We develop a simple two-period principal-agent model in which a present-biased government, the agent, chooses public investment levels given a deficit rule imposed by the principal. The principal sets a deficit cap to curb current debt-financed consumption. In doing so, it also reduces long-term...

We construct a narrative instrument for government investment from official records in Germany. Using structural vector autoregressions, we document a significant crowding-in of private investment and an output multiplier of roughly 2. Then, we match a New Keynesian dynamic stochastic general...

An IMF team found that the State of Odisha had an overall public investment management (PIM) system that compared well with other emerging market economies, reflecting in particular strong institutions at the execution stage, which have helped the State increase significantly its public...

This How to Note discusses how low-income developing countries (LIDCs) can strengthen the effectiveness and efficiency of their public investment. The note draws on Public Investment Management Assessments and focuses on eight institutions that are likely to be key reform priorities in many...

Der Bundeshaushalt muss Zukunftsinvestitionen stärker priorisieren. Darüber besteht in der Theorie ein weit reichender Konsens. In der haushaltspolitischen Praxis ist es hingegen schwierig, dieses Ziel durchzusetzen. Ausgaben mit einem unmittelbaren Gegenwartsnutzen erfahren regelmäßig hohen...

Saudi Arabia has mixed expectations ahead of Donald Trump’s imminent second presidency. On the one hand, the royal family maintains close business relations with the president-elect and his entourage, which could lead to privileged access to the White House. On the other hand, Trump’s Middle...

This paper provides a critical assessment of the new EU fiscal framework, with a focus on its implications for public expenditure on the twin green and digital transition. According to the reformed rules, member states may commit to a package of investment and reform to extend the fiscal...

We aim to analyze the potential positive or negative effects of public expenditure on economic growth, as well as their determinants. To this goal, we use a simple theoretical model, which has the specificity to distinguish between public investment and consumption expenditure, and which could...

Viet Nam's long-term goal is to attain high-income status by 2045. Achieving a modern, industrialized and resilient economy with higher living standards will depend on well-designed government policy interventions, combined with well targeted, efficient and effective public expenditures. Among...

We assess the relevance of macro rates of return on time-varying fiscal and external sustainability. First, we compute the total public and private macroeconomic rates of return for 16 OECD countries from 1980 to 2022. We find that there is a positive impact of higher investment returns on...

Investment, whatever its nature, is an indispensable channel for increasing economic growth. The aim of this paper is to empirically study the effect of institutional quality and investment on economic growth in WAEMU countries. The methodological approach is based on a dynamic panel model...

This paper examines how the concentration of large firms influences the fiscal multiplier effects of public investment in transport infrastructure. Using data from 1,891 Peruvian municipalities and firm-level information, the analysis exploits a quasi-experimental setting stemming from an...

Leveraging insights from the academic literature, this paper discusses the challenges and practical solutions in the planning of public investment projects and illustrates them with survey evidence from the EU Member States. The paper starts with strategic planning, which covers a 10-to-20-year...

The European fiscal governance framework remains incomplete, hindering policy coordination during economic shocks and affecting the transmission of the single monetary policy. High public debt and low public investment worsen resilience across Member States. Many policymakers, institutions, and...

An IMF team conducted a Climate Public Investment Management Assessment in Papua New Guinea. This analysis identified some emerging areas of effectiveness related to management of public investment from a climate perspective, but also identified many key weaknesses throughout the public...

In order to improve the efficiency of their capital investment and improve the access of the population to high-quality infrastructure, the Finance Ministry and the Planning general secretariate SEGEPLAN requested an IMF mission to apply: (i) the public investment management assessment (PIMA)...

An IMF team conducted a Climate Public Investment Management Assessment (C-PIMA) in Togo. The analysis identified emerging good practices for an effective management of public investment from a climate perspective, but also identified weaknesses throughout the public investment cycle that affect...

An IMF team conducted a Public Investment Management Assessment (PIMA) and Climate PIMA in Barbados. The country is recognized as a global leader on climate issues and has various initiatives underway to strengthen climate resilience. The climate agenda is not yet adequately integrated in PIM...

An IMF team conducted a Public Investment Management Assessment including the module on climate change in Honduras. It identified strengths related to the recent reforms in the National Public Investment System of Honduras (SNIPH), but also several weaknesses along the investment cycle that...

An IMF team conducted a Public Investment Management Assessment including the module on Climate Change in Paraguay. The team identified strengths related to the recent reforms in the National Public Investment System (SNIP) and several weaknesses along the investment cycle that affect its...

An IMF team conducted a Public Investment Management Assessment including the module on Climate Change in Mozambique. The team identified strengths related to the recent reforms in the national public investment system and several weaknesses along the investment cycle that affect its efficiency....

The assistance assessed Tajikistan's public investment management practices and their climate sensitivity using the Public Investment Management Assessment (PIMA) with the Climate Module (C-PIMA). Tajikistan was found to perform well in some areas of the PIMA and C-PIMA, but there were gaps in...

This paper uses principal component analysis (PCA) to identify bottlenecks to effective public investment management in LIDCs. The paper describes the current state of affairs regarding public investment and public investment management in LIDCs, drawing on the results of IMF Public Investment...

The assistance assessed how climate change impacts and mitigation and adaptation responses are addressed in the public investment cycle using the Climate Module of the Public Investment Management Assessment (C-PIMA). Sierra Leone was found to perform moderately well in some areas of the Climate...

Sierra Leone faces significant climate-related challenges, including rising temperatures, unpredictable precipitation patterns, and increased risks of extreme weather events, which threaten its infrastructure and coastal communities. This assistance assessed Sierra Leone's public investment...

The purpose of this study is to find out the impact of public investment on private investment in the localities of the Mekong Delta Key Economic Region and the Central Key Economic Region. Using data on public investment (state sector's investment) and private investment (non-state sector's...

One of the most important aspects for the economic and social growth of a country is high efficiency of public investments. This imperative has never been more critical, especially in the context of Europe and Italy, where the integration of environmental, economic, and social goals is essential...

Purpose Our study aims to evaluate the impact of infrastructure and public investment on private investment in machinery and equipment in Brazil from 1947 to 2017. The contribution of our article to the existing literature lies in providing a more comprehensive understanding of the presence or...

This paper takes stock of the implementation of the NextGenerationEU (NGEU) programme in the euro area four years after its inception, focusing on its principal instrument, the Recovery and Resilience Facility (RRF). The paper provides an updated quantitative assessment of its past and future...