What is the effect of Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) on financial stability? We answer this question by studying a model of financial intermediation with an endogenously determined probability of a bank run, using global games. As an alternative to bank deposits, consumers can also store...

We review the nascent but fast-growing literature on central bank digital currencies (CBDCs), focusing on their potential impacts on private banks. We evaluate these impacts in three areas of traditional banking: payments, lending, and liquidity and maturity transformation. For each area, we...

Prices for cryptocurrencies have undergone multiple boom-bust cycles, together with ongoing entry by retail investors. To investigate the drivers of crypto adoption, we assemble a novel database (made available with this paper) on retail use of crypto exchange apps at daily frequency for 95...

We investigate monopolistic tendencies and the intensity of currency competition on the crypto market in the light of Hayek’s "Denationalization of money". Interestingly, Hayek never considered differentiation and specialization by innovative private currencies could lead lasting currency...

Norges Bank has been running a central bank digital currency project since 2016. The project is now in its fourth phase, and as part of this phase an overview will be provided of required legislative amendments linked to the introduction of CBDC. For an overview of Norges Bank's CBDC project,...

Norges Bank has been running a central bank digital currency project since 2016. The project is now in its fourth phase, and as part of this phase an overview will be provided of required legislative amendments linked to the introduction of CBDC. For an overview of Norges Bank's CBDC project,...

The People's Republic of China (PRC) has rapidly achieved a relatively high degree of financial inclusion (access of individuals to financial products and services) as a result of the development of various large-scale financial platforms using financial technology (fintech) to reduce the cost...

The People's Republic of China (PRC) has rapidly achieved a relatively high degree of financial inclusion (access of individuals to financial products and services) as a result of the development of various large-scale financial platforms using financial technology (fintech) to reduce the cost...

Building on an economic model of rational Bitcoin mining, we measured the carbon footprint of Bitcoin mining power consumption using feed-forward neural networks. We found associated carbon footprints of 2.77, 16.08 and 14.99 MtCO2e for 2017, 2018 and 2019 based on a novel bottom-up approach,...

We employed linear and nonlinear error correction models (ECMs) to predict the log returns of Bitcoin (BTC). The linear ECM is the best model for predicting BTC compared to the neural network and autoregressive models in terms of RMSE, MAE, and MAPE. Using a linear ECM, we are able to understand...

Can Bitcoin remain tamper proof in the long run? We use block-level data from the Bitcoin blockchain to estimate the impact of congestion and the USD price on fee rates. The introduction and adoption of the Segwit protocol allows us to identify an aggregate demand curve for bitcoin transactions....

Purpose - The study considers time-varying risk premium in investigating the capability of technical analysis (TA) to predict and outperform a buy-hold strategy in Bitcoin exchange rate returns. Design/methodology/approach - The study tests the technical trading rule of fixed moving average...

This paper explores price effects caused by the expiration of derivatives in the cryptocurrency market. Applying different statistical tests (ANOVA, Mann-Whitney, and t-tests) and econometric methods (the modified cumulative abnormal return approach, regression analysis with dummy variables, and...

This paper assesses the impact of US policy responses to the Covid-19 pandemic on various cryptocurrencies and also technology stocks using fractional integration techniques. More precisely, it analyses the behaviour of the percentage returns in the case of nine major coins (Bitcoin - BITC,...

As central banks around the world prepare to launch central bank digital currencies (CBDCs), this paper looks at issues surrounding a retail version of CBDCs that would complement notes and coins for consumers. To build the public's trust in this type of digital currency, concerns such as loss...

Financial data are expensive and highly sensitive with limited access. We aim to generate abundant datasets given the original prices while preserving the original statistical features. We introduce the Wasserstein Generative Adversarial Network with Gradient Penalty (WGAN-GP) into the field of...

This paper aimed to assess the effect of the cryptocurrency market on firms' market value, especially on the sectoral level, in Africa. To reach the study's main goal, the authors adopted the Panel-Corrected Standard Errors (PCSEs) and Panel Double-Clustered Standard Errors (PDCSEs). Using...

The emergence of so-called "decentralised finance" (DeFi) and a shadow financial system of cryptocurrency exchanges and stablecoin issuers raises the challenge of how to apply technology-neutral regulation so that similar risks are subject to the same rules. This paper makes the case for...

We examine the dynamics of liquidity connectedness in the cryptocurrency market. We use the connectedness models of Diebold and Yilmaz (Int J Forecast 28(1):57-66, 2012) and Baruník and Křehlík (J Financ Econom 16(2):271-296, 2018) on a sample of six major cryptocurrencies, namely, Bitcoin...

Since the emergence of Bitcoin, cryptocurrencies have grown significantly, not only in terms of capitalization but also in number. Consequently, the cryptocurrency market can be a conducive arena for investors, as it offers many opportunities. However, it is difficult to understand. This study...

Cash use in most countries is falling slowly. On the margin, younger adults favor cash substitutes over cash. For older adults it is the reverse. Revealed preference tied to a changing population age structure seems to be the main influence on the demand for cash and why it is falling. Cash use...

This note explores the interactions between new technologies with key areas of commercial law and potential legal changes to respond to new developments in technology and businesses. Inspired by the Bali Fintech Agenda, this note argues that country authorities need to closely examine the...

Technology plays an increasingly important role in financial services. With the pace of technological inno-vation moving ever faster, the role new technology plays in the provision of financial services is becoming increasingly fundamental. New technology can generate efficiencies for firms,...

"For central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) to improve cross-border payments, central banks must make fundamental decisions on foreign access and how CBDCs connect across jurisdictions. These decisions must be made at an early stage and international cooperation and coordination are...

We estimate the effect of Bitcoin ownership on the level of cash holdings of Canadian consumers. Bitcoin ownership positively correlates with cash holdings even after accounting for selection into ownership via a control function approach. On average, Bitcoin owners hold 83 percent (in 2018) to...

This paper analyses the effects of an introduction of a retail central bank digital currency (CBDC) on bank intermediation in a tractable general equilibrium model with heterogeneous bank deposits and an imperfectly competitive loan market. The agents in the economy have preferences over holding...

We study how the introduction of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) would affect the stability of the banking system. We present a model that captures a concern commonly raised in policy discussions: the option to hold CBDC can increase the incentive for depositors to run on weak banks. Our...