Search Results - subject_exact:"Type II error"

An in-depth assessment of the Central Bank of Malta's projections

Saliba, Maria Christine - 2026

This paper presents an in-depth analysis of the performance of the macroeconomic projections produced by Central Bank of Malta (CBM) staff. A real-time macroeconomic database published by the CBM is utilized, allowing for the computation of forecast errors based on the first official data...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015655280

Non-random assignment of individual identifiers and selection into linked data : implications for research

Raze, Kyle; Perales, Nicole; Landivar, Liana Christin - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015609696

What do we really know about inequality?

El-Shagi, Makram - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015613472

Mapping high-income taxpayers in Berlin using kernel-smoothed proportions from aggregated georeferenced data

Gril, Lorena; Rendtel, Ulrich - 2026

The rare access to exact official geocoordinates opens new methodological possibilities for analyzing highly sensitive tax data. We explore their visualization potential and systematically evaluate aggregation as an anonymization strategy, with particular attention to its methodological and...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015593226

Kernel density estimation under masking of geolocations with applications to DHS data

Gril, Lorena; Hossain, Md Jamal; Tzavidis, Nikos; … - 2026

The availability of geocoordinates offers valuable insights into spatial patterns of economic, demographic and health outcomes. However, disclosing the exact geolocation of statistical units to secondary analysts contravenes the responsible use of data. To protect privacy, anonymisation methods...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015597170

Quality adjustment in industry deflators strengthens estimated innovation-productivity relationships

Atalay, Enghin; Hortaçsu, Ali; Kimmel, Nicole; … - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015650576

An accuracy-level method for robust evaluation in predictive analytics

Agustini, Mety; Fithriasari, Kartika; Prastyo, Dedy Dwi - 2026

Evaluation metrics are essential in selecting the most appropriate predictive model. Conventional metrics such as R-squared, root mean squared error (RMSE), and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) rely on arithmetic averages, making them sensitive to outliers, undefined values, and scale...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015652207

Weather shocks, recall error and health

Herr, Annika; Karimi, Soschia; Wichert, Julian - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015560198

Optimal inflation rate : a meta-analysis

Opatrny, Matej; Opatrny, Martin; Havránek, Tomáš; … - 2026

We revisit the optimal long-run inflation rate using 777 estimates from 116 primary studies published between 1989 and 2026, the largest sample on the topic to date. To our knowledge, this is among the first economics meta-analyses in which primary-data extraction is done from start to finish...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015667786

Bias-corrected cluster-robust standard errors for fixed effects PPML estimators of gravity panel models with autocorrelated disturbances

Pfaffermayr, Michael - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015672647

On the extent, correlates, and consequences of reporting bias in survey wages

Caliendo, Marco; Huber, Katrin; Isphording, Ingo Eduard; … - 2026

We study the extent, correlates, and consequences of reporting bias in survey wages using German linked survey-administrative data (SOEP-CMI-ADIAB). Survey wages differ systematically from administrative records: mean survey wages are 7% lower, and discrepancies follow a mean-reverting pattern....

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015672766

Show 2 more versions 2

On the extent, correlates, and consequences of reporting bias in survey wages

Caliendo, Marco; Huber, Katrin; Isphording, Ingo Eduard; … - 2026

Book / Working Paper

On the extent, correlates, and consequences of reporting bias in survey wages

Caliendo, Marco; Huber, Katrin; Isphording, Ingo Eduard; … - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Disambiguating information interventions : recovering beliefs and ambiguity attitudes from virtual twins

Baillon, Aurélien; Capozza, Francesco; Moghani, Vahid - 2026

Elicited probabilities conflate latent beliefs, ambiguity attitudes, and response er- ror. We develop a measurement method that identifies these components from noisy subjective-probability data using consequential bets on singleton and union events. Ambiguity weighting is parameterized by two...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016060171

Assessing excess mortality and heat-attributable risk during the summer of 2022 in Catalonia, Spain : a Bayesian spatiotemporal analysis

Barceló, Maria A.; Sáez, Marc - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016082187

Large language models as measurement instruments in applied economics : a 10-country public-discourse panel on food and nutrition security in Africa, 2010-2025

Ulimwengu, John - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016070453

Estimating network spillovers under dense measurement error

Li, Yingxing; Paula, Áureo de; Wang, Weining - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016063599

Two answers, one belief : what household inflation expectations measure

Ullah, Wali - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016091202

The anatomy and evolution of survey error

Meyer, Bruce D.; Mittag, Nikolas; Wu, Derek; Tatarka, … - 2026

Surveys provide much of what we know in social science and are often the only source of information on private behaviors, attitudes and expectations. Strands of the literature document four broad error sources: survey coverage, unit non-response, item non-response, and measurement error. Yet the...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016088508

