Der deutsche Export sendet deutliche Warnsignale. Die Wachstumsraten des Exports haben sich im Zeitraum 2015 bis 2023 im Vergleich zu 2000 bis 2015 um rund zwei Drittel reduziert. In der Folge sind die Wachstumsbeiträge des Exports von 1,8 Prozentpunkten zwischen 2000 und 2015 auf 0,8...

Geopolitics is an overarching characteristic of much of this outlook for the key themes in the global energy economy in 2025. The start of Donald Trump’s second term in the White House will herald new pressures to multiple layers of the global economy, from trade to labour, monetary policy to...

This study investigates the relationships between causation and efectuation decision-making logics and multiple dimensions of de-internationalization among Thai manufacturing export frms. Although existing research has explored internationalization processes, the decision-making dynamics...

China’s manufacturing capabilities and advancements in reducing electrolyzer costs have sparked both hopes and concerns about its potential to dominate global electrolyzer production and exports. This is often compared to China’s success in solar photovoltaics (PV), where dramatic cost...

The impact of exchange rates is a significant concern affecting trade in the SADC region. This study's purpose is to assess the threshold effects of exchange rates on agricultural exports from SA to SADC from 2010 to 2022. A panel threshold estimation technique is applied to assess the exchange...

Purpose - The continuous export challenges due to the inadequate quality infrastructure have brought to the fore the importance of export facilitation-quality infrastructure. Different infrastructure investments have been implemented to facilitate export; however, the outcomes were different...

This paper evaluates the impacts of trade liberalization on the marital and fertility choices of women in Vietnam. Applying a regional exposure approach, we leverage the U.S.-Vietnam Bilateral Trade Agreement (BTA) as an exogenous and positive shock to the nation’s export growth. Our results...

Past research shows that firms with constrained access to debt are more likely to withdraw from exporting. We argue that a firm's debt maturity structure (i.e., the short-term/long-term debt mix) also matters because short-term debt entails liquidity risk and long-term debt entails higher costs....

Trade flows are the result of the interaction between buyers and sellers. Understanding how these firm-to-firm relationships form, survive, and evolve over time helps identify how countries can improve their export outcomes. Using a very granular dataset of United States import transactions from...

Aus strategischer Sicht ist es wichtig zu wissen, wo die deutsche Wirtschaft Stärken hat. Wenn Deutschland bei bestimmten Waren den Export dominiert, sind andere Länder hier von der Bundesrepublik ein Stück weit abhängig. Gerade in Zeiten von Handelskonflikten kann das ein Trumpf sein, um...

We study how demand uncertainty affects risk-neutral firms' number of export destinations when uncertainty is resolved after firms choose their export destinations and output. We show that firms' ability to allocate their output across destinations in response to destination-specific shock...

This study examines the association between export promotion programs (EPPs) and export knowledge, commitment, and management perception, examining their relationship with export strategy, competitiveness, and performance, especially for firms in international markets. Using data collected from...

Occupying the prestigious second place globally, the readymade export garment industry is the most important manufacturing and export industry in Bangladesh. The industry took root in the 1980s and has subsequently grown very rapidly since the 1990s, and now it contributes significantly to...

We study how the effects of exports on earnings vary across individual workers, depending on a wide range of worker, firm, and job characteristics. To this end, we combine a generalized random forest with an instrumental variable strategy. Analyzing Germany's exports to China and Eastern Europe,...

Der Export als traditionell starker Wachstumsmotor der deutschen Wirtschaft ist ins Stottern geraten. Dabei kam es schon nach 2015 zu anhaltenden Einbußen bei der Exportperformance auf den deutschen Absatzmärkten. In diesem Beitrag wird analysiert, in welchen Zielländern und Warengruppen...

Die Wirkungen sozialpartnerschaftlicher Strukturen werden in der Arbeit aus verschiedenen Perspektiven untersucht. Der Ländervergleich zeigt, dass Länder mit koordinierten Lohnverhandlungssystemen ein hohes Beschäftigungsniveau und eine geringere Lohnungleichheit aufweisen. In Bezug auf...

This paper analyzes the effect of commodity price fluctuations on a commodity-exporting economy. Using Chilean and international copper market data, I find that positive copper price changes resulting from copper-specific demand shocks generate a broad GDP expansion, with no visible decline in...

By utilizing panel statistics of 1520 country pairs and economic integration agreements (EIAs) from 2007 to 2017, this paper presents evidence of the effect of EIAs on export margins, i.e., both extensive (firms) and intensive margins (average exports per firm). In doing so, this work adds...

We investigate the systematic complementarities between import and export activities of firms using a novel firm-level data set for Germany. Specifically, we examine whether firms that import more are also inclined to export more, decomposing this relationship into extensive country and product...

To reduce funds for Russia’s Ukraine invasion, Western governments imposed a price ceiling on Russian seaborne oil exports using Western services. To sell above that ceiling, Russia developed a “shadow fleet” which uses no such services. We use a calibrated model driven by this fleet’s...