We investigate the role of speculation in the European natural gas market over the period 2020- 2024, a period marked by extreme price volatility driven by the energy crisis following Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Replicating the framework of Knittel and Pindyck (2016), we disentangle the...

This study examines the dynamic transmission of international rubber prices along the SHFE-FOB Bangkok-local farm-gate chain in Thailand using weekly data and an integrated econometric-machine-learning framework. Engle-Granger cointegration tests reveal a stable long-run equilibrium in which...

This paper evaluates the effect of the Russian invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 on refinery margins, i.e. the difference between wholesale prices for road fuels (gasoline and diesel) and oil prices in Europe and Germany in particular. Following the Russian invasion of Ukraine, wholesale road...

This study analyzes monthly price data for urea, phosphate rock, diammonium phosphate (DAP), triple superphosphate (TSP), and potassium chloride from the World Bank, covering the period from January 1967 to September 2024. The objective is to investigate interdependencies among major fertilizer...

This paper evaluates the effect of the Russian invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 on refinery margins, i.e. the difference between wholesale prices for road fuels (gasoline and diesel) and oil prices in Europe and Germany in particular. Following the Russian invasion of Ukraine, wholesale road...

There is limited theoretical understanding of cost pass-through in markets where prices are dispersed. This paper analyzes cost pass-through within a framework that encompasses many models in the price dispersion literature where consumers vary in the number of firms they consider. We...

Given the importance of the transport sector for greenhouse gas emissions, both behavioral change will be needed to mitigate climate change in addition to technological innovation. We focus on the case of remote working as a less carbon-intensive substitute to commuting and analyze whether...

This paper analyzes three forecasting methods for commodity spot prices and applies them to copper prices. The first method uses futures prices from either LME or COMEX. The second method uses analysts' consensus expectations, reported by Bloomberg. The third method jointly uses futures and...

This paper aims to investigate the sensitivity of the gas market: Russian Natural Gas and Liquefied Gas, to other commodity categories. It sheds light on the Russian-Ukrainian crisis by using an Autoregressive Distributed Lag model on daily prices of Russian Natural Gas, Liquefied Natural Gas,...

Mexico liberalized natural gas prices in 2017 by establishing the National Wholesale Natural Gas Price Index (IPGN). This institutional change created observable conditions where prices could deviate from efficiency. We classified these deviations into three regimes: stability, overestimation...

Metal markets are an important but understudied aspect of the global energy transition. This paper demonstrates differential metal price responses to the Paris Agreement based on their role in the energy transition. We use a difference-in-differences design with daily price data from 2001 to...

In 1991 and 2008, Israel abolished the equivalents of 1¢ and 5¢ coins, respectively, effectively eliminating low-denomination coins and introducing rounding in cash transactions. When totals were rounded up, shoppers incurred a small rounding tax. Using detailed data on price endings and...

Using Wine Spectator's Top 100 lists for 1988-2025, this note applies Bai-Perron structural break tests to regional and country shares and identifies three distinct periods: 1988-1997, 1998-2015, and 2016-2025. Real prices decline across phases, with the sharpest drop in the most recent period,...

Around three quarters of Bitcoin transactions take place off-chain. Despite their significance, the vast majority of the empirical literature on cryptocurrencies focuses on on-chain transactions. This paper presents one of the first analysis of both on- and off-chain demand- and supply-side...

The persistent decline in the relative price of investment goods has emerged as a global stylized fact. This paper develops a three-period Overlapping Generations model to delineate the theoretical mechanism through which population age structure affects the relative price of investment goods...

Around three-quarters of Bitcoin transactions occur off-chain. While most empirical studies focus exclusively on on-chain transactions, only few papers analyse off-chain transactions. The empirical evidence of Bitcoin market considering both types of trading strategies remains limited. This...

This paper investigates the dynamic linkages and volatility transmission among global food prices, biofuel commodity prices, and crude oil prices, with a focus on the profound disruptions caused by the COVID-19 pandemic. While interdependencies between energy and agricultural markets are...

This study examines price transmission dynamics in the Hungarian pork market from 2017 to 2023, focusing on the effects of price controls implemented to combat inflation. Inflation and price control policies have been central topics in economic research due to their significant impacts on market...

Quantifying the influence of uncertainty on gold prices is significant for improving related financial decision making. This study proposes a novel CNN-LSTM neural network that can extract potential features from sample data to effectively predict gold prices. Specifically, we demonstrate...

When and under what circumstances might people interpret a price increase as fair and acceptable is an important question in behavioral economics. We report the results of surveys we conducted in the US and Israel in 2020, a time when many prices increased following the spread of the COVID-19...

There is limited theoretical understanding of cost pass-through within markets where prices are dispersed. Under a general demand function, we analyse the effects of cost changes in a seminal model of price dispersion, where some consumers are captive to particular sellers while others are not...

This paper calculates the exchange rate pass through (ERPT) with time constant and time varying coefficients for Colombia between 2006 and 2023. It then estimates the ERPT during four specific depreciation events during the period of analysis: the 2008 financial crisis, the 2014-2016 fall in...

Retail prices for a product vary across time and places. The sources that drive price dispersion can be grouped into three categories: (i) price differences across markets, (ii) price differences across stores in a market, and (iii) within-store price variation over time. I find there is price...