Search Results - subject_exact:"Voter turnout"

A political-economic analysis of Swiss referendums 1848 to 2022 : turnout, acceptance rates and the double-majority threshold

Hosli, Madeleine; Martins Santos, Luiza; Boeree, Henry - 2025

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015471248

Administrative failure, state capacity, and democratic exclusion : evidence from Berlin's 2021 election breakdown

Kröper, Marius - 2025

This paper studies the long-run effects of non-strategic administrative failures on voter participation. I exploit a natural experiment from Berlin’s 2021 elections, in which hundreds of precincts experienced ballot shortages, multi-hour queues, and unlawful polling closures. Using...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015547467

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Administrative failure, state capacity, and democratic exclusion: Evidence from Berlin's 2021 election breakdown

Kröper, Marius - 2025

Book / Working Paper

The bright side of breaking up : how territorial fragmentation increases political engagement in local communities

Cerqua, Augusto; Di Matteo, Dante - 2025

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015473075

Do Democracy Vouchers help democracy?

Papich, Sarah - 2024

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014475237

Should I mail or should I go : voting behavior after a one-time all-postal election

Kröper, Marius; Lindlacher, Valentin - 2025

We investigate how reducing information costs through forced experimentation with postal voting, while holding administrative rules fixed, affects subsequent voting behavior. Leveraging a natural experiment during Bavaria’s 2020 Mayoral Elections and drawing on municipality-level...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015453902

To be on the winning side

Jelnov, Artyom - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015595837

Natural disasters and electoral consequences : evidence for voter participation and choice in U.S. presidential elections

Choi, Chi-young; Noy, Ilan; Sedai, Ashish Kumar - 2025

This study investigates how natural disasters and federal disaster declarations influence electoral outcomes in U.S. presidential elections from 1996 to 2020. Using county-level panel data and a two-way fixed effects framework, we analyze both incumbent vote share and voter turnout to describe...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015551311

Democratization, personal wealth of politicians and voting behavior

Machielsen, Bas - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015579750

Government spending and civic engagement : exploring the role of civil society participation and voting in 28 democracies

Lo Prete, Anna; Sacchi, Agnese - 2025

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015627315

Do parties matter for economic outcomes? : a replication study of Pettersson-Lidbom (Journal of the European Economic Association, 2008)

Korpi, Martin; Lakomaa, Erik - 2026

In an important and much cited study, Pettersson-Lidbom (2008) identifies significant left-wing majority coalition effects on economic outcomes for Swedish local governments, 1974-1994. We first replicate the original study and then extend the original research by applying Pettersson-Lidbom's...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015607681

A dynamic cost of voting index : how do state election administration rules impact voter turnout and the integrity of elections?

Ferroni, Matteo F.; Milyo, Jeffrey - 2025

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015559675

Spatial spillover effects on the support for populist radical right parties in Slovakia

Rehák, Štefan; Kuběnková, Dana - 2026

Populist radical right parties known for populist, anti-immigrant, and Eurosceptic stances have gained varying electoral support in the European Union. Slovakia is no exception and this study investigates the determinants of support for populist radical right parties in Slovakia, focusing on...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015643138

Does democracy flourish in the dark? : regional development and democracy building

Coufalová, Lucie; Kecskésová, Michaela; Mikula, Stepan; … - 2024

This paper examines the impact of regional development on democracy building in the Czech Republic following the fall of the Iron Curtain and the autocratic communist regime in 1989. By exploiting the variation in regional development arising from the economic transition process, we identify...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014634486

Geography of discontent and beyond : extreme voting, protestations, riots and violence, and their spatial content

Torre, André; Bourdin, Sébastien - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015643153

The impact of Citizens United : how the removal of independent expenditure bans shaped U.S. gubernatorial elections

Balles, Patrick - 2024

This paper examines the U.S. Supreme Court's 2010 Citizens United decision, which lifted bans on independent expenditures by corporations and unions. Using a difference-in-differences design, the study compares states with and without pre-existing bans, focusing on gubernatorial elections. The...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015066323

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The impact of Citizens United: How the removal of independent expenditure bans shaped U.S. gubernatorial elections

Balles, Patrick - 2024

Book / Working Paper

Stock market reactions to Donald Trump-involved U.S. presidential elections : evidence from the S&P 500 in 2016, 2020, and 2024

Wielechowski, Michał; Czech, Katarzyna; Weremczuk, … - 2026

This study assesses the impact of U.S. presidential elections on stock market behaviour, focusing on the 2016, 2020, and 2024 elections, in which Donald Trump was a candidate. Using an event-study framework, we analyse changes in S&P 500 volatility and returns by comparing a 10-day election...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015647491

Candidate vote prediction in open-list systems : forecasting the results of the 2023 Finnish parliamentary election

Vepsäläinen, Tapio - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015668681

Political participation and financial education : understanding personal and collective tradeoffs for a better citizenship

