Strategic foresight can help address long-term uncertainties by offering insights into the potential impact of artificial intelligence (AI) on national security. This analysis highlights the value of qualitative tools in exploring a variety of future scenarios related to breakthroughs in AI....

Wir analysieren erstmalig die Rolle von Zukunftsthemen in Bundestagsreden zwischen 1949 und 2021 mithilfe computerlinguistischer Methoden. Die Ergebnisse zeigen, dass der Diskurs über Zukunftsthemen im Bundestag mit dem Wirtschaftswunder zwischen den 1960er und 1990er Jahren stark anstieg. Seit...

The world of work is experiencing multiple transformations driven by automation and digitalization, environmental changes, (de)globalization, and demographic shifts, among other factors. The effects of the COVID-19 pandemic, worsening geopolitical tensions, environmental disasters and armed...

The study represents the Commission's commitment, outlined in its 2023 Communication on the functioning of the Common Fisheries Policy (CFP), to address emerging challenges in the sector. It aligns with the Commission's definition of foresight as "the discipline of exploring, anticipating, and...

A foresight study on school education (ISCED levels 1-3) in the EU, which aimed at developing four scenarios, describing potential alternative futures of the school education in the EU by 2040, identifying the preferred scenario developments and providing recommendations on the policy measures...

A foresight study on school education (ISCED levels 1-3) in the EU, which aimed at developing four scenarios, describing potential alternative futures of the school education in the EU by 2040, identifying the preferred scenario developments and providing recommendations on the policy measures...

Wir analysieren erstmalig die Rolle von Zukunftsthemen in Bundestagsreden zwischen 1949 und 2021 mithilfe computerlinguistischer Methoden. Die Ergebnisse zeigen, dass der Diskurs über Zukunftsthemen im Bundestag mit dem Wirtschaftswunder zwischen den 1960er und 1990er Jahren stark anstieg. Seit...

Objective The objective of this article is to prioritize technologies, innovations, and new businesses related to the leather agroindustrial chain in the department of Quindío (Colombia) for the year 2035. Method The prospective scenario and Delphi methods were used to prioritize key variables,...

This research note explores the impact of COVID-19 on young people's perspectives on the future in absolute terms and comparatively with older age groups when possible. It also examines the impact of COVID-19 (from outbreak until Spring 2022) on young people's views of the education system,...

This study exposes relevant tensions between deep-tech startups' sound technological solutions, confronted with lack of marketing skills to communicate their unique value proposition for targeted customers. Incorporating technological foresight as an essential component of strategic foresight,...

The world of work is experiencing multiple transformations driven by automation and digitalization, environmental changes, (de)globalization, and demographic shifts, among other factors. The effects of the COVID-19 pandemic, worsening geopolitical tensions, environmental disasters and armed...

Ausgehend von den Krisen unserer Zeit und dem normativen Bekenntnis zu einer transformativen Ökonomik erläutert das Diskussionspapier die These: "Gestaltung braucht Kreativität". Die gegenwärtige dominante Praxis der Volkswirtschaftslehre wird dahingehend kritisiert, dass sie...

Ausgehend von den Krisen unserer Zeit und dem normativen Bekenntnis zu einer transformativen Ökonomik erläutert das Diskussionspapier die These: "Gestaltung braucht Kreativität". Die gegenwärtige dominante Praxis der Volkswirtschaftslehre wird dahingehend kritisiert, dass sie...

The 21st century presents significant challenges to humanity, encompassing rapid urbanization, population expansion, as well as socio-economic, physical, and environmental stressors. In order to establish an ideal equilibrium between economic advancement and environmental preservation within...

Die Studie verfolgt das Ziel, das Marktumfeld, Angebote und Erfahrungen geteilter Mobilitätsdienste in Deutschland zu analysieren, sowie Szenarien bis zum Jahr 2030 zu entwickeln. Der analytische Teil fasst den aktuellen Stand des Wissens zu geteilten Mobilitätsdiensten zusammen. Der...

This paper conducts surveys that document CFO perspectives on corporate planning, corporate investment, capital structure, payout, and the goal of the firm. Current policy choices are compared to CFO survey data from two decades prior, which allows me to identify decision-making themes that are...

This paper conducts surveys that document CFO perspectives on corporate planning, corporate investment, capital structure, payout, and the goal of the firm. Current policy choices are compared to CFO survey data from two decades prior, which allows me to identify decision-making themes that are...

Using daily returns on 34 futures contracts over the 2010-2022 period, we examine the factors driving these returns. We show that all commodities can be grouped by their drivers into intuitive groups based on their factorization into 1) food, 2) metals and oil and 3) precious metals. The three...

Die neuen Märkte der Zukunft: verstehen und mitgestalten Sie wollen die Zukunft meistern? In diesem Buch steht, wie das geht. Der erste Schritt: Zukunftsverständnis entwickeln, Szenarien erstellen und mithilfe von Zukunftsbildern erkunden, wie die Welt in fünf, in zehn oder gar zwanzig Jahren...

Part 1: Introduction. Chapter 1. Futures Thinking in Organizations: Theoretical Framework.-Part 2: Case Studies.Explosive Use of Social Media. Chapter 2. A Study of Tesla – 21st Century Organizational Strategy as Nexus Between Foresight and Futures Thinking -- Chapter 3. Bridal Icon – The...

Vorwort -- Teil 1: Zukunftsorientierte Innovation – Ein Ansatz zum Gestalten der Unternehmenszukunft -- Über das Morgen -- Innovationserfolge liegen in der Zukunft -- Vom Erforschen der Zukunft -- Zukunft gestalten -- In den Kontext gesetzt -- Wirkungsbereiche zukunftsorientierter Unternehmen...

Vorwort -- Über Trends im Allgemeinen -- Exkurs: Umgang mit unscharfen Informationen -- Trendanalyse in Unternehmen -- Trendrecherche: Trendinformationen sammeln -- Trendanalyse: Auswirkungen verstehen -- Exkurs: Denkfallen bei der Trendanalyse -- Trendstudie: Tiefenanalyse eines Trends --...

Willkommen in der Zukunft, die soeben begonnen hat! Das Buch von Stephan Scheuer und Larissa Holzki zeigt die neue Ära des Fortschritts, in der künstliche Intelligenz wie ein Mensch schreibt und spricht. Noch lässt sich nur erahnen, welches Ausmaß an Innovationen in allen Lebensbereichen nun...

There isn't one model for success in the digital future; there are many. Europe is now debating what policies that could help to power entrepreneurship and growth in Europe's economy, and some are arguing that Europe should make itself technologically sovereign - independent from the big...

The goal of this dissertation is to contribute to the corporate foresight research field by investigating capabilities, practices, and challenges particularly in the context of interorganizational settings and networked organizations informed by the theoretical perspectives of the relational...

Small, medium, and micro enterprises make important contributions to economic growth and employment. Based on evidence from of the tire processing industry in Ecuador, this article assesses the development prospects for such companies in the context of the transition to a circular economy. The...

There isn't one model for success in the digital future; there are many. Europe is now debating what policies that could help to power entrepreneurship and growth in Europe's economy, and some are arguing that Europe should make itself technologically sovereign - independent from the big...

Chapter 1. Introduction to the WORLD 50.0 Movement -- Chapter 2. Future of Leadership -- Chapter 3. Future of Governments, Politics and Democracy -- Chapter 4. Future of Geopolitics -- Chapter 5. Future of Healthcare -- Chapter 6. Future of Energy -- Chapter 7. Future of Climate Change --...