In this paper, we describe a new trend analysis and forecasting method (Deflexor), which is intended to help inform decisions in almost any field of human social activity, including, for example, business, art and design. As a result of the combination of conceptual analysis, fuzzy mathematics...

Die Corona-Pandemie hat Veränderungen in vielen Bereichen der Gesellschaft beschleunigt oder verstärkt. Daraus ergeben sich neue Chancen, aber auch Gefahren für die Unternehmenskommunikation. Doch welche Themen sind wirklich wichtig? Ein Forscherteam der Universität Leipzig und Unviersität...

Evidence-based policy of global warming is best relying on a relevant sample of data. We choose a sample of annual data from 1959 to-date to provide some statistically robust stylized facts about the relationships between actual CO2 and temperature. Visually, there is a clear upward trend in...

A literature debates the explanations for the cyclical properties of emerging markets using either trend shocks (Aguiar and Gopinath 2007) or financial frictions (Neumeyer and Perri 2004; Garcia-Cicco, Pancrazi, and Uribe 2010). We state a formal proposition that makes explicit the parametric...

It is analyzed for the energy pattern affected by the social matters of the disease trend where the epidemic behavior is significantly important to present the prospect especially for the epidemic of the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19). In this work, there are three kinds of data for the...

In this paper, we describe a new trend analysis and forecasting method (Deflexor), which is intended to help inform decisions in almost any field of human social activity, including, for example, business, art and design. As a result of the combination of conceptual analysis, fuzzy mathematics...

Linear algebra is without a doubt a fundamental tool to deal with empirical economic problems. The goal of this paper is to use some of these techniques to treat business cycles. To do that, we present the classic ordinary least square approach to estime the coefficients of a detrended time...

Mit der Präsidentschaft Joseph Bidens sind in Deutschland und anderen EU-Staaten hohe Erwartungen an einen "Neustart" der transatlantischen Beziehungen verbunden. Die Handlungsspielräume auch dieses Präsidenten werden allerdings wesentlich mitbestimmt von langfristigen Trends in der...

Angemessene Mindestlöhne für alle Beschäftigten in Europa sind das Ziel, das die Europäische Kommission mit einem Ende 2020 vorgestellten Richtlinienentwurf verfolgt. Um ein menschenwürdiges Einkommen zu ermöglichen, müssen die Mindestlöhne in nahezu allen EU-Mitgliedsländern erheblich...

In late 2020, the European Commission took an important step towards securing adequate minimum wages for all workers in Europe with the publication of a draft Directive aimed at reversing the growing polarisation of incomes and the growth of in-work poverty. Securing an income sufficient for a...

Artificial Intelligence is a disruptive technology developed during the 20th century, which has undergone an accelerated evolution, underpinning solutions to complex problems in the business world. Neural Networks, Machine Learning, or Deep Learning are concepts currently associated with terms...

The gender gap in entrepreneurship has been observed for a long time, explained by both female-specific and gender-neutral factors, but none of these explanations is generally accepted. The aim of the paper is to assess the effect of internal economic dynamics on female entrepreneurship....

Linear algebra is without a doubt a fundamental tool to deal with empirical economic problems. The goal of this paper is to use some of these techniques to treat business cycles. To do that, we present the classic ordinary least square approach to estime the coefficients of a detrended time...

Mit der Präsidentschaft Joseph Bidens sind in Deutschland und anderen EU-Staaten hohe Erwartungen an einen "Neustart" der transatlantischen Beziehungen verbunden. Die Handlungsspielräume auch dieses Präsidenten werden allerdings wesentlich mitbestimmt von langfristigen Trends in der...

Angemessene Mindestlöhne für alle Beschäftigten in Europa sind das Ziel, das die Europäische Kommission mit einem Ende 2020 vorgestellten Richtlinienentwurf verfolgt. Um ein menschenwürdiges Einkommen zu ermöglichen, müssen die Mindestlöhne in nahezu allen EU-Mitgliedsländern erheblich...

In late 2020, the European Commission took an important step towards securing adequate minimum wages for all workers in Europe with the publication of a draft Directive aimed at reversing the growing polarisation of incomes and the growth of in-work poverty. Securing an income sufficient for a...

This background paper was prepared for the Bank of Canada conference on the 2021 renewal of the inflation-control agreement between the Bank and the Government of Canada held online in August 2020. The first part of the paper focuses on the fact that the room for conventional monetary stimulus...

We carry out some analysis of the daily data on the number of new cases and number of new deaths by (191) countries as reported to the European CDC. We work with a quadratic time trend model applied to the log of new cases for each country. This seems to accurately describe the trajectory of the...

This article contributes to understanding the performance of various unobserved components (UC) models in fitting Barbados’ real GDP. Relying on recent UC models techniques, it finds support for the UC model that captures correlated disturbances, but not for the model that does not. The best...

We carry out some analysis of the daily data on the number of new cases and number of new deaths by (191) countries as reported to the European CDC. We work with a quadratic time trend model applied to the log of new cases for each country. This seems to accurately describe the trajectory of the...

SS (Strategic Scanning) is unique, partially subjective, inconsistent, interdisciplinary, vague and multidimensional process. Its description and optimisation suffers from IS (Information Shortage) and heterogeneity. IS eliminates straightforward application of traditional statistical methods....