Lo Prete, Anna - 2024

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015447651

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Political participation and financial education : understanding personal and collective tradeoffs for a better citizenship

Lo Prete, Anna - 2024

Book / Working Paper

Forecasting 2024 US presidential election by states using county level data : too close to call

Pesaran, M. Hashem; Song, Hayun - 2024

This document is a follow up to the paper by Ahmed and Pesaran (2020, AP) and reports state-level forecasts for the 2024 US presidential election. It updates the 3,107 county level data used by AP and uses the same machine learning techniques as before to select the variables used in forecasting...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015077850

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Forecasting 2024 US presidential election by states using county level data : too close to call

Pesaran, M. Hashem; Song, Hayun - 2024

Book / Working Paper

Citizen forecasting in a mixed electoral system : the 2021 German federal election as a test case

Leininger, Arndt; Murr, Andreas E.; Stötzer, Lukas Frederik - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015668063

Bangladesh's political realignment after the parliamentary elections : hope for stability, concerns about democratic pluralism

Scholz, Tobias; Wigger, Leo - 2026

The parliamentary elections held in Bangladesh on 12 February 2026 marked a turning point in the country’s recent history. In August 2024, Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina, who had served for a total of 20 years, with one interruption, was removed from office. An interim government led by Nobel...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015618375

The impact of disinformation generated by AI on democracy case studies : the US presidential elections in 2016 & 2024

Ibrahim, Nourhan Tosson; Attia, Nada Adel - 2026

The paper studies the impact of disinformation generated by AI on democracy and it takes the US presidential elections in 2016 and 2024 as case studies.The paper depended on analyzing three concepts in order to formulate a theoretical framework, which are "Democracy", "Artificial Intelligence"...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015655434

Forecasting electoral violence

Randahl, David; Leis, Maxine Ria; Gåsste, Tim; Fjelde, … - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015668320

Political participation under uncertain norms

Fetzer, Thiemo; Hensel, Lukas; Roth, Christopher; … - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015672947

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Political participation under uncertain norms

Fetzer, Thiemo; Hensel, Lukas; Roth, Christopher; … - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Female enfranchisement and the conservative voting gap : evidence from gender-separated precinct returns

Bühler, Mathias; Sabet, Navid - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015672155

Elections and political polarisation : challenges for environmental agreements

Spycher, Sarah - 2026 - This version: May 2026

This paper examines how domestic elections and political polarisation shape international environmental agreements. Using a four-stage game to model a bilateral treaty, I analyse how incumbents strategically balance policy preferences with re-election prospects. Results reveal asymmetric...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015654870

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Elections and political polarisation : challenges for environmental agreements

Spycher, Sarah - 2024 - This version: November 2024

Edition: This version: November 2024

Book / Working Paper

Religious polarisation, economic vulnerability, and electoral realignment : evidence from West Bengal, India

Dey, Subhasish; Natarajan, Vidhyarth Krishna; Sahoo, Soham - 2026

This paper contributes to the debate on identity politics by examining whether the religious composition of voters predicts electoral outcomes. Focusing on West Bengal, India, we use assembly constituency-level data from six elections between 2011 and 2024 to examine how the Muslim population...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015619556

Political accountability with endogenous party formation

Annen, Kurt; Hug, Simon - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015672227

Inattention or (mis)information? : explaining the demand for populist anti-inflationary policies

Keefer, Philip; Ronconi, Lucas - 2026

Why are inefficient policies popular? One explanation is incomplete voter information. Evidence from survey experiments in Argentina points instead to inattention. The experiments explore voter evaluations of two anti-inflation policies, price controls and limits on monetary emission....

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015608804

The beauty premium in politics? : perceptions and political behavior

Skali, Ahmed; Bickley, Steve; Chan, Ho Fai; Stadelmann, … - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015672089

Trump digs votes : the role of Trump's coal campaign in the 2016 presidential election

Steinbrunner, Philipp; Di Giacomo, Marina; Nagl, Wolfgang - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015652715

Electing the pope : elections by repeated ballots

Ponsatí, Clara; Zápal, Jan - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015610399

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Electing the pope : elections by repeated ballots

Ponsatí, Clara; Zápal, Jan - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Strategizing under rule and vote uncertainty : an experiment

Prévotat, Antoine; Terzopoulou, Zoi; Zylbersztejn, Adam - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015614296

Electoral democracy, corruption, and tax evasion

Merkaj, Elvina; Imami, Drini - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015671348

Strategic voting on tax policy : direct vs representative democracy in the laboratory

Di Liddo, Giuseppe; Giuranno, Michele G.; Morone, Andrea - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015670989

Populism in the Italian municipal elections : the M5S experience

Bordignon, Massimo; Colussii, Tommaso - 2026

This paper reviews a growing body of theoretical and empirical research on Italian populism through a detailed examination of the Five Star Movement (Movimento 5 Stelle, M5S), focusing on its experience in municipal elections. Using a wide range of administrative and survey data, as well as...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015614864

