The modern Condorcet jury theorem states that under weak conditions, when voters have common interests, elections will aggregate information when the population is large, in any equilibrium. Here, we study the performance of large elections with population uncertainty. We find that the modern...

Der Mittelstand bildet mit nahezu 3,5 Millionen Unternehmen die Basis der deutschen Wirt-schaftsstärke. Unternehmensgründungen sind für die ständige Erneuerung der mittelständi-schen Unternehmenslandschaft unerlässlich; innovative Start-ups bringen wichtige Innovatio-nen auf den Markt, die...

For the Netherlands, the single most important EU issue is the future of the eurozone.

We show that the Brazilian trade liberalization in the early 1990s led to a permanent relative decline in the vote share of left-wing presidential candidates in the regions more affected by the tariff cuts. This happened even though the shock, implemented by a right-wing party, induced a...

Ein überproportional starkes Wachstum der Pro-Kopf-Ausgaben prägt die gesetzlicheKrankenversicherung. Mitder Alterung der geburtenstarken Jahrgängewird sich dieser Trend noch verstärken. Steigende Finanzie-rungserfordernissewerdenaberin dem umlagefinanzierten System auf jüngere Kohorten...

We show that the Brazilian trade liberalization in the early 1990s led to a permanent relative decline in the vote share of left-wing presidential candidates in the regions more affected by the tariff cuts. This happened even though the shock, implemented by a right-wing party, induced a...

Politicians are expected to influence policy outcomes in a way to gain electoral advantage. There is, however, a pending question whether efficiency in the provision of public goods and services is affected by strategic behavior. I examine how electoral cycles influence local government...

This paper investigates the impact of voter support on the representation of women in the political profession. The empirical analysis exploits two-stage elections in the United States and Italy to hold the selection of candidates constant. In two-stage elections, candidates are admitted to the...

The modern Condorcet jury theorem states that under weak conditions, when voters have common interests, elections will aggregate information when the population is large, in any equilibrium. Here, we study the performance of large elections with population uncertainty. We find that the modern...

Der Mittelstand bildet mit nahezu 3,5 Millionen Unternehmen die Basis der deutschen Wirt-schaftsstärke. Unternehmensgründungen sind für die ständige Erneuerung der mittelständi-schen Unternehmenslandschaft unerlässlich; innovative Start-ups bringen wichtige Innovatio-nen auf den Markt, die...

Vier Parteien - Die Linke, SPD, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen und FDP - haben bis Ende April 2021 den Entwurf ihres Programms zur Bundestagswahl am 26. September veröffentlicht. Wie klar und überzeugend vermitteln Bundestagsparteien ihre Vorstellungen? Die digital- und medienpolitischen Aussagen der...

We tested the Political Business Cycle theory in Sub-Sahara Africa. To provide an empirical explanation for this nexus, this paper used unbalanced panel data from thirty-six (36) Sub-Saharan African countries between 1990 and 2018. The system Generalized Method of Moment (GMM) developed by...

Die Einkommensteuerpolitik spielt in den Wahlprogrammen eine relevante Rolle. Darin unterscheidet sich der Bundestagswahlkampf 2021 nicht von vergangenen Wahlkämpfen. Allerdings ist es in den vergangenen 15 Jahren trotz Ankündigungen zu keiner grundlegenden Reform der Einkommensteuer gekommen....

Few economic issues affect people as personally and universally as housing. Yet despite the increasing globalization of housing markets, little is known about its political implications. This study investigates whether rising Chinese investments in U.S. homes influenced local voting in recent...

In contrast to popular belief, this paper shows that there does not exist an unambiguous positive relationship between an unbiased shareholder's voting power and the quality of corporate governance. I utilize a 2010 NYSE policy change that increased shareholders' voting power in uncontested...

We study the electoral impact of biased endorsements in large Poisson elections with two candidates. Under fairly general conditions, we derive analytical approximations for the asymptotic voting equilibria. We show that, when the electorate is sufficiently polarized, manipulating public...

We analyze a dynamic investment problem where decisions are made through voting within a group of agents with heterogeneous beliefs. We show that disagreement generates inefficient underinvestment---the group rejects projects that are unanimously deemed profitable by each member---and...

Do donor-funded politicians benefit their donors disproportionately? If so, how? This paper examines the impact of electing donor-funded politicians using a novel dataset that uniquely links campaign donors with recipients of public contracts during mayors' incumbency period in Colombia. Using a...

The article discusses the peculiarities of building political communications based on the material of official Twitter accounts of Petro Poroshenko and Volodymyr Zelensky as candidates for the President of Ukraine from 31.03 to 21.04.2019. Today's politicians are actively leveraging the positive...

Party platforms are important. They signal what matters for political parties and with whom parties are engaging. Platforms can be used to predict government behavior and are an important tool to hold a government to account. In the 2019 federal election, all the major parties released platform...

This paper studies whether political budget cycles occur in public procurement in the European Union. Using project- level data from Tenders Electronic Daily (2008-2018), I analyze different steps along the procurement process, namely the publication of the contract notice, the awarding of the...

This paper studies costly political resistance in a non-democracy. When Nazi Germany surrendered in May 1945, 40% of the designated Soviet occupation zone was initially captured by the western Allied Expeditionary Force. This occupation was short-lived: Soviet forces took over after less than...

Political upheaval, with the dangerous rise of the far right - in Italy and Europe - is likely to be stabilised when politics and policies again turn their attention to the priorities of the majority of impoverished voters, with a focus on reducing inequalities, unemployment and casualisation.