Measurement error corrected stochastic frontier analysis

Adler, Nicole; Kivel, Adit; Zucker, David M. - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016086825

Estimation and inference of the forecast error variance decomposition for set-identified SVARs

Fusari, Francesco; Marlow, Joe; Volpicella, Alessio - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016091550

Distributional effects with two-sided measurement error : an application to intergenerational income mobility

Callaway, Brantly; Li, Tong; Murtazashvili, Irina; … - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016091728

Are bankers "crying wolf”? type I, type II errors and deterrence in anti-money laundering : the Italian case

Dalla Pellegrina, Lucia; Di Maio, Giorgio; Masciandaro, … - 2023

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014335237

Estimation with probability edited survey data under nonresponse

Ilves, Maiki - 2025

Probabilistic editing has been introduced to enable valid inference using established survey sampling theory in situations when some of the collected data points may have measurement errors and are therefore submitted to an editing process. To reduce the editing effort and avoid over-editing, in...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015207175

Standard errors for difference-in-difference regression

Hansen, Bruce E. - 2025

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015372762

Have we under-estimated inflation persistence before WW1? : US and international evidence

Gerlach, Stefan; Stuart, Rebecca - 2025

We argue that measurement error in historical price data has led researchers to erroneously believe that there was little persistence of inflation during the 19th century. Using a statistical technique that accounts for these errors, we estimate the persistence of (a) US inflation and (b)...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015373777

Show one more version 1

Have we under-estimated inflation persistence before WW1? : US and international evidence

Gerlach, Stefan; Stuart, Rebecca - 2025

Book / Working Paper

Endogeneity and the economic consequences of tax avoidance

Dyreng, Scott D.; Hills, Robert; Lewellen, Christina M.; … - 2025

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015376063

How reliable are national accounts estimates of agricultural output?

Jones, Sam; Mucocana, Marcelo - 2025

Measurement errors in macroeconomic aggregates such as GDP have been widely lamented, particularly in low-income contexts. This study investigates the reliability of one component of national accounts, agricultural sector output. Focusing first on the case of Mozambique, we use a series of 12...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015273028

Who prefers guessing to admitting they don't know? : measurement error in financial literacy surveys

Bertola, Giuseppe; Lo Prete, Anna - 2025

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015466325

Show 2 more versions 2

Who prefers guessing to admitting they don't know? : measurement error in financial literacy surveys

Bertola, Giuseppe; Lo Prete, Anna - 2025

Book / Working Paper

Who prefers guessing to admitting they don't know? : measurement error in financial literacy surveys

Bertola, Giuseppe; Lo Prete, Anna - 2025

Book / Working Paper

Simple estimation of semiparametric models with measurement errors

Evdokimov, Kirill S.; Zeleneev, Andrei - 2025 - This version: November 28, 2024

We develop a practical way of addressing the Errors-In-Variables (EIV) problem in the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) framework. We focus on the settings in which the variability of the EIV is a fraction of that of the mismeasured variables, which is typical for empirical applications. For...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015178608

Show 3 more versions 3

Simple estimation of semiparametric models with measurement errors

Evdokimov, Kirill S.; Zeleneev, Andrei - 2024 - This version: March 15, 2024

Edition: This version: March 15, 2024

Book / Working Paper

Simple estimation of semiparametric models with measurement errors

Evdokimov, Kirill S.; Zeleneev, Andrei - 2022 - This version: 2022/09/26

Edition: This version: 2022/09/26

Book / Working Paper

Simple estimation of semiparametric models with measurement errors

Evdokimov, Kirill S.; Zeleneev, Andrei - 2022 - This version: 2022/02/22

Edition: This version: 2022/02/22

Book / Working Paper

The Mismeasure of Weather

Josephson, Anna; Kilic, Talip; Michler, Jerey D.; … - 2025

The availability of weather data from remotely sensed Earth observation data has reduced the cost of including weather variables in econometric models. Weather variables are common instrumental variables used to predict economic outcomes and serve as an input in modeling crop yields for rainfed...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015198173

Are ESG ratings noisy for stock returns? : evidence from Thailand stock market

Sittisak Leelahanon; Siwasarit, Wasin - 2025

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015325168

Missing parcels and farm size measurement error : do nationally representative surveys provide reliable estimates?

Holden, Stein Terje; Makate, Clifton; Tione, Sarah - 2025

We assess the reliability of measured farm sizes (ownership holdings) in the Living Standard Measurement Study – Integrated Surveys on Agriculture (LSMS-ISA) in Ethiopia and Malawi based on three survey rounds (2012, 2014, 2016) in Ethiopia and four rounds (2010, 2013, 2016, 2019) in Malawi....

