We study how monetary policy is transmitted through the open-end investment fund (OEIF) sector and how this transmission depends on fund fragility. Using high-frequency identified ECB monetary policy surprises and daily share-class data on German-domiciled OEIFs from 2010 to 2023, we show that...

This paper investigates whether crisis narratives affect how the judiciary handles tax evasion. We study this question in the context of the Greek debt crisis, in which tax evasion was publicly blamed for the fiscal collapse, and judges themselves experienced substantial salary cuts as part of...

This paper examines how regional economic diversity shapes economic resilience across European regions during major crises. Using sectoral diversity indicators at the NUTS-2 level, we analyze the impact of diversity on three dimensions of resilience: the depth of economic downturns, the strength...

This paper examines bank failures during the subprime mortgage crisis, emphasizing sibling dynamics within multi-bank holding companies (MBHCs). While traditional risk indicators effectively predict failures for one bank holding companies (OBHCs), they exhibit limited explanatory power for...

Banks use synthetic risk transfers (SRTs) to offload potential losses in their loan portfolios to non-bank investors while retaining the loans on their balance sheets. We investigate this trillion-euro market using transaction-level data from the euro area, the largest SRT market, and highlight...

I develop a model-based definition of time-varying sovereign bond safety, and apply it empirically by constructing a news-based index, the FLY, that measures global safe-assets demand. The FLY captures flight-to-safety episodes, the savings glut, and natural interest rate declines. Estimated FLY...

This report analyzes and compares the financing structures of non-financial corporations (NFCs) in eleven CESEE economies (CESEE EU-MS) against the background of the recent COVID-19 and energy crises. It also puts developments across the region in a broader EU context. In addition, this report...

We develop a novel sentiment measure from survey forecasts that captures the component of beliefs arising from the systematic misaggregation of public information relative to a machine benchmark based on the same information set. We extend this sentiment measure historically for a panel of 78...

This study empirically investigates the performance of Elastic Machine Learning, an industrial, unsupervised anomaly detection tool, in the identification of fraudulent behavior in banking transactions. Using AI-generated datasets that were designed to simulate realistic banking environments,...

This study examines the impact of corporate governance on sustainability-related risk in Indian banks across crisis and post-crisis periods. Using data from 37 public and private banks between 2006 and 2018, it analyzes how board characteristics influence liquidity and solvency risk. Panel...

The World Bank asserts that reducing extreme poverty and achieving shared prosperity are both made possible through financial inclusion. Digital finance may enhance financial stability, thereby supporting more inclusive and sustainable economic growth. Despite its potential benefits, the link...

This paper examines the interplay between financial inclusion and FinTech in shaping banking stability, with a focus on economies in the Asia and Pacific region. Using an unbalanced panel dataset from 21 economies from 2000 to 2021, the paper finds that financial inclusion enhances banking...

This article offers a structural reappraisal of central bank Monetary Policy Transparency (MPT) by explicitly incorporating two dimensions that have long remained peripheral in the literature: Accounting Information Transparency (AIT) and Financial Stability Transparency (FST). Building on a...

This study examines the determinants of gold returns over the period 2000-2025, a period marked by recurrent financial crises, geopolitical tensions, and major shifts in global monetary conditions. As gold represents both a strategic commodity and a key reserve asset, understanding the channels...

I develop a framework analyzing how artificial intelligence (AI) reshapes monetary policy through three interrelated channels: cyclical transmission, structural transition, and financial stability. In the short run, AI can alter inflation dynamics by changing how supply and demand disturbances...

This paper provides a comparative analysis of the economic crises in Argentina and Lebanon to derive policy-relevant lessons for the design of IMF-supported adjustment programs in fragile economies. Using a structured comparative case study approach, the study examines crisis dynamics, policy...

The primary objective of this research is to identify, analyse, and compare the development of risk management approaches adopted by Slovak industrial enterprises in two distinct economic periods: during a phase of economic growth (2019) and during a period of global crises and regional crises...

After having several multidimensional crises affect Haiti for years, the country is at a critical juncture. Recognizing that tangible economic, social, and institutional recovery must accompany progress in the political transition, the government of Haiti launched the Rapid Crisis Impact...

This paper investigates tail-risk transmission and asymmetric dependence in commodity markets using an asymmetric fuzzy vine copula framework applied to gold, crude oil, natural gas, and silver from 1 January 2015 to 1 January 2025, extracted from Yahoo Finance. Bootstrap-based trapezoidal fuzzy...

The over-hyped Dot.com revolution bubbled and crashed at the end of the 1990s, leaving a largely unused physical and virtual infrastructure that eventually supported the rise of social media that did-indeed-transform life. Not necessarily in a good way. As Robert Gordon famously claimed, you can...

Climate change has emerged as one of the defining risks in recent years. These risks are associated with economic losses and, ultimately, the stability of the financial system. This study examines the impact of climate change on financial stability in Namibia using quarterly data spanning from...

This paper develops a tractable consumption-based asset-pricing model in an i.i.d. economy that combines rare consumption disasters with ambiguity aversion implemented as a one-period entropic tilt under CRRA utility. Closed-form expressions for the risk-free rate, equity return moments, and the...

This paper analyses the role of Sukuk issuance in driving economic growth amid the Global Financial Crisis (2007-2009), considering both short-term fluctuations and long-term outcomes during periods of financial distress.Using the Pooled Mean Group (PMG) approach of the ARDL model, the study...

The smooth functioning of the repo market is essential to financial stability. However, the market has faced repeated episodes of stress in recent years. This paper examines the resilience of the euro-denominated repo market during recent episodes of elevated financial stress, drawing on...

Decentralised Finance (DeFi) emerged in 2021 as a fast-growing crypto segment, attracting policymakers' attention due to its innovative approach of delivering financial services without relying on centralised intermediaries. This paper assesses DeFi governance arrangements for regulating and...

We document empirically the money demand by European non-financial corporations by exploiting a unique and brand-new survey on their cash usage in a stress period. We also assess: (i) the relation between cash held and firm size; and (ii) estimate point values of cash holdings and carry out...

Using information from the ECB's Bank Lending Survey, we examine how the implementation of borrower-based macroprudential measures (BBMs) between 2009-Q1 and 2023-Q3 affected mortgage lending standards in a sample of 15 euro area countries. We find that banks generally tightened credit standards...

Financial Conditions Indices (FCIs) are a widely used tool for assessing the broader monetary policy stance beyond the central bank's direct control. This paper presents a novel vector autoregressive (VAR) model that includes key macroeconomic variables and maps financial variables into a single...

When default losses elevate borrowing costs, expanding credit cannot stabilize the economy because default rates feed back to lending rates through bank balance sheets. Asset management companies (AMCs) break this loop by purchasing nonperforming loans at their long-run recovery values, thereby...

In essence, the currently large stablecoins are electronic money issued by narrow balance sheet vehicles into a distributed ledger (or a "programmable platform"). Many believe that they will have significant success as a new form of money. Members of the current US administration expect that US...

Compared with the relatively straightforward definition of a default event, assessing sovereign debt sustainability remains a grey area. The interaction between fiscal choices, lenders' expectations and economic uncertainty creates a setting in which-particularly when a default...

This study applies the Log-Periodic Power-Law (LPPL) framework to three major equity markets-Mexico (IPC), Brazil (IBOVESPA), and the United States (NYSE Composite)-using daily closes from 8 November 1991-30 January 2025 for IPC and NYSE, and 3 May 1993-30 January 2025 for IBOVESPA. Multi-window...