In this study, nexuses between governance and trade performance in terms of natural resource rents are assessed in 44 sub-Saharan African countries. The empirical evidence is based on Tobit regressions. The findings show that political governance (entailing "voice & accountability" and political...

This paper focuses on how gender segmentation in labor markets shapes the local effects of international trade. We first develop a theoretical framework that embeds trade and gender-segmented labor markets to show that foreign demand shocks may either increase or decrease the female-to-male...

This paper quantifies the impact of hurricanes on seaborne international trade to the United States. Using geocoded hurricane data mapped to satellite tracking data for commercial ships, we identify hurricane intersections on sea-trade routes between U.S. and foreign ports. Matching the timing...

Der Angriff Russlands auf die Ukraine hat die wirtschaftlichen Rahmenbedingungen in Europa drastisch verschlechtert. Die Preise für Rohstoffe und Energie und hier besonders für Erdgas sind stark gestiegen, die Sanktionen bringen den Handel mit Russland, der über Energielieferungen hinausgeht,...

Die deutsche Wirtschaft wankt - bereits angeschlagen - von der einen Krise in die nächste. Noch immer werden die Unternehmen von den vielfältigen Auswirkungen der Corona-Pandemie belastet - vor allem über gestörte Lieferketten und Personalausfälle. Die erneuten Restriktionen in China...

Im Spätsommer 2022 ist die Weltwirtschaft im Abschwung. Anhaltend hohe Inflationsraten haben die US-Notenbank und viele weitere Zentralbanken veranlasst, mit einer Straffung ihrer Geldpolitik zu beginnen. Zudem ist seit dem Ausbruch des Ukraine-Kriegs Energie knapper und teurer geworden....

Die deutsche Wirtschaft befindet sich infolge von Angebots- und Nachfrageschocks in einer breit angelegten Rezession. Vorerst wird kein Ende der russischen Invasion in der Ukraine erwartet. Daraus ergeben sich hohe Risiken hinsichtlich einer umfassenden Energieversorgung in Deutschland und hohe...

Die Aussichten für die Weltkonjunktur haben sich aufgrund der geopolitischen Lage, der weltweiten Energieund Rohstoffprobleme und der dadurch hohen Inflation deutlich eingetrübt. Eine nachlassende Konjunktur in China und in den fortgeschrittenen Volkswirtschaften sorgt für eine Verlangsamung...

Der Ausblick auf die internationale Konjunktur 2023 ist verschattet: Die Energieversorgung Europas ist ungewiss, die Leitzinsen steigen weiter, der Pandemieausbruch in China führt zu Produktionsausfällen. Belastungen für die deutsche Wirtschaft kommen von hohen Energiepreisen und einem...

This paper analyzes the effects of real exchange rate volatility on the United States’ exports to BRICS. It focuses on the top 20 export products (defined by the 2-digit Harmonized System codes) from the United States to Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa, and uses quarterly data...

Global value chains (GVCs) have shaped the dynamics of globalisation in recent years. This paper reviews key concepts and tools to measure countries’ involvement in GVCs, explores recent trends and investigates the underlying drivers of GVC participation empirically. The analysis in the paper...

Illicit financial flows have recently attracted the attention of academia, practitioners, and multilateral organizations who consider them harmful to economic development. Some observers suggest that many of these flows occur via the misinvoicing of international trade transactions. This study...

Since the onset of globalisation, production activities have become increasingly fragmented and organised in global value chains (GVC). These networks facilitate trade in intermediaries across industrial sectors and countries and change the conditions for policies to respond to shocks. In this...

The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic has been detrimental to all countries, despite the continuous efforts of governments on all continents to attempt to mitigate its damaging effects. All economic and social indicators have worsened. This study explores the impact of COVID-19 on international...

We examine the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on Kenya's foreign trade using quarterly trade data for the period 2019 to the second quarter of 2021. The exploratory analysis shows that growth of Kenya's merchandise exports remained resilient, largely supported by traditional exports of tea and...

Die deutsche Wirtschaft wankt – bereits angeschlagen – von der einen Krise in die nächste. Noch immer werden die Unternehmen von den vielfältigen Auswirkungen der Corona-Pandemie belastet – vor allem über gestörte Lieferketten und Personalausfälle. Die erneuten Restriktionen in China...

The resilience of global value chains has been put to the test by the COVID-19 pandemic, extreme weather events, and trade tensions spurred by growing economic nationalism and protectionism. Shocks in production and trade can be transmitted from one country to another by global value chains,...

The war in Ukraine is a human tragedy for the people of Ukraine, but its economic implications are global. This instant report focuses on the direct impact of the war on world trade and investment. It identifies five trade and investment channels through which countries will be affected by the...

We study the economic implications of Russia's invasion of Ukraine, by scrutinising global trade volumes and commodity prices, trade balances and bilateral trade flows between major economic powers and Russia. We find that energy prices increased more in 2021 than in 2022, suggesting that the...

Under the current global environmental governance and trade regimes, several initiatives, such as the new United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement, the European Union's European Green Deal, and regional free trade agreements the European Union has implemented with strategic partners like Mexico,...

The impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on international trade varies along several dimensions, including the type of product, the size of firm and over time. In this note, I provide evidence of systematic variation in the trade response to the pandemic along another, previously unexplored...

The war in Ukraine is causing an enormous humanitarian crisis. More than 12 million people are estimated to have been displaced and more than 13 million need urgent humanitarian assistance. Ukraine's economy is being devastated. Trauma suffered by the population will have enduring consequences....

The war in Ukraine is a human tragedy for the people of Ukraine, but its economic implications are global. This instant report focuses on the direct impact of the war on world trade and investment. It identifies five trade and investment channels through which countries will be affected by the...

The resilience of global value chains has been put to the test by the COVID-19 pandemic, extreme weather events, and trade tensions spurred by growing economic nationalism and protectionism. Shocks in production and trade can be transmitted from one country to another by global value chains,...

The Philippines was among the most infected countries in East Asia at the onset of the COVID-19 outbreak. This study analyzes how international trade on various margins was affected by the country's own lockdown policies and those of trading partners. Using a monthly series of product-by-country...

We examine the supply-side characteristics - unskilled labor, imported input intensity, dependence on inputs from China, production complexity - that determine different potential vulnerabilities of traded products to the COVID-19 pandemic. Relying on monthly exports at the product level by all...

There is general consensuses among scholars on the importance of international trade and foreign direct investment as a main macroeconomic variables that drive economic growth of developing countries. However, the global economic crisis plays dominant role in determining the movement of these...

Der Ukraine-Krieg belastet durch das Emporschnellen der Energiepreise und den Produktionsstopp in wichtigen ukrainischen Zulieferbetrieben unmittelbar die wirtschaftliche Aktivität in Deutschland. Daher werden zwei Szenarien prognostiziert, die die kriegs- und sanktionsbedingten Unsicherheiten...

Plastic waste trade has grown considerably in the last decades and has caused severe environmental problems in recipient countries. As the largest recipient, China has permanently banned the imports of plastic waste since 2018. This paper examines the causal effect of plastic waste imports on...

We estimate the short- and long-run local labor market impacts of the large increase in U.S. imports and exports that occurred over the 1970s. We exploit the sequential opening of overseas shipping container ports over the period, which generated discontinuous changes in U.S. trade ows. We find...