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015419873

Inconsistencies in self-reported weather-related home damage among household members

Ha Trong Nguyen; Mitrou, Francis - 2025

Using longitudinal, nationally representative data from Australia, this study uncovers a previously undocumented pattern: in over half of cases where one household member reports weather-related home damage, their co-resident does not. This high rate of intra-household inconsistency is striking,...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015421634

Difference-in-differences with a misclassified treatment

Negi, Akanksha; Negi, Digvijay S. - 2025

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015463292

Show one more version 1

Difference-in-differences with a misclassified treatment

Negi, Akanksha; Negi, Digvijay S. - 2024

Book / Working Paper

Satellite data in agricultural and environmental economics : theory and practice

Wuepper, David; Oluoch, Wyclife Agumba; Hadi, Hadi - 2025

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015463375

Enhancing macroeconomic forecasts with uncertainty-informed intervals

Glocker, Christian; Kaniovski, Serguei - 2025

We propose a methodology for constructing confidence intervals for macroeconomic forecasts that directly incorporate quantitative measures of uncertainty – such as survey-based indicators, stock market volatility, and policy uncertainty. By allowing the width of confidence intervals to vary...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015466099

Earnings measurement error, nonresponse and administrative mismatch in the CPS

Bollinger, Christopher R.; Hokayem, Charles; Ziliak, … - 2025

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015470174

There must be an error here! : experimental evidence on coding errors' biases

Ferman, Bruno; Finamor, Lucas - 2025 - This draft: September 2025

Quantitative research relies heavily on coding, and coding errors are relatively common even in published research. In this paper, we examine whether individuals are more or less likely to check their code depending on the results they obtain. We test this hypothesis in a randomized experiment...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015470659

Demand systems without errors

Crawford, Ian - 2025

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015473023

Ratio regression type estimators of the population mean for missing data in sample surveys

Garg, Prachi; Srivastava, Namita; Srivastava, Manoj Kumar - 2025

In this article, new ratio regression type estimators with imputation have been proposed as means to overcome the problem of missing data relating to a studied variable in a sample survey. It has been shown that the suggested estimators are more efficient than the mean method of imputation, the...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015447287

More information, less precision : meta-analysis through random effects

Magnus, Jan R.; Vasnev, Andrey L. - 2025

Given several studies (inputs) of some phenomenon of interest, each input presents an estimate of a key parameter with an associated estimated precision. The random-effects model used in meta-analysis estimates this parameter based on a decomposition of the error term into within-input noise and...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015450626

Variance of the generalized regression estimator under measurement error

Brakel, Jan A. van den; Michiels, John - 2025

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015407679

How accurately do consumers report their debts in household surveys?

Madeira, Carlos - 2025

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015411823

A general randomized test for alpha

Massacci, Daniele; Sarno, Lucio; Trapani, Lorenzo; … - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016089549

Show one more version 1

A general randomized test for alpha

Massacci, Daniele; Sarno, Lucio; Trapani, Lorenzo; … - 2025

Book / Working Paper

Errors in survey and administrative data on employment earnings : Austria and the United Kingdom compared

Bollinger, Christopher R.; Jenkins, Stephen; … - 2025

We contribute new cross-national evidence about the nature of measurement errors in employment earnings, fitting the same error components model to harmonised earnings data for Austria and the UK. The model allows for measurement error in the administrative data and linkage error as well as...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015457516

Show one more version 1

Errors in survey and administrative data on employment earnings : Austria and the United Kingdom compared

Bollinger, Christopher R.; Jenkins, Stephen; … - 2025

Book / Working Paper

Error rates compared : methodologies underpinning the European Commission's risk at payment/closure and the European Court of Auditors' estimated level of error

2025

This study introduces Members of the European Parliament to the different estimates of the level of error affecting EU expenditure in cohesion policy. It explains how the European Commission calculates the estimated 'risk at payment' and 'risk at closure', how the European Court of Auditors...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015429455

Show one more version 1

Error rates compared : methodologies underpinning the European Commission's risk at payment/closure and the European Court of Auditors' estimated level of error

2025

Book / Working Paper

An optimal imputation algorithm for reducing bias and errors in missing data handling for AI models

Sebastian, Anu Maria; Peter, David; Sebastian, Rinu Ann - 2025

Data is an essential fuel for artificial intelligence (AI) to power the underlying machine learning (ML) algorithms. Missing data is common in most real-world datasets due to measurement errors, non-responses, and human errors during the data collection, which can ultimately lead to reduced...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015506770

Fiscal Forecasting Errors in Nigeria

Khalid, Salma - 2025

The Ministry of Budget and Economic Planning's budget implementation reports reveal large fiscal forecast errors over the 2011-2023 period, for a range of fiscal aggregates including total revenues, expenditures, and the fiscal deficit. Revenues forecasts errors are driven by optimistic budget...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015613268