Evidence since the XIX century shows that whereas the demand for M1 is uniformly stable (Benati, Lucas, Nicolini, and Weber, 2021), the demand for broader aggregates is stable under monetary regimes making inflation strongly mean-reverting-such as the Gold Standard and inflation-targeting-but it...

This research aimed to identify existence of a New Keynesian Phillips Curve in Vietnam. The examined period was 2012Q2 - 2025Q2, using secondary macroeconomics data and the Generalised Moments Method at 95% level of confidence. The dependent variables were price inflation and wage inflation,...

Inflation dynamics reflect forces operating at different cycles, from short-lived shocks to longterm structural trends. We introduce the sum-of-the-cycles (SOC) method, which exploits this multifrequency structure of inflation for forecasting. SOC decomposes inflation into cyclical components,...

We examine the state dependence of monetary policy transmission and the parameters of the Phillips curve, dynamic IS equation, and Taylor rule across four regimes defined by joint deviations of inflation from the Federal Reserve's target and output from potential. The analysis uncovers important...

This paper employs a joint SVAR-IV model for the United States and the euro area to estimate the pass-through of energy and food commodity cost shocks to inflation. Exogenous commodity cost shocks - such as those triggered by the Russian invasion of Ukraine - had only a modest impact on...

This research extends the literature on the environmental Phillips curve (EPC) and environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) by focusing on the 38 member economies of the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD). Using panel data from 2000 to 2021, the study employs several...

The present study aims at studying productivity growth, employment, and income distribution in a Young-Kaldor investment dynamics in which productivity growth and a higher markup sustaining investment are endogenous to growth and support better employment and wage outcomes. Investment-led growth...

We study monetary policy in an environment where price and wage Phillips curves exhibit true curvature. To this end, we propose a New Keynesian (NK) model with endogenous adjustment of price and wage setting frequencies, moving beyond the quasilinear structure of standard nonlinear NK Phillips...

We estimate the slope of the Phillips curve in the euro area, allowing for nonlinearities – or kinks – in the relationship between labor market slack and inflation. We exploit cross-country variation in labor market conditions in the period 2001–2024, absorbing aggregate shocks and...

We estimate a New Keynesian model that allows endogenous transitions between a target equilibrium, with inflation fluctuating around the central bank's target and interest rates typically positive, and a low-inflation equilibrium, where the effective lower bound binds and de-anchored...

We find that, while different models used to estimate the output gap in five major emerging economies show similar trends over time, they lead to different conclusions about how well the output gap can predict inflation. This suggests that the choice of model can significantly impact the...

We estimate the Phillips Curve using panel data to infer the slope of the aggregate Phillips Curve for Spain. In recent years, inflation has become a puzzle for economists and monetary authorities and academic research has been more active suggesting many possible explanations to the inflation...

This paper examines the phenomenon of inflation inertia in Türkiye focusing on its persistence and the role of interconnected price-setting behaviors. Utilizing monthly data from 2004 to 2024, the study applies a novel augmented Phillips Curve framework, integrating a Time-Varying Parameter...