lowers house prices but raises CPI-rent, likely due to higher user costs for...

Recent advances in artificial intelligence (AI) have revived expectations of transformative productivity gains and large‑scale labour‑market disruption. Yet despite rapid improvements in AI capabilities, aggregate productivity growth in advanced economies remains subdued, and widespread job...

This paper studies how households perceive the transmission of monetary policy and how these perceptions affect their decisions. Using a large-scale survey of over 25,000 U.S. households combined with randomized information treatments, we measure how households expect changes in the federal...

This paper examines the asymmetric effects of oil price variations on MENA inflation from 1990 to 2021. Short- and long-term impacts were estimated by using Panel-NARDL models. To account for asymmetric effects, the price of oil was separated into positive and negative changes (oil+ and oil-),...

This note finds evidence of a positive and nonlinear relationship between mortgage interest costs (MIC) and rental inflation: the impact of MIC on rents is small when population growth is near its historical norm, but significantly stronger during periods of rapid population growth. This pattern...

Indonesia's financial system is bank-centric, with banks managing approximately 78% of the nation's financial assets; therefore, the effectiveness of monetary policy transmission depends on banks' responsiveness to the central bank's interest rate policy (the BI Rate). However, a policy-relevant...

Several recent studies consider a set of proxies to identify different monetary policy shocks for different regions in the world. We show that the way the proxies are used to identify the monetary policy shocks may lead to correlated shocks and dubious structural analysis and we demonstrate how...

This study aims to evaluate the transmission mechanisms of monetary policy in a post-communist economy using structural vector autoregression (SVAR) model. We constructed two SVAR models employing both recursive and non-recursive approaches to identify monetary policy shocks and analyze how...

This paper seeks to establish whether the monetary policy stance of Central bank of Kenya (CBK) at the turn of financial markets is pre-emptive or a cleanup. The feedback loop between monetary policy reaction and the markets' response presupposes a sequencing that runs from the former to the...