This paper presents two empirical tools to quantify the impacts of tariff changes on bilateral trade and welfare. Both tools are rooted in the structural gravity literature. The first tool estimates the impact of tariff changes on bilateral trade for 5,020 products in a partial equilibrium...

Several Least-Developed Countries (LDCs) will graduate from the LDC status in the coming decade implying that they will lose preferential access to export markets. We quantify the expected impact of LDC graduation on exports of graduating and non-graduating LDCs incorporating detailed preference...

The European Union (EU) supports developing countries with a unilateral trade preference scheme. The scheme underwent a major reform in 2014, in which many countries lost access to reduced tariff rates. We analyse how this radical step that removed preferences from 103 countries by 2018 fits...

The magnitude of returns to colonial-era investments in Africa has been addressed in an extensive literature, as have the nature and legacies of extractive colonial institutions. However, the link between these institutions and the profitability of firms remains unclear. We reconstruct the...

The major challenge facing Sri Lanka in the post-war period, which came with the end of the long- term civil war in Sri Lanka, was to build the country's economy and peace. Sri Lanka, which was already in the throes of a political, economic and social catastrophe, had to seek the assistance and...

Can preferential market access help to enforce Labor Laws in beneficiary countries? The US Generalized System of Preferences (GSP) is accorded conditional on compliance with labor rights and leaves room for petitioning and revising the scheme upon request by interest groups. Using data from...

This research is interested to observe from a multi-dimensional perspective the consumption effects (domestic consumption), production effects (domestic production), trade effects (imports), and revenue (government) under different tariffs simultaneously. We introduce a new model is entitled...

This paper considers tariff phase-outs in multilateral and preferential agreements. The paper finds that early GATT rounds primarily were over bindings of existing rates and that it was not until the 1962-67 Kennedy Round's 50% reduction in manufactured goods tariffs that time paths of tariff...

Can preferential market access help to enforce Labor Laws in beneficiary countries? The US Generalized System of Preferences (GSP) is accorded conditional on compliance with labor rights and leaves room for petitioning and revising the scheme upon request by interest groups. Using data from...

We study, theoretically and empirically, how countries choose intra-bloc tariffs and preferential margins when they form Preferential Trade Agreements (PTAs). Our model indicates that countries should set systematically lower preferential margins when the bloc takes the form of a free trade area...

We document the partial utilization of the U.S. General System of Preferences program by exporters in Brazil, Egypt, and Thailand in 2020. Then we use tariff line-level econometric models to estimate the potential expansion of the exports of these beneficiary developing countries if the program...

We consider a 3 country world in which each country's import market is served by competing exporters from its 2 trading partners. We assume that weak multilateral enforcement mechanisms prevent governments from implementing efficient trade policies through a multilateral agreement requiring...

This chapter explains two of the main Generalized Systems of Preferences (GSP)—the US program and the EU’s GSP. It indicates the reasons behind conditionality and possible future impacts. It discusses the European Union’s Generalized System of Preferences, the objectives, the types of GSP...

We study, theoretically and empirically, how countries choose intra-bloc tariffs and preferential margins when they form Preferential Trade Agreements (PTAs). Our model indicates that countries should set systematically lower preferential margins when the bloc takes the form of a free trade area...

We study the implications of customs union formation for multilateral tariff cooperation. We model cooperation in multilateral trade policy as self-enforcing, in that it involves balancing the current gains from deviating unilaterally from an agreed-upon trade policy against the future losses...

We make use of a comprehensive trade panel data set that includes intra-national ows to identify the effect of national economic preferences - patience, risk attitude, negative reciprocity and pro-social preferences from the Global Preference Survey (GPS) - on external trade in a gravity...

This paper presents a new global tariff database covering tariffs at the six-digit product level for 197 importing countries and their trading partners for 30 years, namely 1988 to 2017. I deal simultaneously with the two major issues, missing data and misreporting, almost doubling the number of...

The Generalised System of Preferences (GSP), instituted in 1971 under the aegis of UNCTAD, has contributed over the years to creating an enabling trading environment by providing tariff reduction or complete elimination for developing countries and the LDCs. The study of GSP imports of the US...

Least developed countries (LDC) receive specific international support measures and preferential market access to high-income countries. Graduation from the LDC status is based upon consistent economic and human capital performance. Graduation is appealing for LDC countries as it signals...

The European Union (EU) generalized system of preferences (GSP Scheme) grants preferential treatment to 88 eligible countries. There are, however, concerns that the restrictive features (such as rules of origin, low preference margin and low coverage) of the existing scheme indicate gravitation...

We estimate the trade effect of removing uncertainty about future trading conditions in the context of the 2014 reform of the Generalized System of Preferences (GSP) of the European Union (EU). EU GSP members receive non-reciprocal trade preferences (NRTPs), but only as long as they are not too...

Under the Generalized System of Preferences (GSP), high-income countries grant unilateral trade preferences to developing countries. These preferences are subject to political conditionality, but little is known about the trade impact of loss of preferential access and the implications for...

This paper investigates whether the 2011 expiration of the most comprehensive trade preference program (Generalized System of Preferences or GSP) offered by the US had a detrimental impact on the exports from developing countries. The effect of GSP expiration is examined with a triple...