Electoral corruption cycles : separating perceptions and experiences across households and experts

Crombach, Lamar - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015671003

Political stressors and birth outcomes : evidence from the 2016 U.S. presidential election

Golberstein, Ezra; Guth, Daniel; Slusky, David - 2026

We study political shocks as potential birth outcomes stressors, specifically the unexpected result of the 2016 U.S. presidential election. We investigate this two-sided shock using an innovative data linkage: Colorado voter registrations and birth certificates, matched by sex, birth year, and...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015615413

Re-election incentives and the adoption of early childhood development programmes : the case of the "Happy Child" Programme in Brazil

Tebaldi, Raquel; Gassmann, Franziska; Martorano, Bruno - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015671012

When foreign investment counters the populist backlash : county-level evidence from US presidential elections

Kim, ByungKoo; Kim, Seungjun; Park, Jong Hee - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015615878

Airless democracy : air pollution and voter turnout

Rossello, Giulia; Reatini, Maria Antonietta; Pinto, Gabriele - 2026

Air pollution is a major externality whose consequences extend beyond health and productivity. This paper shows that short-run pollution shocks also reduce democratic participation. We combine official, municipality-level election results from 32 national, European, regional, and municipal...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015616219

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Airless democracy : air pollution and voter turnout

Rossello, Giulia; Reatini, Maria Antonietta; Pinto, Gabriele - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Partisan abortions

González, Libertad; Guirola, Luis; Zapater, Blanca - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015674989

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Partisan abortions

González, Libertad; Guirola, Luis; Zapater, Blanca - 2023

Book / Working Paper

Decentralising environmental public spending : from political platforms to actual policies in the EU countries

Lanterna, Federica; Marin, Giovanni; Sacchi, Agnese - 2026

Environmental challenges increasingly shape political discourses across Europe, yet their influence on actual environmental governance remains unclear. This paper examines the political economy mechanisms linking environmental change, party platforms, and the decentralisation of environmental...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015616431

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Decentralising environmental public spending : from political platforms to actual policies in the EU countries

Lanterna, Federica; Marin, Giovanni; Sacchi, Agnese - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Sailing through history : the legacy of medieval sea trade on migrant perception and extreme right voting

Bottasso, Anna; Cerruti, Gianluca; Conti, Maurizio; … - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015675035

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Sailing through history : the legacy of medieval sea trade on migrant perception and extreme right voting

Bottasso, Anna; Cerruti, Gianluca; Conti, Maurizio; … - 2024

Book / Working Paper

A simultaneous analysis of turnout and voting under proportional representation : theory and experiments

Kamm, Aaron; Schram, Arthur - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016061555

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A Simultaneous Analysis of Turnout and Voting Under Proportional Representation : Theory and Experiments

Kamm, Aaron; Schram, Arthur - 2013

Book / Working Paper

Funding resilience or missing the mark? : an analysis of RRF allocation and climate risk alignment in Italian municipalities

Breglia, Giulio; D'Angeli, Mariagrazia; Gazzellone, Giacomo - 2026

Natural hazards are an increasing concern, placing disaster preparedness and mitigation at the forefront of policy agendas. In this context, Italy’s Recovery and Resilience Plan (NRRP) has allocated €3 billion for explicit disaster prevention, with a primary focus on hydrogeological risks...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015616440

Electoral costs of political retaliation : bipartisan rejection of attacks on corporate speech

Myers, Evan S.; Wander, Anna M.; McGrath, Mary C. - 2026

Overt political retribution, typically considered outside the bounds of American democracy, has recently risen to the surface of American political discourse. How do voters respond to elected officials wielding their powers of office for retributive purposes? In the current partisan political...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016061690

From moderates to extremes : how immigration polarizes American politics

Matzat, Johannes; Dreher, Axel; Langlotz, Sarah; … - 2026

We provide causal evidence that immigration has contributed to the polarization of American politics. Using an ancestry-based shift-share instrument, we study immigration flows into U.S. counties between 1992 and 2016. Counties exposed to larger immigrant inflows become more polarized both in...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015586704

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From moderates to extremes : how immigration polarizes american politics

Matzat, Johannes; Dreher, Axel; Langlotz, Sarah; … - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Elections and water pollution cleanup in the Ganges River in India

Batabyal, Amitrajeet A.; Yoo, Seung-Jick - 2026

We analyze the role of regular elections in ensuring water pollution cleanup in the Ganges river in a north Indian city. Our central result is that, in the absence of elections, politicians have no incentive to undertake pollution cleanup, leading to poor environmental outcomes. In contrast,...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016062442

Party pressure and representation

Kendall, Chad - 2026

I study how political parties affect representation in the U.S. House. To do so, I account for party pressure on the votes of members in an otherwise standard spatial model that uses roll call voting patterns to identify member ideologies. I simultaneously estimate voter ideologies from survey...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015586924