This paper investigates the effect of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) on gambling activity in China. Based on a theoretical model, we hypothesize that EPU increases the demand for hope which raises the willingness to pay for lottery tickets, resulting in higher lottery sales. We estimate a...

This paper examines the emergence of private debt-led growth in Canada since the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) by means of a growth regimes and macroeconomic policy regime assessment. Examining each of the four business cycles in the 1983-2020 period, roughly encompassing the entirety of the...

Demand and Growth Regimes (DGR) and Macroeconomic Policy Regimes (MPR) frameworks have taken prominence within the post-Keynesian literature. However, the majority of studies based on these conceptual frameworks have focused on developed economies. The main contribution of this paper is to...

This study investigates the political economy of industrialization in Ethiopia. It discusses the economic and political institutions during three political regimes and assesses the industrial sector's performance across these different regimes. Further, it evaluates the different industrial...

Im Rahmen ihres Mittelstandsberichts Thüringen stellen die Autoren fest, dass sich das Bruttoinlandsprodukt Thüringens seit dem Jahr 2015 ungünstiger entwickelt hat als das BIP in Deutschland insgesamt, während die Arbeitslosenquote in Thüringen stark zurückging und im Jahr 2021 unter dem...

India has risen internationally since the 1990s. The most important reasons for this success are its economic reforms since 1991 and new international constellations since the East-West conflict. Both have earned the country a significantly greater say on global issues, but India's rise is quite...

Leontief was and still is one of the most recognized names in economics, inextricably linked to the development of input-output techniques, but throughout his life he remained fiercely critical of other economists' works and of the state of economic science. To understand his bitterness, we go...

Die COVID-19 Pandemie hat zu einem starken Nachfrageanstieg nach Medizinprodukten geführt. Zeitgleich kam es zu Lieferproblemen in internationalen Lieferketten aufgrund von gesundheitspolitischen (z.B. Lockdowns) und wirtschaftspolitischen Maßnahmen (z.B. Ausfuhrkontrollen). Beides zusammen...

The ongoing coronavirus pandemic crisis as well as demographic and climate change pose major challenges for public finances. This article deals with the implications of demographic trends in Switzerland, i.e. the progressive ageing of the population and its impact on the country's public...

Eine sozialverträgliche Modernisierung und Dekarbonisierung bedarf mehr als nur kurzfristiger Maßnahmen. Die Ampelkoalition hat bereits wichtige Weichenstellungen vorgenommen. Unklar bleibt allerdings, wie die in den kommenden zehn Jahren erforderlichen Zusatzausgaben von jährlich 60-80 Mrd....

President Joe Biden faces some political and economic headwinds in the upcoming U.S. midterm elections this year. Current economic challenges include historically high inflation rates and signs of an impending recession. [...] This paper gives a critical overview of the political and economic...

The sharp rise in energy prices represents a considerable structural risk to the German economy. Deindustrialisation has become a veritable threat. The government's economic policy needs to establish positive expectations for energy costs in the medium term through interventions in the gas and...

This paper investigates recent developments in meta-analysis, the tool to quantitatively synthesize research in a certain body of literature. After providing a brief overview on how to do a meta-analysis and discussing recent methodological advancements in the field, I review applied...

This study examines major reform proposals of EU fiscal rules from an economic and legal perspective. We disassemble the reform proposals in their components and analyse them in their specific proposed form in comparison, thereby shedding light on what is legally possible, economically sensible,...

Eine sozialverträgliche Modernisierung und Dekarbonisierung bedarf mehr als nur kurzfristiger Maßnahmen. Die Ampelkoalition hat bereits wichtige Weichenstellungen vorgenommen. Unklar bleibt allerdings, wie die in den kommenden zehn Jahren erforderlichen Zusatzausgaben von jährlich 60-80 Mrd....

Objective: The objective of this article is to examine the role of democracy in strengthening the resilience of developing economies in the face of exogenous negative external shocks. Research Design & Methods: To achieve our research objectives, we used the duration model to estimate how...

The REITs market has attracted a lot of interest among the academic, policymakers, and market participants. The linkages between REITs and macroeconomic and financial variables have been adequately explored in the literature, with more emphasis on linear models. This study expands the frontier...

The Covid-19 Pandemic has been a singular event that affected health, economic situation and social cohesion around the world. The International Centre for Economic Analysis (ICEA), has organized the After the Pandemic Conference Series. The conferences in the series are devoted to analyzing...

While the pandemic and recovery unfold in real time, this article investigates some of the major themes on preparations for the next pandemic. Humanity cannot rely on modern medicine to beat the next 'disease X' and the world cannot afford the extortionate health and economic policy...

This study investigates the impact of uncertainty on the mean-variance relationship. We find that the stock market’s expected excess return is positively related to the market’s conditional variances and implied variance during low uncertainty periods but unrelated or negatively related to...

The ongoing coronavirus pandemic crisis as well as demographic and climate change pose major challenges for public finances. This article deals with the implications of demographic trends in Switzerland, i.e. the progressive ageing of the population and its impact on the country’s public...

This study analyzes how state capacity shapes the local impact of national policies by exploiting a quasi-natural experiment in the regional expansion of the state. It uses the local discontinuity created by the boundary of the largest peasant rebellion in 18th century Russia where the state...

Purpose - This paper aims to consider the role of geopolitical risk in explaining tourism demand in India, a major tourist destination of the Asian region. Furthermore, the study also considers how in addition to geopolitical risk, economic policy uncertainty, economic growth, exchange rate,...

We use the 2021 vintage of the EIB Investment Survey (EIBIS) which contains a detailed set of questions regarding the nature of the policy support to firms during the COVID-19 crisis. Matched with hard data on the balance sheets and Profit and Loss (P&L) statements of corporations, the survey...

This paper examines the impact of changes in economic policy uncertainty (EPU) and COVID-19 shock on stock returns. Tests of 16 global stock market indices, using monthly data from January 1990 to August 2021, suggest a negative relation between the stock return and a country’s EPU. Evidence...

This paper investigates whether and how economic policy uncertainty affects corporate debt maturity. Using a large firm-level dataset for four European countries, we find that an increase in economic policy uncertainty is significantly associated with a shortened debt maturity. Moreover, the...

This study analyses the performance of macroeconomic policy in South Africa in 2007- 2020 and outlines challenges for policy in the coming decade. After remarkable economic growth in 1997-07, South Africa's progress slowed dramatically in 2009 with the global financial crisis. Real GDP growth...

What is the appropriate role of the state in economic policy-making? This paper shows that Friedrich Hayek, who is often considered a proponent of laissez-faire liberalism, offers three different answers to this problem. First, Hayek argues that the state should provide a legal framework for...

Leontief was and still is one of the most recognized names in economics, inextricably linked to the development of input-output techniques, but throughout his life he remained fiercely critical of other economists’ works and of the state of economic science. To understand his bitterness, we go...